8=======>

2022-06-22 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 177 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1818
177 of 177 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.76%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.5%
in alpha space · 55.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+13.62%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (177 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.146850.133802-8.89%0.18229+24.13%0.1816✗1.008552022-07-22
AVTAventusEthereum1.711.5753-7.88%1.53-10.53%0.0816✓0.41442k2022-07-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0812.9103-5.54%3.129+1.56%0.0133✓0.675.2M2022-07-22
LUNATerraTerra 20.000056460.000053511-5.22%0.00010025+77.56%0.3684✗2.031.2M2022-07-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7580.719059-5.14%0.742-2.11%0.2166✓1.9429.5M2022-07-22
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19360.184328-4.79%0.1891-2.32%0.1021✓1.002,7572022-07-22
OPTIMOptimism0.4620.440708-4.61%0.837+81.17%0.5138✗1.004.2M2022-07-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.7252.601-4.55%3.68+35.05%0.2720✗0.594.1M2022-07-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.366390.350076-4.45%0.38654+5.50%0.0659✓1.29138k2022-07-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3971.3354-4.41%1.395-0.14%0.1399✓1.443.8M2022-07-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9642.8365-4.30%3.014+1.69%0.1769✓1.862.9M2022-07-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6363.4811-4.26%3.88+6.71%0.0228✓0.674.4M2022-07-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.52320.502729-3.91%0.44526-14.90%0.3330✓1.662.7M2022-07-22
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.283.1519-3.90%3.18-3.05%0.1188✓1.00239k2022-07-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.81365.5877-3.89%5.4073-6.99%0.0639✓0.24226k2022-07-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.615350.592652-3.69%0.64923+5.51%0.1020✓1.5174k2022-07-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.83710.80626-3.68%0.8742+4.43%0.0589✓1.092.9M2022-07-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.553.4199-3.66%3.98+12.11%0.0734✗0.611.7M2022-07-22
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50870.490233-3.63%0.475-6.62%0.1592✓1.00148k2022-07-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023770.022912-3.61%0.02601+9.42%0.1013✓1.7937.6M2022-07-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2360.227654-3.54%0.21-11.02%0.2912✓1.651.3M2022-07-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.89559.8032-3.38%57.86-6.52%0.1422✓0.861.3M2022-07-22
CBKCobakEthereum0.954790.922784-3.35%1.0787+12.97%0.0007✓1.225,7412022-07-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046760.045249-3.23%0.04691+0.32%0.0897✓0.9812k2022-07-22
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023610.022849-3.22%0.02715+14.99%0.0448✗1.003,8202022-07-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.193.0886-3.18%3.79+18.81%0.1099✗0.741.4M2022-07-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.76191.7101-2.94%2.2893+29.93%0.1796✗0.882.3M2022-07-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.042190.040976-2.88%0.04166-1.26%0.1219✓1.082,9602022-07-22
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42672.359-2.79%2.4085-0.75%0.1997✓1.7313k2022-07-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4480.436042-2.67%0.788+75.89%0.3976✗1.523,0312022-07-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0171210.016676-2.60%0.017566+2.60%0.0203✓0.57501k2022-07-22
STEEMSteemnative0.21870.213237-2.50%0.2438+11.48%0.0242✓1.24682k2022-07-22
XEMNEMnative0.0406060.039634-2.39%0.047375+16.67%0.0164✓1.2726k2022-07-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.396.2433-2.30%6.59+3.13%0.0086✓0.491.4M2022-07-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.4371.404-2.29%2.254+56.85%0.2819✗1.5073k2022-07-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.043.9493-2.24%4.27+5.69%0.0069✓0.671.2M2022-07-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.9110.6667-2.23%16.77+53.71%0.2450✗1.62403k2022-07-22
API3Api3Ethereum1.5631.5285-2.21%1.777+13.69%0.0199✓1.34932k2022-07-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.498.3282-1.91%12.18+43.46%0.1894✗1.491.7M2022-07-22
GMTGMTEthereum0.7290.715247-1.89%0.945+29.63%0.0507✗1.781.3M2022-07-22
XYMSymbolnative0.052890.051919-1.84%0.054082+2.25%0.0443✓0.6752k2022-07-22
