8=======>

2022-06-15 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0548
172 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.92%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
68.0%
in alpha space · 9.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.71%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism0.5920.60041+1.42%0.49-17.23%0.1011✗1.006.5M2022-06-16
AAVEAaveEthereum66.5967.4896+1.35%56.51-15.14%0.0064✓1.687.7M2022-06-16
COMPCompoundEthereum35.5235.9272+1.15%30.16-15.09%0.0253✗1.4728k2022-06-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3160.319578+1.13%0.278-12.03%0.0277✓1.64407k2022-06-16
XMRMoneroMonero118.21119.515+1.10%106.33-10.05%0.0002✓1.141.7M2022-06-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18550.187462+1.06%0.158-14.82%0.0202✗1.48196k2022-06-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.87e-73.91e-7+1.04%3.34e-7-13.63%0.0719✗0.831.1M2022-06-16
HIVEHivenative0.37880.382639+1.01%0.345-8.92%0.0452✓1.461.2M2022-06-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.270697+1.01%0.253-5.60%0.0459✓1.11890k2022-06-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7680.775668+1.00%0.664-13.54%0.0131✗1.395.0M2022-06-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.760.767567+1.00%0.6-21.05%0.1351✗1.0971k2022-06-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.468.5419+0.97%7.13-15.72%0.0616✗1.17508k2022-06-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,347.815,398.63+0.95%4,598.44-14.01%0.0279✗1.303.7M2022-06-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030530.003081+0.92%0.002801-8.25%0.0247✓1.172.1M2022-06-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0032330.003263+0.92%0.003262+0.90%0.1236✓1.214,5492022-06-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05850.05903+0.91%0.052-11.11%0.0031✓1.21139k2022-06-16
STXStacksnative0.36490.368171+0.90%0.3286-9.95%0.0241✓1.35165k2022-06-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000061940.000062495+0.90%0.000058-6.36%0.1740✓2.431.7M2022-06-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24230.244408+0.87%0.2314-4.50%0.0806✓1.3231k2022-06-16
XVGVergenative0.003310.003339+0.86%0.00286-13.60%0.0040✓1.48648k2022-06-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.467620.471643+0.86%0.49666+6.21%0.2548✓1.993.5M2022-06-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.253280.255397+0.84%0.24344-3.89%0.0892✓1.34453k2022-06-16
GTGateEthereum4.40014.4367+0.83%3.9508-10.21%0.0488✗0.662.1M2022-06-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3111.3219+0.83%1.23-6.18%0.1049✓1.73231k2022-06-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008770.000884141+0.81%0.000783-10.72%0.0223✓1.412.0M2022-06-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.6810.686525+0.81%0.593-12.92%0.0403✓1.831.8M2022-06-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,236.451,246.30+0.80%1,066.87-13.72%0.0424✗1.11365.6M2022-06-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.90.907142+0.79%0.807-10.33%0.0674✓1.81319k2022-06-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3460.348732+0.79%0.324-6.36%0.0489✓1.2015k2022-06-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1120.112876+0.78%0.0973-13.12%0.0016✓1.475.4M2022-06-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,562.3322,738.81+0.78%20,372.00-9.71%0.0078✗1.00602.3M2022-06-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.049770.050155+0.77%0.04558-8.42%0.0457✓1.3870k2022-06-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141960.143057+0.77%0.12518-11.82%0.0351✓1.65260k2022-06-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.9541.9691+0.77%1.743-10.80%0.0624✓1.812.9M2022-06-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.471.4813+0.77%1.27-13.61%0.0142✓1.65596k2022-06-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10850.109334+0.77%0.1016-6.36%0.0769✓1.4749k2022-06-16
SCSiacoinnative0.00380.003829+0.76%0.00341-10.26%0.0446✓1.57228k2022-06-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.399570.402559+0.75%0.42782+7.07%0.2201✓1.5663k2022-06-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.8815.9986+0.75%13.82-12.97%0.0131✗1.302.6M2022-06-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.064679+0.75%0.0581-9.50%0.0279✗0.78313k2022-06-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash127.9128.8329+0.73%109.37-14.49%0.0422✗1.194.4M2022-06-16
