8=======>

2022-06-12 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1895
170 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+22.24%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
40.6%
in alpha space · 57.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-27.31%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000069460.000059291-14.64%0.0000918+32.16%1.4343✗3.132.0M2022-07-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7231.5363-10.84%1.158-32.79%0.2320✗1.615.1M2022-07-12
OPTIMOptimism0.6440.584863-9.18%0.451-29.97%0.0590✓1.007.3M2022-07-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.131.0287-8.96%0.776-31.33%0.4416✗2.2710.6M2022-07-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20171.1113-7.53%0.67955-43.45%0.2414✓0.799702022-07-12
PROPropyEthereum1.050.974394-7.20%0.82-21.90%0.0589✓0.73183k2022-07-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.691.5708-7.05%1.47-13.02%0.1804✗0.77153k2022-07-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2943.087-6.28%2.867-12.96%0.2181✗0.923.7M2022-07-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6753.4517-6.08%3.579-2.61%0.2962✗0.826.4M2022-07-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.9980.944721-5.34%0.92188-7.63%0.3862✗1.296,0082022-07-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050670.047979-5.31%0.0424-16.32%0.2517✗1.1815k2022-07-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0262.8864-4.61%3.422+13.09%0.4421✗0.854.3M2022-07-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9450.902777-4.47%1.088+15.13%0.5056✗1.001.4M2022-07-12
STEEMSteemnative0.2080.198713-4.46%0.199-4.33%0.4878✗1.52585k2022-07-12
APEApeCoinEthereum3.8853.7125-4.44%4.237+9.06%0.8569✗2.2717.0M2022-07-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.78991.7115-4.38%1.7188-3.97%0.3779✗1.173.4M2022-07-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073690.070506-4.32%0.06505-11.72%0.2384✗1.001,6002022-07-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.19423-4.32%0.203+0.00%0.6962✗2.041.1M2022-07-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.514390.492707-4.22%0.4556-11.43%0.6594✗2.313.1M2022-07-12
FLOWFlownative1.7941.7213-4.05%1.427-20.46%0.1314✗1.00623k2022-07-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.626.3566-3.98%5.93-10.42%0.1485✗0.682.0M2022-07-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4391.3829-3.90%1.1907-17.26%0.2832✗1.361.7M2022-07-12
TRXTRONTron0.0761310.073191-3.86%0.064572-15.18%0.1643✗0.91682k2022-07-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.644.4721-3.62%4.26-8.19%0.2399✗0.901.6M2022-07-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2292.1484-3.62%1.97-11.62%0.4731✗1.7697k2022-07-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04230.040784-3.59%0.0444+4.96%0.5784✗1.55383k2022-07-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053150.051334-3.42%0.04715-11.29%0.5795✗2.081.8M2022-07-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.51145.3258-3.37%5.389-2.22%0.1097✗0.31235k2022-07-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.833.7024-3.33%3.46-9.66%0.1951✗0.821.9M2022-07-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04370.042274-3.26%–pending––1.133,6542022-07-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2975760.288298-3.12%0.272174-8.54%0.4496✗1.592.3M2022-07-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.458.1886-3.09%8.3-1.78%0.6680✗2.052.7M2022-07-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7330.710975-3.00%0.8264+12.74%0.7880✗2.002.7M2022-07-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023080.022388-3.00%0.01819-21.19%0.0108✓0.62637k2022-07-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05020.048831-2.73%0.0404-19.52%0.4128✗1.8923k2022-07-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.24.0871-2.69%3.81-9.29%0.2267✗0.931.5M2022-07-12
DODODODOEthereum0.15040.146408-2.65%0.1227-18.42%0.3636✗1.693.4M2022-07-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.650.632786-2.65%0.558-14.15%0.2711✗1.24365k2022-07-12
