8=======>

2022-06-17 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 174 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1025
174 of 174 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-6.15%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
76.4%
in alpha space · 8.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (174 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum57.3158.1986+1.55%49.52-13.59%0.0336✗1.687.6M2022-06-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.560.567713+1.38%0.49-12.50%0.0584✗1.1771k2022-06-18
OPTIMOptimism0.5180.525033+1.36%0.451-12.93%0.0759✗1.006.4M2022-06-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6970.705773+1.26%0.611-12.34%0.0129✗1.73303k2022-06-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.16440.166468+1.26%0.1531-6.87%0.0286✓1.48191k2022-06-18
COMPCompoundEthereum32.8333.2425+1.26%28.98-11.73%0.0250✗1.4726k2022-06-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2910.294603+1.24%0.271-6.87%0.0349✓1.56376k2022-06-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.38e-7+1.20%2.94e-7-12.01%0.0730✗0.88951k2022-06-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0029040.002938+1.19%0.002641-9.06%0.0230✗1.104,6932022-06-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.660.667746+1.17%0.583-11.67%0.0301✗1.394.6M2022-06-18
HIVEHivenative0.36270.366884+1.15%0.3505-3.36%0.0629✓1.431.1M2022-06-18
XMRMoneroMonero114.16115.4761+1.15%104.18-8.74%0.0162✗1.141.7M2022-06-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.727.8074+1.13%7.08-8.29%0.0069✓1.19468k2022-06-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,789.564,843.63+1.13%4,369.27-8.78%0.0038✓1.303.6M2022-06-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002750.002781+1.12%0.002612-5.02%0.0235✓1.132.1M2022-06-18
GTGateEthereum3.95984.0032+1.10%3.6059-8.94%0.0520✗0.691.7M2022-06-18
MOVRMoonriverBase11.624911.7514+1.09%10.6122-8.71%0.0011✓1.32194k2022-06-18
XVGVergenative0.002910.002942+1.09%0.00273-6.19%0.0373✓1.47645k2022-06-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0007770.000785364+1.08%0.0007-9.91%0.0101✓1.382.0M2022-06-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2660.268855+1.07%0.259-2.63%0.0446✓1.08847k2022-06-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09840.099453+1.07%0.0987+0.30%0.1041✓1.475.0M2022-06-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,447.8620,663.71+1.06%18,948.89-7.33%0.0105✗1.00582.4M2022-06-18
ETHEthereumEthereum1,085.761,096.99+1.03%993.64-8.48%0.0131✗1.13386.3M2022-06-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6460.652631+1.03%0.612-5.26%0.0254✓1.18977k2022-06-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.7151.7325+1.02%1.554-9.39%0.0232✓1.732.4M2022-06-18
FLOWFlownative1.3921.406+1.00%1.264-9.20%0.0303✗1.00541k2022-06-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.3231+1.00%1.33+1.53%0.1287✓1.62596k2022-06-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0568770.057439+0.99%0.052785-7.19%0.0120✓1.271.3M2022-06-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.3714.5119+0.99%13.68-4.80%0.0390✓1.292.1M2022-06-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.6160.621994+0.97%0.601-2.44%0.1013✓1.781.6M2022-06-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.490.494762+0.97%0.48-2.04%0.0602✓1.1956k2022-06-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.08920.090056+0.96%0.0832-6.73%0.0358✓1.511.1M2022-06-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche15.9816.1327+0.96%14.8-7.38%0.0253✓1.4649.3M2022-06-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045990.046427+0.95%0.04148-9.81%0.0105✗1.3470k2022-06-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23780.24005+0.95%0.2227-6.35%0.0208✓1.2631k2022-06-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05860.059154+0.94%0.0528-9.90%0.0536✗0.79313k2022-06-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.128620.129825+0.94%0.12089-6.01%0.0508✓1.60246k2022-06-18
ZECZcashZcash62.5263.1033+0.93%59.26-5.21%0.0402✓1.353.3M2022-06-18
