8=======>

2022-06-16 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 173 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2730
171 of 173 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.04%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.0%
in alpha space · 74.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.01%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (173 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum56.5160.6628+7.35%92.83+64.27%0.3596✓1.677.7M2022-07-16
COMPCompoundEthereum30.1632.1139+6.48%55.1+82.69%0.4823✓1.4627k2022-07-16
XVGVergenative0.002860.003034+6.10%0.00372+30.07%0.1457✓1.47648k2022-07-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.54e-7+5.92%3.56e-7+6.70%0.0273✓0.88984k2022-07-16
XMRMoneroMonero106.33112.5759+5.87%139.03+30.75%0.1664✓1.131.7M2022-07-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,598.444,845.37+5.37%6,261.84+36.17%0.2053✓1.303.6M2022-07-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.480.503828+4.96%0.8342+73.79%0.4577✓1.1856k2022-07-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2530.265471+4.93%0.291+15.02%0.0496✓1.07847k2022-07-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0551660.057865+4.89%0.064309+16.57%0.0557✓1.271.3M2022-07-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.137.4759+4.85%8.77+23.00%0.1126✓1.20502k2022-07-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1580.165485+4.74%0.2279+44.24%0.2620✓1.47191k2022-07-16
STXStacksnative0.32860.344166+4.74%0.395+20.21%0.0857✓1.32175k2022-07-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.60.627964+4.66%0.4944-17.60%0.2852✗1.1771k2022-07-16
SCSiacoinnative0.003410.003568+4.65%0.004+17.30%0.0538✓1.53239k2022-07-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23140.241971+4.57%0.2597+12.23%0.0216✓1.2531k2022-07-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.08690.090869+4.57%0.1011+16.34%0.0475✓1.511.2M2022-07-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0032620.003406+4.43%–pending––1.114,6932022-07-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05810.060672+4.43%0.0537-7.57%0.1532✗0.79313k2022-07-16
GTGateEthereum3.95084.1244+4.39%4.1277+4.48%0.0263✓0.692.0M2022-07-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.271.3249+4.32%1.47+15.75%0.0397✓1.63596k2022-07-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2780.289549+4.15%0.4097+47.37%0.2861✓1.55383k2022-07-16
SOLSolanaSolana30.131.3092+4.02%39.6+31.56%0.1794✓1.41112.7M2022-07-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.14940.155049+3.78%0.187+25.17%0.1392✓1.223,2642022-07-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028010.002907+3.77%0.002859+2.07%0.0614✗1.142.2M2022-07-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash109.37113.4282+3.71%109.45+0.07%0.0834✗1.214.4M2022-07-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.7431.8074+3.69%2.804+60.87%0.3708✓1.742.7M2022-07-16
APEApeCoinEthereum3.3723.4963+3.69%4.769+41.43%0.2371✓1.8617.0M2022-07-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067220.00697+3.69%0.00693+3.09%0.0354✓0.75167k2022-07-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.243440.252352+3.66%0.34099+40.07%0.2508✓1.28453k2022-07-16
ZECZcashZcash58.9460.982+3.46%63.24+7.30%0.0168✓1.353.4M2022-07-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000007950.000008225+3.46%0.00001104+38.87%0.2448✓1.26850k2022-07-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,372.0021,076.30+3.46%21,189.68+4.01%0.0340✗1.00620.3M2022-07-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.125180.129447+3.41%0.13785+10.12%0.0001✓1.60247k2022-07-16
LSKLiskEthereum0.9544320.986264+3.34%1.076+12.74%0.0402✓1.1949k2022-07-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045580.047088+3.31%0.06043+32.58%0.1967✓1.3470k2022-07-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3620.373977+3.31%0.3872+6.96%0.0254✓1.53160k2022-07-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11340.117136+3.29%0.1198+5.64%0.0170✓1.003.3M2022-07-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30180.311702+3.28%0.3404+12.79%0.0392✓1.2414.6M2022-07-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5740.592477+3.22%0.667+16.20%0.0778✓1.03372k2022-07-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum7.918.1645+3.22%14.78+86.85%0.5533✓1.02281k2022-07-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09730.100385+3.17%0.1013+4.11%0.0486✗1.465.2M2022-07-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1051.1399+3.16%2.13+92.76%0.5664✓1.4979k2022-07-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.231.2688+3.16%1.528+24.23%0.1209✓1.65231k2022-07-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.427820.441204+3.13%0.691+61.52%0.3936✓1.4063k2022-07-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.3296.5263+3.12%9.237+45.95%0.2947✓1.3414.5M2022-07-16
