8=======>

2022-06-12 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3007
172 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.90%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.7%
in alpha space · 38.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-15.42%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AVTAventusEthereum1.691.6324-3.41%1.61-4.73%0.1157✗0.77153k2022-06-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.131.1124-1.56%0.941-16.73%0.2125✗2.2710.6M2022-06-13
PROPropyEthereum1.051.0379-1.15%0.9-14.29%0.0211✓0.73183k2022-06-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2943.2598-1.04%3.225-2.09%0.1426✗0.923.7M2022-06-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7231.7057-1.01%1.458-15.38%0.1133✗1.615.1M2022-06-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.212.0828-0.96%11.71-4.02%0.3200✗2.10252k2022-06-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8490.844375-0.54%0.776-8.60%0.1062✗1.141.7M2022-06-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023080.022956-0.54%0.01967-14.77%0.0511✓0.62637k2022-06-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073690.073353-0.46%0.0647-12.20%0.0419✗1.001,6002022-06-13
OPTIMOptimism0.6440.641253-0.43%0.545-15.37%0.0048✗1.007.3M2022-06-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0263.0132-0.42%3.286+8.59%0.2294✗0.854.3M2022-06-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6753.6597-0.42%3.335-9.25%0.0436✗0.826.4M2022-06-13
FTTFTXEthereum27.927.786-0.41%24.51-12.15%0.0340✗0.959.1M2022-06-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.833.8163-0.36%4.17+8.88%0.2266✗0.821.9M2022-06-13
TRXTRONTron0.0761310.07589-0.32%0.063701-16.33%0.0231✓0.91682k2022-06-13
DODODODOEthereum0.15040.149961-0.29%0.136-9.57%0.1859✗1.693.4M2022-06-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.008670.008646-0.29%0.00763-12.00%0.0632✗1.122,4432022-06-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20171.1983-0.28%1.0426-13.24%0.0077✓0.799702022-06-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050670.050555-0.23%0.04329-14.56%0.0419✗1.1815k2022-06-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.51145.4999-0.21%5.3088-3.68%0.0160✗0.31235k2022-06-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.24.1918-0.20%4.2+0.00%0.1578✗0.931.5M2022-06-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.626.6071-0.20%6.79+2.57%0.1417✗0.682.0M2022-06-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.58690.585756-0.19%0.5649-3.75%0.2063✗1.452.8M2022-06-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18870.18834-0.19%0.1611-14.63%0.1091✗1.58751k2022-06-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04370.043617-0.19%0.03724-14.78%0.0317✗1.133,6542022-06-13
STEEMSteemnative0.2080.207605-0.19%0.1835-11.78%0.1319✗1.52585k2022-06-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.72.6949-0.19%2.414-10.59%0.0726✗1.0963k2022-06-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.213.2041-0.19%2.75-14.33%0.0425✗1.17722k2022-06-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.78991.7869-0.17%1.7211-3.84%0.1586✗1.173.4M2022-06-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42852.4245-0.16%2.0821-14.26%0.2044✗2.1313k2022-06-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.553.5442-0.16%3.52-0.85%0.1570✗0.981.7M2022-06-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05020.050123-0.15%0.048-4.38%0.2729✗1.8923k2022-06-13
BANDBandEthereum1.4171.4151-0.13%1.318-6.99%0.2439✗1.88342k2022-06-13
XYMSymbolnative0.05250.05244-0.11%0.0486-7.43%0.0603✗0.8157k2022-06-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1185560.118424-0.11%0.106761-9.95%0.0991✗1.2110.3M2022-06-13
KCSKuCoinnative14.12214.1084-0.10%11.706-17.11%0.0031✓1.105.3M2022-06-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.644.6355-0.10%4.54-2.16%0.1306✗0.901.6M2022-06-13
ZECZcashZcash79.3279.2454-0.09%65.48-17.45%0.0517✗1.453.6M2022-06-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15630.156159-0.09%0.1335-14.59%0.0110✗1.00268k2022-06-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008180.008173-0.09%0.00733-10.39%0.0338✗0.85153k2022-06-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.202821-0.09%0.189-6.90%0.2718✗2.041.1M2022-06-13
