8=======>

2022-06-11 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1740
170 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.35%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.2%
in alpha space · 60.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-29.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum77.0280.3426+4.31%69.82-9.35%0.5257✓1.897.4M2022-07-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash156.57162.5767+3.84%99.04-36.74%0.0424✗1.284.4M2022-07-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062370.064571+3.53%0.05481-12.12%0.3114✓1.3544k2022-07-11
XVSVenusEthereum4.464.611+3.39%4.81+7.85%0.7548✓2.021.5M2022-07-11
UNIUniswapEthereum4.3794.5262+3.36%5.561+26.99%0.7447✓1.532.6M2022-07-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2970.305745+2.94%0.265-10.77%0.3117✓1.29890k2022-07-11
XVGVergenative0.003750.003856+2.82%0.00322-14.13%0.4039✓1.65645k2022-07-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.1353.4571+2.55%48.67-6.64%0.3845✓1.3517.5M2022-07-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.038.2195+2.36%6.521-18.79%0.3242✓1.5713.5M2022-07-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.10880.111159+2.17%0.0873-19.76%0.3960✓1.811.1M2022-07-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.12880.131473+2.08%0.1604+24.53%0.7887✓1.671,7522022-07-11
COMPCompoundEthereum45.2846.1676+1.96%48.56+7.24%0.6173✓1.6130k2022-07-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.9666.0803+1.92%6.277+5.21%0.6636✓1.7910.6M2022-07-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06870.069977+1.86%0.061-11.21%0.3594✓1.41396k2022-07-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000009320.000009485+1.77%0.00001031+10.62%0.6131✓1.50850k2022-07-11
SOLSolanaSolana33.9134.4926+1.72%33.41-1.47%0.5499✓1.65104.0M2022-07-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.740.752296+1.66%0.766+3.51%0.4423✓1.2063k2022-07-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.44080.447775+1.58%0.3946-10.48%0.5149✓1.82159k2022-07-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.17e-73.22e-7+1.49%3.68e-7+16.06%0.5239✓1.10961k2022-07-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031830.0323+1.48%0.02635-17.22%0.3545✓1.5817k2022-07-11
NANOnanopayBase11.0146+1.46%0.843157-15.68%0.3085✓1.40122k2022-07-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007790.007903+1.45%0.00649-16.69%0.2249✓1.19625k2022-07-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.10450.105958+1.40%0.1063+1.72%0.5383✓1.52795k2022-07-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.11.1153+1.39%0.4529-58.83%0.4820✗1.1968k2022-07-11
STXStacksnative0.46760.474091+1.39%0.3748-19.85%0.2595✓1.40165k2022-07-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.0661.0799+1.31%0.6-43.71%0.1659✓2.13339k2022-07-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.471610.477564+1.26%0.64473+36.71%0.9106✓1.7363k2022-07-11
DIADIAEthereum0.437270.442574+1.21%0.37405-14.46%0.0762✓0.69249k2022-07-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13320.134785+1.19%0.1336+0.30%0.5521✓1.5951k2022-07-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03290.033275+1.14%0.0357+8.51%0.6640✓1.68247k2022-07-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024020.024291+1.13%0.01941-19.19%0.1594✓1.09154k2022-07-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.4961+1.09%1.43-3.38%0.6656✓2.01575k2022-07-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0367.1105+1.06%6.036-14.21%0.3913✓1.5732.1M2022-07-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.632.6578+1.06%2.22-15.59%0.5587✓2.09294k2022-07-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131570.013294+1.04%0.011753-10.67%0.3183✓1.252.0M2022-07-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5410.546427+1.00%0.4671-13.66%0.4853✓1.82886k2022-07-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7772.804+0.97%2.404-13.43%0.2381✓1.1172k2022-07-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3862.409+0.96%2.068-13.33%0.4717✓1.77166k2022-07-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08430.08511+0.96%0.0501-40.57%0.2808✗0.71274k2022-07-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0131590.013283+0.94%0.01796+36.48%0.6046✓0.86291k2022-07-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004480.004521+0.92%0.00377-15.85%0.4466✓1.78228k2022-07-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11590.116963+0.92%0.1111-4.14%0.5790✓1.793.2M2022-07-11