UNIUniswapEthereum3.8293.9479+3.11%7.375+92.61%0.5716✓1.353.3M2022-07-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10160.104728+3.08%0.131+28.94%0.1682✓1.4149k2022-07-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08170.084206+3.07%0.091+11.38%0.0221✓1.41346k2022-07-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.344.4693+2.98%5.81+33.87%0.2068✓1.41400k2022-07-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.05520.056816+2.93%0.0509-7.79%0.1726✗1.59142k2022-07-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.5930.61029+2.92%0.687+15.85%0.0643✓1.37556k2022-07-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3240.333417+2.91%0.678+109.26%0.6643✓1.1615k2022-07-16
QNTQuantEthereum44.4245.708+2.90%102.74+131.29%0.7703✓1.012.0M2022-07-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.117.316+2.90%7.192+1.15%0.0703✗1.3513.5M2022-07-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin44.7446.0357+2.90%55.09+23.13%0.1321✓1.2117.5M2022-07-16
HIVEHivenative0.3450.354944+2.88%0.4543+31.68%0.1908✓1.421.2M2022-07-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2610840.268535+2.85%0.307861+17.92%0.0812✓1.412.4M2022-07-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8070.829697+2.81%0.616-23.67%0.3672✗1.76303k2022-07-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.20520.210948+2.80%0.2416+17.74%0.0899✓1.16100k2022-07-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,066.871,096.64+2.79%1,355.70+27.07%0.1678✓1.13386.3M2022-07-16
NANOnanopayBase0.7981180.820065+2.75%0.922382+15.57%0.0738✓1.11119k2022-07-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative13.8214.1929+2.70%17.26+24.89%0.1441✓1.312.3M2022-07-16
DASHDashDash41.8642.9799+2.68%44.83+7.10%0.0023✓1.13837k2022-07-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.6850.703263+2.67%0.9278+35.45%0.2139✓1.613.2M2022-07-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.5930.608423+2.60%0.932+57.17%0.3566✓1.771.7M2022-07-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05260.053957+2.58%0.0516-1.90%0.1026✗1.471.7M2022-07-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0119640.012273+2.58%0.012711+6.24%0.0004✓0.882.0M2022-07-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.808330.829082+2.57%0.86694+7.25%0.0101✓1.39743k2022-07-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0007830.000802907+2.54%0.001022+30.46%0.1865✓1.382.0M2022-07-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19590.200855+2.53%0.2385+21.75%0.1168✓1.40480k2022-07-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.1240.127098+2.50%0.1421+14.60%0.0575✓1.37166k2022-07-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche15.7716.164+2.50%21.24+34.69%0.2153✓1.4749.3M2022-07-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008770.008986+2.46%0.00905+3.19%0.0344✗1.061.5M2022-07-16
KSMKusamaHydration49.250.3963+2.43%56.39+14.61%0.0632✓1.251.0M2022-07-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.6640.680102+2.42%1.1736+76.75%0.4909✓1.395.0M2022-07-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12370.126635+2.37%0.0961-22.31%0.3157✗1.01255k2022-07-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.05580.057073+2.28%0.0733+31.36%0.1891✓1.55418k2022-07-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25510.260856+2.26%0.2788+9.29%0.0163✓1.285.6M2022-07-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006410.006555+2.26%0.00669+4.37%0.0213✓1.06557k2022-07-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.620.633888+2.24%0.9435+52.18%0.3404✓1.46192k2022-07-16
XEMNEMnative0.0380320.038882+2.24%0.041793+9.89%0.0206✓1.3126k2022-07-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.572.6272+2.23%3.177+23.62%0.1460✓1.12663k2022-07-16
