8=======>

2022-06-14 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2810
170 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+23.44%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.9%
in alpha space · 60.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000060630.000056003-7.63%0.0000921+51.90%0.6719✗2.411.7M2022-07-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.631.5113-7.28%1.49-8.59%0.0354✓0.69166k2022-07-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4291.333-6.72%1.226-14.21%0.0256✓1.515.1M2022-07-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9260.866544-6.42%0.781-15.66%0.0444✓2.0522.9M2022-07-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2643.0864-5.44%2.891-11.43%0.0135✓0.724.3M2022-07-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1953.0215-5.43%3.458+8.23%0.1727✗0.524.5M2022-07-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6253.4488-4.86%3.698+2.01%0.1200✗0.697.0M2022-07-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.963.7896-4.30%3.64-8.08%0.0007✓0.572.1M2022-07-14
OPTIMOptimism0.5650.542034-4.06%0.491-13.10%0.0266✓1.006.6M2022-07-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.207479-3.94%0.211-2.31%0.1421✗1.731.2M2022-07-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.00320.964764-3.83%0.79254-21.00%0.1388✓0.806242022-07-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.45.2121-3.48%5.3999-0.00%0.0559✗0.28235k2022-07-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.536.3038-3.46%6.2-5.05%0.0190✓0.492.0M2022-07-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044280.04277-3.41%0.04502+1.67%0.1330✗1.1314k2022-07-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.81331.7531-3.32%1.7856-1.53%0.0852✗0.923.2M2022-07-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8220.796015-3.16%0.799-2.80%0.0766✗1.011.7M2022-07-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.493.3837-3.05%3.14-10.03%0.0186✓0.781.7M2022-07-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.64932.5701-2.99%2.3359-11.83%0.0147✓1.123.0M2022-07-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019190.018645-2.84%0.01788-6.83%0.0081✓0.69646k2022-07-14
PROPropyEthereum0.930.903888-2.81%0.82-11.83%0.0419✓0.77187k2022-07-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03910.038075-2.62%–pending––1.122,9602022-07-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.228.0101-2.55%9.18+11.68%0.2573✗1.672.7M2022-07-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08960.087412-2.44%0.0862-3.79%0.0923✗1.47381k2022-07-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.292150.285052-2.43%0.38756+32.66%0.3982✗1.26105k2022-07-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.461150.450066-2.40%0.45-2.42%0.1442✗2.003.5M2022-07-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.7511.4689-2.39%17.16+46.04%0.5267✗1.71322k2022-07-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.8162.7505-2.33%2.576-8.52%0.0297✗1.321.1M2022-07-14
STEEMSteemnative0.19270.188219-2.33%0.2025+5.09%0.1676✗1.31629k2022-07-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.033.9391-2.26%3.99-0.99%0.0637✗0.701.7M2022-07-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.96552.7568-2.24%52.204-3.26%0.0535✗0.891.2M2022-07-14
XEMNEMnative0.0400010.03911-2.23%0.039902-0.25%0.1173✗1.3429k2022-07-14
CBKCobakEthereum0.816220.79815-2.21%0.97016+18.86%0.2886✗1.295,7412022-07-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.050780.049675-2.18%0.04956-2.40%0.1147✗1.621.9M2022-07-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0504490.049355-2.17%0.050899+0.89%0.0831✗0.7259k2022-07-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.424.3315-2.00%4.43+0.23%0.0744✗0.721.6M2022-07-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8830.86564-1.97%1.205+36.47%0.4031✗1.001.6M2022-07-14
FLOWFlownative1.5951.5652-1.87%1.562-2.07%0.0703✗1.00592k2022-07-14
QTUMQtumQtum2.7762.7249-1.84%2.733-1.55%0.0893✗1.1935k2022-07-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60040.589583-1.80%0.8049+34.06%0.3980✗1.202.8M2022-07-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.06090.059828-1.76%0.0496-18.56%0.0736✓1.57141k2022-07-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.2832.2442-1.70%2.2614-0.95%0.1426✗1.8717k2022-07-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.055850.054935-1.64%0.07424+32.93%0.3735✗1.001,8582022-07-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020140.019837-1.50%0.02364+17.38%0.3114✗1.8838.7M2022-07-14