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7740.760656-1.72%0.772-0.26%0.0929✓0.841.7M2022-07-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6860.674699-1.65%0.661-3.64%0.1495✓1.01367k2022-07-22
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9360.9208-1.62%1.326+41.67%0.2370✗1.001.5M2022-07-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021050.020719-1.57%0.021816+3.64%0.0905✓1.117,5672022-07-22
BORABORAKlay Token0.2930.288586-1.51%0.31385+7.12%0.0966✓1.418,2902022-07-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015860.015623-1.49%0.01884+18.79%0.0851✗0.80387k2022-07-22
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7650.753684-1.48%0.9287+21.40%0.0099✓1.563.1M2022-07-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.112.0791-1.46%2.3097+9.46%0.0045✓0.862.5M2022-07-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.18310.180472-1.44%0.1887+3.06%0.1216✓1.303,4882022-07-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50532.4768-1.14%2.4983-0.28%0.1293✓1.082.7M2022-07-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31360.310275-1.06%0.3378+7.72%0.0681✓1.2012.9M2022-07-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.44.3538-1.05%4.8+9.09%0.0098✓0.691.4M2022-07-22
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.050980.050477-0.99%0.07194+41.11%0.2266✗1.001,5612022-07-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.372.3476-0.94%2.4+1.27%0.1839✓1.61295k2022-07-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.738560.731797-0.92%1.0174+37.75%0.2261✗0.819712022-07-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1128770.111911-0.86%0.112029-0.75%0.1340✓1.0611.6M2022-07-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000009660.00000958-0.83%0.00001172+21.33%0.0421✗1.25850k2022-07-22
DIADIAEthereum0.374120.371015-0.83%0.42214+12.84%0.0395✗0.70191k2022-07-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.9082.885-0.79%3.265+12.28%0.0217✗0.801.3M2022-07-22
ADACardanoCardano0.45890.455277-0.79%0.483+5.25%0.1120✓1.3476.9M2022-07-22
UMAUMAEthereum2.3862.3672-0.79%2.64+10.65%0.0483✓1.231.0M2022-07-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07260.07203-0.79%0.0847+16.67%0.0229✓1.45191k2022-07-22
BANDBandEthereum1.3661.3554-0.78%1.499+9.74%0.0918✓1.51457k2022-07-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4752.4571-0.72%2.489+0.57%0.1085✓0.95128k2022-07-22
FLOWFlownative1.4481.4379-0.70%1.842+27.21%0.1003✗1.15404k2022-07-22
PROPropyEthereum0.870.864249-0.66%0.79-9.20%0.1872✓0.76165k2022-07-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3192.3044-0.63%2.36+1.77%0.1586✓1.4386k2022-07-22
QNTQuantEthereum52.2851.982-0.57%100.76+92.73%0.5404✗0.952.1M2022-07-22
MANADecentralandEthereum0.836080.831673-0.53%0.93386+11.70%0.0547✓1.34721k2022-07-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02770.027562-0.50%0.0359+29.60%0.1023✗1.27194k2022-07-22
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.050450.050203-0.49%0.05376+6.56%0.1274✓1.531.6M2022-07-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03590.035726-0.49%0.0491+36.77%0.1426✗1.37274k2022-07-22
HIVEHivenative0.38210.380255-0.48%0.4574+19.71%0.0105✗1.361.1M2022-07-22
DODODODOEthereum0.12060.120056-0.45%0.1534+27.20%0.0672✗1.394.6M2022-07-22
QTUMQtumQtum2.73362.7218-0.43%3.2484+18.83%0.0304✗1.1541k2022-07-22
TRXTRONTron0.0629910.06272-0.43%0.06707+6.48%0.0484✓0.901.0M2022-07-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009320.00928-0.43%0.00897-3.76%0.1516✓0.928.7M2022-07-22
APEApeCoinEthereum3.9753.9583-0.42%6.191+55.75%0.2174✗1.8017.2M2022-07-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14820.147637-0.38%0.16+7.96%0.0976✓1.39917k2022-07-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.04041.0368-0.35%1.109+6.59%0.0816✓1.1753k2022-07-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12250.12208-0.34%0.1368+11.67%0.0146✓1.013.8M2022-07-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4630.461568-0.31%0.593+28.08%0.0747✗1.38109k2022-07-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06050.06035-0.25%0.0695+14.88%0.0154✓1.23137k2022-07-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11780.117515-0.24%0.088-25.30%0.4077✓0.93239k2022-07-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.552.5444-0.22%3.073+20.51%0.0478✗1.10636k2022-07-22
