8=======>

2022-06-17 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 173 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2172
171 of 173 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.84%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.5%
in alpha space · 70.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.68%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (173 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum57.3161.8448+7.91%88.27+54.02%0.3278✓1.687.6M2022-07-17
COMPCompoundEthereum32.8334.9767+6.54%54.86+67.10%0.4255✓1.4726k2022-07-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0029040.003091+6.43%–pending––1.104,6932022-07-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.56e-7+6.37%3.57e-7+6.90%0.0096✓0.88951k2022-07-17
XVGVergenative0.002910.003088+6.10%0.00353+21.31%0.1094✓1.47645k2022-07-17
XMRMoneroMonero114.16121.1268+6.10%135.99+19.12%0.0967✓1.141.7M2022-07-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,789.565,059.65+5.64%6,069.87+26.73%0.1603✓1.303.6M2022-07-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2660.280879+5.59%0.282+6.02%0.0140✓1.08847k2022-07-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.490.516208+5.35%0.8755+78.67%0.5085✓1.1956k2022-07-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.16440.173126+5.31%0.2071+25.97%0.1546✓1.48191k2022-07-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.560.589322+5.24%0.4787-14.52%0.2273✗1.1771k2022-07-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0568770.059656+4.89%0.062984+10.74%0.0331✓1.271.3M2022-07-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.728.0965+4.88%9.05+17.23%0.0914✓1.19468k2022-07-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23780.24934+4.85%0.2537+6.69%0.0036✓1.2631k2022-07-17
GTGateEthereum3.95984.151+4.83%4.0915+3.33%0.0260✓0.691.7M2022-07-17
SCSiacoinnative0.003540.003709+4.77%0.00394+11.30%0.0350✓1.53239k2022-07-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.08920.093452+4.77%0.1027+15.13%0.0692✓1.511.1M2022-07-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05860.061372+4.73%0.054-7.85%0.1411✗0.79313k2022-07-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6970.728882+4.57%0.621-10.90%0.1890✗1.73303k2022-07-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2910.30422+4.54%0.3946+35.60%0.2342✓1.56376k2022-07-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.3676+4.40%1.46+11.45%0.0383✓1.62596k2022-07-17
STXStacksnative0.38170.398465+4.39%0.3859+1.10%0.0543✗1.33195k2022-07-17
SOLSolanaSolana30.6932.0264+4.35%38.63+25.87%0.1639✓1.41109.1M2022-07-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002750.002869+4.31%0.002791+1.49%0.0463✗1.132.1M2022-07-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.14920.155496+4.22%0.1784+19.57%0.1170✓1.223,2772022-07-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.7151.787+4.20%2.653+54.69%0.3662✓1.732.4M2022-07-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,447.8621,237.87+3.86%20,791.74+1.68%0.0379✗1.00582.4M2022-07-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008160.000008469+3.79%0.0000107+31.13%0.2129✓1.25813k2022-07-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09840.102063+3.72%0.0979-0.51%0.0661✗1.475.0M2022-07-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069450.0072+3.67%0.006838-1.54%0.0642✗0.76167k2022-07-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.128620.133302+3.64%0.13279+3.24%0.0306✓1.60246k2022-07-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045990.047661+3.63%0.06269+36.31%0.2517✓1.3470k2022-07-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash121.36125.75+3.62%109.99-9.37%0.1541✗1.214.5M2022-07-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.263340.272628+3.53%0.32185+22.22%0.1446✓1.28453k2022-07-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.590.61061+3.49%0.644+9.15%0.0360✓1.03365k2022-07-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3760.388957+3.45%0.3774+0.37%0.0551✗1.50146k2022-07-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.310.320662+3.44%0.3365+8.55%0.0275✓1.2414.4M2022-07-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.038.3057+3.43%14.48+80.32%0.5389✓1.02267k2022-07-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.080.08274+3.43%0.0857+7.13%0.0116✓1.41334k2022-07-17