XYMSymbolnative0.05250.051135-2.60%0.050021-4.72%0.2377✗0.8157k2022-07-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2461.2137-2.60%1.737+39.41%0.9230✗1.7773k2022-07-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.08713.0087-2.54%2.5959-15.91%0.2833✗1.3533k2022-07-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.307120.299326-2.54%0.36718+19.56%0.6781✗1.49105k2022-07-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.553.465-2.40%3.03-14.65%0.1779✗0.981.7M2022-07-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.316849-2.39%0.2923-9.95%0.3835✗1.4614.4M2022-07-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.314450.306963-2.38%0.28233-10.21%0.4189✗1.5814k2022-07-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8490.829335-2.32%0.765-9.89%0.2824✗1.141.7M2022-07-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009460.009268-2.03%0.00959+1.37%0.5078✗1.4813.3M2022-07-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.6640.651415-1.90%0.847+27.56%0.9938✗2.291.8M2022-07-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.35962.3151-1.89%2.2234-5.77%0.4191✗1.443.0M2022-07-12
XEMNEMnative0.0417190.040957-1.83%0.037692-9.65%0.4296✗1.6131k2022-07-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1185560.116418-1.80%0.10045-15.27%0.2387✗1.2110.3M2022-07-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.450.442363-1.70%0.608+35.11%0.9081✗1.854,3562022-07-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0830.081604-1.68%0.0822-0.96%0.6104✗1.89409k2022-07-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.0832.0486-1.65%2.0329-2.41%0.3858✗1.233.3M2022-07-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.008670.008527-1.65%0.005673-34.57%0.0491✓1.122,4432022-07-12
KCSKuCoinnative14.12213.8962-1.60%8.659-38.68%0.1234✓1.105.3M2022-07-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15630.153849-1.57%0.092-41.14%0.1946✓1.00268k2022-07-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.11350.111747-1.54%0.0733-35.42%0.1550✗1.814,0262022-07-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.113.062-1.54%2.747-11.67%0.2451✗1.111.8M2022-07-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634820.062511-1.53%0.059797-5.81%0.3783✗1.331.3M2022-07-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum9.329.1786-1.52%15.24+63.52%0.8676✗1.13281k2022-07-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.02240.022076-1.45%0.019824-11.50%0.2856✗1.2310k2022-07-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42852.3944-1.40%2.146-11.63%0.5698✗2.1313k2022-07-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.05730.056497-1.40%0.0469-18.15%0.4908✗2.12141k2022-07-12
HIVEHivenative0.43250.426518-1.38%0.415-4.05%0.4625✗1.541.1M2022-07-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.212.0313-1.38%14.51+18.93%0.8565✗2.10252k2022-07-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4841.4635-1.38%1.263-14.89%0.4638✗1.92236k2022-07-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3730.3679-1.37%0.373+0.00%0.4410✗1.3415k2022-07-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.2962.265-1.35%2.538+10.54%0.5849✗1.481.1M2022-07-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9530.94034-1.33%0.574-39.77%0.1333✓1.131.0M2022-07-12
GTGateEthereum4.85944.7951-1.32%3.7877-22.05%0.0357✓0.632.1M2022-07-12
QNTQuantEthereum49.5748.9225-1.31%80.2+61.79%0.8983✗1.272.0M2022-07-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.15.0346-1.28%5.14+0.78%0.5468✗1.65405k2022-07-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.490.483964-1.23%0.462-5.71%0.5056✗1.73116k2022-07-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.018150.017929-1.22%0.02268+24.96%1.0185✗2.4632.1M2022-07-12
XMRMoneroMonero159.28157.3804-1.19%122.96-22.80%0.1154✗1.141.7M2022-07-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.8640.853947-1.16%0.8753+1.31%0.4969✗1.485.1M2022-07-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin26,555.2026,262.73-1.10%19,303.65-27.31%0.0111✓1.00538.8M2022-07-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.340.336272-1.10%0.3739+9.97%0.7386✗1.98530k2022-07-12
ZECZcashZcash79.3278.4835-1.05%51.92-34.54%0.0488✗1.453.6M2022-07-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.788920.781132-0.99%0.78392-0.63%0.5994✗1.87789k2022-07-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.285550.282747-0.98%0.26761-6.28%0.4409✗1.55453k2022-07-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06570.065056-0.98%0.0711+8.22%0.5249✗1.37153k2022-07-12
ADACardanoCardano0.48990.485165-0.97%0.4165-14.98%0.3928✗1.7149.8M2022-07-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6725.6178-0.96%5.074-10.54%0.4157✗1.622.5M2022-07-12
