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2022-06-10 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1410
170 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.62%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.8%
in alpha space · 58.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-28.26%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000070280.000056612-19.45%0.00011091+57.81%1.7953✗3.382.2M2022-07-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6781.477-11.98%1.272-24.20%0.4059✗1.675.0M2022-07-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.38611.2351-10.89%0.78602-43.29%0.1987✓0.762,8352022-07-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2421.1169-10.07%0.832-33.01%0.4569✗2.266.0M2022-07-10
OPTIMOptimism0.880.803331-8.71%0.534-39.32%0.0763✓1.007.9M2022-07-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.0593.7608-7.35%3.453-14.93%0.1221✗0.623.8M2022-07-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7863.51-7.29%2.995-20.89%0.1229✗0.852.1M2022-07-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4694.1493-7.15%3.776-15.51%0.1584✗0.766.4M2022-07-10
STEEMSteemnative0.24970.231841-7.15%0.2361-5.45%0.5141✗1.49585k2022-07-10
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1684.8164-6.80%4.783-7.45%0.7340✗2.2317.0M2022-07-10
PROPropyEthereum0.990.924453-6.62%0.85-14.14%0.1747✗0.78183k2022-07-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.77321.657-6.55%1.315-25.84%0.2186✗1.352.0M2022-07-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.16741.0922-6.44%1.0275-11.99%0.3550✗1.256,1812022-07-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.9070.851179-6.15%0.952+4.96%0.8647✗2.272.0M2022-07-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.057740.054296-5.96%0.04566-20.92%0.2141✗1.1715k2022-07-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6552.498-5.91%2.301-13.33%0.5145✗1.80105k2022-07-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2460.231863-5.75%0.266+8.13%0.8079✗2.021.2M2022-07-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.655870.619606-5.53%0.48008-26.80%0.4859✗2.233.0M2022-07-10
FLOWFlownative2.2852.1658-5.22%1.641-28.18%0.0546✗1.00592k2022-07-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.7814.9759-5.10%14.56-7.73%0.6290✗1.98252k2022-07-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.817.4235-4.95%6.26-19.85%0.0373✓0.632.0M2022-07-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.047274-4.88%0.0467-6.04%0.4886✗1.51425k2022-07-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.29422.1832-4.84%1.8251-20.45%0.1733✗1.063.5M2022-07-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1971.1393-4.82%1.161-3.01%0.3510✗1.001.3M2022-07-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062350.059467-4.62%0.05109-18.06%0.5605✗2.142.0M2022-07-10
GITCOINGITCOIN3.4473.2927-4.48%2.3894-30.68%0.3729✗2.0915k2022-07-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3601920.344308-4.41%0.312585-13.22%0.4192✗1.552.3M2022-07-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.075590.072352-4.28%0.06842-9.49%0.2762✗1.001,6002022-07-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.584.3982-3.97%3.74-18.34%0.0997✗0.791.9M2022-07-10
TRXTRONTron0.0787320.075731-3.81%0.067605-14.13%0.1916✗0.92682k2022-07-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05420.052149-3.78%0.0432-20.30%0.4405✗1.8923k2022-07-10
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8890.855424-3.78%0.9127+2.67%0.7175✗1.972.7M2022-07-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.944.7611-3.62%4.03-18.42%0.1204✗0.861.2M2022-07-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.050.048209-3.58%–pending––1.104,5412022-07-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.425.2274-3.55%4.48-17.34%0.1233✗0.841.6M2022-07-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.214.0706-3.31%3.22-23.52%0.0779✗0.941.7M2022-07-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.369440.357294-3.29%0.30438-17.61%0.3621✗1.5716k2022-07-10