ZECZcashZcash62.5264.6505+3.41%59.43-4.94%0.1068✗1.353.3M2022-07-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3460.357716+3.39%0.511+47.69%0.3374✓1.1616k2022-07-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.3736.5877+3.37%8.915+39.89%0.2802✓1.3413.7M2022-07-17
MOVRMoonriverBase11.624911.998+3.21%13.2428+13.92%0.0766✓1.32194k2022-07-17
LSKLiskEthereum0.987831.0187+3.12%1.0511+6.40%0.0114✓1.1949k2022-07-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2831.323+3.12%1.537+19.80%0.1238✓1.57223k2022-07-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0007770.000801137+3.11%0.0009901+27.43%0.1888✓1.382.0M2022-07-17
HIVEHivenative0.36270.373833+3.07%0.4404+21.42%0.1401✓1.431.1M2022-07-17
UNIUniswapEthereum3.9314.051+3.05%6.943+76.62%0.5161✓1.363.3M2022-07-17
APEApeCoinEthereum3.7413.855+3.05%4.969+32.83%0.2223✓1.8915.8M2022-07-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120480.012414+3.04%0.012404+2.95%0.0154✓0.872.0M2022-07-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11180.115174+3.02%0.126+12.70%0.0661✓1.4250k2022-07-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,085.761,118.47+3.01%1,338.20+23.25%0.1605✓1.13386.3M2022-07-17
NANOnanopayBase0.8083990.832538+2.99%0.90356+11.77%0.0632✓1.12119k2022-07-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.3714.7987+2.98%19.22+33.75%0.2399✓1.292.1M2022-07-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.660.679524+2.96%1.0786+63.42%0.4389✓1.394.6M2022-07-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0520.053535+2.95%0.0505-2.88%0.0827✗1.461.7M2022-07-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.05680.058436+2.88%0.0507-10.74%0.1684✗1.59142k2022-07-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche15.9816.4401+2.88%20.62+29.04%0.2021✓1.4649.3M2022-07-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6460.664558+2.87%0.602-6.81%0.1185✗1.18977k2022-07-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2697.4767+2.86%6.919-4.81%0.1001✗1.3513.8M2022-07-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6110.628197+2.81%0.667+9.17%0.0368✓1.38531k2022-07-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.5548.8873+2.81%55.74+17.22%0.1111✓1.2117.5M2022-07-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.6160.633196+2.79%0.896+45.45%0.3174✓1.781.6M2022-07-17
QNTQuantEthereum46.5647.8507+2.77%98.86+112.33%0.7088✓1.011.9M2022-07-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2678790.275239+2.75%0.294596+9.97%0.0444✓1.412.4M2022-07-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1661.1979+2.73%2.018+73.07%0.4967✓1.4979k2022-07-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12140.124709+2.73%0.1168-3.79%0.0823✗1.003.3M2022-07-17
DASHDashDash43.5344.6867+2.66%45.92+5.49%0.0084✓1.13810k2022-07-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.784.906+2.64%5.95+24.48%0.1704✓1.35400k2022-07-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.008970.009206+2.63%0.00892-0.56%0.0491✗1.051.4M2022-07-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.1310.134449+2.63%0.1386+5.80%0.0074✓1.38166k2022-07-17
KSMKusamaHydration48.9750.229+2.57%54.43+11.15%0.0594✓1.25986k2022-07-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.22070.226296+2.54%0.2371+7.43%0.0271✓1.17100k2022-07-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.838280.859401+2.52%0.83755-0.09%0.0490✗1.39725k2022-07-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2660.272216+2.34%0.273+2.63%0.0184✓1.285.1M2022-07-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09240.094437+2.20%0.1105+19.59%0.1375✓1.17686k2022-07-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.640.654096+2.20%0.9377+46.52%0.3359✓1.46182k2022-07-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006710.006857+2.19%0.00645-3.87%0.0784✗1.03540k2022-07-17
API3Api3Ethereum1.2761.3038+2.18%1.778+39.34%0.2850✓1.51891k2022-07-17
DIADIAEthereum0.385560.393918+2.17%0.43709+13.36%0.0925✓0.69256k2022-07-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21320.21782+2.17%0.2316+8.63%0.0379✓1.41462k2022-07-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13040.133218+2.16%0.0943-27.68%0.3624✗1.01255k2022-07-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.4375.5532+2.14%7.225+32.89%0.2394✓1.4211.1M2022-07-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07990.081595+2.12%0.0796-0.38%0.0479✗1.394,6642022-07-17