MOVRMoonriverBase12.973613.2622+2.22%14.0567+8.35%0.0055✓1.34211k2022-07-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6670.681357+2.15%0.592-11.24%0.1871✗1.18979k2022-07-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.3115.425+2.15%7.116+33.99%0.2152✓1.4311.1M2022-07-16
DIADIAEthereum0.379660.387648+2.10%0.42764+12.64%0.0712✓0.69276k2022-07-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.2841.3104+2.05%1.837+43.07%0.2779✓1.52879k2022-07-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02750.02806+2.04%0.0368+33.82%0.2189✓1.33221k2022-07-16
BANDBandEthereum1.3481.3742+1.94%1.421+5.42%0.0280✗1.56402k2022-07-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14480.14757+1.91%0.1588+9.67%0.0160✓1.46917k2022-07-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09280.094561+1.90%0.1088+17.24%0.0940✓1.18721k2022-07-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0520.052974+1.87%0.0721+38.65%0.2621✓1.17132k2022-07-16
DODODODOEthereum0.12190.124134+1.83%0.1648+35.19%0.2269✓1.434.4M2022-07-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0850.086535+1.81%0.0821-3.41%0.1077✗1.404,0262022-07-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4250.432593+1.79%0.513+20.71%0.1134✓1.45116k2022-07-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.09220.093813+1.75%0.1106+19.96%0.1161✓1.23852k2022-07-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3810.387514+1.71%0.637+67.19%0.4353✓1.573,9802022-07-16
BTTCBTTC7.60e-77.72e-7+1.61%9.00e-7+18.42%0.1183✓0.885.5M2022-07-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03450.035051+1.60%0.0489+41.74%0.2774✓1.41368k2022-07-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.642.681+1.55%2.664+0.91%0.0557✗1.251.1M2022-07-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.025550.02592+1.45%0.02772+8.49%0.0132✓1.3719k2022-07-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321270.325664+1.37%0.39774+23.80%0.1490✓1.29105k2022-07-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0189880.019238+1.32%0.021122+11.24%0.0462✓1.208,7652022-07-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0430.043548+1.27%0.0429-0.23%0.0759✗1.5518k2022-07-16
XECeCashnative0.000037020.000037489+1.27%0.00004029+8.83%0.0196✓1.332.9M2022-07-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,300.7020,547.64+1.22%21,072.80+3.80%0.0138✗0.9929k2022-07-16
XLMStellarStellar0.109050.110367+1.21%0.109556+0.46%0.0504✗1.0911.1M2022-07-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9782.0016+1.19%2.23+12.74%0.0481✓1.5292k2022-07-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.275750.279038+1.19%0.29418+6.68%0.0058✓1.4914k2022-07-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008890.008996+1.19%0.00924+3.94%0.0103✓0.9411.4M2022-07-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.006230.006302+1.16%0.0058-6.90%0.1250✗1.072,5622022-07-16
XTZTezosTezos1.3551.3706+1.15%1.6007+18.13%0.1032✓1.32914k2022-07-16
FTTFTXEthereum23.2823.5455+1.14%28.01+20.32%0.1374✓0.929.9M2022-07-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017730.017929+1.13%0.01829+3.16%0.0078✓0.70631k2022-07-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.6991.7179+1.11%2.267+33.43%0.2151✓1.5892k2022-07-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10490.106051+1.10%0.1114+6.20%0.0069✓1.087,2892022-07-16
SUSHISushiEthereum0.960.970435+1.09%1.45+51.04%0.3393✓1.581.1M2022-07-16
ZENHorizenBase13.4813.6205+1.04%16.91+25.45%0.1585✓1.4760k2022-07-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3526.416+1.01%6.596+3.84%0.0242✗1.3241.5M2022-07-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.056.0982+0.80%6.81+12.56%0.0903✓0.512.0M2022-07-16
RADRadworksEthereum1.521.5316+0.76%1.78+17.11%0.1030✓1.20270k2022-07-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79411.8075+0.75%1.8316+2.09%0.0400✗1.3568k2022-07-16
KCSKuCoinnative11.08711.1638+0.69%9.29-16.21%0.2264✗1.085.1M2022-07-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038380.038639+0.67%–pending––1.102,9602022-07-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000580.000058389+0.67%0.00010569+82.22%0.5078✓2.181.6M2022-07-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35991.3686+0.64%1.4063+3.41%0.0229✗1.271.7M2022-07-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3025.3352+0.63%5.397+1.79%0.0409✗1.332.6M2022-07-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.61430.617186+0.47%0.8133+32.39%0.2298✓1.172.8M2022-07-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.6113.6655+0.41%14.36+5.51%0.0079✗1.462.3M2022-07-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.044.0565+0.41%4.83+19.55%0.1458✓0.731.5M2022-07-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.12022.127+0.32%2.2955+8.27%0.0409✓0.903.3M2022-07-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7850.787399+0.31%0.787+0.25%0.0380✗0.951.7M2022-07-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.39262.3973+0.20%2.5538+6.74%0.0204✓1.093.0M2022-07-16
