8=======>

2022-06-17 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 173 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1769
171 of 173 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.76%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.9%
in alpha space · 60.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.68%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (173 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.835982-5.86%0.776-12.61%0.1083✓2.0329.5M2022-07-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4032-5.83%1.64+10.07%0.1445✗0.69166k2022-07-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000058530.000055273-5.56%0.0001015+73.42%0.5717✗2.171.6M2022-07-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1332.9766-4.99%3.087-1.47%0.0244✓0.724.9M2022-07-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.341.2764-4.75%1.244-7.16%0.0508✓1.504.9M2022-07-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8492.7184-4.59%3.597+26.25%0.2707✗0.564.3M2022-07-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6193.4657-4.24%3.872+6.99%0.0994✗0.686.3M2022-07-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.240.229888-4.21%0.203-15.42%0.1516✓1.631.2M2022-07-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.553520.53111-4.05%0.44441-19.71%0.2083✓1.803.6M2022-07-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49930.480408-3.78%0.4817-3.52%0.0140✓1.00161k2022-07-17
OPTIMOptimism0.5180.498563-3.75%0.582+12.36%0.1381✗1.006.4M2022-07-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.683.5433-3.71%3.91+6.25%0.0884✗0.611.9M2022-07-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.338270.326524-3.47%0.38262+13.11%0.1369✗1.30105k2022-07-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046570.045081-3.20%0.04502-3.33%0.0185✓1.0315k2022-07-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72370.702156-2.98%0.8024+10.87%0.1136✗1.192.8M2022-07-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04010.039014-2.71%–pending––1.102,9602022-07-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.7411.6953-2.63%2.043+17.35%0.1715✗0.912.8M2022-07-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.41652.355-2.54%2.5474+5.42%0.0490✗1.7717k2022-07-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.0554.9319-2.43%5.2307+3.48%0.0548✗0.24226k2022-07-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.123.0442-2.43%3.47+11.22%0.1176✗0.801.5M2022-07-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017770.017339-2.42%0.01857+4.50%0.0569✗0.70608k2022-07-17
XEMNEMnative0.0398990.038939-2.41%0.040555+1.64%0.0187✓1.3226k2022-07-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.43253.1531-2.35%53.662-1.41%0.0052✓0.891.2M2022-07-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.256.1049-2.32%6.82+9.12%0.1022✗0.512.0M2022-07-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021960.021461-2.27%0.02299+4.69%0.0367✗1.9340.1M2022-07-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7610.744615-2.15%0.777+2.10%0.0268✗0.941.7M2022-07-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.0110.7749-2.14%17.39+57.95%0.4506✗1.68322k2022-07-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.963.8766-2.10%4.32+9.09%0.0966✗0.701.5M2022-07-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.248.071-2.05%9.37+13.71%0.1212✗1.682.4M2022-07-17
CBKCobakEthereum0.870460.853016-2.00%0.9894+13.66%0.1276✗1.246,0082022-07-17
STEEMSteemnative0.20110.197378-1.85%0.2123+5.57%0.0520✗1.25656k2022-07-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.850350.83501-1.80%0.78631-7.53%0.0738✓0.828792022-07-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0504990.049618-1.74%0.051428+1.84%0.0244✗0.6965k2022-07-17
UMAUMAEthereum2.6492.6043-1.69%2.624-0.94%0.0134✓1.251.1M2022-07-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43362.3947-1.60%2.5042+2.90%0.0264✗1.102.9M2022-07-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.080.07886-1.42%0.0857+7.13%0.0596✗1.41334k2022-07-17
PROPropyEthereum0.90.887752-1.36%0.81-10.00%0.1041✓0.75186k2022-07-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8570.845427-1.35%1.182+37.92%0.3184✗1.001.5M2022-07-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.293090.289158-1.34%0.28874-1.48%0.0264✓1.5012k2022-07-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7590.74884-1.34%0.9124+20.21%0.1711✗1.583.3M2022-07-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.14592.1194-1.24%2.2375+4.27%0.0392✗0.903.1M2022-07-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.056120.055458-1.18%0.0772+37.56%0.3141✗1.001,5532022-07-17