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.4007+2.09%1.382+0.73%0.0395✗1.56407k2022-07-17
XEMNEMnative0.0398990.040724+2.07%0.040555+1.64%0.0261✗1.3226k2022-07-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.09430.096193+2.01%0.1055+11.88%0.0718✓1.24803k2022-07-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.712.7624+1.93%3.268+20.59%0.1494✓1.12663k2022-07-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02820.028738+1.91%0.0363+28.72%0.2114✓1.33197k2022-07-17
BTTCBTTC7.60e-77.74e-7+1.90%9.00e-7+18.42%0.1355✓0.885.3M2022-07-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0060550.00617+1.90%0.005648-6.73%0.1062✗1.062,5622022-07-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7590.772952+1.84%0.9124+20.21%0.1395✓1.583.3M2022-07-17
DODODODOEthereum0.12440.126679+1.83%0.1532+23.15%0.1663✓1.434.4M2022-07-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03570.036326+1.75%0.0496+38.94%0.2880✓1.41364k2022-07-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14860.151127+1.70%0.1663+11.91%0.0715✓1.45917k2022-07-17
UMAUMAEthereum2.6492.6937+1.69%2.624-0.94%0.0471✗1.251.1M2022-07-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,457.0020,799.25+1.67%21,043.20+2.87%0.0049✓0.9929k2022-07-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06150.062495+1.62%0.0706+14.80%0.1021✓1.19147k2022-07-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4410.44795+1.58%0.497+12.70%0.0797✓1.45108k2022-07-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017770.018035+1.49%0.01857+4.50%0.0175✓0.70608k2022-07-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.472670.479523+1.45%0.66332+40.33%0.3010✓1.4163k2022-07-17
XECeCashnative0.000037960.000038461+1.32%0.00004004+5.48%0.0180✓1.332.8M2022-07-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3566.4389+1.30%6.345-0.17%0.0367✗1.3241.5M2022-07-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7271.7493+1.29%2.164+25.30%0.1863✓1.5992k2022-07-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1118030.113208+1.26%0.106625-4.63%0.0781✗1.0911.1M2022-07-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009130.009244+1.25%0.0091-0.33%0.0320✗0.9711.3M2022-07-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3850.389685+1.22%0.64+66.23%0.4701✓1.563,5232022-07-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.293090.296609+1.20%0.28874-1.48%0.0518✗1.5012k2022-07-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0382.062+1.18%2.171+6.53%0.0261✓1.5288k2022-07-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7610.769905+1.17%0.777+2.10%0.0066✓0.941.7M2022-07-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.06130.062016+1.17%0.071+15.82%0.1093✓1.56409k2022-07-17
XTZTezosTezos1.38791.4036+1.13%1.5731+13.34%0.0920✓1.32914k2022-07-17
KCSKuCoinnative11.09611.2195+1.11%9.07-18.26%0.2307✗1.085.0M2022-07-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37691.3915+1.06%1.3548-1.61%0.0481✗1.281.5M2022-07-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.011.0204+1.03%1.4+38.61%0.2898✓1.591.1M2022-07-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04620.04666+0.99%0.0416-9.96%0.1406✗1.5516k2022-07-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.027013+0.98%0.02736+2.28%0.0101✗1.3719k2022-07-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3335.3822+0.92%5.689+6.68%0.0333✓1.332.5M2022-07-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.338270.3413+0.90%0.38262+13.11%0.0926✓1.30105k2022-07-17
ZENHorizenBase14.0814.2036+0.88%16.55+17.54%0.1283✓1.4755k2022-07-17
RADRadworksEthereum1.551.5631+0.84%1.71+10.32%0.0699✓1.19270k2022-07-17
FTTFTXEthereum24.3524.5484+0.81%27.61+13.39%0.1021✓0.929.9M2022-07-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000058530.000058973+0.76%0.0001015+73.42%0.5069✓2.171.6M2022-07-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.14592.1614+0.72%2.2375+4.27%0.0195✓0.903.1M2022-07-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10660.107345+0.70%0.1096+2.81%0.0029✓1.085,8092022-07-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0197880.019913+0.63%0.021277+7.52%0.0462✓1.208,7652022-07-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8413.915+0.54%14.51+4.84%0.0175✓1.462.2M2022-07-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.256.2811+0.50%6.82+9.12%0.0737✓0.512.0M2022-07-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43362.4452+0.48%2.5042+2.90%0.0056✓1.102.9M2022-07-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86111.8693+0.44%1.8014-3.21%0.0594✗1.3455k2022-07-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.114.1266+0.40%4.78+16.30%0.1348✓0.731.4M2022-07-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5050.506506+0.30%0.5072+0.44%0.0208✗1.33767k2022-07-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04010.040196+0.24%–pending––1.102,9602022-07-17
