8=======>

2022-06-16 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 173 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1989
171 of 173 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+17.74%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
63.7%
in alpha space · 64.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.01%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (173 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.387-5.64%1.58+7.48%0.1032✗0.69166k2022-07-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000580.000054897-5.35%0.00010569+82.22%0.5694✗2.181.6M2022-07-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8220.779114-5.22%0.789-4.01%0.0670✓2.0229.5M2022-07-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.9092.7731-4.67%3.738+28.50%0.2764✗0.564.5M2022-07-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0782.9347-4.65%3.112+1.10%0.0305✓0.714.9M2022-07-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.311.2507-4.53%1.306-0.31%0.0159✓1.505.1M2022-07-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.63.4511-4.14%3.957+9.92%0.1102✗0.676.7M2022-07-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46920.452152-3.63%0.4797+2.24%0.0198✓1.00162k2022-07-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.573.4541-3.25%3.9+9.24%0.0977✗0.602.1M2022-07-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2120.205179-3.22%0.214+0.94%0.0222✓1.631.2M2022-07-16
OPTIMOptimism0.490.474875-3.09%0.52+6.12%0.0514✗1.006.4M2022-07-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045770.044397-3.00%0.04627+1.09%0.0009✓1.0315k2022-07-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321270.311975-2.89%0.39774+23.80%0.1920✗1.29105k2022-07-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.496660.482542-2.84%0.46536-6.30%0.1076✓1.813.6M2022-07-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7850.764816-2.57%0.787+0.25%0.0089✓0.951.7M2022-07-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.919950.897098-2.48%0.75449-17.99%0.2058✓0.838792022-07-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.72941.6876-2.42%2.1124+22.15%0.1891✗0.903.0M2022-07-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05384.9326-2.40%5.4+6.85%0.0810✗0.24235k2022-07-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017730.017314-2.35%0.01829+3.16%0.0271✗0.70631k2022-07-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.113.0407-2.23%3.52+13.18%0.1150✗0.801.7M2022-07-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038380.037529-2.22%–pending––1.102,9602022-07-16
XEMNEMnative0.0380320.037325-1.86%0.041793+9.89%0.0614✗1.3126k2022-07-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.61430.602927-1.85%0.8133+32.39%0.2531✗1.172.8M2022-07-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.055.9403-1.81%6.81+12.56%0.1165✗0.512.0M2022-07-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.027.8787-1.76%9.7+20.95%0.1415✗1.692.6M2022-07-16
CBKCobakEthereum0.841230.826917-1.70%1.0257+21.93%0.1666✗1.246,0082022-07-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.8110.6299-1.67%16.75+54.95%0.3886✗1.68333k2022-07-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.863.7963-1.65%4.39+13.73%0.1180✗0.691.7M2022-07-16
XYMSymbolnative0.05010.049284-1.63%0.052325+4.44%0.0328✗0.6965k2022-07-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.642.5981-1.59%2.664+0.91%0.0243✓1.251.1M2022-07-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08170.08041-1.58%0.091+11.38%0.0682✗1.41346k2022-07-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26192.2277-1.51%2.4213+7.05%0.0131✓1.7817k2022-07-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.39262.3568-1.50%2.5538+6.74%0.0375✗1.093.0M2022-07-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.061110.060224-1.45%0.07438+21.71%0.1718✗1.001,6002022-07-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020590.020294-1.44%0.02384+15.78%0.0852✗1.9340.1M2022-07-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV50.90150.2322-1.31%54.299+6.68%0.0431✗0.881.2M2022-07-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8330.823657-1.12%1.253+50.42%0.3802✗1.001.6M2022-07-16
STEEMSteemnative0.18540.183435-1.06%0.2194+18.34%0.1303✗1.24656k2022-07-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.12022.1017-0.87%2.2955+8.27%0.0529✗0.903.3M2022-07-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047180.046818-0.77%0.05205+10.32%0.0431✗1.601.7M2022-07-16
