8=======>

2022-06-12 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 173 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2545
173 of 173 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.14%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
87.9%
in alpha space · 16.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-15.42%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (173 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism0.6440.651917+1.23%0.545-15.37%0.0117✓1.007.3M2022-06-13
AAVEAaveEthereum70.371.0305+1.04%59.74-15.02%0.1455✓1.907.4M2022-06-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.11830.119346+0.88%0.1305+10.31%0.3740✓1.701,7522022-06-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.340.34272+0.80%0.301-11.47%0.2023✓1.98530k2022-06-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.01e-74.04e-7+0.77%3.58e-7-10.76%0.0362✓0.941.0M2022-06-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000069460.000069988+0.76%0.00006043-13.00%0.3767✓3.132.0M2022-06-13
APEApeCoinEthereum3.8853.914+0.75%3.485-10.30%0.2644✓2.2717.0M2022-06-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008250.000831142+0.74%0.000828+0.36%0.2955✓1.791.8M2022-06-13
COMPCompoundEthereum41.241.5039+0.74%35.73-13.28%0.1233✓1.6330k2022-06-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.341.3498+0.73%1.29-3.73%0.2957✓2.04580k2022-06-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.278965+0.71%0.256-7.58%0.1304✓1.29847k2022-06-13
XVGVergenative0.003420.003443+0.69%0.00303-11.40%0.1502✓1.66628k2022-06-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.6640.6685+0.68%0.591-10.99%0.2607✓2.291.8M2022-06-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20370.20503+0.65%0.1607-21.11%0.0114✓1.52196k2022-06-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.250.251619+0.65%0.2205-11.80%0.1181✓1.4931k2022-06-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008590.000008645+0.64%0.00000802-6.64%0.1778✓1.51850k2022-06-13
SOLSolanaSolana30.5630.7539+0.63%28.58-6.48%0.2056✓1.67103.2M2022-06-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.369.4193+0.63%8.36-10.68%0.0991✓1.30502k2022-06-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.788920.793838+0.62%0.82849+5.02%0.3555✓1.87789k2022-06-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche17.2717.3761+0.61%16.09-6.83%0.2214✓1.7847.8M2022-06-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.1851.1923+0.61%1.149-3.04%0.2652✓1.80826k2022-06-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.8640.869158+0.60%0.718-16.90%0.0568✓1.485.1M2022-06-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.10950.110151+0.59%0.149+36.07%0.5959✓1.753.2M2022-06-13
STXStacksnative0.41890.421383+0.59%0.347-17.16%0.0426✓1.41165k2022-06-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003180.003199+0.58%0.00285-10.38%0.1035✓1.312.1M2022-06-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634820.063846+0.57%0.054172-14.67%0.0576✓1.331.3M2022-06-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0122880.012358+0.57%0.01281+4.25%0.2463✓1.262.0M2022-06-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11140.112035+0.57%0.1066-4.31%0.2513✓1.805.4M2022-06-13
KSMKusamaHydration50.7851.0667+0.56%46.08-9.26%0.1317✓1.401.0M2022-06-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003680.003701+0.56%0.00331-10.05%0.1162✓1.364,6932022-06-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.10.10056+0.56%0.0926-7.40%0.2236✓1.831.1M2022-06-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.421730.424092+0.56%0.37168-11.87%0.1640✓1.7761k2022-06-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.630.633528+0.56%0.662+5.08%0.3587✓1.88578k2022-06-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.326404+0.56%0.3039-6.38%0.1723✓1.4614.4M2022-06-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,006.746,039.34+0.54%4,951.67-17.56%0.0230✓1.323.6M2022-06-13
MOVRMoonriverBase15.580915.663+0.53%14.6487-5.98%0.2070✓1.64222k2022-06-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.2962.3079+0.52%1.997-13.02%0.1026✓1.481.1M2022-06-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.067.0963+0.51%6.495-8.00%0.1725✓1.5615.2M2022-06-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.285550.287011+0.51%0.25822-9.57%0.1547✓1.55453k2022-06-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative16.5916.6744+0.51%14.4-13.20%0.0905✓1.422.3M2022-06-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3730.374857+0.50%0.332-10.99%0.1029✓1.3415k2022-06-13
