8=======>

2022-06-12 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2823
170 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+19.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.2%
in alpha space · 50.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-27.31%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WOOWOOEthereum0.11830.12511+5.76%0.1686+42.52%0.8405✓1.701,7522022-07-12
AAVEAaveEthereum70.373.5162+4.57%68.24-2.93%0.5324✓1.907.4M2022-07-12
COMPCompoundEthereum41.243.069+4.54%46.78+13.54%0.6028✓1.6330k2022-07-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.288894+4.29%0.259-6.50%0.3028✓1.29847k2022-07-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.10950.113907+4.02%0.1038-5.21%0.4667✓1.753.2M2022-07-12
XVGVergenative0.003420.003555+3.94%0.00316-7.60%0.4120✓1.66628k2022-07-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,006.746,224.90+3.63%5,437.91-9.47%0.2869✓1.323.6M2022-07-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057920.059976+3.55%0.05308-8.36%0.3112✓1.3649k2022-07-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.10.103501+3.50%0.0827-17.30%0.3585✓1.831.1M2022-07-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.250.258485+3.39%0.2259-9.64%0.3416✓1.4931k2022-07-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003680.003796+3.15%–pending––1.364,6932022-07-12
STXStacksnative0.41890.432024+3.13%0.3597-14.13%0.2679✓1.41165k2022-07-12
SCSiacoinnative0.004050.004176+3.11%0.00364-10.12%0.4314✓1.78213k2022-07-12
SOLSolanaSolana30.5631.5051+3.09%32.66+6.87%0.5672✓1.67103.2M2022-07-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.660.68022+3.06%0.778+17.88%0.5352✓1.2663k2022-07-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008180.008428+3.03%0.006495-20.60%0.0112✓0.85153k2022-07-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0830.085454+2.96%0.0822-0.96%0.5643✓1.89409k2022-07-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.341.3791+2.92%1.31-2.24%0.5981✓2.04580k2022-07-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008590.000008835+2.85%0.00000989+15.13%0.5943✓1.51850k2022-07-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.369.6236+2.82%7.74-17.31%0.1981✓1.30502k2022-07-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.421730.433523+2.80%0.60811+44.19%0.9021✓1.7761k2022-07-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003180.003265+2.68%0.002623-17.52%0.1978✓1.312.1M2022-07-12
UNIUniswapEthereum4.0544.1561+2.52%5.528+36.36%0.7730✓1.532.6M2022-07-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3730.382308+2.50%0.373+0.00%0.4026✓1.3415k2022-07-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.2962.3531+2.49%2.538+10.54%0.5467✓1.481.1M2022-07-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.053085+2.48%0.0415-19.88%0.3527✓1.881.6M2022-07-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07880.080749+2.47%0.0483-38.71%0.2897✗0.70274k2022-07-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634820.064998+2.39%0.059797-5.81%0.3393✓1.331.3M2022-07-12
XEMNEMnative0.0417190.042665+2.27%0.037692-9.65%0.3888✓1.6131k2022-07-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008250.000843032+2.19%0.0009021+9.35%0.6377✓1.791.8M2022-07-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.285550.291689+2.15%0.26761-6.28%0.4098✓1.55453k2022-07-12
BANDBandEthereum1.4171.4472+2.13%1.226-13.48%0.4341✓1.88342k2022-07-12
HIVEHivenative0.43250.441626+2.11%0.415-4.05%0.4277✓1.541.1M2022-07-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10720.109365+2.02%0.1017-5.13%0.3401✓1.296,7702022-07-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.030.030602+2.01%0.0349+16.33%0.6697✓1.69221k2022-07-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40540.413364+1.96%0.3603-11.12%0.4464✓1.83146k2022-07-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.330938+1.95%0.2923-9.95%0.3400✓1.4614.4M2022-07-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.1851.2076+1.91%1.677+41.52%0.9039✓1.80826k2022-07-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11140.11345+1.84%0.0874-21.54%0.3125✓1.805.4M2022-07-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.09211.1121+1.84%0.991597-9.20%0.3097✓1.3348k2022-07-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.650.661774+1.81%0.558-14.15%0.2264✓1.24365k2022-07-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.05730.0583+1.74%0.0469-18.15%0.4594✓2.12141k2022-07-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum9.329.4801+1.72%15.24+63.52%0.8353✓1.13281k2022-07-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15630.158973+1.71%0.092-41.14%0.2273✗1.00268k2022-07-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.307120.312285+1.68%0.36718+19.56%0.6357✓1.49105k2022-07-12
