8=======>

2022-06-18 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 177 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2514
175 of 177 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.04%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.7%
in alpha space · 82.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+18.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (177 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum49.5253.7798+8.60%96.23+94.33%0.2969✓1.697.6M2022-07-18
COMPCompoundEthereum28.9831.1218+7.39%57.66+98.96%0.3672✓1.4826k2022-07-18
XMRMoneroMonero104.18111.5245+7.05%147.68+41.75%0.0879✓1.141.8M2022-07-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0026410.00282+6.79%–pending––1.114,6932022-07-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum2.94e-73.14e-7+6.62%3.64e-7+23.69%0.0043✓0.91841k2022-07-18
XVGVergenative0.002730.002905+6.42%0.00383+40.29%0.0327✓1.45645k2022-07-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,369.274,638.89+6.17%6,611.88+51.33%0.1359✓1.303.6M2022-07-18
GTGateEthereum3.60593.8233+6.03%4.2854+18.84%0.0064✓0.721.7M2022-07-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0527850.055884+5.87%0.06754+27.95%0.0223✓1.261.3M2022-07-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.15310.161961+5.79%0.2255+47.29%0.0853✓1.46191k2022-07-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.22270.235427+5.71%0.2632+18.19%0.0974✗1.2431k2022-07-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05280.055791+5.66%0.0993+88.07%0.4402✓0.81316k2022-07-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.08320.087742+5.46%0.1074+29.09%0.0487✓1.491.1M2022-07-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2590.273012+5.41%0.313+20.85%0.0400✓1.05847k2022-07-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.490.516377+5.38%0.5296+8.08%0.1747✗1.1971k2022-07-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.087.4581+5.34%9.61+35.73%0.0535✓1.19434k2022-07-18
SCSiacoinnative0.003390.003569+5.29%0.00428+26.25%0.0695✗1.49239k2022-07-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2710.285323+5.29%0.427+57.56%0.1457✓1.53341k2022-07-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.480.504831+5.17%0.9376+95.33%0.4245✓1.1560k2022-07-18
STXStacksnative0.33710.354492+5.16%0.4256+26.25%0.0435✓1.34202k2022-07-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6110.64101+4.91%0.69+12.93%0.2166✗1.72303k2022-07-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.5541.6286+4.80%2.949+89.77%0.3035✓1.722.2M2022-07-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.2350.246156+4.75%0.36013+53.25%0.1636✓1.29453k2022-07-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0026120.002734+4.69%0.003004+15.01%0.0931✗1.112.1M2022-07-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.13780.144226+4.66%0.2011+45.94%0.1270✓1.223,2772022-07-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062810.006572+4.63%0.00707+12.56%0.0571✗0.77152k2022-07-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin18,948.8919,824.09+4.62%22,427.56+18.36%0.0452✗1.00582.4M2022-07-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.3876+4.33%1.62+21.80%0.1066✗1.55596k2022-07-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.34170.356229+4.25%0.4332+26.78%0.0536✗1.48144k2022-07-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.120890.126012+4.24%0.14623+20.96%0.1161✗1.57240k2022-07-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06910.071998+4.19%0.0882+27.64%0.0371✓1.42309k2022-07-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.2970.30937+4.16%0.53+78.45%0.3389✓1.1815k2022-07-18
LSKLiskEthereum0.931230.969749+4.14%1.1185+20.11%0.0561✗1.1851k2022-07-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5520.574677+4.11%0.72+30.43%0.0530✓1.02359k2022-07-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11020.114708+4.09%0.1322+19.96%0.0283✓1.013.5M2022-07-18
SOLSolanaSolana32.0133.3072+4.05%43.55+36.05%0.0433✓1.33103.2M2022-07-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000007710.000008022+4.05%0.00001196+55.12%0.1922✓1.23813k2022-07-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.22119.8276+4.00%121.21+5.20%0.1900✗1.204.5M2022-07-18
ZECZcashZcash59.2661.6009+3.95%65.57+10.65%0.1614✗1.333.1M2022-07-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.1681.2137+3.92%1.657+41.87%0.0539✓1.53223k2022-07-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.041480.043101+3.91%0.06313+52.19%0.1551✓1.3470k2022-07-18
