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2022-06-07 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 170 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1289
170 of 170 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.44%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.8%
in alpha space · 52.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-30.52%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (170 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000063240.000047698-24.58%0.0001126+78.05%2.0254✗3.202.5M2022-07-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.8051.5133-16.16%0.875-51.52%0.2381✗2.163.2M2022-07-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.50771.281-15.03%0.84841-43.73%0.1439✓0.744,7612022-07-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7731.5175-14.41%1.332-24.87%0.4563✗1.615.0M2022-07-07
AVTAventusEthereum2.31.997-13.17%1.47-36.09%0.0265✓0.91152k2022-07-07
STEEMSteemnative0.26140.236681-9.46%0.2195-16.03%0.4754✗1.51585k2022-07-07
GMTGMTEthereum0.9580.871731-9.01%1.014+5.85%0.9899✗2.302.2M2022-07-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.89631.7338-8.57%1.4217-25.03%0.3058✗1.392.5M2022-07-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.837120.766639-8.42%0.45682-45.43%0.2910✗2.223.0M2022-07-07
PROPropyEthereum1.040.954704-8.20%0.85-18.27%0.1693✗0.78187k2022-07-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6774.3187-7.66%3.773-19.33%0.1129✗0.686.4M2022-07-07
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9292.712-7.41%2.381-18.71%0.5369✗1.83109k2022-07-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2680.248682-7.21%0.275+2.61%0.8234✗1.991.4M2022-07-07
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06950.065089-6.35%0.0526-24.32%0.5768✗2.172.4M2022-07-07
APEApeCoinEthereum6.0285.646-6.34%5.105-15.31%0.7091✗2.2223.4M2022-07-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.06180.057896-6.32%0.04561-26.20%0.1823✗1.1615k2022-07-07
CBKCobakEthereum1.30311.2234-6.11%0.97043-25.53%0.2122✗1.226,7502022-07-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05420.051114-5.69%0.0495-8.67%0.5009✗1.46498k2022-07-07
FLOWFlownative2.4332.3098-5.07%1.666-31.52%0.0373✓1.00671k2022-07-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4084220.387735-5.07%0.314984-22.88%0.3445✗1.522.4M2022-07-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0822.9277-5.01%3.504+13.69%0.4478✗0.742.6M2022-07-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06230.059282-4.84%0.0453-27.29%0.3809✗1.7940k2022-07-07
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3111.2482-4.79%1.283-2.14%0.3916✗1.001.2M2022-07-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.2672.1601-4.72%1.842-18.75%0.2201✗1.043.5M2022-07-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8092.6942-4.09%3.053+8.69%0.4708✗0.952.0M2022-07-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.457.1474-4.06%6.28-15.70%0.1048✗0.641.7M2022-07-07
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9690.931224-3.90%1.0044+3.65%0.7713✗1.913.0M2022-07-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5840.561525-3.85%0.727+24.49%0.9056✗1.785,3382022-07-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.053670.051609-3.84%0.04137-22.92%0.1712✗1.084,6802022-07-07
DODODODOEthereum0.17980.173144-3.70%0.1356-24.58%0.3754✗1.702.9M2022-07-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.409510.394525-3.66%0.3056-25.37%0.3200✗1.5818k2022-07-07
TRXTRONTron0.0819950.079074-3.56%0.068633-16.30%0.1843✗0.90907k2022-07-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.364.2128-3.38%3.85-11.70%0.1916✗0.771.5M2022-07-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012230.011835-3.23%0.0111-9.24%0.4905✗1.5216.2M2022-07-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9521.8907-3.14%1.448-25.82%0.4306✗1.92291k2022-07-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.425.2584-2.98%4.57-15.68%0.1597✗0.821.7M2022-07-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.9311.5816-2.92%10.43-12.57%0.6204✗1.993.8M2022-07-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.063.945-2.83%3.24-20.20%0.1421✗0.931.3M2022-07-07
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2311.1965-2.80%0.667-45.82%0.1877✓1.091.2M2022-07-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0284410.027648-2.79%0.021168-25.57%0.1645✗1.1912k2022-07-07