QTUMQtumQtum2.7442.7151-1.05%2.9505+7.53%0.0633✗1.1939k2022-07-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.590.584842-0.87%0.644+9.15%0.0791✗1.03365k2022-07-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047790.047377-0.86%0.05194+8.68%0.0653✗1.601.6M2022-07-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.838280.831585-0.80%0.83755-0.09%0.0161✓1.39725k2022-07-17
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.3625-0.69%1.382+0.73%0.0119✓1.56407k2022-07-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.310.307893-0.68%0.3365+8.55%0.0681✗1.2414.4M2022-07-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.922.9007-0.66%3.223+10.38%0.0911✗0.861.8M2022-07-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.114.0844-0.62%4.78+16.30%0.1450✗0.731.4M2022-07-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1118030.111111-0.62%0.106625-4.63%0.0594✓1.0911.1M2022-07-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0153930.0153-0.60%0.017915+16.38%0.1478✗0.60469k2022-07-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10660.105984-0.58%0.1096+2.81%0.0156✗1.085,8092022-07-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4132.3991-0.58%2.355-2.40%0.0353✓1.0075k2022-07-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3850.382887-0.55%0.64+66.23%0.4877✗1.563,5232022-07-17
APEApeCoinEthereum3.7413.7207-0.54%4.969+32.83%0.2578✗1.8915.8M2022-07-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12140.120763-0.52%0.1168-3.79%0.0501✓1.003.3M2022-07-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13040.129722-0.52%0.0943-27.68%0.3358✓1.01255k2022-07-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04620.045969-0.50%0.0416-9.96%0.1257✓1.5516k2022-07-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.05680.056526-0.48%0.0507-10.74%0.1352✓1.59142k2022-07-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37691.3703-0.48%1.3548-1.61%0.0327✓1.281.5M2022-07-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009130.009087-0.47%0.0091-0.33%0.0149✓0.9711.3M2022-07-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0197880.019706-0.41%0.021277+7.52%0.0566✗1.208,7652022-07-17
FLOWFlownative1.3921.3865-0.40%1.564+12.36%0.1038✗1.00541k2022-07-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03570.035605-0.27%0.0496+38.94%0.3080✗1.41364k2022-07-17
LSKLiskEthereum0.987830.985353-0.25%1.0511+6.40%0.0447✗1.1949k2022-07-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.712.7034-0.24%3.268+20.59%0.1710✗1.12663k2022-07-17
DODODODOEthereum0.12440.124109-0.23%0.1532+23.15%0.1868✗1.434.4M2022-07-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.6160.614865-0.18%0.896+45.45%0.3468✗1.781.6M2022-07-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06150.061411-0.15%0.0706+14.80%0.1196✗1.19147k2022-07-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.06130.061214-0.14%0.071+15.82%0.1223✗1.56409k2022-07-17
ADACardanoCardano0.48680.486221-0.12%0.4477-8.03%0.1061✓1.4171.0M2022-07-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.263340.263162-0.07%0.32185+22.22%0.1799✗1.28453k2022-07-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.362.3602+0.01%2.52+6.78%0.0379✓1.66311k2022-07-17
HIVEHivenative0.36270.362779+0.02%0.4404+21.42%0.1701✓1.431.1M2022-07-17
XECeCashnative0.000037960.00003797+0.03%0.00004004+5.48%0.0308✓1.332.8M2022-07-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8413.8436+0.03%14.51+4.84%0.0227✓1.462.2M2022-07-17
TRXTRONTron0.05980.059816+0.03%0.067437+12.77%0.1035✓0.98887k2022-07-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.472670.472927+0.05%0.66332+40.33%0.3149✓1.4163k2022-07-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2660.266186+0.07%0.273+2.63%0.0040✓1.285.1M2022-07-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3460.346353+0.10%0.511+47.69%0.3696✓1.1616k2022-07-17
DIADIAEthereum0.385560.386001+0.11%0.43709+13.36%0.1128✓0.69256k2022-07-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1661.1679+0.16%2.018+73.07%0.5221✓1.4979k2022-07-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3335.3417+0.16%5.689+6.68%0.0408✓1.332.5M2022-07-17