APEApeCoinEthereum3.6153.5636-1.42%4.685+29.60%0.4117✗1.9117.0M2022-07-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5930.584802-1.38%0.615+3.71%0.1262✗1.05365k2022-07-14
BANDBandEthereum1.4531.4332-1.36%1.354-6.81%0.0562✗1.56353k2022-07-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.12512.0965-1.35%2.125-0.00%0.0803✗0.923.3M2022-07-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03750.037026-1.26%0.0465+24.00%0.3319✗1.44383k2022-07-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.710.701173-1.24%0.9164+29.07%0.3844✗1.612.9M2022-07-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1126380.111246-1.24%0.107137-4.88%0.0409✗1.0910.7M2022-07-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04750.046918-1.22%0.0423-10.95%0.0083✓1.5520k2022-07-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30830.304571-1.21%0.3297+6.94%0.1682✗1.2314.6M2022-07-14
DODODODOEthereum0.13510.133526-1.17%0.1478+9.40%0.2068✗1.454.1M2022-07-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.351.3353-1.09%1.3201-2.21%0.0804✗1.271.9M2022-07-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4412.415-1.07%2.216-9.22%0.0130✓1.0163k2022-07-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.272440.269625-1.03%0.28803+5.72%0.1730✗1.4811k2022-07-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13660.135212-1.02%0.0888-34.99%0.3498✓0.98267k2022-07-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.821090.813342-0.94%0.83504+1.70%0.1259✗1.38789k2022-07-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009340.009257-0.88%0.00948+1.50%0.1011✗1.0713.0M2022-07-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.9922.9666-0.85%2.795-6.58%0.0035✓0.871.9M2022-07-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1771.168-0.77%2.036+72.98%0.6632✗1.4973k2022-07-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12590.124953-0.75%0.114-9.45%0.0200✓0.993.2M2022-07-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9091.8974-0.61%2.232+16.92%0.2757✗1.5797k2022-07-14
KCSKuCoinnative11.91411.8427-0.60%9.1-23.62%0.1825✓1.125.3M2022-07-14
LSKLiskEthereum0.9630380.957475-0.58%1.0253+6.47%0.1584✗1.2448k2022-07-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4020.399837-0.54%0.647+60.95%0.5985✗1.624,1942022-07-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6550.65161-0.52%0.668+1.98%0.1241✗1.37578k2022-07-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.009720.009673-0.49%0.00899-7.51%0.0033✓1.061.5M2022-07-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0580.057729-0.47%0.0443-23.62%0.1576✓1.481.7M2022-07-14
QNTQuantEthereum47.7947.5708-0.46%97.54+104.10%0.7886✗0.982.0M2022-07-14
HIVEHivenative0.35720.355804-0.39%0.4244+18.81%0.2813✗1.451.2M2022-07-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.792.7791-0.39%2.683-3.84%0.0457✗1.12663k2022-07-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26660.265571-0.39%0.2688+0.83%0.1045✗1.286.1M2022-07-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4540.452494-0.33%0.501+10.35%0.2075✗1.46116k2022-07-14
XECeCashnative0.000038070.000037945-0.33%0.00003899+2.42%0.1259✗1.373.0M2022-07-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4685.4508-0.31%5.354-2.08%0.0795✗1.352.6M2022-07-14
ZENHorizenBase14.6514.6064-0.30%15.41+5.19%0.1578✗1.4465k2022-07-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.0714.0288-0.29%13.96-0.78%0.0991✗1.442.3M2022-07-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0146580.014618-0.27%0.017379+18.56%0.2146✗0.57443k2022-07-14
ADACardanoCardano0.48280.481854-0.20%0.4414-8.57%0.0147✗1.4257.0M2022-07-14
RADRadworksEthereum1.611.6077-0.15%1.65+2.48%0.1157✗1.24270k2022-07-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.318.3008-0.11%14.59+75.57%0.6399✗1.05283k2022-07-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0612.059-0.10%2.178+5.68%0.1628✗1.47104k2022-07-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.245280.245046-0.10%0.28941+17.99%0.2633✗1.34453k2022-07-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.7136.7118-0.02%6.27-6.60%0.0260✗1.3039.3M2022-07-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.6330.633043+0.01%0.942+48.82%0.5284✓1.811.8M2022-07-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.690.690153+0.02%0.9309+34.91%0.4043✓1.45198k2022-07-14