ADACardanoCardano0.48990.489521-0.08%0.4636-5.37%0.2320✗1.7149.8M2022-06-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.307120.306894-0.07%0.28493-7.23%0.1745✗1.49105k2022-06-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04230.04227-0.07%0.0358-15.37%0.0930✗1.55383k2022-06-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.0832.0816-0.07%2.0689-0.68%0.2005✗1.233.3M2022-06-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.113.108-0.07%3.092-0.58%0.1806✗1.111.8M2022-06-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2292.2278-0.05%1.808-18.89%0.0851✗1.7697k2022-06-13
HIVEHivenative0.43250.432286-0.05%0.3584-17.13%0.0698✗1.541.1M2022-06-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7330.732672-0.04%0.7-4.50%0.2891✗2.002.7M2022-06-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum9.329.3161-0.04%8.14-12.66%0.0544✗1.13281k2022-06-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.458.4466-0.04%8.03-4.97%0.2930✗2.052.7M2022-06-13
XMRMoneroMonero159.28159.2275-0.03%132.56-16.78%0.0069✗1.141.7M2022-06-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.9980.99774-0.03%0.80971-18.87%0.0068✗1.296,0082022-06-13
XEMNEMnative0.0417190.041711-0.02%0.039006-6.50%0.2021✗1.6131k2022-06-13
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.30e-7-0.01%8.10e-7-12.90%0.0156✗0.925.5M2022-06-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.010070.010069-0.01%0.00905-10.13%0.0912✗1.181.5M2022-06-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.09211.092-0.01%0.939069-14.01%0.0719✗1.3348k2022-06-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.0630.063003+0.01%0.0519-17.62%0.0539✓1.48403k2022-06-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV48.27348.2759+0.01%46.677-3.31%0.1481✓1.091.1M2022-06-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9530.953068+0.01%0.778-18.36%0.0138✗1.131.0M2022-06-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10720.107213+0.01%0.0991-7.56%0.1380✓1.296,7702022-06-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.018150.018153+0.02%0.01829+0.77%0.4188✓2.4632.1M2022-06-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.08713.0877+0.02%2.7762-10.07%0.1198✓1.3533k2022-06-13
XECeCashnative0.000041050.000041058+0.02%0.00003827-6.77%0.1975✓1.603.0M2022-06-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.314450.314514+0.02%0.25719-18.21%0.0627✓1.5814k2022-06-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.660.660169+0.03%0.6-9.09%0.1149✓1.2663k2022-06-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.490.490128+0.03%0.447-8.78%0.1977✓1.73116k2022-06-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.514390.514528+0.03%0.45073-12.38%0.2549✓2.313.1M2022-06-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0830.083024+0.03%0.0833+0.36%0.3200✓1.89409k2022-06-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053150.053166+0.03%0.04897-7.86%0.2666✓2.081.8M2022-06-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.721.7206+0.03%1.52-11.63%0.1075✓1.38270k2022-06-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.788920.789194+0.03%0.82849+5.02%0.3614✓1.87789k2022-06-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.294.2915+0.03%3.88-9.56%0.2332✓1.991.5M2022-06-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.011.0104+0.03%0.88-12.87%0.0621✓1.2068k2022-06-13
DIADIAEthereum0.423270.42342+0.04%0.38009-10.20%0.0064✓0.68249k2022-06-13
ZENHorizenBase15.1515.1556+0.04%14.12-6.80%0.2212✓1.7465k2022-06-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3730.37314+0.04%0.332-10.99%0.1075✓1.3415k2022-06-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023080.023089+0.04%0.01883-18.41%0.0205✗1.10151k2022-06-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.35962.3605+0.04%2.313-1.97%0.2209✓1.443.0M2022-06-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9450.945398+0.04%0.853-9.74%0.0646✓1.001.4M2022-06-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003680.003682+0.04%0.00331-10.05%0.1214✓1.364,6932022-06-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.324745+0.04%0.3039-6.38%0.1774✓1.4614.4M2022-06-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28160.281746+0.05%0.2574-8.59%0.1577✓1.486.2M2022-06-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.150430.150511+0.05%0.13259-11.86%0.1923✓1.91260k2022-06-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634820.063518+0.06%0.054172-14.67%0.0628✓1.331.3M2022-06-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin26,555.2026,570.43+0.06%22,460.97-15.42%0.0006✗1.00538.8M2022-06-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,433.191,434.01+0.06%1,207.82-15.73%0.0190✓1.14340.5M2022-06-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.15.103+0.06%4.53-11.18%0.1571✓1.65405k2022-06-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0127240.012731+0.06%0.012961+1.86%0.1346✓0.70324k2022-06-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum26,697.3026,713.94+0.06%22,471.70-15.83%0.0097✗0.9729k2022-06-13