UNIUniswapEthereum3.6373.778+3.88%7.327+101.46%0.4361✓1.343.5M2022-07-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29550.306897+3.86%0.3598+21.76%0.0464✗1.2213.8M2022-07-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum7.818.1094+3.83%14.75+88.86%0.4310✓0.99252k2022-07-18
HIVEHivenative0.35050.363867+3.81%0.4706+34.27%0.0229✓1.391.1M2022-07-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2475650.256881+3.76%0.320943+29.64%0.0136✓1.402.4M2022-07-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.20390.211544+3.75%0.2526+23.88%0.0202✓1.1791k2022-07-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10420.108068+3.71%0.1331+27.74%0.0291✓1.4149k2022-07-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00070.000725649+3.66%0.001042+48.89%0.1294✓1.382.0M2022-07-18
NANOnanopayBase0.7588970.786674+3.66%0.979062+29.01%0.0321✓1.11120k2022-07-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09870.10231+3.66%0.1101+11.55%0.1635✗1.415.0M2022-07-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.0631.1018+3.65%2.094+96.99%0.3938✓1.4773k2022-07-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.0696.2889+3.62%9.579+57.83%0.1998✓1.3114.5M2022-07-18
APEApeCoinEthereum3.6153.7438+3.56%5.992+65.75%0.1634✓1.8215.8M2022-07-18
MOVRMoonriverBase10.612210.9868+3.53%14.3354+35.08%0.0426✓1.33194k2022-07-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04850.050183+3.47%0.0547+12.78%0.1562✗1.441.7M2022-07-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.44.5526+3.47%6.23+41.59%0.0924✓1.31400k2022-07-18
ETHEthereumEthereum993.641,027.99+3.46%1,581.34+59.15%0.2405✓1.13386.3M2022-07-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.05340.05523+3.43%0.0561+5.06%0.2458✗1.55141k2022-07-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.5780.59763+3.40%0.72+24.57%0.0429✗1.36518k2022-07-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.777540.803888+3.39%0.92106+18.46%0.0959✗1.38713k2022-07-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0116170.012011+3.39%0.012981+11.74%0.0659✗0.852.0M2022-07-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.5830.602656+3.37%1.3413+130.07%0.5654✓1.394.4M2022-07-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative13.6814.1372+3.34%25.3+84.94%0.3665✓1.282.3M2022-07-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.12310.127204+3.33%0.1512+22.83%0.0572✗1.36166k2022-07-18
UMAUMAEthereum2.3762.455+3.32%2.737+15.19%0.1039✗1.261.1M2022-07-18
DASHDashDash41.5542.8862+3.22%48.86+17.59%0.0589✗1.12810k2022-07-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche14.815.2734+3.20%23.97+61.96%0.2076✓1.4445.0M2022-07-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6120.631524+3.19%0.657+7.35%0.1544✗1.15977k2022-07-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0447.2681+3.18%7.654+8.66%0.1698✗1.3113.9M2022-07-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.008470.008737+3.15%0.00926+9.33%0.1158✗1.031.4M2022-07-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19780.203924+3.10%0.2476+25.18%0.0406✗1.39446k2022-07-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.08690.089529+3.03%0.1174+35.10%0.0758✓1.16647k2022-07-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25120.258763+3.01%0.2963+17.95%0.0767✗1.265.1M2022-07-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7120.733181+2.97%1.0287+44.48%0.0750✓1.563.3M2022-07-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015350.015804+2.96%0.01948+26.91%0.0783✓0.78518k2022-07-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006240.006423+2.94%0.00698+11.86%0.0891✗1.02512k2022-07-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.1348.4999+2.91%58.58+24.29%0.0076✓1.1717.5M2022-07-18
DIADIAEthereum0.357010.367291+2.88%0.44826+25.56%0.0812✓0.70249k2022-07-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.610.627489+2.87%0.9815+60.90%0.2073✓1.42182k2022-07-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.08680.089276+2.85%0.1146+32.03%0.0425✓1.23738k2022-07-18
BANDBandEthereum1.2871.3234+2.83%1.512+17.48%0.1253✗1.53407k2022-07-18
DODODODOEthereum0.11230.115446+2.80%0.1628+44.97%0.1042✓1.424.4M2022-07-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.6010.617524+2.75%1.129+87.85%0.3152✓1.711.5M2022-07-18
KSMKusamaHydration48.4249.7464+2.74%63.82+31.81%0.0443✓1.22940k2022-07-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.561.6016+2.67%2.661+70.58%0.2435✓1.5792k2022-07-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05170.053078+2.66%0.0756+46.23%0.1470✓1.23165k2022-07-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.462.5252+2.65%3.27+32.93%0.0671✓1.14636k2022-07-18
