8=======>

2022-06-15 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1454
172 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.16%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.9%
in alpha space · 25.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.71%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5544-1.62%1.47-6.96%0.0133✓0.68166k2022-06-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.360610.356913-1.03%0.32127-10.91%0.0274✗1.30105k2022-06-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025230.025007-0.88%0.02059-18.39%0.0019✓1.9240.1M2022-06-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.5191.5106-0.55%1.284-15.47%0.0085✓1.51879k2022-06-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.7762.7629-0.47%2.64-4.90%0.0881✗1.311.1M2022-06-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9620.957622-0.46%0.822-14.55%0.0565✗2.0529.5M2022-06-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.17860.17779-0.45%0.1494-16.35%0.0502✓1.213,0802022-06-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66670.664092-0.39%0.6143-7.86%0.0461✗1.212.8M2022-06-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.47755.2696-0.37%50.901-8.25%0.0083✗0.891.2M2022-06-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.0720.071733-0.37%0.0558-22.50%0.1016✓1.46410k2022-06-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.312.2551-0.36%10.81-12.11%0.0494✗1.71333k2022-06-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.63522.6262-0.34%2.3926-9.21%0.0204✗1.113.1M2022-06-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4961.491-0.34%1.31-12.43%0.0251✗1.515.5M2022-06-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12860.128182-0.33%0.1134-11.82%0.0210✓0.993.3M2022-06-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.99474.9795-0.30%5.0538+1.18%0.0419✗0.26235k2022-06-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.921060.918318-0.30%0.80833-12.24%0.0151✗1.40789k2022-06-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.240.239289-0.30%0.212-11.67%0.0575✗1.751.3M2022-06-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.983.9693-0.27%3.57-10.30%0.0483✓0.572.1M2022-06-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2163.2086-0.23%2.909-9.55%0.0447✓0.524.5M2022-06-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0162620.016225-0.22%0.014896-8.40%0.0247✓0.60469k2022-06-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8150.813338-0.20%0.785-3.68%0.0668✗1.001.7M2022-06-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5562.5509-0.20%2.344-8.29%0.0191✗1.0163k2022-06-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2643.2582-0.18%3.078-5.70%0.0162✗0.724.4M2022-06-16
ADACardanoCardano0.53430.533454-0.16%0.4756-10.99%0.0313✗1.4365.8M2022-06-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.743.7345-0.15%3.6-3.74%0.0348✗0.707.0M2022-06-16
BANDBandEthereum1.571.5678-0.14%1.348-14.14%0.0096✗1.57374k2022-06-16
FTTFTXEthereum25.5625.5281-0.12%23.28-8.92%0.0022✗0.929.4M2022-06-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05980.059727-0.12%0.0526-12.04%0.0243✗1.481.7M2022-06-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.06550.065421-0.12%0.0552-15.73%0.0080✓1.59141k2022-06-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.314370.314011-0.11%0.27575-12.28%0.0240✗1.5114k2022-06-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.329.3122-0.08%8.02-13.95%0.0233✗1.692.7M2022-06-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0512330.051191-0.08%0.0501-2.21%0.0525✗0.7367k2022-06-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1210180.120921-0.08%0.10905-9.89%0.0087✗1.1010.7M2022-06-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.327.3141-0.08%6.352-13.22%0.0068✓1.3140.5M2022-06-16
TRXTRONTron0.0629980.062961-0.06%0.058994-6.36%0.0370✗1.00756k2022-06-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.4918.4884-0.03%7.11-16.26%0.0428✓1.3213.5M2022-06-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10790.107879-0.02%0.1049-2.78%0.0874✗1.137,2892022-06-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33990.339861-0.01%0.3018-11.21%0.0084✗1.2514.6M2022-06-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2851.2849-0.01%1.105-14.01%0.0024✗1.5079k2022-06-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7840.78398-0.00%0.685-12.63%0.0313✗1.633.2M2022-06-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.222.2201+0.00%2.1202-4.50%0.0489✓0.933.4M2022-06-16