XTZTezosTezos1.79481.8108+0.89%1.5716-12.44%0.3591✓1.42914k2022-07-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11080.11176+0.87%0.0995-10.20%0.3484✓1.327,6092022-07-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008190.008258+0.83%0.006528-20.29%0.0770✓0.88164k2022-07-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.8920.0339+0.72%17.31-12.97%0.4672✓1.7447.8M2022-07-11
DASHDashDash48.9549.2766+0.67%41.49-15.24%0.3019✓1.34837k2022-07-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163330.164374+0.64%0.11902-27.13%0.3458✓1.89276k2022-07-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,353.676,394.05+0.64%5,496.41-13.49%0.3192✓1.333.7M2022-07-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25440.255939+0.60%0.1918-24.61%0.1998✓1.38196k2022-07-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.27572.2893+0.60%1.7052-25.07%0.2409✓1.5258k2022-07-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12320.123899+0.57%0.0915-25.73%0.3389✓1.825.6M2022-07-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25860.259865+0.49%0.2357-8.86%0.4258✓1.48384k2022-07-11
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.54e-7+0.45%8.70e-7-8.42%0.2347✓0.935.7M2022-07-11
KSMKusamaHydration57.0157.2247+0.38%46.66-18.15%0.2781✓1.371.1M2022-07-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.16110.161693+0.37%0.1357-15.77%0.3872✓1.59176k2022-07-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.21.2037+0.31%1.52+26.67%0.6052✓1.05153k2022-07-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25990.260666+0.29%0.2436-6.27%0.4806✓1.5531k2022-07-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.2310.2599+0.29%8.25-19.35%0.2416✓1.30508k2022-07-11
MOVRMoonriverBase17.821717.8692+0.27%11.5955-34.94%0.1340✓1.60222k2022-07-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11140.11167+0.24%0.1014-8.98%0.3922✓1.38781k2022-07-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.720.721344+0.19%0.645-10.42%0.5383✓1.84578k2022-07-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05780.057893+0.16%0.0428-25.95%0.3568✓1.871.7M2022-07-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30040.300609+0.07%0.2664-11.32%0.4070✓1.496.2M2022-07-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010130.001013-0.00%0.000943-6.91%0.5413✗1.741.8M2022-07-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.557.5479-0.03%8.163+8.12%0.6306✗1.5615.2M2022-07-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.4727.4575-0.05%24.98-9.06%0.2594✗1.009.1M2022-07-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.06260.062569-0.05%0.048-23.32%0.4808✗2.11142k2022-07-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81640.815794-0.07%0.80461-1.44%0.6555✗1.90789k2022-07-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003910.003904-0.14%–pending––1.365,7382022-07-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.21.198-0.16%1.15-4.17%0.5930✗1.801.2M2022-07-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.3332.328-0.21%2.307-1.11%0.7164✗2.053.0M2022-07-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.2916.2544-0.22%13.47-17.31%0.4265✗1.742.4M2022-07-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.010460.010437-0.22%0.00882-15.68%0.2523✗1.191.5M2022-07-11
BANDBandEthereum1.7721.7674-0.26%1.322-25.40%0.3376✗1.78342k2022-07-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.14261.1395-0.27%1.0046-12.07%0.3443✗1.3348k2022-07-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative18.2318.1636-0.36%14.2-22.11%0.2443✗1.392.6M2022-07-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003620.003607-0.37%0.002667-26.33%0.1450✗1.272.1M2022-07-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3940.392282-0.44%0.3856-2.13%0.6656✗1.93567k2022-07-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.21950.218444-0.48%0.1396-36.40%0.1064✗1.57696k2022-07-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,488.7028,347.75-0.49%19,940.90-30.00%0.0083✓0.9729k2022-07-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.6240.620888-0.50%0.848+35.90%0.8208✗1.442.9M2022-07-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,531.091,523.39-0.50%1,095.56-28.45%0.0704✗1.13340.5M2022-07-11