ZENHorizenBase15.1515.0095-0.93%14.3-5.61%0.5077✗1.7465k2022-07-12
FTTFTXEthereum27.927.644-0.92%23.87-14.44%0.1570✗0.959.1M2022-07-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.710.703979-0.85%0.8537+20.24%0.7627✗1.79198k2022-07-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.58690.582109-0.82%0.7484+27.52%0.7133✗1.452.8M2022-07-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum26,697.3026,486.84-0.79%19,265.30-27.84%0.0074✓0.9729k2022-07-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.72.679-0.78%2.205-18.33%0.1533✗1.0963k2022-07-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,433.191,423.12-0.70%1,037.34-27.62%0.0470✗1.14340.5M2022-07-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.010070.009999-0.70%0.00877-12.91%0.2458✗1.181.5M2022-07-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.09211.0847-0.68%0.991597-9.20%0.3347✗1.3348k2022-07-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.213.1887-0.66%2.51-21.81%0.1328✗1.17722k2022-07-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.1851.1774-0.64%1.677+41.52%0.9293✗1.80826k2022-07-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV48.27347.9645-0.64%49.484+2.51%0.3774✗1.091.1M2022-07-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative16.5916.4947-0.57%13.82-16.70%0.2747✗1.422.3M2022-07-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.067.0207-0.56%7.792+10.37%0.6015✗1.5615.2M2022-07-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28160.280081-0.54%0.2544-9.66%0.3764✗1.486.2M2022-07-12
MOVRMoonriverBase15.580915.4994-0.52%11.1506-28.43%0.1925✗1.64222k2022-07-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.369.3114-0.52%7.74-17.31%0.2311✗1.30502k2022-07-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003180.003164-0.52%0.002623-17.52%0.2294✗1.312.1M2022-07-12
XECeCashnative0.000041050.000040844-0.50%0.00003731-9.11%0.4197✗1.603.0M2022-07-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4314.3597-0.49%12.83-11.09%0.4457✗1.752.3M2022-07-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.131.1246-0.48%1.12-0.88%0.5627✗1.781.1M2022-07-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.630.627049-0.47%0.633+0.48%0.6089✗1.88578k2022-07-12
RADRadworksEthereum1.721.7122-0.45%1.6-6.98%0.3730✗1.38270k2022-07-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.23160.23059-0.44%0.23-0.69%0.4070✗1.28100k2022-07-12
KSMKusamaHydration50.7850.5914-0.37%46.86-7.72%0.3700✗1.401.0M2022-07-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003680.003669-0.29%–pending––1.364,6932022-07-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1892.1845-0.21%2.014-7.99%0.4851✗1.78139k2022-07-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche17.2717.2754+0.03%16.73-3.13%0.5360✓1.7847.8M2022-07-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11140.111436+0.03%0.0874-21.54%0.3304✓1.805.4M2022-07-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,006.746,009.00+0.04%5,437.91-9.47%0.3222✓1.323.6M2022-07-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.14742.1483+0.04%1.6352-23.86%0.2095✓1.5155k2022-07-12
BANDBandEthereum1.4171.4181+0.08%1.226-13.48%0.4545✓1.88342k2022-07-12
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.31e-7+0.09%8.00e-7-13.98%0.1411✓0.925.5M2022-07-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18870.189043+0.18%0.1362-27.82%0.1776✓1.58751k2022-07-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09740.097585+0.19%0.0999+2.57%0.4748✓1.42733k2022-07-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.051904+0.20%0.0415-19.88%0.3752✓1.881.6M2022-07-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008180.0082+0.25%0.006495-20.60%0.0385✓0.85153k2022-07-12
DASHDashDash46.0546.1665+0.25%39.75-13.68%0.2747✓1.33837k2022-07-12
XTZTezosTezos1.63561.6403+0.29%1.4325-12.42%0.3229✓1.44894k2022-07-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.341.3442+0.31%1.31-2.24%0.6237✓2.04580k2022-07-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.150430.150904+0.31%0.11445-23.92%0.3313✓1.91260k2022-07-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10720.107559+0.34%0.1017-5.13%0.3567✓1.296,7702022-07-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.2162.2238+0.35%2.32+4.69%0.6953✓2.052.9M2022-07-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.14430.144935+0.44%0.1314-8.94%0.4156✓1.61169k2022-07-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.10950.110074+0.52%0.1038-5.21%0.5009✓1.753.2M2022-07-12