RADRadworksEthereum1.481.4772-0.19%1.8+21.62%0.0515✗1.14270k2022-07-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04460.04453-0.16%0.0431-3.36%0.2164✓1.4414k2022-07-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5145.508-0.11%5.485-0.53%0.1695✓1.292.6M2022-07-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28420.283904-0.10%0.3008+5.84%0.1015✓1.254.8M2022-07-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.9813.9664-0.10%15.36+9.87%0.0783✓1.361.7M2022-07-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10230.10222-0.08%0.1186+15.93%0.0157✗1.046,3732022-07-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.05420.054182-0.03%0.0521-3.87%0.2323✓1.51134k2022-07-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.269260.269423+0.06%0.33887+25.85%0.0627✓1.31494k2022-07-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6166.6212+0.08%6.786+2.57%0.1426✗1.3141.5M2022-07-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.009510.009518+0.08%0.00898-5.57%0.1871✗1.011.4M2022-07-22
SUSHISushiEthereum1.191.1911+0.09%1.32+10.92%0.0988✗1.58974k2022-07-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30991.3114+0.11%1.403+7.11%0.0943✗1.271.1M2022-07-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.06090.060975+0.12%0.0642+5.42%0.1399✗1.50431k2022-07-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0615660.061661+0.16%0.067596+9.80%0.0716✗1.281.5M2022-07-22
FIDABonfidaSolana0.330.330544+0.16%0.508+53.94%0.2769✓1.2015k2022-07-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.351.3527+0.20%1.46+8.15%0.1198✗1.54532k2022-07-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.22960.230077+0.21%0.2556+11.32%0.0456✗1.1887k2022-07-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020120.02017+0.25%0.02013+0.05%0.1345✗1.04123k2022-07-22
ZENHorizenBase13.8413.8801+0.29%16.93+22.33%0.0169✓1.4259k2022-07-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.0477.0677+0.29%10.64+50.99%0.2413✓1.3113.7M2022-07-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.1815.2254+0.30%24.9+64.03%0.3352✓1.232.1M2022-07-22
XECeCashnative0.000036940.000037055+0.31%0.00004172+12.94%0.0459✗1.292.6M2022-07-22
KSMKusamaHydration51.8752.0313+0.31%66.53+28.26%0.0934✓1.19898k2022-07-22
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6060.608319+0.38%0.72+18.81%0.0012✓1.33380k2022-07-22
DASHDashDash45.0745.315+0.54%48.39+7.37%0.0764✗1.11781k2022-07-22
KCSKuCoinnative10.43710.5002+0.61%10.153-2.72%0.1792✗1.144.5M2022-07-22
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7761.7876+0.65%2.687+51.30%0.2064✓1.5892k2022-07-22
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.8929+0.68%5.37+10.49%0.1079✗1.571.5M2022-07-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2930.294997+0.68%0.4007+36.76%0.1169✓1.48212k2022-07-22
FTTFTXEthereum25.1825.3653+0.74%28.91+14.81%0.0103✓0.9410.5M2022-07-22
ZECZcashZcash63.1163.5799+0.74%59.9-5.09%0.2321✗1.352.9M2022-07-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.048240.048605+0.76%0.07267+50.64%0.2282✓1.3670k2022-07-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21370.215424+0.81%0.2399+12.26%0.0666✗1.36344k2022-07-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09240.093195+0.86%0.1175+27.16%0.0843✓1.15609k2022-07-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05050.050939+0.87%0.0539+6.73%0.1236✗1.411.5M2022-07-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3760.379299+0.88%0.4043+7.53%0.1196✗1.44120k2022-07-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069450.007007+0.90%0.006704-3.47%0.1396✗0.75145k2022-07-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.877.9458+0.96%8.93+13.47%0.0351✗1.19398k2022-07-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum7.948.0178+0.98%17.48+120.15%0.6547✓0.98234k2022-07-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.54.5498+1.11%6.08+35.11%0.1241✓1.30405k2022-07-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.13370.135194+1.12%0.1403+4.94%0.1351✗1.35151k2022-07-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50.50574+1.15%0.5836+16.72%0.0194✗1.27719k2022-07-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.670.677815+1.17%0.9076+35.46%0.1099✓1.43181k2022-07-22
UNIUniswapEthereum4.9775.0366+1.20%6.89+38.44%0.1415✓1.354.0M2022-07-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131810.133393+1.20%0.16712+26.79%0.0148✓1.65246k2022-07-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.6980.706482+1.22%1.4336+105.39%0.5294✓1.403.8M2022-07-22