KCSKuCoinnative11.09611.116+0.18%9.07-18.26%0.2215✗1.085.0M2022-07-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4410.441851+0.19%0.497+12.70%0.0934✓1.45108k2022-07-17
RADRadworksEthereum1.551.5535+0.22%1.71+10.32%0.0761✓1.19270k2022-07-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02820.028266+0.24%0.0363+28.72%0.2280✓1.33197k2022-07-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6110.612729+0.28%0.667+9.17%0.0618✓1.38531k2022-07-17
API3Api3Ethereum1.2761.2801+0.32%1.778+39.34%0.3033✓1.51891k2022-07-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02040.020469+0.34%0.02009-1.52%0.0368✗1.08137k2022-07-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.3146+0.35%1.46+11.45%0.0779✓1.62596k2022-07-17
ZENHorizenBase14.0814.1335+0.38%16.55+17.54%0.1333✓1.4755k2022-07-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.3714.4351+0.45%19.22+33.75%0.2648✓1.292.1M2022-07-17
QNTQuantEthereum46.5646.8026+0.52%98.86+112.33%0.7309✓1.011.9M2022-07-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7271.7361+0.53%2.164+25.30%0.1939✓1.5992k2022-07-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.22070.222011+0.59%0.2371+7.43%0.0462✓1.17100k2022-07-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.14920.150159+0.64%0.1784+19.57%0.1519✓1.223,2772022-07-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0382.0515+0.66%2.171+6.53%0.0313✓1.5288k2022-07-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.008970.00903+0.67%0.00892-0.56%0.0297✗1.051.4M2022-07-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0520.052348+0.67%0.0505-2.88%0.0603✗1.461.7M2022-07-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14860.149597+0.67%0.1663+11.91%0.0817✓1.45917k2022-07-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0568770.057271+0.69%0.062984+10.74%0.0739✓1.271.3M2022-07-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.038.0911+0.76%14.48+80.32%0.5650✓1.02267k2022-07-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.784.8168+0.77%5.95+24.48%0.1888✓1.35400k2022-07-17
DASHDashDash43.5343.8946+0.84%45.92+5.49%0.0263✓1.13810k2022-07-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.727.7849+0.84%9.05+17.23%0.1307✓1.19468k2022-07-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.09430.095146+0.90%0.1055+11.88%0.0827✓1.24803k2022-07-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3760.379616+0.96%0.3774+0.37%0.0308✗1.50146k2022-07-17
FTTFTXEthereum24.3524.5879+0.98%27.61+13.39%0.1005✓0.929.9M2022-07-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3566.4197+1.00%6.345-0.17%0.0337✗1.3241.5M2022-07-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86111.8799+1.01%1.8014-3.21%0.0651✗1.3455k2022-07-17
ZECZcashZcash62.5263.1671+1.04%59.43-4.94%0.0836✗1.353.3M2022-07-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09240.093357+1.04%0.1105+19.59%0.1490✓1.17686k2022-07-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2910.294107+1.07%0.3946+35.60%0.2680✓1.56376k2022-07-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008160.000008248+1.08%0.0000107+31.13%0.2394✓1.25813k2022-07-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21320.215547+1.10%0.2316+8.63%0.0484✓1.41462k2022-07-17
KSMKusamaHydration48.9749.5439+1.17%54.43+11.15%0.0732✓1.25986k2022-07-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2678790.271378+1.31%0.294596+9.97%0.0586✓1.412.4M2022-07-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.128620.130342+1.34%0.13279+3.24%0.0081✓1.60246k2022-07-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069450.007042+1.40%0.006838-1.54%0.0420✗0.76167k2022-07-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.3736.4667+1.47%8.915+39.89%0.2987✓1.3413.7M2022-07-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.011.025+1.49%1.4+38.61%0.2853✓1.591.1M2022-07-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006710.006811+1.50%0.00645-3.87%0.0717✗1.03540k2022-07-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.640.649623+1.50%0.9377+46.52%0.3428✓1.46182k2022-07-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,085.761,102.58+1.55%1,338.20+23.25%0.1749✓1.13386.3M2022-07-17
NANOnanopayBase0.8083990.82098+1.56%0.90356+11.77%0.0772✓1.12119k2022-07-17
