8=======>

2022-06-13 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2719
170 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+23.25%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.9%
in alpha space · 57.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000060430.000055525-8.12%0.00009497+57.16%0.7933✗2.441.8M2022-07-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4581.3509-7.34%1.197-17.90%0.0358✓1.495.1M2022-07-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.4935-7.23%1.55-3.73%0.1073✗0.67166k2022-07-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9410.879616-6.52%0.765-18.70%0.0739✗2.0312.5M2022-07-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2863.0926-5.89%3.371+2.59%0.1446✗0.564.5M2022-07-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2253.0498-5.43%2.862-11.26%0.0149✓0.753.9M2022-07-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.173.9602-5.03%3.55-14.87%0.0537✓0.531.9M2022-07-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3353.1876-4.42%3.661+9.78%0.2187✗0.766.4M2022-07-13
OPTIMOptimism0.5450.521467-4.32%0.475-12.84%0.0118✓1.006.8M2022-07-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.04260.998296-4.25%0.72057-30.89%0.2423✓0.809702022-07-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.796.5159-4.04%6.14-9.57%0.0075✓0.492.0M2022-07-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30885.1237-3.49%5.28-0.54%0.0605✗0.29235k2022-07-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043290.041838-3.35%0.04367+0.88%0.1610✗1.1214k2022-07-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.72111.6679-3.09%1.7477+1.55%0.1480✗0.963.2M2022-07-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.523.4119-3.07%3.11-11.65%0.0116✓0.771.7M2022-07-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019670.019076-3.02%0.01775-9.76%0.0002✓0.69646k2022-07-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1890.183324-3.00%0.209+10.58%0.3093✗1.701.1M2022-07-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.24.0831-2.78%3.94-6.19%0.0404✗0.721.7M2022-07-13
PROPropyEthereum0.90.876009-2.67%0.82-8.89%0.0146✓0.77186k2022-07-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.06470.062991-2.64%0.06699+3.54%0.1666✗1.001,7292022-07-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7760.755836-2.60%0.781+0.64%0.1388✗1.011.7M2022-07-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.037.8264-2.54%8.87+10.46%0.3013✗1.682.7M2022-07-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1490.145238-2.52%0.1121-24.77%0.1574✓0.973.2M2022-07-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.284930.278129-2.39%0.38474+35.03%0.4567✗1.26105k2022-07-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.544.433-2.36%4.44-2.20%0.0781✗0.731.6M2022-07-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450730.44028-2.32%0.44497-1.28%0.2190✗1.983.5M2022-07-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.048970.047881-2.22%0.04954+1.16%0.2044✗1.621.9M2022-07-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.7111.451-2.21%16.45+40.48%0.5409✗1.70284k2022-07-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037240.036424-2.19%–pending––1.102,9602022-07-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.809710.792448-2.13%0.94752+17.02%0.3129✗1.285,7412022-07-13
QTUMQtumQtum2.77622.7179-2.10%2.7241-1.88%0.1277✗1.1933k2022-07-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3132.2652-2.07%2.2724-1.76%0.1231✗1.143.0M2022-07-13
STEEMSteemnative0.18350.179829-2.00%0.2049+11.66%0.2681✗1.31585k2022-07-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8530.836098-1.98%1.169+37.05%0.4403✗1.001.5M2022-07-13
XYMSymbolnative0.04860.047648-1.96%0.050805+4.54%0.1408✗0.7357k2022-07-13
FLOWFlownative1.5861.5552-1.94%1.511-4.73%0.0763✗1.00608k2022-07-13
XEMNEMnative0.0390060.03826-1.91%0.038841-0.42%0.1561✗1.3431k2022-07-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08330.081757-1.85%0.0863+3.60%0.2077✗1.46402k2022-07-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.058817-1.81%0.0488-18.53%0.0192✓1.59141k2022-07-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5990.589355-1.61%0.594-0.83%0.1210✗1.08365k2022-07-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009710.009556-1.58%0.00939-3.30%0.1004✗1.1213.3M2022-07-13