ETHEthereumEthereum1,048.961,062.57+1.30%1,535.84+46.42%0.2207✓1.16370.0M2022-07-22
SCSiacoinnative0.003830.00388+1.31%0.00425+10.97%0.0984✗1.48240k2022-07-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.09190.093114+1.32%0.1058+15.13%0.0274✗1.22611k2022-07-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,972.795,040.92+1.37%6,573.61+32.19%0.1000✓1.303.8M2022-07-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029170.02958+1.41%0.02876-1.41%0.2008✗1.3521k2022-07-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10460.106091+1.43%0.1038-0.76%0.1972✗1.374.3M2022-07-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81711.8434+1.45%2.0254+11.47%0.0726✗1.3169k2022-07-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.4475.5409+1.72%6.478+18.93%0.0178✗1.3611.0M2022-07-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11210.114046+1.74%0.1307+16.59%0.0409✗1.3947k2022-07-22
BTTCBTTC7.70e-77.84e-7+1.76%9.20e-7+19.48%0.0503✓0.865.5M2022-07-22
COMPCompoundEthereum40.0640.7706+1.77%55.9+39.54%0.1269✓1.4828k2022-07-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0025350.002581+1.81%0.003052+20.39%0.0293✓1.082.1M2022-07-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059470.006055+1.81%0.005963+0.27%0.1470✗1.033,0112022-07-22
XTZTezosTezos1.34321.3678+1.83%1.638+21.95%0.0140✓1.30798k2022-07-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.0616.3598+1.87%23.63+47.14%0.1828✓1.4540.5M2022-07-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2701380.275207+1.88%0.310757+15.04%0.0549✗1.382.4M2022-07-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.1851.2082+1.96%1.551+30.89%0.0558✓1.52212k2022-07-22
NANOnanopayBase0.7931510.808819+1.98%0.965178+21.69%0.0390✓1.08120k2022-07-22
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6480.660853+1.98%0.701+8.18%0.0924✗1.191.0M2022-07-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3847.5317+2.00%7.295-1.21%0.1954✗1.2813.9M2022-07-22
SOLSolanaSolana34.134.7825+2.00%40.55+18.91%0.0132✓1.31103.2M2022-07-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00640.006531+2.05%0.00659+2.97%0.1177✗0.99438k2022-07-22
GTGateEthereum4.07534.1623+2.14%4.1052+0.73%0.1100✗0.751.5M2022-07-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120550.012313+2.14%0.016355+35.67%0.1728✓0.871.8M2022-07-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.08810.089992+2.15%0.1041+18.16%0.0405✗1.461.1M2022-07-22
STXStacksnative0.37950.387898+2.21%0.4273+12.60%0.0730✗1.33238k2022-07-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,968.4620,444.36+2.38%22,687.68+13.62%0.0236✓1.00546.7M2022-07-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.17080.175136+2.54%0.225+31.73%0.0662✓1.44188k2022-07-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0007670.000787026+2.61%0.001073+39.90%0.1341✓1.382.3M2022-07-22
MOVRMoonriverBase10.870411.1568+2.63%13.7162+26.18%0.0394✓1.31222k2022-07-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.0753.5049+2.76%56.09+7.72%0.1044✗1.1918.4M2022-07-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.002740.002818+2.83%0.001522-44.45%0.7534✗1.085,7382022-07-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.14e-73.23e-7+2.87%3.56e-7+13.37%0.0270✓0.97756k2022-07-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,947.3020,533.02+2.94%22,716.10+13.88%0.0243✓0.9843k2022-07-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.270737+2.94%0.292+11.03%0.0523✗1.00792k2022-07-22
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0820.084533+3.09%0.0822+0.24%0.1957✗1.316,6602022-07-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23710.244606+3.17%0.2599+9.62%0.1010✗1.2732k2022-07-22
XMRMoneroMonero110.94115.8346+4.41%149+34.31%0.1038✓1.161.8M2022-07-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05220.054622+4.64%0.0736+41.00%0.1966✓0.80309k2022-07-22
XVGVergenative0.003090.003237+4.77%0.00367+18.77%0.0553✗1.42662k2022-07-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6020.633917+5.30%0.717+19.10%0.0939✗1.70339k2022-07-22
ORCAOrcaSolana0.420.443096+5.50%0.9698+130.90%0.6537✓1.0269k2022-07-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.490.518239+5.76%0.4976+1.55%0.1871✗1.1592k2022-07-22
AAVEAaveEthereum61.8965.4815+5.80%89.42+44.48%0.0965✓1.688.2M2022-07-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.6119.6766+6.28%123.29+9.49%0.1175✗1.155.4M2022-07-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.