ADACardanoCardano0.48680.487188+0.08%0.4477-8.03%0.1081✗1.4171.0M2022-07-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.7411.7421+0.06%2.043+17.35%0.1442✓0.912.8M2022-07-17
XVSVenusEthereum4.164.1616+0.04%5.15+23.80%0.1851✓1.681.6M2022-07-17
FLOWFlownative1.3921.3925+0.03%1.564+12.36%0.0995✓1.00541k2022-07-17
QTUMQtumQtum2.7442.7447+0.03%2.9505+7.53%0.0524✓1.1939k2022-07-17
TRXTRONTron0.05980.059794-0.01%0.067437+12.77%0.1039✗0.98887k2022-07-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.362.3586-0.06%2.52+6.78%0.0385✗1.66311k2022-07-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0153930.015363-0.20%0.017915+16.38%0.1437✗0.60469k2022-07-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.922.9135-0.22%3.223+10.38%0.0867✗0.861.8M2022-07-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.123.1124-0.24%3.47+11.22%0.0954✗0.801.5M2022-07-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4132.4058-0.30%2.355-2.40%0.0381✓1.0075k2022-07-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.248.209-0.38%9.37+13.71%0.1043✗1.682.4M2022-07-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02040.020302-0.48%0.02009-1.52%0.0286✓1.08137k2022-07-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047790.047488-0.63%0.05194+8.68%0.0629✗1.601.6M2022-07-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.850350.844607-0.68%0.78631-7.53%0.0853✓0.828792022-07-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72370.71679-0.95%0.8024+10.87%0.0930✗1.192.8M2022-07-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8570.84723-1.14%1.182+37.92%0.3163✗1.001.5M2022-07-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0504990.049893-1.20%0.051428+1.84%0.0189✗0.6965k2022-07-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.963.9073-1.33%4.32+9.09%0.0887✗0.701.5M2022-07-17
PROPropyEthereum0.90.886955-1.45%0.81-10.00%0.1032✓0.75186k2022-07-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.43253.5921-1.54%53.662-1.41%0.0135✓0.891.2M2022-07-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021960.021621-1.54%0.02299+4.69%0.0292✗1.9340.1M2022-07-17
CBKCobakEthereum0.870460.856482-1.61%0.9894+13.66%0.1236✗1.246,0082022-07-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046570.045747-1.77%0.04502-3.33%0.0332✓1.0315k2022-07-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.0110.799-1.92%17.39+57.95%0.4484✗1.68322k2022-07-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.683.6056-2.02%3.91+6.25%0.0709✗0.611.9M2022-07-17
STEEMSteemnative0.20110.196303-2.39%0.2123+5.57%0.0575✗1.25656k2022-07-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.0554.9262-2.55%5.2307+3.48%0.0559✗0.24226k2022-07-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.41652.3506-2.73%2.5474+5.42%0.0509✗1.7717k2022-07-17
OPTIMOptimism0.5180.503861-2.73%0.582+12.36%0.1275✗1.006.4M2022-07-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.240.233-2.92%0.203-15.42%0.1650✓1.631.2M2022-07-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.341.2991-3.05%1.244-7.16%0.0684✓1.504.9M2022-07-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49930.482431-3.38%0.4817-3.52%0.0182✓1.00161k2022-07-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.056120.053846-4.05%0.0772+37.56%0.3436✗1.001,5532022-07-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.553520.527426-4.71%0.44441-19.71%0.2014✓1.803.6M2022-07-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8492.7096-4.89%3.597+26.25%0.2740✗0.564.3M2022-07-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6193.4285-5.26%3.872+6.99%0.1102✗0.686.3M2022-07-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1332.9572-5.61%3.087-1.47%0.0310✓0.724.9M2022-07-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.3964-6.28%1.64+10.07%0.1494✗0.69166k2022-07-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.818157-7.87%0.776-12.61%0.0867✓2.0329.5M2022-07-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.