GTGateEthereum4.85944.8835+0.50%4.2445-12.65%0.0351✗0.632.1M2022-06-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0830.083411+0.50%0.0833+0.36%0.3153✓1.89409k2022-06-13
DASHDashDash46.0546.2769+0.49%42.59-7.51%0.1398✓1.33837k2022-06-13
QNTQuantEthereum49.5749.8118+0.49%49.66+0.18%0.2090✓1.272.0M2022-06-13
FLOWFlownative1.7941.8027+0.48%1.586-11.59%0.0394✓1.00623k2022-06-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2461.252+0.48%1.145-8.11%0.2070✓1.7773k2022-06-13
HIVEHivenative0.43250.434582+0.48%0.3584-17.13%0.0645✓1.541.1M2022-06-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006870.006903+0.48%0.00632-8.01%0.1203✓1.25607k2022-06-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.05730.057574+0.48%0.0599+4.54%0.3950✓2.12141k2022-06-13
UNIUniswapEthereum4.0544.0731+0.47%3.662-9.67%0.1497✓1.532.6M2022-06-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004050.004069+0.47%0.00359-11.36%0.1734✓1.78213k2022-06-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057920.058191+0.47%0.04562-21.24%0.0159✗1.3649k2022-06-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.9790.983526+0.46%0.858-12.36%0.2192✓2.12319k2022-06-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4391.4456+0.46%1.2396-13.86%0.0735✓1.361.7M2022-06-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.14430.144955+0.45%0.1272-11.85%0.1390✓1.61169k2022-06-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.307120.308502+0.45%0.28493-7.23%0.1693✓1.49105k2022-06-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40540.407199+0.44%0.3765-7.13%0.2281✓1.83146k2022-06-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.09720.097615+0.43%0.0945-2.78%0.2238✓1.53795k2022-06-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.650.652776+0.43%0.599-7.85%0.1224✓1.24365k2022-06-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.6365.66+0.43%5.442-3.44%0.2580✓1.7810.6M2022-06-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06570.065979+0.42%0.0561-14.61%0.0667✓1.37153k2022-06-13
XEMNEMnative0.0417190.041895+0.42%0.039006-6.50%0.1977✓1.6131k2022-06-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,433.191,439.22+0.42%1,207.82-15.73%0.0154✓1.14340.5M2022-06-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4314.4906+0.42%13.49-6.51%0.2216✓1.752.3M2022-06-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.09211.0967+0.42%0.939069-14.01%0.0677✓1.3348k2022-06-13
BANDBandEthereum1.4171.4229+0.42%1.318-6.99%0.2384✓1.88342k2022-06-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.15.1213+0.42%4.53-11.18%0.1535✓1.65405k2022-06-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.150430.151056+0.42%0.13259-11.86%0.1887✓1.91260k2022-06-13
SGBSongbirdnative0.0280.028116+0.41%0.0244-12.86%0.0746✗0.40138k2022-06-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4841.4901+0.41%1.255-15.43%0.1491✓1.92236k2022-06-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11990.120389+0.41%0.1013-15.51%0.0908✓1.5749k2022-06-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.97146.5517+0.40%126.93-13.04%0.0716✓1.294.4M2022-06-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.011.014+0.39%0.88-12.87%0.0585✓1.2068k2022-06-13
NANOnanopayBase0.9111030.91457+0.38%0.845884-7.16%0.1582✓1.41120k2022-06-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15630.156893+0.38%0.1335-14.59%0.0063✓1.00268k2022-06-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.051996+0.38%0.0508-1.93%0.2912✓1.881.6M2022-06-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.35962.3685+0.38%2.313-1.97%0.2175✓1.443.0M2022-06-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.0832.0909+0.38%2.0689-0.68%0.1960✓1.233.3M2022-06-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.2162.2242+0.37%1.912-13.72%0.1915✓2.052.9M2022-06-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.8648.0374+0.37%43.45-9.21%0.1279✓1.3617.5M2022-06-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029290.029398+0.37%0.02635-10.04%0.1566✓1.5917k2022-06-13