DODODODOEthereum0.16440.159497-2.98%0.1343-18.31%0.4022✗1.732.9M2022-07-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.410.0936-2.95%9.4-9.62%0.6087✗2.052.8M2022-07-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5250.509637-2.93%0.706+34.48%0.9229✗1.804,3562022-07-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010840.010535-2.81%0.01063-1.94%0.5697✗1.6914.1M2022-07-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.57512.5033-2.79%2.1805-15.32%0.2248✗1.093.5M2022-07-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.50995.3629-2.67%5.6377+2.32%0.1558✗0.32253k2022-07-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4560.443901-2.65%0.417-8.55%0.3712✗1.3115k2022-07-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.53.4103-2.56%2.41-31.14%0.3273✗2.03294k2022-07-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.14510.141504-2.48%0.0787-45.76%0.0066✓1.753,5392022-07-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.7511.7079-2.46%1.359-22.39%0.4121✗1.93264k2022-07-10
NEXONEXOEthereum1.1731.1452-2.37%0.622-46.97%0.2529✓1.081.0M2022-07-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0543760.053102-2.34%0.051898-4.56%0.2527✗0.8367k2022-07-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0256320.025037-2.32%0.02131-16.86%0.2414✗1.2111k2022-07-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.546.3928-2.25%5.46-16.51%0.3681✗1.58420k2022-07-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.6743.593-2.20%2.9428-19.90%0.2421✗1.3333k2022-07-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.00970.009498-2.08%0.005663-41.62%0.1424✓1.132,4432022-07-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0752880.073744-2.05%0.067208-10.73%0.3350✗1.291.3M2022-07-10
XMRMoneroMonero174.19170.9252-1.87%129.44-25.69%0.1048✗1.152.1M2022-07-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.870.85391-1.85%0.9372+7.72%0.6795✗1.77212k2022-07-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.022580.022165-1.84%0.01992-11.78%0.1122✗0.66608k2022-07-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94322.8905-1.79%2.4109-18.09%0.3088✗1.483.4M2022-07-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.26556.2414-1.79%54.247-5.27%0.3079✗1.041.1M2022-07-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36880.362224-1.78%0.3106-15.78%0.3272✗1.4514.6M2022-07-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8473.7786-1.78%2.9-24.62%0.0613✗0.981.8M2022-07-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1329610.13064-1.75%0.107379-19.24%0.2039✗1.2010.3M2022-07-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7570.744226-1.69%0.638-15.72%0.2509✗1.22372k2022-07-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.052.0173-1.59%1.71-16.59%0.2720✗1.32268k2022-07-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09650.095001-1.55%0.0923-4.35%0.6097✗1.92436k2022-07-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1780.175372-1.48%0.0989-44.44%0.2444✓0.99278k2022-07-10
XEMNEMnative0.0466790.045999-1.46%0.040415-13.42%0.4044✗1.6139k2022-07-10
KCSKuCoinnative15.53815.3238-1.38%9.27-40.34%0.1439✓1.086.2M2022-07-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0780.076995-1.29%0.0717-8.08%0.3626✗1.31153k2022-07-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.4541.4378-1.11%1.901+30.74%0.8628✗1.76826k2022-07-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.362980.359036-1.09%0.40809+12.43%0.6187✗1.48111k2022-07-10
HIVEHivenative0.50510.499802-1.05%0.4644-8.06%0.4236✗1.501.4M2022-07-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.0271.0164-1.04%0.9522-7.28%0.4214✗1.475.1M2022-07-10
QNTQuantEthereum61.1660.5376-1.02%81.43+33.14%0.7004✗1.222.0M2022-07-10
ADACardanoCardano0.57370.567871-1.02%0.4622-19.44%0.3449✗1.6649.8M2022-07-10
GTGateEthereum5.36415.3131-0.95%3.9189-26.94%0.1066✓0.603.2M2022-07-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5810.575805-0.89%0.526-9.47%0.4748✗1.70120k2022-07-10
ZENHorizenBase17.7917.635-0.87%17.02-4.33%0.5429✗1.7465k2022-07-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.27120.268873-0.86%0.255-5.97%0.3941✗1.35105k2022-07-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004330.004294-0.84%–pending––1.335,7382022-07-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020130.019969-0.80%0.02608+29.56%1.0985✗2.5037.4M2022-07-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.8166.7635-0.77%5.484-19.54%0.3205✗1.602.5M2022-07-10
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7820.776109-0.75%0.806+3.07%0.4580✗1.271.8M2022-07-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.23060.228895-0.74%0.1533-33.52%0.1154✗1.55696k2022-07-10
