8=======>

2022-06-09 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 171 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1251
169 of 171 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.14%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
40.8%
in alpha space · 60.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-28.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (171 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000075060.000057853-22.92%0.00011046+47.16%1.7923✗3.452.4M2022-07-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9061.6369-14.12%1.341-29.64%0.3470✗1.655.0M2022-07-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.45041.2609-13.06%0.84108-42.01%0.1543✓0.764,7612022-07-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3331.175-11.85%0.859-35.56%0.4361✗2.264.0M2022-07-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9343.5781-9.05%3.034-22.88%0.1159✗0.852.1M2022-07-09
STEEMSteemnative0.25710.236033-8.19%0.2545-1.01%0.5747✗1.50585k2022-07-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.9920.912649-8.00%1.001+0.91%0.8455✗2.272.1M2022-07-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8144.4468-7.63%3.801-21.04%0.0929✗0.756.4M2022-07-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.89641.7523-7.60%1.3921-26.59%0.2182✗1.352.2M2022-07-09
PROPropyEthereum10.926049-7.40%0.87-13.00%0.1977✗0.78186k2022-07-09
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7175.319-6.96%5.007-12.42%0.6770✗2.2218.8M2022-07-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6853.4292-6.94%3.563-3.31%0.2590✗0.663.4M2022-07-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8122.621-6.79%2.489-11.49%0.5479✗1.81108k2022-07-09
CBKCobakEthereum1.27421.1895-6.65%1.01-20.74%0.2478✗1.246,7502022-07-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2670.249333-6.62%0.272+1.87%0.7551✗2.011.3M2022-07-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.059960.056211-6.25%0.04698-21.65%0.2081✗1.1716k2022-07-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.684890.64525-5.79%0.5119-25.26%0.5126✗2.243.0M2022-07-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.051127-5.50%0.0496-8.32%0.4659✗1.50443k2022-07-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.067.6291-5.35%6.37-20.97%0.0265✓0.621.9M2022-07-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065980.062461-5.33%0.05322-19.34%0.5564✗2.162.2M2022-07-09
FLOWFlownative2.3862.2623-5.18%1.697-28.88%0.0444✓1.00608k2022-07-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.854.6159-4.83%3.82-21.24%0.0700✗0.781.9M2022-07-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.33182.2201-4.79%1.8302-21.51%0.1646✗1.083.6M2022-07-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3927730.373987-4.78%0.33105-15.71%0.3899✗1.542.3M2022-07-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2931.2321-4.71%1.224-5.34%0.3253✗1.001.3M2022-07-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05980.057141-4.45%0.0453-24.25%0.3923✗1.8830k2022-07-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.681.6099-4.17%1.45-13.69%0.2167✗0.97153k2022-07-09
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9830.942067-4.16%0.9709-1.23%0.6806✗1.962.7M2022-07-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070830.068002-3.99%0.07264+2.56%0.3979✗1.001,4072022-07-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05330.051181-3.98%–pending––1.094,6802022-07-09
DODODODOEthereum0.18020.173235-3.87%0.1461-18.92%0.3999✗1.722.9M2022-07-09
TRXTRONTron0.0807680.077692-3.81%0.069799-13.58%0.1975✗0.92715k2022-07-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.314.1481-3.76%3.25-24.59%0.0697✗0.951.5M2022-07-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.393460.379531-3.54%0.31073-21.03%0.3215✗1.5717k2022-07-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5550.535923-3.44%0.751+35.32%0.9373✗1.814,8372022-07-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.914.7413-3.43%4.13-15.89%0.1538✗0.881.1M2022-07-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.65.4154-3.30%4.62-17.50%0.1209✗0.841.7M2022-07-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011670.011296-3.21%0.01115-4.46%0.5443✗1.6814.5M2022-07-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.5111.1561-3.07%10.1-12.25%0.5760✗2.042.9M2022-07-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.0960.093127-2.99%0.0663-30.94%0.0824✗1.27396k2022-07-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9221.8673-2.85%1.449-24.61%0.3857✗1.93291k2022-07-09