ZECZcashZcash79.5879.1437-0.55%55.65-30.07%0.1613✗1.453.6M2022-07-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.25240.250972-0.57%0.2354-6.74%0.4038✗1.32103k2022-07-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.322320.320343-0.61%0.28158-12.64%0.4112✗1.53455k2022-07-11
XECeCashnative0.000045240.000044954-0.63%0.00003797-16.07%0.3896✗1.583.0M2022-07-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.0986.0529-0.74%5.193-14.84%0.4177✗1.622.5M2022-07-11
ZENHorizenBase16.516.3736-0.77%15.04-8.85%0.5341✗1.7565k2022-07-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,388.6328,153.35-0.83%19,942.43-29.75%0.0083✓1.00582.4M2022-07-11
QNTQuantEthereum5554.5179-0.88%79.01+43.65%0.8062✗1.232.0M2022-07-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.4091.3966-0.88%1.708+21.22%0.8177✗1.7576k2022-07-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.5582.535-0.90%2.472-3.36%0.4897✗1.461.2M2022-07-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7630.755736-0.95%0.771+1.05%0.4657✗1.261.7M2022-07-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.89952.3902-0.96%50.206-5.09%0.3270✗1.051.1M2022-07-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5350.52976-0.98%0.478-10.65%0.5042✗1.72116k2022-07-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum10.2910.1883-0.99%14.74+43.25%0.7566✗1.10283k2022-07-11
RADRadworksEthereum1.91.8809-1.01%1.7-10.53%0.3726✗1.34268k2022-07-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.743.7018-1.02%2.6-30.48%0.0343✗1.10717k2022-07-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.3051.2916-1.02%1.76+34.87%0.9360✗1.77826k2022-07-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.017810.017613-1.11%0.02269+27.40%1.1480✗2.5332.1M2022-07-11
ADACardanoCardano0.55350.547191-1.14%0.4344-21.52%0.3582✗1.6749.8M2022-07-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.9080.897597-1.15%0.8869-2.32%0.5129✗1.495.1M2022-07-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07360.072715-1.20%0.0724-1.63%0.4595✗1.31153k2022-07-11
GTGateEthereum5.28735.2237-1.20%3.8933-26.37%0.0850✓0.592.5M2022-07-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.790.780338-1.22%0.8592+8.76%0.7259✗1.78209k2022-07-11
HIVEHivenative0.48540.479104-1.30%0.4351-10.36%0.4322✗1.501.2M2022-07-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.592.5545-1.37%2.206-14.83%0.6113✗2.1513k2022-07-11
KCSKuCoinnative15.0214.8111-1.39%8.867-40.97%0.1300✓1.085.8M2022-07-11
XMRMoneroMonero166.23163.9014-1.40%126.93-23.64%0.1514✗1.151.9M2022-07-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.16080.158495-1.43%0.0934-41.92%0.1713✓1.01277k2022-07-11
XEMNEMnative0.04460.043946-1.47%0.037876-15.08%0.4215✗1.6132k2022-07-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.332970.327944-1.51%0.37405+12.34%0.6617✗1.50105k2022-07-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08830.08696-1.52%0.0852-3.51%0.6605✗1.93422k2022-07-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.463.4056-1.57%2.795-19.22%0.1644✗1.031.8M2022-07-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1252130.123203-1.61%0.101391-19.03%0.2315✗1.2110.3M2022-07-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.009180.009023-1.71%0.005543-39.62%0.0869✓1.132,4432022-07-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021210.020828-1.80%0.01796-15.32%0.0839✗0.66608k2022-07-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0697290.068459-1.82%0.061727-11.48%0.3553✗1.301.3M2022-07-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.68452.6334-1.90%2.2902-14.69%0.3715✗1.453.2M2022-07-11
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0881.0659-2.03%0.604-44.49%0.1843✓1.091.0M2022-07-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0245910.024091-2.03%0.020243-17.68%0.2548✗1.2110k2022-07-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.36173.2932-2.04%2.7005-19.67%0.2746✗1.3433k2022-07-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.995.8668-2.06%5.35-10.68%0.4711✗1.60411k2022-07-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5971.5639-2.07%1.294-18.97%0.4909✗1.93242k2022-07-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35040.343037-2.10%0.2967-15.33%0.3680✗1.4514.6M2022-07-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6940.679355-2.11%0.591-14.84%0.2973✗1.24365k2022-07-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.13550.132491-2.22%0.075-44.65%0.0502✗1.754,0262022-07-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0523860.051204-2.26%0.051002-2.64%0.2910✗0.8459k2022-07-11