SCSiacoinnative0.004050.004072+0.53%0.00364-10.12%0.4567✓1.78213k2022-07-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023080.023204+0.54%0.01901-17.63%0.1500✓1.10151k2022-07-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20370.204904+0.59%0.1812-11.05%0.3628✓1.52196k2022-07-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.266.299+0.62%5.944-5.05%0.4491✓1.5932.8M2022-07-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.01e-74.04e-7+0.63%3.61e-7-10.00%0.1889✓0.941.0M2022-07-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.422.4361+0.67%2.12-12.40%0.5277✓2.09294k2022-07-12
DIADIAEthereum0.423270.426167+0.68%0.36924-12.76%0.0744✓0.68249k2022-07-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.9790.985765+0.69%0.577-41.06%0.1419✓2.12319k2022-07-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23170.233339+0.71%0.2221-4.14%0.4334✓1.51432k2022-07-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0127240.012816+0.72%0.017618+38.46%0.5407✓0.70324k2022-07-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.250.252247+0.90%0.2259-9.64%0.3660✓1.4931k2022-07-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.011.0193+0.92%0.4374-56.69%0.4647✗1.2068k2022-07-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008590.00000867+0.93%0.00000989+15.13%0.6132✓1.51850k2022-07-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.030.030284+0.95%0.0349+16.33%0.6802✓1.69221k2022-07-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006870.006937+0.97%0.00616-10.33%0.2784✓1.25607k2022-07-12
NANOnanopayBase0.9111030.920165+0.99%0.84082-7.71%0.3599✓1.41120k2022-07-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07880.079601+1.02%0.0483-38.71%0.2754✗0.70274k2022-07-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008250.000833421+1.02%0.0009021+9.35%0.6492✓1.791.8M2022-07-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0122880.012421+1.08%0.01164-5.27%0.3359✓1.262.0M2022-07-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11990.121218+1.10%0.1231+2.67%0.5173✓1.5749k2022-07-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4890.494607+1.15%0.4639-5.13%0.5137✓1.81886k2022-07-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029290.029637+1.19%0.026-11.23%0.3758✓1.5917k2022-07-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.421730.426821+1.21%0.60811+44.19%0.9177✓1.7761k2022-07-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3937.4827+1.21%6.273-15.15%0.3282✓1.5813.5M2022-07-12
STXStacksnative0.41890.424134+1.25%0.3597-14.13%0.2863✓1.41165k2022-07-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40540.410495+1.26%0.3603-11.12%0.4534✓1.83146k2022-07-12
SOLSolanaSolana30.5630.9559+1.30%32.66+6.87%0.5848✓1.67103.2M2022-07-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.09720.09846+1.30%0.0966-0.62%0.4690✓1.53795k2022-07-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.0630.063911+1.45%0.0602-4.44%0.4121✓1.48403k2022-07-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.10.101621+1.62%0.0827-17.30%0.3769✓1.831.1M2022-07-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.11830.120445+1.81%0.1686+42.52%0.8785✓1.701,7522022-07-12
COMPCompoundEthereum41.241.9715+1.87%46.78+13.54%0.6286✓1.6330k2022-07-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.6365.743+1.90%6.277+11.37%0.6552✓1.7810.6M2022-07-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.660.673325+2.02%0.778+17.88%0.5454✓1.2663k2022-07-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.8648.9371+2.25%47.28-1.21%0.4002✓1.3617.5M2022-07-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.284048+2.54%0.259-6.50%0.3197✓1.29847k2022-07-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057920.059402+2.56%0.05308-8.36%0.3209✓1.3649k2022-07-12
XVGVergenative0.003420.003514+2.75%0.00316-7.60%0.4235✓1.66628k2022-07-12
XVSVenusEthereum4.294.4117+2.84%4.65+8.39%0.6887✓1.991.5M2022-07-12
UNIUniswapEthereum4.0544.1847+3.22%5.528+36.36%0.7662✓1.532.6M2022-07-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.97151.0287+3.47%97.19-33.42%0.0306✓1.294.4M2022-07-12
AAVEAaveEthereum70.373.0783+3.95%68.24-2.93%0.5384✓1.907.4M2022-07-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.