8=======>

2022-06-11 · +1d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1302
172 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.59%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.3%
in alpha space · 55.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.46%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.17e-73.19e-7+0.80%4.01e-7+26.59%0.3014✓1.10961k2022-06-12
AAVEAaveEthereum77.0277.2741+0.33%70.3-8.73%0.0313✓1.897.4M2022-06-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.8919.9485+0.29%17.27-13.17%0.0282✗1.7447.8M2022-06-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2970.297868+0.29%0.277-6.73%0.0133✓1.29890k2022-06-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.038.0496+0.24%7.393-7.93%0.0200✓1.5713.5M2022-06-12
SOLSolanaSolana33.9133.9918+0.24%30.56-9.88%0.0036✓1.65104.0M2022-06-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000009320.000009338+0.19%0.00000859-7.83%0.0166✓1.50850k2022-06-12
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7364.7446+0.18%3.885-17.97%0.0504✗2.2417.0M2022-06-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25990.260363+0.18%0.25-3.81%0.0631✓1.5531k2022-06-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010130.001015+0.18%0.000825-18.56%0.0912✗1.741.8M2022-06-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.12880.129019+0.17%0.1183-8.15%0.0248✓1.671,7522022-06-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007790.007802+0.16%0.00687-11.81%0.0475✗1.19625k2022-06-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.9080.909383+0.15%0.864-4.85%0.0480✓1.495.1M2022-06-12
XVGVergenative0.003750.003756+0.15%0.00342-8.80%0.0168✓1.65645k2022-06-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.10450.104654+0.15%0.0972-6.99%0.0273✓1.52795k2022-06-12
UNIUniswapEthereum4.3794.3854+0.15%4.054-7.42%0.0233✓1.532.6M2022-06-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,353.676,362.85+0.14%6,006.74-5.46%0.0314✓1.333.7M2022-06-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash156.57156.7898+0.14%145.97-6.77%0.0142✓1.284.4M2022-06-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.10880.108938+0.13%0.1-8.09%0.0349✓1.811.1M2022-06-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.1352.1933+0.12%47.86-8.19%0.0038✓1.3517.5M2022-06-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.0661.0673+0.12%0.979-8.16%0.0562✓2.13339k2022-06-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.44080.441302+0.11%0.4054-8.03%0.0364✓1.82159k2022-06-12
COMPCompoundEthereum45.2845.3294+0.11%41.2-9.01%0.0116✓1.6130k2022-06-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.2916.3076+0.11%14.43-11.42%0.0062✗1.742.4M2022-06-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3862.3885+0.11%2.189-8.26%0.0308✓1.77166k2022-06-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.7980.798788+0.10%0.664-16.79%0.0325✗2.281.9M2022-06-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131570.01317+0.10%0.012288-6.60%0.0142✓1.252.0M2022-06-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.06260.062657+0.09%0.0573-8.47%0.0516✓2.11142k2022-06-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11590.116004+0.09%0.1095-5.52%0.0615✓1.793.2M2022-06-12
DASHDashDash48.9548.9919+0.09%46.05-5.92%0.0277✓1.34837k2022-06-12
STXStacksnative0.46760.467999+0.09%0.4189-10.41%0.0174✗1.40165k2022-06-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.4813+0.08%1.34-9.46%0.0342✓2.01575k2022-06-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12320.123301+0.08%0.1114-9.58%0.0199✓1.825.6M2022-06-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.00006950.000069556+0.08%0.00006946-0.06%0.2254✓3.402.1M2022-06-12
NANOnanopayBase11.0008+0.08%0.911103-8.89%0.0006✓1.40122k2022-06-12
MOVRMoonriverBase17.821717.8343+0.07%15.5809-12.57%0.0280✗1.60222k2022-06-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.471610.471939+0.07%0.42173-10.58%0.0029✓1.7363k2022-06-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.557.5551+0.07%7.06-6.49%0.0366✓1.5615.2M2022-06-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.21.2008+0.07%1.13-5.83%0.0591✓1.801.2M2022-06-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25440.254568+0.07%0.2037-19.93%0.1306✗1.38196k2022-06-12