XECeCashnative0.000047860.000047508-0.74%0.00004035-15.69%0.3570✗1.573.2M2022-07-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.20e-74.18e-7-0.66%3.80e-7-9.59%0.2458✗1.02877k2022-07-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.352020.34973-0.65%0.28255-19.73%0.2912✗1.52480k2022-07-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.9919.8637-0.63%15.13-24.31%0.1847✗1.382.6M2022-07-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.643.6181-0.60%2.74-24.73%0.0892✗1.11686k2022-07-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.7672.7512-0.57%2.615-5.49%0.4318✗1.451.2M2022-07-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,063.1128,900.76-0.56%20,850.65-28.26%0.0056✗1.00602.3M2022-07-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.65830.654671-0.55%0.7842+19.13%0.6605✗1.452.9M2022-07-10
ZECZcashZcash88.8588.3726-0.54%59.63-32.89%0.0792✗1.423.8M2022-07-10
BANDBandEthereum1.8751.8658-0.49%1.436-23.41%0.3254✗1.77342k2022-07-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.23361.2276-0.48%1.0736-12.97%0.3060✗1.3248k2022-07-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,660.781,653.18-0.46%1,167.68-29.69%0.0240✗1.12340.5M2022-07-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004080.004063-0.41%0.002839-30.42%0.0542✗1.242.1M2022-07-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum10.9110.8679-0.39%15.71+44.00%0.7291✗1.09289k2022-07-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.452.4408-0.38%2.443-0.29%0.6841✗2.063.0M2022-07-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.28420.28315-0.37%0.263-7.46%0.4137✗1.47330k2022-07-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.321.3156-0.33%1.56+18.18%0.5143✗1.04153k2022-07-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.381.3759-0.30%1.32-4.35%0.5477✗1.771.2M2022-07-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.0217.9841-0.20%14.41-20.03%0.3507✗1.722.5M2022-07-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30780.307292-0.17%0.2589-15.89%0.3349✗1.5231k2022-07-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0152670.015254-0.09%0.017406+14.01%0.3976✗0.80273k2022-07-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011050.001105-0.02%0.00101-8.62%0.4827✗1.721.8M2022-07-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5971.5971+0.01%2.05+28.37%0.8237✓1.7376k2022-07-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.010940.010942+0.02%0.00916-16.27%0.2152✓1.181.5M2022-07-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.420.420177+0.04%0.3916-6.76%0.5701✓1.93609k2022-07-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06510.065153+0.08%0.0466-28.42%0.2766✓1.841.7M2022-07-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12140.121508+0.09%0.1083-10.79%0.3350✓1.36828k2022-07-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,029.0029,076.23+0.16%20,768.90-28.45%0.0125✗0.9836k2022-07-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6220.623157+0.19%0.4933-20.69%0.3616✓1.79886k2022-07-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.48852.4945+0.24%1.8627-25.15%0.2057✓1.5068k2022-07-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.88840.890805+0.27%0.86883-2.20%0.5995✓1.88789k2022-07-10
FTTFTXEthereum27.627.6795+0.29%25.88-6.23%0.2670✓1.019.2M2022-07-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7630.765391+0.31%0.67-12.19%0.4771✓1.84578k2022-07-10
KSMKusamaHydration58.5558.7369+0.32%49.94-14.71%0.2926✓1.371.1M2022-07-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32190.322947+0.33%0.2971-7.70%0.4096✓1.486.3M2022-07-10
DASHDashDash53.8654.0629+0.38%45.16-16.15%0.2628✓1.33837k2022-07-10
DIADIAEthereum0.495560.497506+0.39%0.41658-15.94%0.0459✓0.67249k2022-07-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.0338.0663+0.41%6.191-22.93%0.2501✓1.5532.1M2022-07-10
BTTCBTTC0.000001010.000001014+0.43%8.90e-7-11.88%0.1739✓0.926.0M2022-07-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.16740.16825+0.51%0.1497-10.57%0.4123✓1.59183k2022-07-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.06910.069454+0.51%0.053-23.30%0.4217✓2.08142k2022-07-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27080.272267+0.54%0.1986-26.66%0.1405✓1.37230k2022-07-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.0978.1476+0.63%8.771+8.32%0.5902✓1.5615.2M2022-07-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177240.178429+0.67%0.12453-29.74%0.2637✓1.88276k2022-07-10