QTUMQtumQtum2.64612.6278-0.69%2.8867+9.10%0.0470✗1.1942k2022-07-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.275750.273914-0.67%0.29418+6.68%0.0128✗1.4914k2022-07-16
PROPropyEthereum0.860.854802-0.60%0.81-5.81%0.0836✓0.76187k2022-07-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5740.570609-0.59%0.667+16.20%0.1154✗1.03372k2022-07-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.808330.804937-0.42%0.86694+7.25%0.0194✗1.39743k2022-07-16
BANDBandEthereum1.3481.3428-0.38%1.421+5.42%0.0049✓1.56402k2022-07-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.044.0267-0.33%4.83+19.55%0.1531✗0.731.5M2022-07-16
XLMStellarStellar0.109050.108695-0.33%0.109556+0.46%0.0352✓1.0911.1M2022-07-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10490.104562-0.32%0.1114+6.20%0.0210✗1.087,2892022-07-16
FLOWFlownative1.3911.3867-0.31%1.601+15.10%0.1044✗1.00568k2022-07-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30180.300887-0.30%0.3404+12.79%0.0746✗1.2414.6M2022-07-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35991.3564-0.26%1.4063+3.41%0.0140✓1.271.7M2022-07-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.6850.683558-0.21%0.9278+35.45%0.2423✗1.613.2M2022-07-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12370.123467-0.19%0.0961-22.31%0.2904✓1.01255k2022-07-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3442.3401-0.17%2.554+8.96%0.0482✗1.0075k2022-07-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.05520.055134-0.12%0.0509-7.79%0.1426✓1.59142k2022-07-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8452.8428-0.08%3.406+19.72%0.1471✗0.861.8M2022-07-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3810.380901-0.03%0.637+67.19%0.4525✗1.573,9802022-07-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0148960.014898+0.01%0.017372+16.62%0.1296✓0.61469k2022-07-16
LSKLiskEthereum0.9544320.954833+0.04%1.076+12.74%0.0726✓1.1949k2022-07-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008890.008896+0.07%0.00924+3.94%0.0009✓0.9411.4M2022-07-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03450.03456+0.17%0.0489+41.74%0.2916✓1.41368k2022-07-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11340.11362+0.19%0.1198+5.64%0.0135✓1.003.3M2022-07-16
DODODODOEthereum0.12190.122175+0.23%0.1648+35.19%0.2429✓1.434.4M2022-07-16
APEApeCoinEthereum3.3723.3806+0.25%4.769+41.43%0.2708✓1.8617.0M2022-07-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.572.5765+0.25%3.177+23.62%0.1655✓1.12663k2022-07-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0430.043112+0.26%0.0429-0.23%0.0659✗1.5518k2022-07-16
XECeCashnative0.000037020.00003712+0.27%0.00004029+8.83%0.0295✓1.332.9M2022-07-16
KCSKuCoinnative11.08711.1209+0.31%9.29-16.21%0.2225✗1.085.1M2022-07-16
TRXTRONTron0.0589940.059175+0.31%0.068911+16.81%0.1137✓0.98887k2022-07-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.6113.6533+0.32%14.36+5.51%0.0070✗1.462.3M2022-07-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.2841.2881+0.32%1.837+43.07%0.2950✓1.52879k2022-07-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3025.3197+0.33%5.397+1.79%0.0380✗1.332.6M2022-07-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0189880.019058+0.37%0.021122+11.24%0.0556✓1.208,7652022-07-16
HIVEHivenative0.3450.346334+0.39%0.4543+31.68%0.2154✓1.421.2M2022-07-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25510.256131+0.40%0.2788+9.29%0.0346✓1.285.6M2022-07-16
ADACardanoCardano0.47560.477597+0.42%0.4579-3.72%0.0978✗1.4271.0M2022-07-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.5930.595856+0.48%0.932+57.17%0.3775✓1.771.7M2022-07-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.243440.244711+0.52%0.34099+40.07%0.2815✓1.28453k2022-07-16
DIADIAEthereum0.379660.3817+0.54%0.42764+12.64%0.0866✓0.69276k2022-07-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.292.303+0.57%2.45+6.99%0.0041✓1.68311k2022-07-16