TRXTRONTron0.0637010.062694-1.58%0.066231+3.97%0.1548✗0.95715k2022-07-13
APEApeCoinEthereum3.4853.4308-1.55%4.58+31.42%0.4901✗1.9117.0M2022-07-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0480.04729-1.48%0.0426-11.25%0.0568✗1.5323k2022-07-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56490.556651-1.46%0.8034+42.22%0.4922✗1.192.8M2022-07-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.70.690393-1.37%0.8829+26.13%0.4163✗1.622.7M2022-07-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1360.134176-1.34%0.1331-2.13%0.1447✗1.453.8M2022-07-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30390.299863-1.33%0.3097+1.91%0.1606✗1.2214.4M2022-07-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.0923.0515-1.31%2.799-9.48%0.0056✓0.881.8M2022-07-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.06892.0444-1.18%2.0881+0.93%0.1228✗0.973.1M2022-07-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.828490.81886-1.16%0.81417-1.73%0.1405✗1.39789k2022-07-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4142.3887-1.05%2.185-9.49%0.0158✗1.0063k2022-07-13
QNTQuantEthereum49.6649.1487-1.03%84.78+70.72%0.6485✗0.982.0M2022-07-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1067610.105712-0.98%0.105275-1.39%0.1099✗1.0810.3M2022-07-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03580.035453-0.97%0.0457+27.65%0.4041✗1.43383k2022-07-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13350.132226-0.95%0.0903-32.36%0.2791✓0.97258k2022-07-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1451.1354-0.83%1.798+57.03%0.6158✗1.4973k2022-07-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.007630.007568-0.81%0.005549-27.28%0.2004✓1.052,4432022-07-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6620.656681-0.80%0.655-1.06%0.1447✗1.40578k2022-07-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.08212.0657-0.79%2.1876+5.07%0.2535✗1.8715k2022-07-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.018290.01815-0.77%0.02366+29.36%0.4656✗1.9137.4M2022-07-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.258220.256393-0.71%0.29183+13.02%0.2699✗1.34453k2022-07-13
KCSKuCoinnative11.70611.6264-0.68%8.937-23.65%0.1470✓1.105.3M2022-07-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.23961.2315-0.65%1.2847+3.64%0.1741✗1.251.7M2022-07-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV46.67746.3753-0.65%51.858+11.10%0.2055✗0.891.2M2022-07-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8081.7967-0.62%2.1+16.15%0.3210✗1.5797k2022-07-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.257190.255639-0.60%0.28736+11.73%0.2730✗1.4811k2022-07-13
XECeCashnative0.000038270.000038073-0.52%0.00003864+0.97%0.1560✗1.343.0M2022-07-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4470.444704-0.51%0.484+8.28%0.2390✗1.47116k2022-07-13
LSKLiskEthereum0.9390690.934278-0.51%1.014+7.98%0.2117✗1.2448k2022-07-13
HIVEHivenative0.35840.356762-0.46%0.4221+17.77%0.3200✗1.451.1M2022-07-13
BANDBandEthereum1.3181.3122-0.44%1.285-2.50%0.1434✗1.56342k2022-07-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25740.256498-0.35%0.2657+3.22%0.1688✗1.276.2M2022-07-13
UMAUMAEthereum1.9971.9905-0.33%2.535+26.94%0.3814✗1.331.1M2022-07-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3295.315-0.26%5.295-0.64%0.1373✗1.342.5M2022-07-13
ZENHorizenBase14.1214.089-0.22%15.29+8.29%0.2342✗1.4565k2022-07-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.4913.4638-0.19%13.37-0.89%0.1453✗1.452.3M2022-07-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.752.7463-0.13%2.789+1.42%0.1323✗1.11686k2022-07-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.148.1292-0.13%14.62+79.61%0.6974✗1.05283k2022-07-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0422.0402-0.09%2.139+4.75%0.2025✗1.48126k2022-07-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.368.3554-0.06%8.12-2.87%0.0934✗1.16502k2022-07-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3920.391881-0.03%0.647+65.05%0.6709✗1.614,2732022-07-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.009050.009047-0.03%0.00888-1.88%0.0924✗1.061.5M2022-07-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09910.099087-0.01%0.1028+3.73%0.1535✗1.117,2892022-07-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.680.679937-0.01%0.8573+26.07%0.3843✗1.45198k2022-07-13