XMRMoneroMonero159.28159.8633+0.37%132.56-16.78%0.0029✓1.141.7M2022-06-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009460.009494+0.36%0.00971+2.64%0.2711✓1.4813.3M2022-06-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum9.329.3538+0.36%8.14-12.66%0.0503✓1.13281k2022-06-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23170.232539+0.36%0.195-15.84%0.0774✓1.51432k2022-06-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.660.662385+0.36%0.6-9.09%0.1116✓1.2663k2022-06-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.422.4287+0.36%2.19-9.50%0.2466✓2.09294k2022-06-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.010070.010106+0.36%0.00905-10.13%0.0875✓1.181.5M2022-06-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.030.030107+0.36%0.0291-3.00%0.2486✓1.69221k2022-06-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.266.2823+0.36%5.917-5.48%0.2063✓1.5932.8M2022-06-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28160.282596+0.35%0.2574-8.59%0.1547✓1.486.2M2022-06-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07880.079078+0.35%0.0654-17.01%0.0722✗0.70274k2022-06-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008180.008209+0.35%0.00733-10.39%0.0294✓0.85153k2022-06-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10720.107572+0.35%0.0991-7.56%0.1347✓1.296,7702022-06-13
ZECZcashZcash79.3279.593+0.34%65.48-17.45%0.0474✓1.453.6M2022-06-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin26,555.2026,646.52+0.34%22,460.97-15.42%0.0034✗1.00538.8M2022-06-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3937.418+0.34%7.032-4.88%0.2115✓1.5813.5M2022-06-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.710.712393+0.34%0.68-4.23%0.2526✓1.79198k2022-06-13
DIADIAEthereum0.423270.424695+0.34%0.38009-10.20%0.0034✓0.68249k2022-06-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6725.691+0.33%5.329-6.05%0.2060✓1.622.5M2022-06-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1892.1963+0.33%2.042-6.72%0.2245✓1.78139k2022-06-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.490.491631+0.33%0.447-8.78%0.1946✓1.73116k2022-06-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4890.490625+0.33%0.493+0.82%0.3082✓1.81886k2022-06-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.58690.588849+0.33%0.5649-3.75%0.2011✓1.452.8M2022-06-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7330.735427+0.33%0.7-4.50%0.2854✓2.002.7M2022-06-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0127240.012765+0.32%0.012961+1.86%0.1320✓0.70324k2022-06-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.23160.232329+0.31%0.1992-13.99%0.0612✓1.28100k2022-06-13
ZENHorizenBase15.1515.1975+0.31%14.12-6.80%0.2184✓1.7465k2022-06-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09740.097704+0.31%0.0914-6.16%0.1703✓1.42733k2022-06-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.721.7253+0.31%1.52-11.63%0.1047✓1.38270k2022-06-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9450.947912+0.31%0.853-9.74%0.0619✓1.001.4M2022-06-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.314450.315376+0.29%0.25719-18.21%0.0599✓1.5814k2022-06-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.626.6387+0.28%6.79+2.57%0.1370✓0.682.0M2022-06-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.0630.063176+0.28%0.0519-17.62%0.0512✓1.48403k2022-06-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2975760.298401+0.28%0.252041-15.30%0.0974✓1.592.3M2022-06-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.450.451214+0.27%0.392-12.89%0.1691✓1.854,3562022-06-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.131.1329+0.25%0.97-14.16%0.1424✓1.781.1M2022-06-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9530.955413+0.25%0.778-18.36%0.0162✗1.131.0M2022-06-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.018150.018195+0.25%0.01829+0.77%0.4165✓2.4632.1M2022-06-13
ADACardanoCardano0.48990.491106+0.25%0.4636-5.37%0.2287✓1.7149.8M2022-06-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.514390.51565+0.24%0.45073-12.38%0.2527✓2.313.1M2022-06-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.213.2175+0.23%2.75-14.33%0.0384✓1.17722k2022-06-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.02240.022452+0.23%0.018258-18.49%0.0003✓1.2310k2022-06-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.294.2998+0.23%3.88-9.56%0.2312✓1.991.5M2022-06-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1185560.118827+0.23%0.106761-9.95%0.0957✓1.2110.3M2022-06-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.11350.113747+0.22%0.107-5.73%0.2416✓1.814,0262022-06-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.78991.7937+0.21%1.7211-3.84%0.1548✓1.173.4M2022-06-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04230.04239+0.21%0.0358-15.37%0.0901✓1.55383k2022-06-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18870.189096+0.21%0.1611-14.63%0.1051✓1.58751k2022-06-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.14742.1518+0.21%1.8846-12.24%0.1207✓1.5155k2022-06-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV48.27348.3715+0.20%46.677-3.31%0.1461✓1.091.1M2022-06-13