RADRadworksEthereum1.521.5288+0.58%1.78+17.11%0.1048✓1.20270k2022-07-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.14940.150323+0.62%0.187+25.17%0.1702✓1.223,2642022-07-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05260.052939+0.64%0.0516-1.90%0.0835✗1.471.7M2022-07-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0032620.003285+0.69%–pending––1.114,6932022-07-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative13.8213.9171+0.70%17.26+24.89%0.1637✓1.312.3M2022-07-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4250.428042+0.72%0.513+20.71%0.1240✓1.45116k2022-07-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.271.2791+0.72%1.47+15.75%0.0749✓1.63596k2022-07-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3240.326516+0.78%0.678+109.26%0.6852✓1.1615k2022-07-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.5930.597668+0.79%0.687+15.85%0.0852✓1.37556k2022-07-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02750.027726+0.82%0.0368+33.82%0.2309✓1.33221k2022-07-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1051.1141+0.82%2.13+92.76%0.5893✓1.4979k2022-07-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.6991.713+0.83%2.267+33.43%0.2180✓1.5892k2022-07-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019050.01922+0.89%0.02058+8.03%0.0258✓1.08144k2022-07-16
ZENHorizenBase13.4813.6026+0.91%16.91+25.45%0.1599✓1.4760k2022-07-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008770.008852+0.94%0.00905+3.19%0.0194✗1.061.5M2022-07-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.05580.056338+0.96%0.0733+31.36%0.2021✓1.55418k2022-07-16
QNTQuantEthereum44.4244.8603+0.99%102.74+131.29%0.7890✓1.012.0M2022-07-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum7.917.9907+1.02%14.78+86.85%0.5749✓1.02281k2022-07-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9781.9989+1.05%2.23+12.74%0.0495✓1.5292k2022-07-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.09220.093227+1.11%0.1106+19.96%0.1223✓1.23852k2022-07-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0551660.055787+1.13%0.064309+16.57%0.0923✓1.271.3M2022-07-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3526.4251+1.15%6.596+3.84%0.0256✗1.3241.5M2022-07-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09280.093871+1.15%0.1088+17.24%0.1013✓1.18721k2022-07-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000007950.000008042+1.16%0.00001104+38.87%0.2673✓1.26850k2022-07-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0520.052616+1.19%0.0721+38.65%0.2689✓1.17132k2022-07-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14480.146609+1.25%0.1588+9.67%0.0226✓1.46917k2022-07-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.427820.433189+1.25%0.691+61.52%0.4120✓1.4063k2022-07-16
DASHDashDash41.8642.3854+1.26%44.83+7.10%0.0116✓1.13837k2022-07-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3620.366916+1.36%0.3872+6.96%0.0063✓1.53160k2022-07-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.137.2274+1.37%8.77+23.00%0.1464✓1.20502k2022-07-16
KSMKusamaHydration49.249.8948+1.41%56.39+14.61%0.0732✓1.251.0M2022-07-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.20520.208208+1.47%0.2416+17.74%0.1029✓1.16100k2022-07-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79411.8207+1.48%1.8316+2.09%0.0472✗1.3568k2022-07-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2610840.264988+1.50%0.307861+17.92%0.0945✓1.412.4M2022-07-16
FTTFTXEthereum23.2823.6304+1.51%28.01+20.32%0.1338✓0.929.9M2022-07-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2780.282299+1.55%0.4097+47.37%0.3115✓1.55383k2022-07-16
MOVRMoonriverBase12.973613.1852+1.63%14.0567+8.35%0.0113✓1.34211k2022-07-16
ZECZcashZcash58.9459.9161+1.66%63.24+7.30%0.0008✓1.353.4M2022-07-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.125180.127288+1.68%0.13785+10.12%0.0169✓1.60247k2022-07-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.006230.006338+1.74%0.0058-6.90%0.1307✗1.072,5622022-07-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,066.871,085.46+1.74%1,355.70+27.07%0.1780✓1.13386.3M2022-07-16
NANOnanopayBase0.7981180.81222+1.77%0.922382+15.57%0.0834✓1.11119k2022-07-16
BTTCBTTC7.60e-77.73e-7+1.77%9.00e-7+18.42%0.1167✓0.885.5M2022-07-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.344.419+1.82%5.81+33.87%0.2181✓1.41400k2022-07-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.3296.445+1.83%9.237+45.95%0.3072✓1.3414.5M2022-07-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50.509243+1.85%0.5194+3.88%0.0334✗1.35771k2022-07-16
XTZTezosTezos1.3551.3805+1.88%1.6007+18.13%0.0959✓1.32914k2022-07-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028010.002854+1.89%0.002859+2.07%0.0431✗1.142.2M2022-07-16