ADACardanoCardano0.46360.463796+0.04%0.4382-5.48%0.0916✓1.4152.0M2022-07-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.414.4073+0.05%14.41+0.07%0.1361✓1.292.6M2022-07-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3010.301211+0.07%0.3891+29.27%0.4353✓1.71496k2022-07-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1070.107117+0.11%0.0741-30.75%0.2286✗1.334,0262022-07-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003310.003314+0.11%–pending––1.194,6932022-07-13
MOVRMoonriverBase14.648714.6711+0.15%11.9814-18.21%0.0602✗1.35222k2022-07-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2926+0.20%1.38+6.98%0.2377✓1.64574k2022-07-13
FTTFTXEthereum24.5124.5686+0.24%25+2.00%0.1134✓0.919.1M2022-07-13
ZECZcashZcash65.4865.647+0.26%54.92-16.13%0.0335✗1.383.6M2022-07-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0541720.054312+0.26%0.061838+14.15%0.2603✓1.241.3M2022-07-13
GTGateEthereum4.24454.2574+0.31%3.9594-6.72%0.0025✓0.672.1M2022-07-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.88461.891+0.34%1.7394-7.71%0.0586✓1.3558k2022-07-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2520410.252945+0.36%0.283091+12.32%0.2662✓1.462.3M2022-07-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05080.050992+0.38%0.0428-15.75%0.0182✗1.491.6M2022-07-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008020.000008051+0.39%0.00001053+31.30%0.4013✓1.26850k2022-07-13
DASHDashDash42.5942.7685+0.42%42.39-0.47%0.1107✓1.14837k2022-07-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.5910.593545+0.43%0.885+49.75%0.5901✓1.811.8M2022-07-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.1491.1545+0.48%1.75+52.31%0.5674✓1.44826k2022-07-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.521.5275+0.49%1.62+6.58%0.1887✓1.24270k2022-07-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02910.029244+0.50%0.036+23.71%0.3505✓1.36247k2022-07-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,207.821,214.20+0.53%1,114.26-7.75%0.0310✓1.11344.3M2022-07-13
KSMKusamaHydration46.0846.336+0.56%49.06+6.47%0.1852✓1.221.0M2022-07-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09140.091946+0.60%0.1027+12.36%0.2351✓1.18733k2022-07-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.007330.007374+0.60%0.006749-7.93%0.0044✓0.80153k2022-07-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7780.782747+0.61%0.606-22.11%0.1367✗1.131.0M2022-07-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.09450.095097+0.63%0.1019+7.83%0.1985✓1.23795k2022-07-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16110.162227+0.70%0.1458-9.50%0.0452✓1.45805k2022-07-13
DIADIAEthereum0.380090.382764+0.70%0.39062+2.77%0.0905✓0.67271k2022-07-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05610.056496+0.71%0.0719+28.16%0.3743✓1.27153k2022-07-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3320.334387+0.72%0.376+13.25%0.2419✓1.1915k2022-07-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.206+0.73%2.2+0.46%0.1827✓1.76294k2022-07-13
BTTCBTTC8.10e-78.16e-7+0.77%8.40e-7+3.70%0.1226✓0.895.5M2022-07-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0182580.018403+0.79%0.020208+10.68%0.2229✓1.239,7572022-07-13
NANOnanopayBase0.8458840.852602+0.79%0.863212+2.05%0.1384✓1.20120k2022-07-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,471.7022,659.70+0.84%20,219.90-10.02%0.0102✗0.9929k2022-07-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.534.5683+0.85%5.49+21.19%0.3352✓1.44411k2022-07-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum5.9175.9698+0.89%6.172+4.31%0.1716✓1.3237.2M2022-07-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.018830.018998+0.89%0.01912+1.54%0.1239✓1.12151k2022-07-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132590.133803+0.91%0.12248-7.63%0.0846✓1.65260k2022-07-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.880.888253+0.94%0.4603-47.69%0.5407✗1.1168k2022-07-13