XTZTezosTezos1.38791.411+1.66%1.5731+13.34%0.0867✓1.32914k2022-07-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5050.513464+1.68%0.5072+0.44%0.0345✗1.33767k2022-07-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.1310.133278+1.74%0.1386+5.80%0.0161✓1.38166k2022-07-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11180.113759+1.75%0.126+12.70%0.0785✓1.4250k2022-07-17
BTTCBTTC7.60e-77.74e-7+1.78%9.00e-7+18.42%0.1367✓0.885.3M2022-07-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0060550.006167+1.84%0.005648-6.73%0.1056✗1.062,5622022-07-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002750.002802+1.89%0.002791+1.49%0.0228✗1.132.1M2022-07-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,789.564,880.80+1.91%6,069.87+26.73%0.1963✓1.303.6M2022-07-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.08920.090923+1.93%0.1027+15.13%0.0966✓1.511.1M2022-07-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2831.3079+1.94%1.537+19.80%0.1353✓1.57223k2022-07-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.660.672861+1.95%1.0786+63.42%0.4487✓1.394.6M2022-07-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2697.4121+1.97%6.919-4.81%0.0914✗1.3513.8M2022-07-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche15.9816.2953+1.97%20.62+29.04%0.2110✓1.4649.3M2022-07-17
SCSiacoinnative0.003540.003612+2.03%0.00394+11.30%0.0615✓1.53239k2022-07-17
MOVRMoonriverBase11.624911.8707+2.11%13.2428+13.92%0.0873✓1.32194k2022-07-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6460.659935+2.16%0.602-6.81%0.1115✗1.18977k2022-07-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.027334+2.18%0.02736+2.28%0.0219✗1.3719k2022-07-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09840.100578+2.21%0.0979-0.51%0.0514✗1.475.0M2022-07-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120480.012321+2.27%0.012404+2.95%0.0079✓0.872.0M2022-07-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0029040.00297+2.28%–pending––1.104,6932022-07-17
GTGateEthereum3.95984.0503+2.29%4.0915+3.33%0.0014✓0.691.7M2022-07-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.16440.168177+2.30%0.2071+25.97%0.1836✓1.48191k2022-07-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045990.047087+2.39%0.06269+36.31%0.2638✓1.3470k2022-07-17
XVSVenusEthereum4.164.2606+2.42%5.15+23.80%0.1616✓1.681.6M2022-07-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,457.0021,006.92+2.69%21,043.20+2.87%0.0148✓0.9929k2022-07-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2660.273188+2.70%0.282+6.02%0.0138✓1.08847k2022-07-17
STXStacksnative0.38170.392085+2.72%0.3859+1.10%0.0382✗1.33195k2022-07-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,447.8621,016.00+2.78%20,791.74+1.68%0.0274✗1.00582.4M2022-07-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23780.244565+2.84%0.2537+6.69%0.0157✓1.2631k2022-07-17
SOLSolanaSolana30.6931.5705+2.87%38.63+25.87%0.1783✓1.41109.1M2022-07-17
COMPCompoundEthereum32.8333.7919+2.93%54.86+67.10%0.4600✓1.4726k2022-07-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.4375.5967+2.94%7.225+32.89%0.2316✓1.4211.1M2022-07-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07990.082283+2.98%0.0796-0.38%0.0563✗1.394,6642022-07-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0007770.000800242+2.99%0.0009901+27.43%0.1899✓1.382.0M2022-07-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.45e-7+3.31%3.57e-7+6.90%0.0195✓0.88951k2022-07-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.5549.161+3.39%55.74+17.22%0.1055✓1.2117.5M2022-07-17
XMRMoneroMonero114.16118.6089+3.90%135.99+19.12%0.1177✓1.141.7M2022-07-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.7151.7829+3.96%2.653+54.69%0.3686✓1.732.4M2022-07-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6970.724997+4.02%0.621-10.90%0.1836✗1.73303k2022-07-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.490.509797+4.04%0.8755+78.67%0.5210✓1.1956k2022-07-17
UNIUniswapEthereum3.9314.0946+4.16%6.943+76.62%0.5055✓1.363.3M2022-07-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05860.061101+4.27%0.054-7.85%0.1367✗0.79313k2022-07-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.560.586041+4.65%0.4787-14.52%0.2218✗1.1771k2022-07-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash121.36127.9448+5.43%109.99-9.37%0.1714✗1.214.5M2022-07-17
XVGVergenative0.002910.003073+5.59%0.00353+21.31%0.1142✓1.47645k2022-07-17
AAVEAaveEthereum57.3160.7658+6.03%88.27+54.02%0.3454✓1.687.6M2022-07-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.