ADACardanoCardano0.47560.476234+0.13%0.4579-3.72%0.0950✗1.4271.0M2022-07-16
QTUMQtumQtum2.64612.6492+0.12%2.8867+9.10%0.0389✓1.1942k2022-07-16
XVSVenusEthereum4.054.052+0.05%5.18+27.90%0.1795✓1.681.6M2022-07-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.292.2903+0.01%2.45+6.99%0.0014✓1.68311k2022-07-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50.49986-0.03%0.5194+3.88%0.0148✓1.35771k2022-07-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3442.3429-0.05%2.554+8.96%0.0471✗1.0075k2022-07-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8452.8414-0.13%3.406+19.72%0.1476✗0.861.8M2022-07-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0148960.014873-0.15%0.017372+16.62%0.1312✗0.61469k2022-07-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019050.01902-0.16%0.02058+8.03%0.0363✗1.08144k2022-07-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.72941.7256-0.22%2.1124+22.15%0.1668✗0.903.0M2022-07-16
FLOWFlownative1.3911.3878-0.23%1.601+15.10%0.1036✗1.00568k2022-07-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.113.1021-0.26%3.52+13.18%0.0950✗0.801.7M2022-07-16
TRXTRONTron0.0589940.058817-0.30%0.068911+16.81%0.1198✗0.98887k2022-07-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.027.9913-0.36%9.7+20.95%0.1273✗1.692.6M2022-07-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047180.046735-0.94%0.05205+10.32%0.0449✗1.601.7M2022-07-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020590.020385-1.00%0.02384+15.78%0.0807✗1.9340.1M2022-07-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV50.90150.3267-1.13%54.299+6.68%0.0412✗0.881.2M2022-07-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.863.8139-1.19%4.39+13.73%0.1133✗0.691.7M2022-07-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.919950.908303-1.27%0.75449-17.99%0.2182✓0.838792022-07-16
PROPropyEthereum0.860.849071-1.27%0.81-5.81%0.0768✓0.76187k2022-07-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8330.822017-1.32%1.253+50.42%0.3822✗1.001.6M2022-07-16
CBKCobakEthereum0.841230.829482-1.40%1.0257+21.93%0.1635✗1.246,0082022-07-16
XYMSymbolnative0.05010.04939-1.42%0.052325+4.44%0.0306✗0.6965k2022-07-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.573.5149-1.54%3.9+9.24%0.0802✗0.602.1M2022-07-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2120.208385-1.70%0.214+0.94%0.0378✓1.631.2M2022-07-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045770.044901-1.90%0.04627+1.09%0.0104✓1.0315k2022-07-16
STEEMSteemnative0.18540.181838-1.92%0.2194+18.34%0.1390✗1.24656k2022-07-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.8110.5995-1.95%16.75+54.95%0.3914✗1.68333k2022-07-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26192.2146-2.09%2.4213+7.05%0.0190✓1.7817k2022-07-16
OPTIMOptimism0.490.477202-2.61%0.52+6.12%0.0465✗1.006.4M2022-07-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05384.9098-2.85%5.4+6.85%0.0856✗0.24235k2022-07-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.311.2691-3.12%1.306-0.31%0.0305✓1.505.1M2022-07-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46920.452772-3.50%0.4797+2.24%0.0184✓1.00162k2022-07-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.496660.475632-4.23%0.46536-6.30%0.0932✓1.813.6M2022-07-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.061110.058241-4.70%0.07438+21.71%0.2052✗1.001,6002022-07-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9092.7647-4.96%3.738+28.50%0.2794✗0.564.5M2022-07-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.63.4052-5.41%3.957+9.92%0.1236✗0.676.7M2022-07-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0782.9073-5.55%3.112+1.10%0.0399✓0.714.9M2022-07-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.3753-6.44%1.58+7.48%0.1117✗0.69166k2022-07-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8220.764114-7.04%0.789-4.01%0.0476✓2.0229.5M2022-07-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.