SCSiacoinnative0.003540.003573+0.93%0.00339-4.24%0.0638✓1.53239k2022-06-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2831.2949+0.92%1.168-8.96%0.0162✓1.57223k2022-06-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008160.000008234+0.91%0.00000771-5.51%0.0294✓1.25813k2022-06-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.310.31281+0.91%0.2955-4.68%0.0377✓1.2414.4M2022-06-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.000058530.000059042+0.87%0.0000554-5.35%0.1012✓2.171.6M2022-06-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash121.36122.4177+0.87%115.22-5.06%0.0318✓1.214.5M2022-06-18
SOLSolanaSolana30.6930.9567+0.87%32.01+4.30%0.1409✓1.41109.1M2022-06-18
APEApeCoinEthereum3.7413.7732+0.86%3.615-3.37%0.1012✓1.8915.8M2022-06-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.14920.150482+0.86%0.1378-7.64%0.0051✓1.223,2772022-06-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07990.080584+0.86%0.0752-5.88%0.0366✓1.394,6642022-06-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.3736.4263+0.84%6.069-4.77%0.0448✓1.3413.7M2022-06-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14860.149842+0.84%0.1405-5.45%0.0460✓1.45917k2022-06-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.1310.132083+0.83%0.1231-6.03%0.0348✓1.38166k2022-06-18
KSMKusamaHydration48.9749.3726+0.82%48.42-1.12%0.0758✓1.25986k2022-06-18
LSKLiskEthereum0.987830.995944+0.82%0.93123-5.73%0.0237✓1.1949k2022-06-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.263340.265485+0.81%0.235-10.76%0.0244✗1.28453k2022-06-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06150.062001+0.81%0.0517-15.93%0.0910✗1.19147k2022-06-18
DODODODOEthereum0.12440.125411+0.81%0.1123-9.73%0.0019✓1.434.4M2022-06-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13040.131456+0.81%0.1228-5.83%0.0090✓1.01255k2022-06-18
DASHDashDash43.5343.8807+0.81%41.55-4.55%0.0313✓1.13810k2022-06-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.123.1451+0.80%2.97-4.81%0.0035✓0.801.5M2022-06-18
QNTQuantEthereum46.5646.9305+0.80%48.77+4.75%0.1152✓1.011.9M2022-06-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.080.080632+0.79%0.0691-13.62%0.0467✗1.41334k2022-06-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3460.348723+0.79%0.297-14.16%0.0725✗1.1616k2022-06-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120480.012143+0.79%0.011617-3.58%0.0222✓0.872.0M2022-06-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37691.3877+0.78%1.2522-9.06%0.0054✓1.281.5M2022-06-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03570.035976+0.77%0.0333-6.72%0.0298✓1.41364k2022-06-18
STXStacksnative0.38170.38465+0.77%0.3371-11.68%0.0304✗1.33195k2022-06-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.590.594559+0.77%0.552-6.44%0.0044✓1.03365k2022-06-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.838280.844735+0.77%0.77754-7.25%0.0232✓1.39725k2022-06-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6110.61565+0.76%0.578-5.40%0.0423✓1.38531k2022-06-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1661.1749+0.76%1.063-8.83%0.0134✓1.4979k2022-06-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11180.112647+0.76%0.1042-6.80%0.0303✓1.4250k2022-06-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2678790.269888+0.75%0.247565-7.58%0.0211✓1.412.4M2022-06-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069450.006997+0.75%0.006281-9.56%0.0502✗0.76167k2022-06-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006710.00676+0.74%0.00624-7.00%0.0013✓1.03540k2022-06-18
UNIUniswapEthereum3.9313.9601+0.74%3.637-7.48%0.0181✓1.363.3M2022-06-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.09430.094997+0.74%0.0868-7.95%0.0038✓1.24803k2022-06-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8413.9422+0.74%12.93-6.58%0.0357✓1.462.2M2022-06-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3760.378776+0.74%0.3417-9.12%0.0110✓1.50146k2022-06-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.2761.2854+0.74%1.425+11.68%0.2181✓1.51891k2022-06-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.038.0892+0.74%7.81-2.74%0.0423✓1.02267k2022-06-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.784.8152+0.74%4.4-7.95%0.0126✓1.35400k2022-06-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0060550.006099+0.73%0.005876-2.96%0.0436✓1.062,5622022-06-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3850.387791+0.72%0.338-12.21%0.0185✗1.563,5232022-06-18
NANOnanopayBase0.8083990.814249+0.72%0.758897-6.12%0.0149✓1.12119k2022-06-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.4375.4763+0.72%5.133-5.59%0.0436✓1.4211.1M2022-06-18