DIADIAEthereum0.423270.430342+1.67%0.36924-12.76%0.0646✓0.68249k2022-07-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.011.0267+1.66%0.4374-56.69%0.4720✗1.2068k2022-07-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.150430.15289+1.64%0.11445-23.92%0.3182✓1.91260k2022-07-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.01e-74.07e-7+1.55%3.61e-7-10.00%0.1797✓0.941.0M2022-07-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.067.1674+1.52%7.792+10.37%0.5808✓1.5615.2M2022-07-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.14430.146488+1.52%0.1314-8.94%0.4050✓1.61169k2022-07-12
NANOnanopayBase0.9111030.924761+1.50%0.84082-7.71%0.3549✓1.41120k2022-07-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.630.639293+1.48%0.633+0.48%0.5896✓1.88578k2022-07-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11990.121663+1.47%0.1231+2.67%0.5136✓1.5749k2022-07-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.97148.1068+1.46%97.19-33.42%0.0111✓1.294.4M2022-07-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.788920.800339+1.45%0.78392-0.63%0.5751✓1.87789k2022-07-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.15.1723+1.42%5.14+0.78%0.5198✓1.65405k2022-07-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23170.234979+1.42%0.2221-4.14%0.4264✓1.51432k2022-07-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.213.2548+1.39%2.51-21.81%0.1123✓1.17722k2022-07-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.6640.67304+1.36%0.847+27.56%0.9611✓2.291.8M2022-07-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.58690.594746+1.34%0.7484+27.52%0.6918✓1.452.8M2022-07-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20370.206359+1.31%0.1812-11.05%0.3557✓1.52196k2022-07-12
DASHDashDash46.0546.6241+1.25%39.75-13.68%0.2648✓1.33837k2022-07-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4841.5021+1.22%1.263-14.89%0.4378✓1.92236k2022-07-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.8648.412+1.15%47.28-1.21%0.4110✓1.3617.5M2022-07-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.0630.063715+1.14%0.0602-4.44%0.4152✓1.48403k2022-07-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.2162.2407+1.11%2.32+4.69%0.6877✓2.052.9M2022-07-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3937.4753+1.11%6.273-15.15%0.3292✓1.5813.5M2022-07-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.340.343632+1.07%0.3739+9.97%0.7169✓1.98530k2022-07-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.010070.010168+0.97%0.00877-12.91%0.2290✓1.181.5M2022-07-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.09720.098047+0.87%0.0966-0.62%0.4732✓1.53795k2022-07-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28160.284022+0.86%0.2544-9.66%0.3624✓1.486.2M2022-07-12
QNTQuantEthereum49.5749.9939+0.86%80.2+61.79%0.8766✓1.272.0M2022-07-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche17.2717.4139+0.83%16.73-3.13%0.5280✓1.7847.8M2022-07-12
GTGateEthereum4.85944.8997+0.83%3.7877-22.05%0.0572✗0.632.1M2022-07-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.710.715841+0.82%0.8537+20.24%0.7459✓1.79198k2022-07-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.9790.986971+0.81%0.577-41.06%0.1407✓2.12319k2022-07-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.23160.233478+0.81%0.23-0.69%0.3945✓1.28100k2022-07-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.266.3073+0.76%5.944-5.05%0.4478✓1.5932.8M2022-07-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006870.006918+0.70%0.00616-10.33%0.2811✓1.25607k2022-07-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.6365.6755+0.70%6.277+11.37%0.6670✓1.7810.6M2022-07-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2461.254+0.64%1.737+39.41%0.8903✓1.7773k2022-07-12
XMRMoneroMonero159.28160.2924+0.64%122.96-22.80%0.0971✓1.141.7M2022-07-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029290.029467+0.60%0.026-11.23%0.3815✓1.5917k2022-07-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09740.097987+0.60%0.0999+2.57%0.4707✓1.42733k2022-07-12