FLOWFlownative1.6721.6842+0.73%1.391-16.81%0.0891✗1.00580k2022-06-16
ZECZcashZcash68.5769.0653+0.72%58.94-14.04%0.0194✗1.363.6M2022-06-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.2918.4212+0.72%15.77-13.78%0.0035✓1.4949.3M2022-06-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008820.000008883+0.71%0.00000795-9.86%0.0193✓1.28850k2022-06-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.00231.0094+0.71%0.954432-4.77%0.0714✓1.2549k2022-06-16
MOVRMoonriverBase15.050415.1547+0.69%12.9736-13.80%0.0179✗1.35222k2022-06-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125190.012605+0.69%0.011964-4.43%0.0414✓0.922.0M2022-06-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.09850.099174+0.68%0.0869-11.78%0.0240✓1.531.2M2022-06-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.13430.135211+0.68%0.124-7.67%0.0592✓1.43169k2022-06-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7880.793341+0.68%0.667-15.36%0.0563✗1.151.0M2022-06-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0070310.007078+0.67%0.006722-4.39%0.0307✓0.81167k2022-06-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.21690.218329+0.66%0.2052-5.39%0.0622✓1.22100k2022-06-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2740330.275826+0.65%0.261084-4.73%0.0966✓1.482.4M2022-06-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0627140.063125+0.65%0.055166-12.04%0.0053✓1.271.3M2022-06-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006930.006975+0.65%0.00641-7.50%0.0257✓1.08582k2022-06-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.854.881+0.64%4.34-10.52%0.0297✓1.44405k2022-06-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33990.342057+0.63%0.3018-11.21%0.0020✓1.2514.6M2022-06-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6290.632933+0.63%0.574-8.74%0.0103✓1.06372k2022-06-16
APEApeCoinEthereum4.1614.1869+0.62%3.372-18.96%0.0192✗1.9317.0M2022-06-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.478.5221+0.61%7.91-6.61%0.0328✓1.05283k2022-06-16
DASHDashDash45.8646.1353+0.60%41.86-8.72%0.0201✓1.15837k2022-06-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21390.215183+0.60%0.1959-8.42%0.0528✓1.44472k2022-06-16
SOLSolanaSolana34.7234.922+0.58%30.1-13.31%0.0044✓1.41107.4M2022-06-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.327.3623+0.58%6.329-13.54%0.0149✗1.3415.2M2022-06-16
QNTQuantEthereum50.851.0862+0.56%44.42-12.56%0.0392✗0.992.0M2022-06-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.690.693856+0.56%0.593-14.06%0.0165✗1.38578k2022-06-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4180.420324+0.56%0.381-8.85%0.0676✓1.624,1942022-06-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03820.038412+0.55%0.0345-9.69%0.0393✓1.44374k2022-06-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14440.145196+0.55%0.1237-14.34%0.0595✗0.99256k2022-06-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.620.623418+0.55%0.48-22.58%0.1500✗1.0956k2022-06-16
RADRadworksEthereum1.631.6387+0.54%1.52-6.75%0.0513✓1.24270k2022-06-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09030.090781+0.53%0.0817-9.52%0.0440✓1.46354k2022-06-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.9866.0179+0.53%5.311-11.28%0.0226✓1.4411.1M2022-06-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16570.166577+0.53%0.1448-12.61%0.0096✓1.47917k2022-06-16
KCSKuCoinnative11.83211.8936+0.52%11.087-6.30%0.0434✓1.115.3M2022-06-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028050.028196+0.52%0.02555-8.91%0.0449✓1.4018k2022-06-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1380.138716+0.52%0.1219-11.67%0.0193✓1.454.4M2022-06-16
DIADIAEthereum0.418440.420555+0.51%0.37966-9.27%0.0340✗0.67276k2022-06-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0198230.019923+0.50%0.018988-4.21%0.0806✓1.269,2752022-06-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41190.413964+0.50%0.362-12.11%0.0236✓1.54160k2022-06-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.009770.009819+0.50%0.00877-10.24%0.0052✗1.051.5M2022-06-16
XEMNEMnative0.0415060.041711+0.49%0.038032-8.37%0.0452✓1.3529k2022-06-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03050.03065+0.49%0.0275-9.84%0.0300✓1.36247k2022-06-16