KCSKuCoinnative9.5719.8228+2.63%9.854+2.96%0.1850✗1.125.0M2022-07-18
XEMNEMnative0.0379890.038979+2.61%0.044928+18.27%0.0757✗1.2926k2022-07-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03330.034159+2.58%0.0507+52.25%0.1605✓1.39354k2022-07-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02670.027382+2.56%0.0392+46.82%0.1385✓1.31206k2022-07-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4120.422078+2.45%0.572+38.83%0.0635✓1.4399k2022-07-18
QNTQuantEthereum48.7749.9618+2.44%103.99+113.23%0.5734✓0.951.9M2022-07-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.1335.2584+2.44%7.533+46.76%0.1244✓1.3911.1M2022-07-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12280.1257+2.36%0.092-25.08%0.4813✗1.00252k2022-07-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058760.006011+2.29%0.005922+0.78%0.1926✗1.052,7662022-07-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.05720.058506+2.28%0.0733+28.15%0.0349✗1.54426k2022-07-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.25221.2808+2.28%1.4467+15.53%0.0936✗1.281.4M2022-07-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14050.143676+2.26%0.1709+21.64%0.0662✗1.42917k2022-07-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.430060.439707+2.24%0.6986+62.44%0.2268✓1.4063k2022-07-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07520.07688+2.23%0.0841+11.84%0.1384✗1.355,2002022-07-18
BTTCBTTC7.40e-77.56e-7+2.17%9.30e-7+25.68%0.0617✓0.865.3M2022-07-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum5.9186.0446+2.14%7.038+18.93%0.0678✗1.3141.5M2022-07-18
XECeCashnative0.000035660.000036416+2.12%0.00004216+18.23%0.0750✗1.312.8M2022-07-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.311160.317693+2.10%0.41424+33.13%0.0475✓1.29105k2022-07-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3380.345063+2.09%0.691+104.44%0.4307✓1.563,1952022-07-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.025140.025659+2.06%0.02926+16.39%0.0972✗1.3618k2022-07-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,116.8019,496.36+1.99%21,641.50+13.21%0.0621✗0.9936k2022-07-18
XTZTezosTezos1.28891.3139+1.94%1.7336+34.50%0.0555✓1.32914k2022-07-18
FTTFTXEthereum22.7923.2212+1.89%29.86+31.02%0.0959✓0.929.8M2022-07-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1075340.109511+1.84%0.114184+6.18%0.1389✗1.0711.6M2022-07-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.00005540.000056362+1.74%0.00010626+91.81%0.2873✓2.061.6M2022-07-18
SUSHISushiEthereum0.930.945678+1.69%1.5+61.29%0.1972✓1.571.1M2022-07-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09990.101558+1.66%0.1131+13.21%0.0729✗1.075,8092022-07-18
ZENHorizenBase13.1713.3856+1.64%17.74+34.70%0.0373✓1.4555k2022-07-18
RADRadworksEthereum1.461.4827+1.56%1.81+23.97%0.0002✓1.18270k2022-07-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.280730.28498+1.51%0.30487+8.60%0.1785✗1.4610k2022-07-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0382.0675+1.45%2.375+16.54%0.1077✗1.4688k2022-07-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009090.00922+1.43%0.00954+4.95%0.1222✗0.9310.7M2022-07-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.08422.1121+1.34%2.3115+10.91%0.0592✗0.892.9M2022-07-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.7281.7508+1.32%1.9281+11.58%0.1288✗1.3457k2022-07-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.1035.1698+1.31%5.939+16.38%0.0803✗1.302.5M2022-07-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04550.046061+1.23%0.0441-3.08%0.2963✗1.5015k2022-07-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum12.9313.086+1.21%16.35+26.45%0.0192✗1.442.0M2022-07-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.35442.3818+1.17%2.5947+10.21%0.0951✗1.072.8M2022-07-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038190.038621+1.13%–pending––1.092,9602022-07-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.16.1688+1.13%7+14.75%0.0415✓0.501.9M2022-07-18
ADACardanoCardano0.45440.45929+1.08%0.49+7.83%0.1702✗1.3973.7M2022-07-18