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15470.150409-2.77%0.0802-48.16%0.0132✓1.763,2022022-07-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.754.6197-2.74%4.13-13.05%0.2123✗0.89893k2022-07-07
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.2474-2.71%1.72-25.54%0.2011✗1.29275k2022-07-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.2413.8732-2.58%15.18+6.60%0.8284✗2.03252k2022-07-07
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4650.453169-2.54%0.403-13.33%0.3614✗1.3216k2022-07-07
XMRMoneroMonero187.45182.8226-2.47%130.4-30.43%0.0810✗1.152.3M2022-07-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.51542.4534-2.47%2.1851-13.13%0.2749✗1.073.3M2022-07-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.010190.009957-2.29%0.006119-39.95%0.0811✓1.112,4432022-07-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.950.92991-2.11%1.0105+6.37%0.7181✗1.74232k2022-07-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.526.3928-1.95%5.95-8.74%0.4936✗1.55420k2022-07-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.080340.078795-1.92%0.070619-12.10%0.3516✗1.271.5M2022-07-07
XYMSymbolnative0.0579760.056866-1.91%0.053373-7.94%0.2348✗0.8292k2022-07-07
XECeCashnative0.000055710.000054764-1.70%0.00004304-22.74%0.2970✗1.483.4M2022-07-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.31875.2298-1.67%5.784+8.75%0.2172✗0.32279k2022-07-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,177.9030,704.71-1.52%21,662.90-30.52%0.0064✓0.9865k2022-07-07
GITCOINGITCOIN2.92.8588-1.42%2.5398-12.42%0.6646✗2.1515k2022-07-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10720.10572-1.38%0.1008-5.97%0.6381✗1.88455k2022-07-07
HIVEHivenative0.59830.590099-1.37%0.4659-22.13%0.2826✗1.431.6M2022-07-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.49456.7185-1.35%55.861-2.84%0.3690✗1.061.2M2022-07-07
QTUMQtumQtum4.00013.9463-1.35%2.9966-25.09%0.1926✗1.2945k2022-07-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0870.085891-1.27%0.082-5.75%0.4548✗1.38162k2022-07-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1343.0956-1.22%2.4723-21.11%0.2264✗1.244.4M2022-07-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00470.004647-1.13%0.00159-66.17%0.5945✓1.316,8092022-07-07
XLMStellarStellar0.1402330.138719-1.08%0.11364-18.96%0.2348✗1.1911.2M2022-07-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023890.023648-1.02%0.02047-14.32%0.0797✗0.62608k2022-07-07
KCSKuCoinnative16.18916.0262-1.01%8.944-44.75%0.1949✓1.076.9M2022-07-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14960.148136-0.98%0.1002-33.02%0.0237✓1.01286k2022-07-07
API3Api3Ethereum1.4771.463-0.95%2.102+42.32%0.9901✗1.72826k2022-07-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.5343.5006-0.94%2.911-17.63%0.1689✗0.971.5M2022-07-07
ADACardanoCardano0.61360.608254-0.87%0.4774-22.20%0.3549✗1.6449.8M2022-07-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.20170.200149-0.77%0.147-27.12%0.2530✗1.54199k2022-07-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.39890.395897-0.75%0.3224-19.18%0.3176✗1.4414.9M2022-07-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.29520.293013-0.74%0.2478-16.06%0.3157✗1.33107k2022-07-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.722.7037-0.60%2.666-1.99%0.7214✗2.023.1M2022-07-07
XEMNEMnative0.0521310.05186-0.52%0.041632-20.14%0.3534✗1.5754k2022-07-07
ZENHorizenBase19.819.6977-0.52%16.86-14.85%0.4575✗1.6878k2022-07-07
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8110.807057-0.49%0.892+9.99%0.5495✗1.231.9M2022-07-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,106.9030,959.60-0.47%21,614.60-30.52%0.0047✗1.00656.1M2022-07-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.5321.4328-0.45%15.91-26.10%0.1962✗1.363.1M2022-07-07
QNTQuantEthereum64.4564.2106-0.37%64.36-0.14%0.4383✗1.202.2M2022-07-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.38391.379-0.35%1.0869-21.46%0.2070✗1.2254k2022-07-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1871.183-0.34%1.0505-11.50%0.4024✗1.435.8M2022-07-07
GTGateEthereum5.47365.4647-0.16%4.0325-26.33%0.0823✓0.613.7M2022-07-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.3227.314-0.11%5.796-20.84%0.3408✗1.582.7M2022-07-07
UOSUltraEthereum0.375990.375582-0.11%0.29145-22.48%0.2862✗1.48546k2022-07-07