XTZTezosTezos1.79481.7959+0.06%1.6356-8.87%0.0012✓1.42914k2022-06-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.720.720451+0.06%0.63-12.50%0.0112✗1.84578k2022-06-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13320.13328+0.06%0.1199-9.98%0.0002✓1.5951k2022-06-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08430.084345+0.05%0.0788-6.52%0.0209✗0.71274k2022-06-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.2310.2354+0.05%9.36-8.50%0.0025✗1.30508k2022-06-12
KSMKusamaHydration57.0157.0375+0.05%50.78-10.93%0.0251✗1.371.1M2022-06-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.0986.1008+0.05%5.672-6.99%0.0351✓1.622.5M2022-06-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative18.2318.2376+0.04%16.59-9.00%0.0020✗1.392.6M2022-06-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3940.394144+0.04%0.34-13.71%0.0187✗1.93567k2022-06-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.9665.968+0.03%5.636-5.53%0.0622✓1.7910.6M2022-06-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6940.694214+0.03%0.65-6.34%0.0167✓1.24365k2022-06-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30040.300492+0.03%0.2816-6.26%0.0348✓1.496.2M2022-06-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.14261.1429+0.03%1.0921-4.42%0.0434✓1.3348k2022-06-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,488.7028,496.28+0.03%26,697.30-6.29%0.0003✗0.9729k2022-06-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.27572.2762+0.02%2.1474-5.64%0.0430✓1.5258k2022-06-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.322320.322399+0.02%0.28555-11.41%0.0192✗1.53455k2022-06-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024020.024025+0.02%0.02308-3.91%0.0324✓1.09154k2022-06-12
SCSiacoinnative0.004480.004481+0.02%0.00405-9.60%0.0177✓1.78228k2022-06-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.11.1001+0.01%1.01-8.18%0.0062✗1.1968k2022-06-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5971.5972+0.01%1.484-7.08%0.0551✓1.93242k2022-06-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031830.031834+0.01%0.02929-7.98%0.0222✓1.5817k2022-06-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.5582.5582+0.01%2.296-10.24%0.0108✗1.461.2M2022-06-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.3332.3331+0.01%2.216-5.02%0.0856✓2.053.0M2022-06-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.16110.161108+0.01%0.1443-10.43%0.0039✗1.59176k2022-06-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.3051.3051+0.00%1.185-9.20%0.0220✓1.77826k2022-06-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062370.062369-0.00%0.05792-7.13%0.0158✗1.3544k2022-06-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05780.057799-0.00%0.0518-10.38%0.0150✗1.871.7M2022-06-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163330.163323-0.00%0.15043-7.90%0.0442✗1.89276k2022-06-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0367.0356-0.01%6.26-11.03%0.0119✓1.5732.1M2022-06-12
XVSVenusEthereum4.464.4598-0.01%4.29-3.81%0.0959✗2.021.5M2022-06-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5410.540962-0.01%0.489-9.61%0.0204✗1.82886k2022-06-12
DIADIAEthereum0.437270.437237-0.01%0.42327-3.20%0.0137✗0.69249k2022-06-12
GTGateEthereum5.28735.2868-0.01%4.8594-8.09%0.0448✓0.592.5M2022-06-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.017810.017808-0.01%0.01815+1.91%0.1882✗2.5332.1M2022-06-12
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.50e-7-0.01%9.30e-7-2.11%0.0407✗0.935.7M2022-06-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03290.032895-0.02%0.03-8.81%0.0201✗1.68247k2022-06-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25860.258555-0.02%0.2317-10.40%0.0107✓1.48384k2022-06-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.25240.252354-0.02%0.2316-8.24%0.0026✗1.32103k2022-06-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,531.091,530.81-0.02%1,433.19-6.39%0.0097✗1.13340.5M2022-06-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81640.816248-0.02%0.78892-3.37%0.0925✗1.90789k2022-06-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11080.110779-0.02%0.1072-3.25%0.0550✗1.327,6092022-06-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11140.111379-0.02%0.0974-12.57%0.0417✓1.38781k2022-06-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,388.6328,382.26-0.02%26,555.20-6.46%0.0002✗1.00582.4M2022-06-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35040.350311-0.03%0.3246-7.36%0.0208✗1.4514.6M2022-06-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003910.003909-0.03%0.00368-5.88%0.0302✗1.365,7382022-06-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0697290.069709-0.03%0.063482-8.96%0.0068✓1.301.3M2022-06-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003620.003619-0.03%0.00318-12.15%0.0448✓1.272.1M2022-06-12