DIADIAEthereum0.385560.388336+0.72%0.35701-7.40%0.0317✗0.69256k2022-06-18
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.3817+0.71%1.287-6.20%0.0480✓1.56407k2022-06-18
RADRadworksEthereum1.551.5609+0.71%1.46-5.81%0.0240✓1.19270k2022-06-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02820.028399+0.71%0.0267-5.32%0.0395✓1.33197k2022-06-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.22070.222258+0.71%0.2039-7.61%0.0030✓1.17100k2022-06-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.05680.057201+0.71%0.0534-5.99%0.0520✓1.59142k2022-06-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2660.267866+0.70%0.2512-5.56%0.0329✓1.285.1M2022-06-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.008970.009032+0.70%0.00847-5.57%0.0155✓1.051.4M2022-06-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0382.0521+0.69%2.038+0.00%0.1090✓1.5288k2022-06-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21320.214667+0.69%0.1978-7.22%0.0251✓1.41462k2022-06-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3566.3992+0.68%5.918-6.89%0.0223✓1.3241.5M2022-06-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.850350.856107+0.68%0.75523-11.19%0.0626✗0.828792022-06-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7271.7386+0.67%1.56-9.67%0.0123✓1.5992k2022-06-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.640.644259+0.67%0.61-4.69%0.0562✓1.46182k2022-06-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8570.8627+0.67%0.798-6.88%0.0018✓1.001.5M2022-06-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.011.0167+0.66%0.93-7.92%0.0317✓1.591.1M2022-06-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.026926+0.66%0.02514-6.02%0.0359✓1.3719k2022-06-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4410.443894+0.66%0.412-6.58%0.0358✓1.45108k2022-06-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009130.00919+0.66%0.00909-0.44%0.0632✓0.9711.3M2022-06-18
KCSKuCoinnative11.09611.1686+0.65%9.571-13.74%0.0720✗1.085.0M2022-06-18
BTTCBTTC7.60e-77.65e-7+0.65%7.40e-7-2.63%0.0342✓0.885.3M2022-06-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.712.7277+0.65%2.46-9.23%0.0180✗1.12663k2022-06-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.7411.7523+0.65%1.6728-3.92%0.0225✓0.912.8M2022-06-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017770.017884+0.64%0.01535-13.62%0.0994✗0.70608k2022-06-18
XEMNEMnative0.0398990.040153+0.64%0.037989-4.79%0.0448✓1.3226k2022-06-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.362.3749+0.63%2.17-8.05%0.0360✓1.66311k2022-06-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12140.122166+0.63%0.1102-9.23%0.0267✗1.003.3M2022-06-18
XTZTezosTezos1.38791.3967+0.63%1.2889-7.13%0.0204✓1.32914k2022-06-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2697.3147+0.63%7.044-3.10%0.0651✓1.3513.8M2022-06-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09240.092979+0.63%0.0869-5.95%0.0217✓1.17686k2022-06-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047790.048088+0.62%0.04472-6.42%0.0492✓1.601.6M2022-06-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3335.3652+0.60%5.103-4.31%0.0511✓1.332.5M2022-06-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.06130.061668+0.60%0.0572-6.69%0.0435✓1.56409k2022-06-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.14592.1588+0.60%2.0842-2.88%0.0337✓0.903.1M2022-06-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.293090.294845+0.60%0.28073-4.22%0.0648✓1.5012k2022-06-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1118030.112463+0.59%0.107534-3.82%0.0383✓1.0911.1M2022-06-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0520.052307+0.59%0.0485-6.73%0.0356✓1.461.7M2022-06-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.256.2864+0.58%6.1-2.40%0.0090✓0.512.0M2022-06-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0197880.019902+0.58%0.02049+3.55%0.1207✓1.208,7652022-06-18
ZENHorizenBase14.0814.161+0.58%13.17-6.46%0.0395✓1.4755k2022-06-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49930.50209+0.56%0.4617-7.53%0.0077✗1.00161k2022-06-18