ZENHorizenBase16.0816.0823+0.01%13.48-16.17%0.0278✗1.4665k2022-06-16
PROPropyEthereum0.910.910169+0.02%0.86-5.49%0.0209✓0.76187k2022-06-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041180.041191+0.03%0.03838-6.80%0.0445✓1.132,9602022-06-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.566.5622+0.03%6.05-7.77%0.0310✗0.492.1M2022-06-16
KSMKusamaHydration58.2658.2819+0.04%49.2-15.55%0.0431✗1.241.0M2022-06-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019210.019218+0.04%0.01773-7.70%0.0101✗0.69631k2022-06-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3722.373+0.04%1.978-16.61%0.0290✗1.50104k2022-06-16
XEMNEMnative0.0415060.041526+0.05%0.038032-8.37%0.0497✓1.3529k2022-06-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0627140.062747+0.05%0.055166-12.04%0.0007✓1.271.3M2022-06-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.84081.8418+0.05%1.7294-6.05%0.0316✓0.933.2M2022-06-16
QTUMQtumQtum2.95662.9582+0.06%2.6461-10.50%0.0113✓1.2041k2022-06-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04940.049428+0.06%0.043-12.96%0.0188✓1.5520k2022-06-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.054120.054154+0.06%0.04718-12.82%0.0287✓1.632.0M2022-06-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0068820.006886+0.07%0.00623-9.47%0.0096✓1.072,5562022-06-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14440.1445+0.07%0.1237-14.34%0.0547✗0.99256k2022-06-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.063040.063086+0.07%0.06111-3.06%0.0703✓1.001,7292022-06-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42852.4303+0.07%2.2619-6.86%0.1193✓1.8717k2022-06-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09030.090368+0.08%0.0817-9.52%0.0486✓1.46354k2022-06-16
XVSVenusEthereum4.494.4938+0.08%4.05-9.80%0.0719✓1.721.7M2022-06-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.084.0836+0.09%3.86-5.39%0.0156✓0.701.7M2022-06-16
STEEMSteemnative0.19650.196684+0.09%0.1854-5.65%0.0742✓1.31629k2022-06-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.00231.0033+0.10%0.954432-4.77%0.0775✓1.2549k2022-06-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.463.4634+0.10%3.11-10.12%0.0288✗0.771.7M2022-06-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4830.483481+0.10%0.425-12.01%0.0211✓1.47116k2022-06-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05011.0513+0.11%0.91995-12.40%0.0510✗0.816242022-06-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28590.286218+0.11%0.2551-10.77%0.0164✓1.296.1M2022-06-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0182.0204+0.12%1.699-15.81%0.0119✗1.5897k2022-06-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044730.044786+0.12%0.04577+2.33%0.1368✓1.1314k2022-06-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1380.13818+0.13%0.1219-11.67%0.0231✓1.454.4M2022-06-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.8787+0.13%5.302-9.69%0.0354✓1.362.6M2022-06-16
QNTQuantEthereum50.850.8715+0.14%44.42-12.56%0.0350✗0.992.0M2022-06-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.009770.009784+0.14%0.00877-10.24%0.0017✗1.051.5M2022-06-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.10270.102867+0.16%0.0922-10.22%0.0172✓1.24852k2022-06-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.872.8749+0.17%2.57-10.45%0.0023✓1.12663k2022-06-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.690.691211+0.18%0.593-14.06%0.0127✗1.38578k2022-06-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.02652.0301+0.18%1.7941-11.47%0.0159✓1.3768k2022-06-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.102886+0.18%0.0928-9.64%0.0183✓1.19733k2022-06-16
DIADIAEthereum0.418440.419229+0.19%0.37966-9.27%0.0308✗0.67276k2022-06-16
NANOnanopayBase0.8806030.882313+0.19%0.798118-9.37%0.0121✓1.10120k2022-06-16
DASHDashDash45.8645.9501+0.20%41.86-8.72%0.0242✓1.15837k2022-06-16
UNIUniswapEthereum4.4154.4239+0.20%3.829-13.27%0.0062✗1.353.2M2022-06-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.720.72148+0.21%0.62-13.89%0.0030✗1.46195k2022-06-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.0263.0322+0.21%2.845-5.98%0.0252✓0.871.9M2022-06-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.454.4592+0.21%4.04-9.21%0.0256✗0.721.6M2022-06-16