QTUMQtumQtum2.58382.6088+0.97%3.2012+23.90%0.0041✓1.1939k2022-07-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.172.1896+0.90%2.7+24.42%0.0657✗1.63309k2022-07-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.67281.6868+0.84%2.1493+28.49%0.0917✓0.892.6M2022-07-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0142030.01432+0.82%0.017412+22.59%0.0871✓0.64469k2022-07-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7950.800392+0.68%0.83+4.40%0.1122✗0.881.7M2022-07-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.4251.4346+0.67%1.949+36.77%0.0714✓1.39891k2022-07-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.020490.020607+0.57%0.022154+8.12%0.1201✗1.149,2332022-07-18
FLOWFlownative1.2641.2708+0.54%1.688+33.54%0.0897✓1.15504k2022-07-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.184.2016+0.52%4.97+18.90%0.0510✓0.691.4M2022-07-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.972.9847+0.50%3.88+30.64%0.1288✓0.791.4M2022-07-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.822.8337+0.49%3.316+17.59%0.0145✓0.851.6M2022-07-18
XVSVenusEthereum4.074.0858+0.39%5.47+34.40%0.0170✓1.631.5M2022-07-18
TRXTRONTron0.0608550.061053+0.33%0.069093+13.54%0.0350✗0.941.0M2022-07-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.044720.044854+0.30%0.05685+27.12%0.0262✗1.561.5M2022-07-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.755230.757391+0.29%0.96529+27.81%0.0991✓0.859712022-07-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5030.503782+0.16%0.553+9.94%0.1217✗1.28762k2022-07-18
PROPropyEthereum0.850.850087+0.01%0.8-5.88%0.1891✗0.76188k2022-07-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019340.019337-0.02%0.02116+9.41%0.0899✓1.07137k2022-07-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3772.3759-0.05%2.536+6.69%0.0994✓0.9896k2022-07-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.799.7704-0.20%17.85+82.33%0.3196✗1.68322k2022-07-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.7980.794441-0.45%1.389+74.06%0.3902✗1.001.5M2022-07-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.863.841-0.49%4.43+14.77%0.0274✗0.681.5M2022-07-18
CBKCobakEthereum0.808680.803931-0.59%1.0463+29.38%0.0557✗1.236,0082022-07-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044830.044535-0.66%0.04751+5.98%0.1055✓1.0114k2022-07-18
XYMSymbolnative0.04930.048972-0.67%0.053178+7.87%0.0304✓0.6764k2022-07-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.898.8233-0.75%11.39+28.12%0.0110✓1.582.4M2022-07-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.393.3619-0.83%4.13+21.83%0.1012✗0.621.9M2022-07-18
STEEMSteemnative0.18260.180938-0.91%0.22+20.48%0.0152✓1.25669k2022-07-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.1442.1227-0.99%2.6883+25.39%0.0599✓1.7617k2022-07-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71550.707984-1.05%0.8258+15.42%0.0416✓1.162.8M2022-07-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.29854.6766-1.12%57.553+4.08%0.0917✓0.851.3M2022-07-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2181.2034-1.20%1.335+9.61%0.1485✓1.504.3M2022-07-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.064.9616-1.94%5.4359+7.43%0.0518✗0.23226k2022-07-18
OPTIMOptimism0.4510.441375-2.13%0.817+81.15%0.4472✗1.006.3M2022-07-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2330.227902-2.19%0.22-5.58%0.3054✓1.601.2M2022-07-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024070.023457-2.55%0.02637+9.56%0.1890✓1.8240.8M2022-07-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46170.448241-2.92%0.5225+13.17%0.0153✓1.00139k2022-07-18
CHRChromiaEthereum0.15030.145894-2.93%0.2055+36.73%0.1740✗1.002,0582022-07-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.048110.046579-3.18%0.07699+60.03%0.3340✗1.001,5612022-07-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.508030.490615-3.43%0.47782-5.95%0.3260✓1.783.6M2022-07-18
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.443.3084-3.83%3.85+11.92%0.0169✓1.00347k2022-07-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.6182.5116-4.06%3.852+47.14%0.3279✗0.594.3M2022-07-18
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.021410.020487-4.31%0.02896+35.26%0.1776✗1.002,6172022-07-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9362.8051-4.46%3.189+8.62%0.0059✓0.734.9M2022-07-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4233.27-4.47%3.951+15.43%0.0722✗0.695.5M2022-07-18
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.140690.133799-4.90%0.18888+34.25%0.1762✗1.001,4082022-07-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7880.73726-6.44%0.817+3.68%0.2379✓2.0229.5M2022-07-18
AVTAventusEthereum2.061.7878-13.22%1.6-22.33%0.1971✓0.51166k2022-07-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.