QNTQuantEthereum5554.982-0.03%49.57-9.87%0.0214✓1.232.0M2022-06-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008190.008187-0.03%0.00818-0.12%0.0581✗0.88164k2022-06-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.010460.010457-0.03%0.01007-3.73%0.0419✗1.191.5M2022-06-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08830.088268-0.04%0.083-6.00%0.0672✗1.93422k2022-06-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.4091.4084-0.04%1.246-11.57%0.0060✓1.7576k2022-06-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.632.6285-0.06%2.42-7.98%0.0570✗2.09294k2022-06-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5350.534697-0.06%0.49-8.41%0.0275✗1.72116k2022-06-12
ZECZcashZcash79.5879.5283-0.06%79.32-0.33%0.0945✗1.453.6M2022-06-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0245910.024575-0.07%0.0224-8.91%0.0116✓1.2110k2022-06-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.057640.057602-0.07%0.05315-7.79%0.0630✗2.151.9M2022-06-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.740.739501-0.07%0.66-10.81%0.0335✓1.2063k2022-06-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0131590.01315-0.07%0.012724-3.31%0.0244✗0.86291k2022-06-12
ZENHorizenBase16.516.4885-0.07%15.15-8.18%0.0324✗1.7565k2022-06-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3321520.33192-0.07%0.297576-10.41%0.0049✓1.562.3M2022-06-12
XECeCashnative0.000045240.000045207-0.07%0.00004105-9.26%0.0091✗1.583.0M2022-06-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010270.010262-0.07%0.00946-7.89%0.0313✗1.6913.6M2022-06-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.332970.332719-0.08%0.30712-7.76%0.0202✗1.50105k2022-06-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07360.073544-0.08%0.0657-10.73%0.0251✓1.31153k2022-06-12
XEMNEMnative0.04460.044564-0.08%0.041719-6.46%0.0418✗1.6132k2022-06-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.64541.6441-0.08%1.439-12.54%0.0426✓1.361.9M2022-06-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.36173.3589-0.08%3.0871-8.17%0.0051✗1.3433k2022-06-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4140.413638-0.09%0.373-9.90%0.0154✓1.3214k2022-06-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7630.762324-0.09%0.849+11.27%0.1920✗1.261.7M2022-06-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0523860.052337-0.09%0.0525+0.22%0.0589✗0.8459k2022-06-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.790.78925-0.09%0.71-10.13%0.0132✗1.78209k2022-06-12
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0881.0869-0.10%0.953-12.41%0.0590✓1.091.0M2022-06-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.68452.6817-0.11%2.3596-12.10%0.0313✓1.453.2M2022-06-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.995.9829-0.12%5.1-14.86%0.0532✓1.60411k2022-06-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.350940.350504-0.12%0.31445-10.40%0.0034✓1.5815k2022-06-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.16080.160599-0.12%0.1563-2.80%0.0405✗1.01277k2022-06-12
XMRMoneroMonero166.23166.0142-0.13%159.28-4.18%0.0355✗1.151.9M2022-06-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05090.050829-0.14%0.0502-1.38%0.1146✗1.9023k2022-06-12
HIVEHivenative0.48540.484719-0.14%0.4325-10.90%0.0141✓1.501.2M2022-06-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1252130.125032-0.14%0.118556-5.32%0.0274✗1.2110.3M2022-06-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.89952.8216-0.15%48.273-8.74%0.0202✓1.051.1M2022-06-12
KCSKuCoinnative15.0214.998-0.15%14.122-5.98%0.0122✗1.085.8M2022-06-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021210.021177-0.16%0.02308+8.82%0.1299✗0.66608k2022-06-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7940.792737-0.16%0.733-7.68%0.0531✗1.972.7M2022-06-12
FTTFTXEthereum27.4727.4258-0.16%27.9+1.57%0.0841✗1.009.1M2022-06-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum10.2910.2729-0.17%9.32-9.43%0.0241✓1.10283k2022-06-12