SUSHISushiEthereum0.960.978253+1.90%1.45+51.04%0.3313✓1.581.1M2022-07-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067220.006851+1.92%0.00693+3.09%0.0182✓0.75167k2022-07-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.620.632056+1.94%0.9435+52.18%0.3433✓1.46192k2022-07-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19590.199847+2.01%0.2385+21.75%0.1218✓1.40480k2022-07-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006410.00654+2.03%0.00669+4.37%0.0190✓1.06557k2022-07-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6670.680829+2.07%0.592-11.24%0.1863✗1.18979k2022-07-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche15.7716.0987+2.08%21.24+34.69%0.2194✓1.4749.3M2022-07-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.117.2614+2.13%7.192+1.15%0.0628✗1.3513.5M2022-07-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.6640.678171+2.13%1.1736+76.75%0.4938✓1.395.0M2022-07-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.1240.126751+2.22%0.1421+14.60%0.0602✓1.37166k2022-07-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1580.161574+2.26%0.2279+44.24%0.2859✓1.47191k2022-07-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,598.444,702.84+2.27%6,261.84+36.17%0.2352✓1.303.6M2022-07-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.08690.088879+2.28%0.1011+16.34%0.0696✓1.511.2M2022-07-16
GTGateEthereum3.95084.0422+2.31%4.1277+4.48%0.0062✓0.692.0M2022-07-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09730.099575+2.34%0.1013+4.11%0.0405✗1.465.2M2022-07-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,300.7020,787.11+2.40%21,072.80+3.80%0.0254✗0.9929k2022-07-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.231.2598+2.42%1.528+24.23%0.1281✓1.65231k2022-07-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0119640.012254+2.42%0.012711+6.24%0.0019✓0.882.0M2022-07-16
SCSiacoinnative0.003410.003493+2.43%0.004+17.30%0.0752✓1.53239k2022-07-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10160.104097+2.46%0.131+28.94%0.1742✓1.4149k2022-07-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0850.087215+2.61%0.0821-3.41%0.1156✗1.404,0262022-07-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045580.046789+2.65%0.06043+32.58%0.2031✓1.3470k2022-07-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8070.828463+2.66%0.616-23.67%0.3657✗1.76303k2022-07-16
XVSVenusEthereum4.054.1648+2.84%5.18+27.90%0.1520✓1.681.6M2022-07-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2530.260239+2.86%0.291+15.02%0.0695✓1.07847k2022-07-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.025550.026306+2.96%0.02772+8.49%0.0016✓1.3719k2022-07-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,372.0020,980.56+2.99%21,189.68+4.01%0.0294✗1.00620.3M2022-07-16
SOLSolanaSolana30.131.0217+3.06%39.6+31.56%0.1886✓1.41112.7M2022-07-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0007830.000807572+3.14%0.001022+30.46%0.1808✓1.382.0M2022-07-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23140.239352+3.44%0.2597+12.23%0.0325✓1.2531k2022-07-16
COMPCompoundEthereum30.1631.2255+3.53%55.1+82.69%0.5103✓1.4627k2022-07-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.3115.5006+3.57%7.116+33.99%0.2014✓1.4311.1M2022-07-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.46e-7+3.67%3.56e-7+6.70%0.0058✓0.88984k2022-07-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin44.7446.4179+3.75%55.09+23.13%0.1238✓1.2117.5M2022-07-16
STXStacksnative0.32860.341001+3.77%0.395+20.21%0.0950✓1.32175k2022-07-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.480.498379+3.83%0.8342+73.79%0.4686✓1.1856k2022-07-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.60.624544+4.09%0.4944-17.60%0.2798✗1.1771k2022-07-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.7431.8144+4.10%2.804+60.87%0.3669✓1.742.7M2022-07-16
XMRMoneroMonero106.33110.9455+4.34%139.03+30.75%0.1810✓1.131.7M2022-07-16
UNIUniswapEthereum3.8294.0011+4.50%7.375+92.61%0.5582✓1.353.3M2022-07-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05810.06072+4.51%0.0537-7.57%0.1540✗0.79313k2022-07-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash109.37115.7787+5.86%109.45+0.07%0.1039✗1.214.4M2022-07-16
XVGVergenative0.002860.003029+5.90%0.00372+30.07%0.1476✓1.47648k2022-07-16
AAVEAaveEthereum56.5159.9348+6.06%92.83+64.27%0.3717✓1.677.7M2022-07-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.