MOVRMoonriverBase15.191115.1967+0.04%12.3534-18.68%0.1093✗1.35222k2022-07-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09880.098868+0.07%0.1077+9.01%0.1663✓1.127,2892022-07-14
GTGateEthereum4.44594.4491+0.07%4.0091-9.82%0.0563✗0.662.1M2022-07-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.5914.6009+0.07%14.74+1.03%0.1029✓1.292.6M2022-07-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.3317+0.13%1.43+7.52%0.1892✓1.63580k2022-07-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.05770.05779+0.16%0.0661+14.56%0.2373✓1.42406k2022-07-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.11050.110695+0.18%0.0769-30.41%0.2682✗1.334,0262022-07-14
TRXTRONTron0.0555890.055716+0.23%0.066934+20.41%0.2542✓0.98715k2022-07-14
DIADIAEthereum0.397530.398542+0.25%0.40703+2.39%0.0688✓0.66276k2022-07-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.068.0807+0.26%8.33+3.35%0.1143✓1.16502k2022-07-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92351.9287+0.27%1.7704-7.96%0.0128✓1.3668k2022-07-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.282.2868+0.30%2.26-0.88%0.1156✓1.76304k2022-07-14
KSMKusamaHydration51.1851.3407+0.31%51.51+0.64%0.0911✓1.211.0M2022-07-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.055550.055725+0.32%0.062392+12.32%0.2032✓1.251.3M2022-07-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09820.098534+0.34%0.1067+8.66%0.1653✓1.18733k2022-07-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2960.297204+0.41%0.4047+36.72%0.4264✓1.63425k2022-07-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02040.020489+0.44%0.01974-3.24%0.0420✓1.10151k2022-07-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15970.160406+0.44%0.1515-5.13%0.0488✓1.46801k2022-07-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02910.02923+0.45%0.0362+24.40%0.3115✓1.35247k2022-07-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008190.000008227+0.45%0.0000106+29.43%0.3448✓1.26850k2022-07-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.734.7517+0.46%5.72+20.93%0.2897✓1.44405k2022-07-14
DASHDashDash43.4743.6715+0.46%43.62+0.35%0.0814✓1.14837k2022-07-14
ZECZcashZcash64.0664.4183+0.56%57.59-10.10%0.0142✗1.353.6M2022-07-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.1731.1796+0.57%1.817+54.90%0.5374✓1.46826k2022-07-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3380.34009+0.62%0.408+20.71%0.2687✓1.2015k2022-07-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2509860.252598+0.64%0.290712+15.83%0.2470✓1.472.3M2022-07-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00320.003221+0.65%–pending––1.214,6932022-07-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0183670.018488+0.66%0.020526+11.75%0.1949✓1.259,7572022-07-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,207.581,215.71+0.67%1,192.70-1.23%0.0609✓1.11363.3M2022-07-14
FTTFTXEthereum23.9624.1249+0.69%25.89+8.06%0.1367✓0.919.4M2022-07-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05590.056292+0.70%0.069+23.43%0.2906✓1.20153k2022-07-14
XTZTezosTezos1.45661.4674+0.74%1.5601+7.11%0.1574✓1.33914k2022-07-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.09430.095001+0.74%0.105+11.35%0.1888✓1.23803k2022-07-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137930.139049+0.81%0.12964-6.01%0.0493✓1.65260k2022-07-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38150.384828+0.87%0.3837+0.58%0.1081✓1.54160k2022-07-14
BTTCBTTC8.10e-78.17e-7+0.87%8.60e-7+6.17%0.1154✓0.895.5M2022-07-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.006560.006621+0.93%0.005687-13.31%0.0747✗1.072,4432022-07-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.750.757231+0.96%0.611-18.53%0.1325✗1.131.0M2022-07-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7310.738223+0.99%1.168+59.78%0.5593✓1.395.0M2022-07-14