XECeCashnative0.000040390.000040474+0.21%0.00003702-8.34%0.0510✓1.373.0M2022-06-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin50.6350.7383+0.21%44.74-11.63%0.0029✗1.2017.5M2022-06-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10740.107637+0.22%0.085-20.86%0.1023✗1.314,0262022-06-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.471.4733+0.22%1.27-13.61%0.0196✓1.65596k2022-06-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9610.963162+0.23%0.833-13.32%0.0431✗1.001.6M2022-06-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0070310.007047+0.23%0.006722-4.39%0.0351✓0.81167k2022-06-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.327.3369+0.23%6.329-13.54%0.0114✗1.3415.2M2022-06-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.7915.8269+0.23%13.61-13.81%0.0020✓1.462.4M2022-06-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008820.000008841+0.23%0.00000795-9.86%0.0240✓1.28850k2022-06-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.53621.54+0.25%1.3599-11.48%0.0077✓1.292.0M2022-06-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.550.551366+0.25%0.5-9.09%0.0443✓1.39771k2022-06-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.478.4911+0.25%7.91-6.61%0.0364✓1.05283k2022-06-16
ZECZcashZcash68.5768.7494+0.26%58.94-14.04%0.0148✗1.363.6M2022-06-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6290.63069+0.27%0.574-8.74%0.0139✓1.06372k2022-06-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,542.4022,604.16+0.27%20,300.70-9.94%0.0066✗0.9929k2022-06-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028050.028128+0.28%0.02555-8.91%0.0473✓1.4018k2022-06-16
BTTCBTTC8.30e-78.32e-7+0.28%7.60e-7-8.43%0.0001✓0.895.5M2022-06-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.09850.098777+0.28%0.0869-11.78%0.0280✓1.531.2M2022-06-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009860.009888+0.28%0.00889-9.84%0.0033✓1.0712.1M2022-06-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7880.790294+0.29%0.667-15.36%0.0524✗1.151.0M2022-06-16
SOLSolanaSolana34.7234.8221+0.29%30.1-13.31%0.0015✓1.41107.4M2022-06-16
KCSKuCoinnative11.83211.8671+0.30%11.087-6.30%0.0457✓1.115.3M2022-06-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,236.451,240.22+0.31%1,066.87-13.72%0.0375✗1.11365.6M2022-06-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.432.4376+0.31%2.29-5.76%0.1180✓1.77304k2022-06-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03820.038322+0.32%0.0345-9.69%0.0416✓1.44374k2022-06-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.854.8656+0.32%4.34-10.52%0.0329✓1.44405k2022-06-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.399570.40087+0.33%0.42782+7.07%0.2243✓1.5663k2022-06-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03050.030599+0.33%0.0275-9.84%0.0316✓1.36247k2022-06-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.8815.9323+0.33%13.82-12.97%0.0090✗1.302.6M2022-06-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.620.622066+0.33%0.48-22.58%0.1478✗1.0956k2022-06-16
RADRadworksEthereum1.631.6355+0.34%1.52-6.75%0.0533✓1.24270k2022-06-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3460.347178+0.34%0.324-6.36%0.0533✓1.2015k2022-06-16
MOVRMoonriverBase15.050415.1018+0.34%12.9736-13.80%0.0144✗1.35222k2022-06-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.9866.0067+0.35%5.311-11.28%0.0245✓1.4411.1M2022-06-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41190.41333+0.35%0.362-12.11%0.0252✓1.54160k2022-06-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16570.166284+0.35%0.1448-12.61%0.0114✓1.47917k2022-06-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141960.142464+0.36%0.12518-11.82%0.0392✓1.65260k2022-06-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.13430.134786+0.36%0.124-7.67%0.0623✓1.43169k2022-06-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0032330.003245+0.37%0.003262+0.90%0.1291✓1.214,5492022-06-16
APEApeCoinEthereum4.1614.1764+0.37%3.372-18.96%0.0167✗1.9317.0M2022-06-16
GTGateEthereum4.40014.4165+0.37%3.9508-10.21%0.0443✗0.662.1M2022-06-16
XTZTezosTezos1.52691.5326+0.38%1.355-11.26%0.0130✓1.33914k2022-06-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.253280.254248+0.38%0.24344-3.89%0.0937✓1.34453k2022-06-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1120.112429+0.38%0.0973-13.12%0.0056✓1.475.4M2022-06-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4180.419615+0.39%0.381-8.85%0.0693✓1.624,1942022-06-16