GTGateEthereum4.85944.8628+0.07%4.2445-12.65%0.0309✗0.632.1M2022-06-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.02240.022416+0.07%0.018258-18.49%0.0013✓1.2310k2022-06-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.422.4219+0.08%2.19-9.50%0.2494✓2.09294k2022-06-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06570.065752+0.08%0.0561-14.61%0.0702✓1.37153k2022-06-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009460.009467+0.08%0.00971+2.64%0.2739✓1.4813.3M2022-06-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.450.450358+0.08%0.392-12.89%0.1710✓1.854,3562022-06-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.710.71057+0.08%0.68-4.23%0.2552✓1.79198k2022-06-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.14742.1492+0.08%1.8846-12.24%0.1219✓1.5155k2022-06-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07880.078869+0.09%0.0654-17.01%0.0695✗0.70274k2022-06-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.2162.218+0.09%1.912-13.72%0.1943✓2.052.9M2022-06-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.11350.113607+0.09%0.107-5.73%0.2428✓1.814,0262022-06-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.23160.231825+0.10%0.1992-13.99%0.0633✓1.28100k2022-06-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003180.003183+0.10%0.00285-10.38%0.1083✓1.312.1M2022-06-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.650.650667+0.10%0.599-7.85%0.1257✓1.24365k2022-06-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.10950.109616+0.11%0.149+36.07%0.6008✓1.753.2M2022-06-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.051856+0.11%0.0508-1.93%0.2939✓1.881.6M2022-06-13
QNTQuantEthereum49.5749.6247+0.11%49.66+0.18%0.2128✓1.272.0M2022-06-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004050.004054+0.11%0.00359-11.36%0.1769✓1.78213k2022-06-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09740.097509+0.11%0.0914-6.16%0.1723✓1.42733k2022-06-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029290.029323+0.11%0.02635-10.04%0.1591✓1.5917k2022-06-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.14430.144465+0.11%0.1272-11.85%0.1424✓1.61169k2022-06-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.266.2674+0.12%5.917-5.48%0.2087✓1.5932.8M2022-06-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.030.030036+0.12%0.0291-3.00%0.2510✓1.69221k2022-06-13
DASHDashDash46.0546.1076+0.13%42.59-7.51%0.1434✓1.33837k2022-06-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057920.057994+0.13%0.04562-21.24%0.0125✗1.3649k2022-06-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.285550.285925+0.13%0.25822-9.57%0.1585✓1.55453k2022-06-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23170.232011+0.13%0.195-15.84%0.0797✓1.51432k2022-06-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11990.120063+0.14%0.1013-15.51%0.0935✓1.5749k2022-06-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6725.6799+0.14%5.329-6.05%0.2079✓1.622.5M2022-06-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2975760.297996+0.14%0.252041-15.30%0.0988✓1.592.3M2022-06-13
XTZTezosTezos1.63561.638+0.14%1.4008-14.36%0.0842✓1.44894k2022-06-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1892.1922+0.15%2.042-6.72%0.2264✓1.78139k2022-06-13