SUSHISushiEthereum11.0104+1.04%1.39+39.00%0.4335✓1.581.1M2022-07-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8302190.838977+1.05%0.88517+6.62%0.1327✓1.09120k2022-07-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002880.002911+1.08%0.002749-4.55%0.0270✓1.172.1M2022-07-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.09510.096148+1.10%0.0919-3.36%0.0653✓1.531.2M2022-07-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.20160.203839+1.11%0.235+16.57%0.2294✓1.2187k2022-07-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,084.6022,335.08+1.13%20,493.50-7.20%0.0146✗0.9929k2022-07-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.31.3149+1.15%1.442+10.92%0.2180✓1.74231k2022-07-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3497.4388+1.22%6.722-8.53%0.0080✓1.2913.5M2022-07-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.17680.178975+1.23%0.1891+6.96%0.1615✓1.47196k2022-07-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.5416.7437+1.23%19.74+19.35%0.2711✓1.4749.3M2022-07-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5150.521414+1.25%0.5071-1.53%0.0721✓1.38821k2022-07-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.3576.4364+1.25%8.981+41.28%0.4277✓1.3115.2M2022-07-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006860.006952+1.34%0.006757-1.50%0.0296✓0.80167k2022-07-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.130.13177+1.36%0.1866+43.54%0.4309✓1.152,8762022-07-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,887.884,954.67+1.37%6,010.90+22.98%0.2860✓1.283.7M2022-07-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10420.105651+1.39%0.0961-7.77%0.0106✓1.465.4M2022-07-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006580.006672+1.40%0.00641-2.58%0.0375✓1.07582k2022-07-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8670.879883+1.49%0.609-29.76%0.2375✗1.80319k2022-07-14
SCSiacoinnative0.003590.003644+1.52%0.00388+8.08%0.1758✓1.57228k2022-07-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,120.2522,458.56+1.53%20,577.02-6.98%0.0152✗1.00602.3M2022-07-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19820.201253+1.54%0.2286+15.34%0.2306✓1.43446k2022-07-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.1270.129002+1.58%0.1368+7.72%0.1615✓1.42169k2022-07-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.820.833118+1.60%0.467-43.05%0.4986✗1.1171k2022-07-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0124220.012641+1.77%0.012052-2.98%0.0186✓0.922.0M2022-07-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.371990.379316+1.97%0.65046+74.86%0.6514✓1.5563k2022-07-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026370.026927+2.11%0.02709+2.73%0.1070✓1.4018k2022-07-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10160.103828+2.19%0.1256+23.62%0.2962✓1.4649k2022-07-14
XVSVenusEthereum4.194.2875+2.33%5.19+23.87%0.3151✓1.721.6M2022-07-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008240.000843404+2.35%0.0009545+15.84%0.2249✓1.401.9M2022-07-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.620.634763+2.38%0.7889+27.24%0.2965✓1.0958k2022-07-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.260.266386+2.46%0.284+9.23%0.1443✓1.11847k2022-07-14
SOLSolanaSolana29.5430.2786+2.50%37.12+25.66%0.3037✓1.38107.4M2022-07-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.77e-73.88e-7+2.79%3.70e-7-1.86%0.0135✓0.831.1M2022-07-14
XMRMoneroMonero118.2121.5168+2.81%133.62+13.05%0.1779✓1.151.7M2022-07-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.047220.048563+2.84%0.05693+20.56%0.2586✓1.3870k2022-07-14
COMPCompoundEthereum34.2535.2257+2.85%54.97+60.50%0.5508✓1.4627k2022-07-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.5585.7251+3.01%6.832+22.92%0.2805✓1.4310.9M2022-07-14
STXStacksnative0.34310.353592+3.06%0.3802+10.81%0.1695✓1.34165k2022-07-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin46.147.5154+3.07%51.32+11.32%0.1629✓1.1917.5M2022-07-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06430.066286+3.09%0.0519-19.28%0.1882✗0.78299k2022-07-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.22340.230563+3.21%0.2569+15.00%0.2031✓1.3131k2022-07-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.8541.9152+3.30%2.709+46.12%0.4772✓1.802.9M2022-07-14
UNIUniswapEthereum3.8574.0097+3.96%7.013+81.83%0.6552✓1.332.9M2022-07-14
XVGVergenative0.003030.003171+4.64%0.00349+15.18%0.2018✓1.46628k2022-07-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash125.88131.7543+4.67%102.99-18.18%0.1601✗1.194.4M2022-07-14
AAVEAaveEthereum62.1165.1793+4.94%91.22+46.87%0.4569✓1.677.6M2022-07-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.