GITCOINGITCOIN3.1383.0507-2.78%2.6854-14.42%0.5828✗2.1415k2022-07-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.467698-2.77%0.468-2.70%0.4343✗1.3116k2022-07-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum76.8083-2.74%5.97-14.71%0.3929✗1.58427k2022-07-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0277020.026953-2.71%0.021787-21.35%0.1856✗1.2011k2022-07-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.59552.5263-2.67%2.1733-16.27%0.2211✗1.123.6M2022-07-09
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2161.1846-2.58%0.674-44.57%0.2052✓1.081.1M2022-07-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15440.150436-2.57%0.082-46.89%0.0262✓1.753,4822022-07-09
XMRMoneroMonero185.9181.1475-2.56%127.29-31.53%0.0279✗1.152.1M2022-07-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0564870.055141-2.38%0.052591-6.90%0.2282✗0.8374k2022-07-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.42725.3006-2.33%5.6963+4.96%0.1806✗0.33265k2022-07-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0792810.077494-2.25%0.069494-12.35%0.3177✗1.291.5M2022-07-09
QTUMQtumQtum3.9093.8263-2.12%3.029-22.51%0.2060✗1.3239k2022-07-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.910.89089-2.10%1.0075+10.71%0.7109✗1.77232k2022-07-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.009730.009538-1.98%0.005906-39.31%0.1016✓1.142,4432022-07-09
RADRadworksEthereum2.172.1281-1.93%1.74-19.82%0.2345✗1.31268k2022-07-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02420.023742-1.89%0.01953-19.30%0.0191✗0.65608k2022-07-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0693.995-1.82%2.948-27.55%0.0197✗0.971.8M2022-07-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1398290.137337-1.78%0.112651-19.44%0.2007✗1.2010.7M2022-07-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.29650.291536-1.67%0.2526-14.81%0.2987✗1.33105k2022-07-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10210.100411-1.65%0.0932-8.72%0.5657✗1.93445k2022-07-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.86455.0119-1.53%57.018+2.07%0.3862✗1.061.1M2022-07-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.40410.398098-1.49%0.3214-20.47%0.2624✗1.4414.6M2022-07-09
ADACardanoCardano0.63210.622781-1.47%0.4777-24.43%0.2806✗1.6449.8M2022-07-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004670.004602-1.47%–pending––1.335,7382022-07-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.07663.0333-1.41%2.4475-20.45%0.2783✗1.483.8M2022-07-09
KCSKuCoinnative15.98915.7724-1.35%9.637-39.73%0.1336✓1.086.5M2022-07-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08210.081023-1.31%0.0752-8.40%0.3599✗1.31159k2022-07-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.17310.170849-1.30%0.0968-44.08%0.2317✓1.01278k2022-07-09
API3Api3Ethereum1.6111.5911-1.23%2.008+24.64%0.8131✗1.75826k2022-07-09
XEMNEMnative0.0498610.049252-1.22%0.042082-15.60%0.3752✗1.6045k2022-07-09
HIVEHivenative0.54430.5382-1.12%0.4878-10.38%0.3960✗1.491.6M2022-07-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8010.792483-1.06%0.695-13.23%0.2721✗1.22372k2022-07-09
XECeCashnative0.000051540.000050998-1.05%0.00004162-19.25%0.3146✗1.563.3M2022-07-09
BANDBandEthereum2.0131.9937-0.96%1.472-26.88%0.2822✗1.76342k2022-07-09
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8490.840886-0.96%0.851+0.24%0.4277✗1.251.9M2022-07-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392760.389036-0.95%0.432+9.99%0.5924✗1.47111k2022-07-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.269.1724-0.95%6.48-30.02%0.1573✗1.5232.1M2022-07-09
ZENHorizenBase19.0618.8898-0.89%16.88-11.44%0.4647✗1.7472k2022-07-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.8912.7753-0.89%16.36+26.92%0.9331✗2.07252k2022-07-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6942.6712-0.85%2.595-3.67%0.6511✗2.053.0M2022-07-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.99e-74.95e-7-0.79%4.00e-7-19.84%0.1113✗0.98877k2022-07-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6220.617096-0.79%0.557-10.45%0.4619✗1.70123k2022-07-09