NANOnanopayBase0.9111030.912509+0.15%0.845884-7.16%0.1605✓1.41120k2022-06-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative16.5916.616+0.16%14.4-13.20%0.0940✓1.422.3M2022-06-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4841.4864+0.16%1.255-15.43%0.1517✓1.92236k2022-06-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.421730.422413+0.16%0.37168-11.87%0.1680✓1.7761k2022-06-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.131.1319+0.17%0.97-14.16%0.1432✓1.781.1M2022-06-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.6365.6456+0.17%5.442-3.44%0.2606✓1.7810.6M2022-06-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.369.3761+0.17%8.36-10.68%0.1037✓1.30502k2022-06-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.09720.097373+0.18%0.0945-2.78%0.2263✓1.53795k2022-06-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.067.0729+0.18%6.495-8.00%0.1758✓1.5615.2M2022-06-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.10.100184+0.18%0.0926-7.40%0.2273✓1.831.1M2022-06-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2461.2483+0.19%1.145-8.11%0.2100✓1.7773k2022-06-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.2962.3003+0.19%1.997-13.02%0.1059✓1.481.1M2022-06-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4890.489934+0.19%0.493+0.82%0.3096✓1.81886k2022-06-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.9790.980874+0.19%0.858-12.36%0.2219✓2.12319k2022-06-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.1851.1874+0.20%1.149-3.04%0.2694✓1.80826k2022-06-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.05730.057416+0.20%0.0599+4.54%0.3978✓2.12141k2022-06-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.341.3427+0.20%1.29-3.73%0.3009✓2.04580k2022-06-13
FLOWFlownative1.7941.7977+0.20%1.586-11.59%0.0422✓1.00623k2022-06-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11140.111628+0.20%0.1066-4.31%0.2549✓1.805.4M2022-06-13
STXStacksnative0.41890.419771+0.21%0.347-17.16%0.0464✓1.41165k2022-06-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,006.746,019.56+0.21%4,951.67-17.56%0.0263✓1.323.6M2022-06-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.97146.302+0.23%126.93-13.04%0.0733✓1.294.4M2022-06-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40540.406332+0.23%0.3765-7.13%0.2303✓1.83146k2022-06-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.250.250578+0.23%0.2205-11.80%0.1222✓1.4931k2022-06-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.630.631554+0.25%0.662+5.08%0.3618✓1.88578k2022-06-13
MOVRMoonriverBase15.580915.6195+0.25%14.6487-5.98%0.2098✓1.64222k2022-06-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.8647.9794+0.25%43.45-9.21%0.1291✓1.3617.5M2022-06-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.11830.118601+0.25%0.1305+10.31%0.3802✓1.701,7522022-06-13
KSMKusamaHydration50.7850.9109+0.26%46.08-9.26%0.1348✓1.401.0M2022-06-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008590.000008612+0.26%0.00000802-6.64%0.1816✓1.51850k2022-06-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4314.4678+0.26%13.49-6.51%0.2231✓1.752.3M2022-06-13
UNIUniswapEthereum4.0544.0647+0.26%3.662-9.67%0.1518✓1.532.6M2022-06-13
COMPCompoundEthereum41.241.31+0.27%35.73-13.28%0.1280✓1.6330k2022-06-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4391.4431+0.28%1.2396-13.86%0.0753✓1.361.7M2022-06-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0122880.012324+0.29%0.01281+4.25%0.2492✓1.262.0M2022-06-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.8640.866512+0.29%0.718-16.90%0.0599✓1.485.1M2022-06-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.340.341037+0.30%0.301-11.47%0.2072✓1.98530k2022-06-13
XVGVergenative0.003420.003431+0.31%0.00303-11.40%0.1539✓1.66628k2022-06-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006870.006892+0.32%0.00632-8.01%0.1219✓1.25607k2022-06-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3937.4166+0.32%7.032-4.88%0.2117✓1.5813.5M2022-06-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.01e-74.02e-7+0.33%3.58e-7-10.76%0.0407✓0.941.0M2022-06-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000069460.000069692+0.33%0.00006043-13.00%0.3809✓3.132.0M2022-06-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20370.20439+0.34%0.1607-21.11%0.0145✓1.52196k2022-06-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.278033+0.37%0.256-7.58%0.1337✓1.29847k2022-06-13
SOLSolanaSolana30.5630.6815+0.40%28.58-6.48%0.2079✓1.67103.2M2022-06-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.6640.666814+0.42%0.591-10.99%0.2632✓2.291.8M2022-06-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008250.000828705+0.45%0.000828+0.36%0.2984✓1.791.8M2022-06-13
AAVEAaveEthereum70.370.6447+0.49%59.74-15.02%0.1510✓1.907.4M2022-06-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche17.2717.3594+0.52%16.09-6.83%0.2223✓1.7847.8M2022-06-13
APEApeCoinEthereum3.8853.9066+0.56%3.485-10.30%0.2663✓2.2717.0M2022-06-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.