XTZTezosTezos1.40081.4141+0.95%1.5191+8.45%0.2109✓1.33914k2022-07-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37650.380246+0.99%0.3692-1.94%0.1313✓1.53160k2022-07-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7180.725234+1.01%1.0482+45.99%0.5150✓1.405.1M2022-07-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10660.107691+1.02%0.0938-12.01%0.0154✓1.465.4M2022-07-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.0916.2549+1.02%18.81+16.90%0.3011✓1.4849.3M2022-07-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002850.00288+1.04%0.002746-3.65%0.0737✓1.152.1M2022-07-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.4956.563+1.05%8.218+26.53%0.3634✓1.3215.2M2022-07-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,951.675,007.99+1.14%5,907.64+19.31%0.2995✓1.283.6M2022-07-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.19920.201477+1.14%0.2356+18.27%0.2822✓1.2087k2022-07-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,460.9722,719.09+1.15%20,220.23-9.98%0.0114✗1.00582.4M2022-07-13
SUSHISushiEthereum0.970.981325+1.17%1.24+27.84%0.4006✓1.591.1M2022-07-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09260.09369+1.18%0.0868-6.26%0.0844✓1.531.2M2022-07-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.13050.132056+1.19%0.1644+25.98%0.3441✓1.192,3482022-07-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8580.868642+1.24%0.603-29.72%0.1726✗1.83319k2022-07-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.16070.162712+1.25%0.1823+13.44%0.2712✓1.50196k2022-07-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0129610.013124+1.26%0.017797+37.31%0.3587✓0.52375k2022-07-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.05190.052559+1.27%0.0614+18.30%0.3039✓1.41405k2022-07-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0327.123+1.29%6.464-8.08%0.0394✓1.3013.5M2022-07-13
XMRMoneroMonero132.56134.3388+1.34%124.11-6.37%0.0397✓1.131.7M2022-07-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.12720.128924+1.36%0.1355+6.53%0.1994✓1.42169k2022-07-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2551.2726+1.41%1.417+12.91%0.2876✓1.71236k2022-07-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003590.003641+1.41%0.0039+8.64%0.2318✓1.55213k2022-07-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.012810.012992+1.42%0.011938-6.81%0.0119✓0.922.0M2022-07-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.1950.198076+1.58%0.2274+16.62%0.2859✓1.41432k2022-07-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006320.00642+1.59%0.00629-0.47%0.0927✓1.08607k2022-07-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4930.501058+1.63%0.4944+0.28%0.1340✓1.40886k2022-07-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.371680.37812+1.73%0.63818+71.70%0.6857✓1.5461k2022-07-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026350.026855+1.91%0.02673+1.44%0.1402✓1.3817k2022-07-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10130.103356+2.03%0.127+25.37%0.3583✓1.4549k2022-07-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008280.000845672+2.13%0.0009324+12.61%0.2427✓1.381.8M2022-07-13
SOLSolanaSolana28.5829.2586+2.37%34.94+22.25%0.3231✓1.39104.0M2022-07-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2560.262372+2.49%0.282+10.16%0.1886✓1.11847k2022-07-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.60.61535+2.56%0.7812+30.20%0.3541✓1.1060k2022-07-13
STXStacksnative0.3470.35627+2.67%0.3774+8.76%0.1987✓1.34165k2022-07-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.067204+2.76%0.0503-23.09%0.2071✗0.79299k2022-07-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045620.046881+2.76%0.05517+20.93%0.3066✓1.3760k2022-07-13
COMPCompoundEthereum35.7336.7235+2.78%48.39+35.43%0.4292✓1.4630k2022-07-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.9121.9662+2.83%2.515+31.54%0.4350✓1.803.0M2022-07-13
XVSVenusEthereum3.883.9965+3.00%5.07+30.67%0.4157✓1.691.5M2022-07-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin43.4544.8228+3.16%49.5+13.92%0.2242✓1.1917.5M2022-07-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.22050.227469+3.16%0.2391+8.44%0.1880✓1.3131k2022-07-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.69e-7+3.23%3.58e-7+0.16%0.0619✓0.881.1M2022-07-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.4425.6182+3.24%6.493+19.31%0.2948✓1.4310.6M2022-07-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash126.93132.2562+4.20%102.54-19.22%0.1299✗1.194.4M2022-07-13
UNIUniswapEthereum3.6623.8165+4.22%6.118+67.07%0.6114✓1.332.7M2022-07-13
XVGVergenative0.003030.003169+4.57%0.0034+12.21%0.2230✓1.45628k2022-07-13
AAVEAaveEthereum59.7462.6615+4.89%79.78+33.55%0.4207✓1.707.6M2022-07-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.