QNTQuantEthereum63.1262.6265-0.78%85+34.66%0.7110✗1.222.1M2022-07-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.1420.9766-0.77%15.85-25.02%0.1752✗1.372.7M2022-07-09
GTGateEthereum5.49955.4577-0.76%3.9463-28.24%0.1268✓0.593.4M2022-07-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1461.1374-0.75%1.0142-11.50%0.3656✗1.455.2M2022-07-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.34971.3406-0.68%1.1215-16.91%0.2568✗1.3149k2022-07-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.373340.370978-0.63%0.29022-22.26%0.2589✗1.52493k2022-07-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.2247.18-0.61%5.796-19.77%0.3164✗1.602.6M2022-07-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,079.6229,907.95-0.57%21,583.99-28.24%0.0057✓1.00602.3M2022-07-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.73212.7173-0.54%1.938-29.07%0.1546✗1.4868k2022-07-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.611.5389-0.53%16.66+43.62%0.7257✗1.08289k2022-07-09
UMAUMAEthereum2.9862.9721-0.46%2.709-9.28%0.3891✗1.451.3M2022-07-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.723.7058-0.38%2.89-22.31%0.1203✗1.11686k2022-07-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,787.551,781.05-0.36%1,216.78-31.93%0.0132✓1.11340.5M2022-07-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02060.020533-0.32%0.0242+17.48%1.0014✗2.5238.7M2022-07-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.163.1498-0.32%2.65-16.14%0.5191✗2.08294k2022-07-09
XTZTezosTezos2.2232.2161-0.31%1.6244-26.93%0.1478✗1.38928k2022-07-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004210.004199-0.27%0.002932-30.36%0.0555✗1.252.1M2022-07-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62160.619983-0.26%0.8009+28.84%0.7469✗1.482.9M2022-07-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0159690.015928-0.26%0.016422+2.84%0.2927✗0.79268k2022-07-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31570.315018-0.22%0.2594-17.83%0.3145✗1.5331k2022-07-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.491.4872-0.19%1.24-16.78%0.4057✗1.771.3M2022-07-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,087.8030,039.88-0.16%21,554.30-28.36%0.0084✓0.9752k2022-07-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.28180.281415-0.14%0.2464-12.56%0.3607✗1.49330k2022-07-09
ZECZcashZcash92.1191.9862-0.13%61.21-33.55%0.0664✗1.434.0M2022-07-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07340.073307-0.13%0.0498-32.15%0.2186✗1.821.7M2022-07-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6740.673258-0.11%0.5198-22.88%0.3347✗1.79886k2022-07-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.3819.3691-0.06%15.14-21.88%0.3250✗1.722.6M2022-07-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12780.127791-0.01%0.1143-10.56%0.3380✗1.35842k2022-07-09
DIADIAEthereum0.511060.511132+0.01%0.46426-9.16%0.1262✓0.67240k2022-07-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.18170.181735+0.02%0.1509-16.95%0.3398✓1.58183k2022-07-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.22620.226286+0.04%0.1604-29.09%0.1791✓1.58696k2022-07-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011860.001187+0.11%0.0009887-16.64%0.3886✓1.721.8M2022-07-09
DASHDashDash57.6657.7738+0.20%47.79-17.12%0.2513✓1.33862k2022-07-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.29750.298236+0.25%0.2028-31.83%0.0647✓1.36268k2022-07-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4550.4565+0.33%0.419-7.91%0.5535✓1.93627k2022-07-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.011120.011158+0.34%0.00913-17.90%0.1954✓1.191.5M2022-07-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7211.7277+0.39%2.127+23.59%0.7808✓1.7376k2022-07-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.038368+0.44%0.0414+8.38%0.6299✓1.67269k2022-07-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15580.156488+0.44%0.1463-6.10%0.4567✓1.5855k2022-07-09
MANADecentralandEthereum0.971280.975689+0.45%0.90639-6.68%0.5483✓1.87838k2022-07-09
FTTFTXEthereum28.5428.6748+0.47%27.13-4.94%0.2790✓1.019.6M2022-07-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34630.348209+0.55%0.2888-16.60%0.3034✓1.486.3M2022-07-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14790.148723+0.56%0.1265-14.47%0.4161✓1.743.5M2022-07-09