NANOnanopayBase0.8806030.88484+0.48%0.798118-9.37%0.0093✓1.10120k2022-06-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.10270.103185+0.47%0.0922-10.22%0.0141✓1.24852k2022-06-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28590.287241+0.47%0.2551-10.77%0.0129✓1.296.1M2022-06-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009860.009905+0.46%0.00889-9.84%0.0016✓1.0712.1M2022-06-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.53621.5432+0.45%1.3599-11.48%0.0056✓1.292.0M2022-06-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.432.4408+0.45%2.29-5.76%0.1167✓1.77304k2022-06-16
BTTCBTTC8.30e-78.34e-7+0.44%7.60e-7-8.43%0.0017✓0.895.5M2022-06-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.872.8827+0.44%2.57-10.45%0.0005✓1.12663k2022-06-16
KSMKusamaHydration58.2658.5172+0.44%49.2-15.55%0.0471✗1.241.0M2022-06-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.111.1148+0.44%0.96-13.51%0.0137✓1.601.1M2022-06-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019210.019294+0.43%0.01773-7.70%0.0141✗0.69631k2022-06-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.921060.924989+0.43%0.80833-12.24%0.0079✓1.40789k2022-06-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2851.2905+0.43%1.105-14.01%0.0019✓1.5079k2022-06-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9610.965078+0.42%0.833-13.32%0.0451✗1.001.6M2022-06-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.566.5878+0.42%6.05-7.77%0.0349✗0.492.1M2022-06-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.463.4745+0.42%3.11-10.12%0.0320✗0.771.7M2022-06-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.222.2293+0.42%2.1202-4.50%0.0448✓0.933.4M2022-06-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020820.020906+0.41%0.01905-8.50%0.0190✓1.10149k2022-06-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0068820.00691+0.41%0.00623-9.47%0.0062✓1.072,5562022-06-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10740.107836+0.41%0.085-20.86%0.1042✗1.314,0262022-06-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4830.484946+0.40%0.425-12.01%0.0181✓1.47116k2022-06-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.7915.8534+0.40%13.61-13.81%0.0037✓1.462.4M2022-06-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.84081.8482+0.40%1.7294-6.05%0.0281✓0.933.2M2022-06-16
XTZTezosTezos1.52691.5329+0.40%1.355-11.26%0.0128✓1.33914k2022-06-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.06550.065757+0.39%0.0552-15.73%0.0131✗1.59141k2022-06-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.720.722762+0.38%0.62-13.89%0.0047✗1.46195k2022-06-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.8933+0.38%5.302-9.69%0.0330✓1.362.6M2022-06-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin50.6350.8173+0.37%44.74-11.63%0.0045✗1.2017.5M2022-06-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.103077+0.37%0.0928-9.64%0.0164✓1.19733k2022-06-16
CBKCobakEthereum0.881140.884265+0.35%0.84123-4.53%0.0832✓1.305,7412022-06-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.454.4653+0.34%4.04-9.21%0.0270✗0.721.6M2022-06-16
UNIUniswapEthereum4.4154.4299+0.34%3.829-13.27%0.0076✗1.353.2M2022-06-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7840.786617+0.33%0.685-12.63%0.0280✓1.633.2M2022-06-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12860.129028+0.33%0.1134-11.82%0.0276✗0.993.3M2022-06-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.02652.0329+0.31%1.7941-11.47%0.0146✓1.3768k2022-06-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1210180.121395+0.31%0.10905-9.89%0.0047✓1.1010.7M2022-06-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3722.3793+0.31%1.978-16.61%0.0317✗1.50104k2022-06-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0182.0242+0.31%1.699-15.81%0.0137✗1.5897k2022-06-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.550.551673+0.30%0.5-9.09%0.0437✓1.39771k2022-06-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10790.108225+0.30%0.1049-2.78%0.0842✓1.137,2892022-06-16
XECeCashnative0.000040390.00004051+0.30%0.00003702-8.34%0.0501✓1.373.0M2022-06-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8150.817409+0.30%0.785-3.68%0.0618✓1.001.7M2022-06-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04940.049544+0.29%0.043-12.96%0.0165✓1.5520k2022-06-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.0263.0348+0.29%2.845-5.98%0.0243✓0.871.9M2022-06-16