DODODODOEthereum0.1480.14458-2.31%0.1241-16.15%0.4636✗1.752.9M2022-07-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4140.40429-2.35%0.383-7.49%0.4113✗1.3214k2022-07-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3992.3424-2.36%2.0822-13.21%0.2711✗1.103.5M2022-07-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010270.010006-2.57%0.00974-5.16%0.5693✗1.6913.6M2022-07-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.93.7938-2.72%3.07-21.28%0.1350✗0.981.7M2022-07-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5330.518038-2.81%0.633+18.76%0.8283✗1.784,3562022-07-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.50035.3443-2.84%5.4011-1.80%0.1232✗0.32243k2022-07-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.28.9358-2.87%8.54-7.17%0.6823✗2.062.8M2022-07-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.574.4353-2.95%3.87-15.32%0.1761✗0.881.3M2022-07-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.350940.340282-3.04%0.28338-19.25%0.3733✗1.5815k2022-07-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05090.049263-3.22%0.0398-21.81%0.4586✗1.9023k2022-07-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.164.0227-3.30%3.6-13.46%0.1753✗0.811.9M2022-07-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047310.045711-3.38%–pending––1.113,6542022-07-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7940.766244-3.50%0.8569+7.92%0.8071✗1.972.7M2022-07-11
TRXTRONTron0.0757580.073056-3.57%0.064581-14.75%0.2039✗0.93682k2022-07-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.074.8766-3.81%4.37-13.81%0.1898✗0.851.6M2022-07-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.0710.068177-3.98%0.06703-5.59%0.3362✗1.001,7292022-07-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.057640.05528-4.09%0.04664-19.08%0.5888✗2.151.9M2022-07-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3321520.318124-4.22%0.283224-14.73%0.4355✗1.562.3M2022-07-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0460.044018-4.31%0.0453-1.52%0.5672✗1.52403k2022-07-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.196.8728-4.41%5.94-17.39%0.0800✗0.642.0M2022-07-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.7980.762493-4.45%0.831+4.14%0.8916✗2.281.9M2022-07-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.03071.9346-4.73%1.7564-13.51%0.2836✗1.083.5M2022-07-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.594230.565468-4.84%0.44498-25.12%0.5553✗2.253.1M2022-07-11
FLOWFlownative2.0561.9564-4.85%1.508-26.65%0.0928✗1.00608k2022-07-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.210038-4.96%0.228+3.17%0.8298✗2.121.1M2022-07-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4222.2996-5.05%2.024-16.43%0.5109✗1.8199k2022-07-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3713.1971-5.16%3.714+10.18%0.4161✗0.754.1M2022-07-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0731.0173-5.19%1.094+1.96%0.4258✗1.001.3M2022-07-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1622.9926-5.36%2.941-6.99%0.3131✗0.942.9M2022-07-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.05270.049815-5.47%0.04319-18.05%0.2745✗1.1815k2022-07-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.2515.3501-5.54%14.46-11.02%0.6372✗1.97252k2022-07-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.64541.5527-5.64%1.2351-24.94%0.2505✗1.361.9M2022-07-11
PROPropyEthereum0.920.867725-5.68%0.83-9.78%0.2383✗0.80183k2022-07-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.0931.0263-6.10%0.96692-11.54%0.3860✗1.266,0082022-07-11
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7364.4238-6.59%4.34-8.36%0.7716✗2.2417.0M2022-07-11
STEEMSteemnative0.24050.224633-6.60%0.2128-11.52%0.4730✗1.49585k2022-07-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.073.7944-6.77%3.567-12.36%0.1994✗0.746.4M2022-07-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22051.11-9.06%0.69-43.47%0.1950✓0.791,0842022-07-11
OPTIMOptimism0.7610.68249-10.32%0.482-36.66%0.0053✓1.007.8M2022-07-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2171.0889-10.52%0.779-35.99%0.4630✗2.268.8M2022-07-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7141.517-11.49%1.191-30.51%0.3437✗1.665.0M2022-07-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.00006950.000057318-17.53%0.0001049+50.94%1.8041✗3.402.1M2022-07-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.