BTTCBTTC0.000001050.000001056+0.58%9.10e-7-13.33%0.1553✓0.926.4M2022-07-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08950.090182+0.76%0.0531-40.67%0.2963✗0.70313k2022-07-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.51150.515433+0.77%0.4062-20.59%0.3578✓1.80159k2022-07-09
KSMKusamaHydration66.3966.9055+0.78%53.1-20.02%0.2152✓1.341.1M2022-07-09
SCSiacoinnative0.005350.005392+0.79%0.00415-22.43%0.3227✓1.76239k2022-07-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.190430.191965+0.81%0.13272-30.31%0.2540✓1.88276k2022-07-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.07590.076514+0.81%0.0554-27.01%0.3671✓2.08142k2022-07-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8290.835733+0.81%0.698-15.80%0.4276✓1.83604k2022-07-09
MOVRMoonriverBase20.157820.3245+0.83%13.0012-35.50%0.0852✓1.60229k2022-07-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.11950.120499+0.84%0.1031-13.72%0.3440✓1.51913k2022-07-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.560830.565753+0.88%0.73272+30.65%0.8258✓1.7163k2022-07-09
COMPCompoundEthereum55.3955.9286+0.97%55.57+0.32%0.5177✓1.5829k2022-07-09
STXStacksnative0.53780.543083+0.98%0.4146-22.91%0.1929✓1.39165k2022-07-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12530.126618+1.05%0.1126-10.14%0.3146✓1.309,7902022-07-09
NANOnanopayBase1.16511.1775+1.07%0.911727-21.74%0.2023✓1.38144k2022-07-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.321.3342+1.08%0.5055-61.70%0.5863✗1.1671k2022-07-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2691.2831+1.11%0.689-45.71%0.0818✓2.12369k2022-07-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,472.657,556.71+1.12%6,497.21-13.05%0.2839✓1.313.8M2022-07-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8612.8932+1.13%2.386-16.60%0.3888✓1.75227k2022-07-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037780.038229+1.19%0.03017-20.14%0.2824✓1.5618k2022-07-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.13130.132865+1.19%0.0966-26.43%0.2689✓1.771.2M2022-07-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008510.008613+1.21%0.0069-18.92%0.0757✓0.90184k2022-07-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027140.027491+1.29%0.02113-22.14%0.0941✓1.08156k2022-07-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.7768.8906+1.31%8.98+2.32%0.5241✓1.5515.2M2022-07-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0147860.014991+1.39%0.013118-11.28%0.2771✓1.242.1M2022-07-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80.811586+1.45%0.8089+1.11%0.3956✓1.2070k2022-07-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0273.0729+1.52%2.527-16.52%0.1699✓1.1072k2022-07-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.17170.174356+1.55%0.1984+15.55%0.6648✓1.612,3482022-07-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.821.8489+1.59%1.57-13.74%0.4935✓1.98603k2022-07-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0712.2625+1.60%9.5-21.29%0.1694✓1.28536k2022-07-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14770.150074+1.61%0.1055-28.57%0.2375✓1.786.0M2022-07-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3560.362413+1.80%0.284-20.22%0.1755✓1.26932k2022-07-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008720.008881+1.85%0.00711-18.46%0.1711✓1.19698k2022-07-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010560.000010775+2.04%0.00001161+9.94%0.5695✓1.49861k2022-07-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3996.5346+2.12%6.962+8.80%0.6583✓1.7910.9M2022-07-09
UNIUniswapEthereum5.1995.344+2.79%6.448+24.02%0.6864✓1.502.6M2022-07-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.1761.9147+2.90%54.05-10.17%0.3091✓1.3417.9M2022-07-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.4125.1216+2.92%19.9-18.48%0.3348✓1.7152.5M2022-07-09
SOLSolanaSolana39.9341.1583+3.08%38.08-4.63%0.4633✓1.63112.7M2022-07-09
XVGVergenative0.004320.004456+3.16%0.00344-20.37%0.2905✓1.66705k2022-07-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2289.5261+3.23%7.249-21.45%0.2468✓1.5713.5M2022-07-09
AAVEAaveEthereum95.7299.0773+3.51%82.06-14.27%0.4286✓1.868.2M2022-07-09
XVSVenusEthereum4.995.1903+4.01%5.25+5.21%0.6802✓2.021.6M2022-07-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash175.48182.7102+4.12%111.36-36.54%0.0714✗1.284.5M2022-07-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068970.072379+4.94%0.06088-11.73%0.2709✓1.3463k2022-07-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.