BANDBandEthereum1.571.5745+0.29%1.348-14.14%0.0053✓1.57374k2022-06-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.054120.054273+0.28%0.04718-12.82%0.0265✓1.632.0M2022-06-16
TRXTRONTron0.0629980.063174+0.28%0.058994-6.36%0.0336✓1.00756k2022-06-16
ZENHorizenBase16.0816.1238+0.27%13.48-16.17%0.0304✗1.4665k2022-06-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05980.059957+0.26%0.0526-12.04%0.0205✓1.481.7M2022-06-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044730.044845+0.26%0.04577+2.33%0.1355✓1.1314k2022-06-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,542.4022,600.02+0.26%20,300.70-9.94%0.0064✗0.9929k2022-06-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.327.338+0.25%6.352-13.22%0.0101✗1.3140.5M2022-06-16
FTTFTXEthereum25.5625.6228+0.25%23.28-8.92%0.0015✓0.929.4M2022-06-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.314370.315076+0.22%0.27575-12.28%0.0206✓1.5114k2022-06-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041180.041271+0.22%0.03838-6.80%0.0426✓1.132,9602022-06-16
XVSVenusEthereum4.494.4999+0.22%4.05-9.80%0.0706✓1.721.7M2022-06-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5562.5616+0.22%2.344-8.29%0.0149✓1.0163k2022-06-16
STEEMSteemnative0.19650.196891+0.20%0.1854-5.65%0.0732✓1.31629k2022-06-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.4918.5077+0.20%7.11-16.26%0.0450✗1.3213.5M2022-06-16
QTUMQtumQtum2.95662.9624+0.20%2.6461-10.50%0.0099✓1.2041k2022-06-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.084.0875+0.18%3.86-5.39%0.0147✓0.701.7M2022-06-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42852.433+0.18%2.2619-6.86%0.1182✓1.8717k2022-06-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66670.667797+0.16%0.6143-7.86%0.0405✓1.212.8M2022-06-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.329.3332+0.14%8.02-13.95%0.0211✓1.692.7M2022-06-16
ADACardanoCardano0.53430.535035+0.14%0.4756-10.99%0.0283✓1.4365.8M2022-06-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.063040.063116+0.12%0.06111-3.06%0.0698✓1.001,7292022-06-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.17860.178812+0.12%0.1494-16.35%0.0559✗1.213,0802022-06-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05011.0512+0.11%0.91995-12.40%0.0510✗0.816242022-06-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0512330.051283+0.10%0.0501-2.21%0.0507✓0.7367k2022-06-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.63522.6377+0.09%2.3926-9.21%0.0161✓1.113.1M2022-06-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0162620.016275+0.08%0.014896-8.40%0.0277✗0.60469k2022-06-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.983.9829+0.07%3.57-10.30%0.0517✗0.572.1M2022-06-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.99474.9982+0.07%5.0538+1.18%0.0381✓0.26235k2022-06-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.7762.7769+0.03%2.64-4.90%0.0830✓1.311.1M2022-06-16
PROPropyEthereum0.910.910071+0.01%0.86-5.49%0.0210✓0.76187k2022-06-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.743.7401+0.00%3.6-3.74%0.0333✓0.707.0M2022-06-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.47755.4464-0.06%50.901-8.25%0.0051✗0.891.2M2022-06-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.312.2906-0.08%10.81-12.11%0.0465✗1.71333k2022-06-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2163.2133-0.09%2.909-9.55%0.0462✓0.524.5M2022-06-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.0720.071936-0.09%0.0558-22.50%0.1044✓1.46410k2022-06-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.5191.5172-0.12%1.284-15.47%0.0128✓1.51879k2022-06-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4961.4941-0.13%1.31-12.43%0.0230✗1.515.5M2022-06-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.360610.360052-0.15%0.32127-10.91%0.0186✗1.30105k2022-06-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.240.239592-0.17%0.212-11.67%0.0562✗1.751.3M2022-06-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025230.025167-0.25%0.02059-18.39%0.0045✓1.9240.1M2022-06-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2643.2551-0.27%3.078-5.70%0.0171✗0.724.4M2022-06-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9620.957576-0.46%0.822-14.55%0.0565✗2.0529.5M2022-06-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5637-1.03%1.47-6.96%0.0073✓0.68166k2022-06-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.