XECeCashnative0.000041050.00004128+0.56%0.00003731-9.11%0.4091✓1.603.0M2022-07-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.422.432+0.50%2.12-12.40%0.5294✓2.09294k2022-07-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.02240.022496+0.43%0.019824-11.50%0.2668✓1.2310k2022-07-12
KSMKusamaHydration50.7850.9903+0.41%46.86-7.72%0.3621✓1.401.0M2022-07-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8490.852231+0.38%0.765-9.89%0.2552✓1.141.7M2022-07-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0122880.012326+0.31%0.01164-5.27%0.3436✓1.262.0M2022-07-12
ZECZcashZcash79.3279.5235+0.26%51.92-34.54%0.0356✓1.453.6M2022-07-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18870.189113+0.22%0.1362-27.82%0.1772✓1.58751k2022-07-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.0832.087+0.19%2.0329-2.41%0.3672✓1.233.3M2022-07-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,433.191,435.86+0.19%1,037.34-27.62%0.0381✓1.14340.5M2022-07-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.490.49084+0.17%0.462-5.71%0.4915✓1.73116k2022-07-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative16.5916.6163+0.16%13.82-16.70%0.2674✓1.422.3M2022-07-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.8640.86503+0.12%0.8753+1.31%0.4840✓1.485.1M2022-07-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin26,555.2026,581.69+0.10%19,303.65-27.31%0.0010✗1.00538.8M2022-07-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV48.27348.3084+0.07%49.484+2.51%0.3703✓1.091.1M2022-07-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0127240.012731+0.05%0.017618+38.46%0.5473✓0.70324k2022-07-12
RADRadworksEthereum1.721.7204+0.02%1.6-6.98%0.3682✓1.38270k2022-07-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06570.065695-0.01%0.0711+8.22%0.5151✗1.37153k2022-07-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7330.732639-0.05%0.8264+12.74%0.7580✗2.002.7M2022-07-12
XVSVenusEthereum4.294.2876-0.06%4.65+8.39%0.7172✗1.991.5M2022-07-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2975760.297208-0.12%0.272174-8.54%0.4191✗1.592.3M2022-07-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.450.449227-0.17%0.608+35.11%0.8927✗1.854,3562022-07-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum26,697.3026,644.55-0.20%19,265.30-27.84%0.0134✓0.9729k2022-07-12
APEApeCoinEthereum3.8853.8771-0.20%4.237+9.06%0.8135✗2.2717.0M2022-07-12
MOVRMoonriverBase15.580915.5405-0.26%11.1506-28.43%0.1899✗1.64222k2022-07-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009460.009435-0.26%0.00959+1.37%0.4899✗1.4813.3M2022-07-12
DODODODOEthereum0.15040.149843-0.37%0.1227-18.42%0.3404✗1.693.4M2022-07-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1185560.11808-0.40%0.10045-15.27%0.2246✗1.2110.3M2022-07-12
ZENHorizenBase15.1515.0719-0.52%14.3-5.61%0.5036✗1.7465k2022-07-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05020.049921-0.56%0.0404-19.52%0.3907✗1.8923k2022-07-12
ADACardanoCardano0.48990.487106-0.57%0.4165-14.98%0.3888✗1.7149.8M2022-07-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.314450.312652-0.57%0.28233-10.21%0.4006✗1.5814k2022-07-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4314.3397-0.63%12.83-11.09%0.4471✗1.752.3M2022-07-12
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.24e-7-0.63%8.00e-7-13.98%0.1484✗0.925.5M2022-07-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6725.6352-0.65%5.074-10.54%0.4126✗1.622.5M2022-07-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.35962.3443-0.65%2.2234-5.77%0.4066✗1.443.0M2022-07-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.018150.018026-0.68%0.02268+24.96%1.0131✗2.4632.1M2022-07-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.14742.132-0.72%1.6352-23.86%0.2172✗1.5155k2022-07-12
XYMSymbolnative0.05250.052097-0.77%0.050021-4.72%0.2191✗0.8157k2022-07-12
FTTFTXEthereum27.927.6835-0.78%23.87-14.44%0.1556✗0.959.1M2022-07-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04370.043357-0.79%–pending––1.133,6542022-07-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.626.5624-0.87%5.93-10.42%0.1166✗0.682.0M2022-07-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1892.1696-0.89%2.014-7.99%0.4919✗1.78139k2022-07-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.113.0823-0.89%2.747-11.67%0.2385✗1.111.8M2022-07-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4890.484622-0.90%0.4639-5.13%0.5341✗1.81886k2022-07-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04230.04191-0.92%0.0444+4.96%0.5512✗1.55383k2022-07-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.72.6738-0.97%2.205-18.33%0.1552✗1.0963k2022-07-12