DODODODOEthereum0.15040.150693+0.19%0.136-9.57%0.1810✓1.693.4M2022-06-13
XECeCashnative0.000041050.000041129+0.19%0.00003827-6.77%0.1958✓1.603.0M2022-06-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.458.4663+0.19%8.03-4.97%0.2907✓2.052.7M2022-06-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05020.050292+0.18%0.048-4.38%0.2696✓1.8923k2022-06-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8490.850499+0.18%0.776-8.60%0.0990✓1.141.7M2022-06-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.08713.0923+0.17%2.7762-10.07%0.1184✓1.3533k2022-06-13
XTZTezosTezos1.63561.6383+0.16%1.4008-14.36%0.0840✓1.44894k2022-06-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053150.053234+0.16%0.04897-7.86%0.2654✓2.081.8M2022-06-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.72.7042+0.16%2.414-10.59%0.0692✓1.0963k2022-06-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum26,697.3026,738.61+0.15%22,471.70-15.83%0.0106✗0.9729k2022-06-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.113.1145+0.14%3.092-0.58%0.1785✓1.111.8M2022-06-13
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.31e-7+0.14%8.10e-7-12.90%0.0141✓0.925.5M2022-06-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.644.6463+0.14%4.54-2.16%0.1283✓0.901.6M2022-06-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.553.5545+0.13%3.52-0.85%0.1541✓0.981.7M2022-06-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42852.4313+0.11%2.0821-14.26%0.2016✓2.1313k2022-06-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04370.043747+0.11%0.03724-14.78%0.0288✓1.133,6542022-06-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.008670.008679+0.10%0.00763-12.00%0.0593✓1.122,4432022-06-13
FTTFTXEthereum27.927.9269+0.10%24.51-12.15%0.0290✓0.959.1M2022-06-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.203194+0.10%0.189-6.90%0.2699✓2.041.1M2022-06-13
XYMSymbolnative0.05250.052541+0.08%0.0486-7.43%0.0584✓0.8157k2022-06-13
KCSKuCoinnative14.12214.1286+0.05%11.706-17.11%0.0045✗1.105.3M2022-06-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2292.2298+0.03%1.808-18.89%0.0842✓1.7697k2022-06-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023080.023087+0.03%0.01883-18.41%0.0204✗1.10151k2022-06-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.9980.998254+0.03%0.80971-18.87%0.0063✓1.296,0082022-06-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.24.2008+0.02%4.2+0.00%0.1557✓0.931.5M2022-06-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.833.8293-0.02%4.17+8.88%0.2232✗0.821.9M2022-06-13
STEEMSteemnative0.2080.207957-0.02%0.1835-11.78%0.1302✗1.52585k2022-06-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.51145.5093-0.04%5.3088-3.68%0.0143✗0.31235k2022-06-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050670.050643-0.05%0.04329-14.56%0.0402✗1.1815k2022-06-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023080.023068-0.05%0.01967-14.77%0.0560✓0.62637k2022-06-13
TRXTRONTron0.0761310.076084-0.06%0.063701-16.33%0.0256✓0.91682k2022-06-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6753.6681-0.19%3.335-9.25%0.0413✗0.826.4M2022-06-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0263.0203-0.19%3.286+8.59%0.2270✗0.854.3M2022-06-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.212.1768-0.19%11.71-4.02%0.3122✗2.10252k2022-06-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20171.1991-0.22%1.0426-13.24%0.0084✓0.799702022-06-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073690.073451-0.32%0.0647-12.20%0.0406✗1.001,6002022-06-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7231.7154-0.44%1.458-15.38%0.1076✗1.615.1M2022-06-13
PROPropyEthereum1.051.0431-0.65%0.9-14.29%0.0261✓0.73183k2022-06-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2943.2696-0.74%3.225-2.09%0.1396✗0.923.7M2022-06-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.131.1161-1.23%0.941-16.73%0.2092✗2.2710.6M2022-06-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.691.6447-2.68%1.61-4.73%0.1082✗0.77153k2022-06-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.