MOVRMoonriverBase18.441218.5759+0.73%12.0425-34.70%0.1020✓1.61229k2022-07-10
XTZTezosTezos1.96441.98+0.80%1.6258-17.24%0.2697✓1.41928k2022-07-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1330.134079+0.81%0.1194-10.23%0.4679✓1.763.3M2022-07-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,054.397,111.78+0.81%6,033.03-14.48%0.2715✓1.313.7M2022-07-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11930.120286+0.83%0.1047-12.24%0.2937✓1.308,4042022-07-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08740.088136+0.84%0.0518-40.73%0.2984✗0.70299k2022-07-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008560.008635+0.88%0.006728-21.40%0.0430✓0.88180k2022-07-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03550.035825+0.92%0.0395+11.27%0.6533✓1.67257k2022-07-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.07680.077514+0.93%0.0631-17.84%0.2367✓1.33396k2022-07-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14240.14375+0.95%0.1569+10.18%0.6155✓1.5951k2022-07-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2111.3174+0.96%9.15-18.38%0.2150✓1.29524k2022-07-10
SCSiacoinnative0.00490.004948+0.97%0.00408-16.73%0.3951✓1.77239k2022-07-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.11360.114734+1.00%0.1052-7.39%0.4125✓1.50844k2022-07-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1370.138419+1.04%0.0999-27.08%0.2653✓1.785.9M2022-07-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47860.48356+1.04%0.3914-18.22%0.3858✓1.80159k2022-07-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6482.6769+1.09%2.239-15.45%0.4048✓1.76187k2022-07-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.014250.014413+1.15%0.012513-12.19%0.2681✓1.232.1M2022-07-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025920.026226+1.18%0.02012-22.38%0.0926✓1.08156k2022-07-10
STXStacksnative0.49560.501591+1.21%0.4056-18.16%0.2541✓1.40165k2022-07-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.507690.514035+1.25%0.68167+34.27%0.8530✓1.7263k2022-07-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034780.035219+1.26%0.02852-18.00%0.3113✓1.5718k2022-07-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.922.9578+1.29%2.439-16.47%0.1728✓1.1072k2022-07-10
COMPCompoundEthereum51.6652.3489+1.33%53.32+3.21%0.5442✓1.5828k2022-07-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.21.2161+1.34%0.4825-59.79%0.5342✗1.1871k2022-07-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.161.1759+1.37%0.649-44.05%0.1117✓2.13356k2022-07-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.6629+1.40%1.52-7.32%0.5715✓1.99580k2022-07-10
ORCAOrcaSolana0.810.821388+1.41%0.8039-0.75%0.3712✓1.1869k2022-07-10
NANOnanopayBase1.05631.0723+1.51%0.880054-16.69%0.2660✓1.40129k2022-07-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.0936.1976+1.72%6.385+4.79%0.6231✓1.7910.6M2022-07-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010120.000010294+1.72%0.0000112+10.67%0.5781✓1.49850k2022-07-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.0522.44+1.77%19.16-13.11%0.4140✓1.7250.1M2022-07-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.11970.121831+1.78%0.0972-18.80%0.3659✓1.781.1M2022-07-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008110.008255+1.78%0.00683-15.78%0.2076✓1.20637k2022-07-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.14820.150909+1.83%0.1745+17.75%0.6904✓1.641,7522022-07-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3360.34336+2.19%0.274-18.45%0.1954✓1.27890k2022-07-10
SOLSolanaSolana37.1338.0085+2.37%36.69-1.19%0.5073✓1.63107.6M2022-07-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.6258.1436+2.69%52.09-8.00%0.3364✓1.3417.5M2022-07-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6528.9012+2.88%6.849-20.84%0.2586✓1.5713.5M2022-07-10
UNIUniswapEthereum4.8084.9553+3.06%6.234+29.66%0.7313✓1.512.6M2022-07-10
XVGVergenative0.0040.004126+3.14%0.00338-15.50%0.3516✓1.66705k2022-07-10
XVSVenusEthereum4.674.8487+3.83%5.1+9.21%0.7193✓2.011.6M2022-07-10
AAVEAaveEthereum87.9591.3612+3.88%77.73-11.62%0.4579✓1.877.5M2022-07-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash167.29173.7831+3.88%106.77-36.18%0.0631✗1.284.4M2022-07-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.066060.068818+4.17%0.05771-12.64%0.2683✓1.3455k2022-07-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.