TRXTRONTron0.05980.060133+0.56%0.060855+1.76%0.0868✓0.98887k2022-06-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.5547.8135+0.55%47.13-0.88%0.0774✓1.2117.5M2022-06-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.114.1328+0.55%4.18+1.70%0.0672✓0.731.4M2022-06-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7590.763182+0.55%0.712-6.19%0.0511✓1.583.3M2022-06-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86111.8709+0.53%1.728-7.15%0.0228✓1.3455k2022-06-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5050.507653+0.53%0.503-0.40%0.0921✓1.33767k2022-06-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7610.76497+0.52%0.795+4.47%0.1104✓0.941.7M2022-06-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.248.2821+0.51%8.89+7.89%0.1988✓1.682.4M2022-06-18
ADACardanoCardano0.48680.489277+0.51%0.4544-6.66%0.0335✓1.4171.0M2022-06-18
XECeCashnative0.000037960.00003815+0.50%0.00003566-6.06%0.0341✓1.332.8M2022-06-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43362.4457+0.50%2.3544-3.25%0.0455✓1.102.9M2022-06-18
CBKCobakEthereum0.870460.87477+0.50%0.80868-7.10%0.0160✓1.246,0082022-06-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,457.0020,557.77+0.49%19,116.80-6.55%0.0028✓0.9929k2022-06-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02040.0205+0.49%0.01934-5.20%0.0243✓1.08137k2022-06-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04620.046426+0.49%0.0455-1.52%0.0979✓1.5516k2022-06-18
SGBSongbirdnative0.03070.03085+0.49%0.0274-10.75%0.0877✗0.41138k2022-06-18
FTTFTXEthereum24.3524.4676+0.48%22.79-6.41%0.0007✓0.929.9M2022-06-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4132.4245+0.48%2.377-1.49%0.0565✓1.0075k2022-06-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.056120.056387+0.48%0.04811-14.27%0.0826✗1.001,5532022-06-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.922.9334+0.46%2.82-3.42%0.0258✓0.861.8M2022-06-18
XVSVenusEthereum4.164.179+0.46%4.07-2.16%0.1014✓1.681.6M2022-06-18
UMAUMAEthereum2.6492.6609+0.45%2.376-10.31%0.0177✗1.251.1M2022-06-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.338270.339719+0.43%0.31116-8.01%0.0111✓1.30105k2022-06-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0153930.015457+0.41%0.014203-7.73%0.0391✗0.60469k2022-06-18
QTUMQtumQtum2.7442.7553+0.41%2.5838-5.84%0.0265✓1.1939k2022-06-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.0111.0532+0.39%9.79-11.08%0.0068✓1.68322k2022-06-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.553520.555629+0.38%0.50803-8.22%0.0478✓1.803.6M2022-06-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.963.9731+0.33%3.86-2.53%0.0243✓0.701.5M2022-06-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10660.106947+0.33%0.0999-6.29%0.0137✓1.085,8092022-06-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04010.040226+0.31%0.03819-4.76%0.0320✓1.102,9602022-06-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8492.8574+0.29%2.618-8.11%0.0449✗0.564.3M2022-06-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046570.046706+0.29%0.04483-3.74%0.0374✓1.0315k2022-06-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.683.6907+0.29%3.39-7.88%0.0388✗0.611.9M2022-06-18
STEEMSteemnative0.20110.201658+0.28%0.1826-9.20%0.0041✗1.25656k2022-06-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6193.6284+0.26%3.423-5.42%0.0061✗0.686.3M2022-06-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.41652.4225+0.25%2.144-11.28%0.0124✓1.7717k2022-06-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021960.022011+0.23%0.02407+9.61%0.2364✓1.9340.1M2022-06-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.43254.5494+0.22%55.298+1.59%0.0810✓0.891.2M2022-06-18
PROPropyEthereum0.90.901918+0.21%0.85-5.56%0.0024✗0.75186k2022-06-18
XYMSymbolnative0.0504990.050604+0.21%0.0493-2.37%0.0261✓0.6965k2022-06-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.0555.0645+0.19%5.06+0.10%0.0177✓0.24226k2022-06-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.341.3424+0.18%1.218-9.10%0.0172✓1.504.9M2022-06-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.472670.473256+0.12%0.43006-9.01%0.0113✓1.4163k2022-06-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1333.1368+0.12%2.936-6.29%0.0115✗0.724.9M2022-06-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.888644+0.07%0.788-11.26%0.0343✓2.0329.5M2022-06-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72370.723956+0.04%0.7155-1.13%0.0787✓1.192.8M2022-06-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.240.239893-0.04%0.233-2.92%0.0949✗1.631.2M2022-06-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4863-0.25%2.06+38.26%0.3785✗0.69166k2022-06-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.