XTZTezosTezos1.63561.6192-1.01%1.4325-12.42%0.3359✗1.44894k2022-07-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.08713.0516-1.15%2.5959-15.91%0.2691✗1.3533k2022-07-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.131.1151-1.32%1.12-0.88%0.5712✗1.781.1M2022-07-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.008670.008547-1.43%0.005673-34.57%0.0514✓1.122,4432022-07-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9530.938749-1.50%0.574-39.77%0.1316✓1.131.0M2022-07-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.11350.11179-1.51%0.0733-35.42%0.1546✗1.814,0262022-07-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023080.022688-1.70%0.01901-17.63%0.1725✗1.10151k2022-07-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.644.559-1.75%4.26-8.19%0.2206✗0.901.6M2022-07-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.211.9681-1.90%14.51+18.93%0.8618✗2.10252k2022-07-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.553.4807-1.95%3.03-14.65%0.1733✗0.981.7M2022-07-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42852.3792-2.03%2.146-11.63%0.5761✗2.1313k2022-07-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.833.7424-2.29%3.46-9.66%0.1843✗0.821.9M2022-07-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023080.02252-2.43%0.01819-21.19%0.0167✓0.62637k2022-07-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4391.4038-2.45%1.1907-17.26%0.2683✗1.361.7M2022-07-12
KCSKuCoinnative14.12213.7747-2.46%8.659-38.68%0.1146✓1.105.3M2022-07-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.78991.7458-2.46%1.7188-3.97%0.3580✗1.173.4M2022-07-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.24.0931-2.54%3.81-9.29%0.2252✗0.931.5M2022-07-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.9980.972131-2.59%0.92188-7.63%0.3576✗1.296,0082022-07-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.458.2184-2.74%8.3-1.78%0.6643✗2.052.7M2022-07-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.197147-2.88%0.203+0.00%0.6813✗2.041.1M2022-07-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.51145.3426-3.06%5.389-2.22%0.1066✗0.31235k2022-07-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2292.1477-3.65%1.97-11.62%0.4734✗1.7697k2022-07-12
TRXTRONTron0.0761310.073236-3.80%0.064572-15.18%0.1637✗0.91682k2022-07-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050670.048696-3.90%0.0424-16.32%0.2369✗1.1815k2022-07-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053150.051074-3.91%0.04715-11.29%0.5845✗2.081.8M2022-07-12
STEEMSteemnative0.2080.199378-4.15%0.199-4.33%0.4844✗1.52585k2022-07-12
FLOWFlownative1.7941.7099-4.69%1.427-20.46%0.1381✗1.00623k2022-07-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9450.898495-4.92%1.088+15.13%0.5103✗1.001.4M2022-07-12
PROPropyEthereum1.050.998109-4.94%0.82-21.90%0.0349✓0.73183k2022-07-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20171.1419-4.98%0.67955-43.45%0.2686✓0.799702022-07-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0262.8693-5.18%3.422+13.09%0.4480✗0.854.3M2022-07-12
OPTIMOptimism0.6440.609486-5.36%0.451-29.97%0.0178✓1.007.3M2022-07-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.514390.485232-5.67%0.4556-11.43%0.6747✗2.313.1M2022-07-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.000069460.00006481-6.69%0.0000918+32.16%1.3453✗3.132.0M2022-07-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6753.4157-7.06%3.579-2.61%0.3067✗0.826.4M2022-07-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073690.068408-7.17%0.06505-11.72%0.2686✗1.001,6002022-07-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7231.5888-7.79%1.158-32.79%0.1984✗1.615.1M2022-07-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2943.0373-7.79%2.867-12.96%0.2343✗0.923.7M2022-07-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.691.5371-9.05%1.47-13.02%0.2022✗0.77153k2022-07-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.131.0047-11.09%0.776-31.33%0.4653✗2.2710.6M2022-07-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.