SCSiacoinnative0.00380.003815+0.41%0.00341-10.26%0.0481✓1.57228k2022-06-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.760.763087+0.41%0.6-21.05%0.1292✗1.0971k2022-06-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.111.1146+0.41%0.96-13.51%0.0140✓1.601.1M2022-06-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125190.012572+0.42%0.011964-4.43%0.0441✓0.922.0M2022-06-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21390.214803+0.42%0.1959-8.42%0.0546✓1.44472k2022-06-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020820.020908+0.42%0.01905-8.50%0.0188✓1.10149k2022-06-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.21690.217843+0.43%0.2052-5.39%0.0644✓1.22100k2022-06-16
HIVEHivenative0.37880.380461+0.44%0.345-8.92%0.0509✓1.461.2M2022-06-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030530.003067+0.44%0.002801-8.25%0.0294✓1.172.1M2022-06-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.468.4984+0.45%7.13-15.72%0.0565✗1.17508k2022-06-16
CBKCobakEthereum0.881140.885161+0.46%0.84123-4.53%0.0822✓1.305,7412022-06-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,562.3322,665.63+0.46%20,372.00-9.71%0.0046✗1.00602.3M2022-06-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10850.109002+0.46%0.1016-6.36%0.0799✓1.4749k2022-06-16
FLOWFlownative1.6721.6798+0.46%1.391-16.81%0.0865✗1.00580k2022-06-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.90.904278+0.48%0.807-10.33%0.0706✓1.81319k2022-06-16
STXStacksnative0.36490.366656+0.48%0.3286-9.95%0.0282✓1.35165k2022-06-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0198230.019918+0.48%0.018988-4.21%0.0808✓1.269,2752022-06-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash127.9128.5351+0.50%109.37-14.49%0.0399✗1.194.4M2022-06-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24230.243505+0.50%0.2314-4.50%0.0843✓1.3231k2022-06-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.049770.050019+0.50%0.04558-8.42%0.0484✓1.3870k2022-06-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.2918.3823+0.50%15.77-13.78%0.0014✓1.4949.3M2022-06-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006930.006965+0.51%0.00641-7.50%0.0272✓1.08582k2022-06-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008770.00088155+0.52%0.000783-10.72%0.0252✓1.412.0M2022-06-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,347.815,376.30+0.53%4,598.44-14.01%0.0237✗1.303.7M2022-06-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18550.18649+0.53%0.158-14.82%0.0150✗1.48196k2022-06-16
XVGVergenative0.003310.003328+0.54%0.00286-13.60%0.0008✓1.48648k2022-06-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2740330.275503+0.54%0.261084-4.73%0.0978✓1.482.4M2022-06-16
OPTIMOptimism0.5920.595214+0.54%0.49-17.23%0.0924✗1.006.5M2022-06-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.064553+0.55%0.0581-9.50%0.0259✗0.78313k2022-06-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.9541.9649+0.56%1.743-10.80%0.0646✓1.812.9M2022-06-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.467620.470265+0.57%0.49666+6.21%0.2578✓1.993.5M2022-06-16
COMPCompoundEthereum35.5235.7241+0.57%30.16-15.09%0.0197✗1.4728k2022-06-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3111.3186+0.58%1.23-6.18%0.1074✓1.73231k2022-06-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.87e-73.89e-7+0.58%3.34e-7-13.63%0.0673✗0.831.1M2022-06-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.6810.685023+0.59%0.593-12.92%0.0425✓1.831.8M2022-06-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.269598+0.60%0.253-5.60%0.0500✓1.11890k2022-06-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000061940.00006231+0.60%0.000058-6.36%0.1770✓2.431.7M2022-06-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05850.05886+0.62%0.052-11.11%0.0002✓1.21139k2022-06-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7680.773168+0.67%0.664-13.54%0.0098✗1.395.0M2022-06-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3160.318196+0.69%0.278-12.03%0.0321✓1.64407k2022-06-16
XMRMoneroMonero118.21119.0666+0.72%106.33-10.05%0.0035✓1.141.7M2022-06-16
AAVEAaveEthereum66.5967.0916+0.75%56.51-15.14%0.0005✓1.687.7M2022-06-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.