PROPropyEthereum0.920.918372-0.18%1.05+14.13%0.1874✗0.80183k2022-06-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.50035.4904-0.18%5.5114+0.20%0.0251✗0.32243k2022-06-12
RADRadworksEthereum1.91.8965-0.18%1.72-9.47%0.0082✓1.34268k2022-06-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.29.1831-0.18%8.45-8.15%0.0544✗2.062.8M2022-06-12
DODODODOEthereum0.1480.147724-0.19%0.1504+1.62%0.1345✗1.752.9M2022-06-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4222.4175-0.19%2.229-7.97%0.0396✗1.8199k2022-06-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.592.5851-0.19%2.4285-6.24%0.0808✗2.1513k2022-06-12
CBKCobakEthereum1.0931.0909-0.20%0.998-8.69%0.0047✓1.266,0082022-06-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5330.531925-0.20%0.45-15.57%0.0486✓1.784,3562022-06-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.22055-0.20%0.203-8.14%0.0584✗2.121.1M2022-06-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.06870.068557-0.21%0.063-8.30%0.0094✗1.41396k2022-06-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.075.0594-0.21%4.64-8.48%0.0299✓0.851.6M2022-06-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0460.045904-0.21%0.0423-8.04%0.0200✗1.52403k2022-06-12
FLOWFlownative2.0562.0517-0.21%1.794-12.74%0.0675✓1.00608k2022-06-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.463.4527-0.21%3.11-10.12%0.0361✓1.031.8M2022-06-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3992.3937-0.22%2.083-13.17%0.0655✓1.103.5M2022-06-12
ADACardanoCardano0.55350.552246-0.23%0.4899-11.49%0.0084✓1.6749.8M2022-06-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047310.047184-0.27%0.0437-7.63%0.0027✓1.113,6542022-06-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.594230.59264-0.27%0.51439-13.44%0.0087✗2.253.1M2022-06-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.13550.135135-0.27%0.1135-16.24%0.0574✓1.754,0262022-06-12
TRXTRONTron0.0757580.075547-0.28%0.076131+0.49%0.0696✗0.93682k2022-06-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.05270.052552-0.28%0.05067-3.85%0.0424✗1.1815k2022-06-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.6240.622218-0.29%0.5869-5.95%0.0378✗1.442.9M2022-06-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.03072.0248-0.29%1.7899-11.86%0.0514✓1.083.5M2022-06-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.93.8883-0.30%3.55-8.97%0.0255✓0.981.7M2022-06-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0731.0697-0.30%0.945-11.93%0.0572✓1.001.3M2022-06-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.197.166-0.33%6.62-7.93%0.0366✓0.642.0M2022-06-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7772.7675-0.34%2.7-2.77%0.0494✗1.1172k2022-06-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.009180.009146-0.37%0.00867-5.55%0.0223✗1.132,4432022-06-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.22051.2157-0.39%1.2017-1.54%0.0414✗0.791,0842022-06-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.574.5519-0.40%4.2-8.10%0.0214✓0.881.3M2022-06-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.21.1949-0.43%1.69+40.83%0.4170✗1.05153k2022-06-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.743.7227-0.46%3.21-14.17%0.0749✓1.10717k2022-06-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.164.1393-0.50%3.83-7.93%0.0235✓0.811.9M2022-06-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.21950.21833-0.53%0.1887-14.03%0.0411✓1.57696k2022-06-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.074.0466-0.57%3.675-9.71%0.0469✓0.746.4M2022-06-12
STEEMSteemnative0.24050.239043-0.61%0.208-13.51%0.0395✓1.49585k2022-06-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1623.1425-0.62%3.294+4.17%0.1096✗0.942.9M2022-06-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.0710.070538-0.65%0.07369+3.79%0.1105✗1.001,7292022-06-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3713.3481-0.68%3.026-10.23%0.0508✓0.754.1M2022-06-12
BANDBandEthereum1.7721.7581-0.78%1.417-20.03%0.0970✓1.78342k2022-06-12
OPTIMOptimism0.7610.754374-0.87%0.644-15.37%0.0914✓1.007.8M2022-06-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7141.6972-0.98%1.723+0.53%0.1258✗1.665.0M2022-06-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.2515.8536-2.44%12.2-24.92%0.1302✓1.97252k2022-06-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2171.1865-2.51%1.13-7.15%0.1021✗2.268.8M2022-06-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.