UMAUMAEthereum3.0173.0155-0.05%2.695-10.67%0.4178✗1.461.3M2022-07-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8450.844888-0.01%0.643-23.91%0.1542✗1.17423k2022-07-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392790.392764-0.01%0.45268+15.25%0.6618✗1.43125k2022-07-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.30170.301692-0.00%0.2299-23.80%0.2594✗1.46432k2022-07-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004290.004291+0.02%0.00272-36.60%0.0078✗1.232.1M2022-07-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33580.335883+0.02%0.2583-23.08%0.2881✓1.5132k2022-07-07
ETHEthereumEthereum1,811.891,812.40+0.03%1,237.13-31.72%0.0184✓1.10363.3M2022-07-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.23530.235367+0.03%0.1572-33.19%0.1693✓1.57664k2022-07-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6260.626193+0.03%0.556-11.18%0.4901✓1.67153k2022-07-07
ZECZcashZcash93.4793.5007+0.03%59.83-35.99%0.0381✓1.334.3M2022-07-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03910.039139+0.10%0.0395+1.02%0.6070✓1.64257k2022-07-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.31430.31499+0.22%0.2025-35.57%0.0490✓1.35286k2022-07-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60690.608285+0.23%0.8089+33.28%0.8195✓1.472.9M2022-07-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023410.023467+0.24%0.0252+7.65%0.9695✓2.4740.1M2022-07-07
SUSHISushiEthereum1.561.5645+0.29%1.18-24.36%0.3543✓1.751.4M2022-07-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.423.4303+0.30%2.82-17.54%0.2072✓1.11663k2022-07-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13060.131004+0.31%0.1073-17.84%0.2865✓1.34951k2022-07-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.34e-75.36e-7+0.35%4.01e-7-24.92%0.0857✓1.03961k2022-07-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.6611.7038+0.38%16.65+42.80%0.7394✓1.06342k2022-07-07
XTZTezosTezos2.06792.0769+0.44%1.5719-23.99%0.2192✓1.37928k2022-07-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16380.16453+0.45%0.1309-20.09%0.3557✓1.6176k2022-07-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.7058.7465+0.48%6.636-23.77%0.2742✓1.5132.1M2022-07-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.63272.6457+0.49%1.9178-27.15%0.1891✓1.4068k2022-07-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6990.702605+0.52%0.5163-26.14%0.3347✓1.771.1M2022-07-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06870.069059+0.52%0.0495-27.95%0.3217✓1.801.8M2022-07-07
BANDBandEthereum1.7081.7178+0.57%1.422-16.74%0.4469✓1.75342k2022-07-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.011590.011657+0.58%0.00932-19.59%0.1959✓1.151.6M2022-07-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15690.157827+0.59%0.1256-19.95%0.3996✓1.733.6M2022-07-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012380.001246+0.62%0.001001-19.17%0.3999✓1.701.8M2022-07-07
DASHDashDash58.3358.702+0.64%46.09-20.98%0.2207✓1.27907k2022-07-07
DIADIAEthereum0.467930.471644+0.79%0.41554-11.20%0.1142✓0.66215k2022-07-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1290.13008+0.84%0.1117-13.41%0.3126✓1.2811k2022-07-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.6919.8557+0.84%15.35-22.04%0.3572✓1.693.0M2022-07-07
BTTCBTTC0.000001080.00000109+0.94%9.30e-7-13.89%0.1687✓0.906.7M2022-07-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4770.481739+0.99%0.4258-10.73%0.5617✓1.88683k2022-07-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.52910.53474+1.07%0.4192-20.77%0.3969✓1.76188k2022-07-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0149670.015129+1.08%0.015667+4.68%0.3256✓0.80268k2022-07-07
MOVRMoonriverBase20.159420.3777+1.08%12.5984-37.51%0.1021✓1.60239k2022-07-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.12320.124541+1.09%0.1037-15.83%0.3506✓1.47996k2022-07-07
NANOnanopayBase1.17381.1866+1.09%0.914728-22.07%0.2323✓1.35151k2022-07-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6841.7029+1.12%1.932+14.73%0.7465✓1.7079k2022-07-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.028430.028764+1.17%0.02531-10.97%0.2530✓1.05170k2022-07-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.35260.356797+1.19%0.2876-18.43%0.3077✓1.446.5M2022-07-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.82.8378+1.35%2.57-8.21%0.6698✓2.11294k2022-07-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2981.316+1.39%0.689-46.92%0.1064✓2.07399k2022-07-07
STORJStorjEthereum0.584970.593305+1.42%0.80564+37.72%0.9001✓1.6368k2022-07-07
SCSiacoinnative0.005650.005732+1.45%0.004-29.20%0.2718✓1.73259k2022-07-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.197310.200285+1.51%0.13275-32.72%0.2656✓1.86298k2022-07-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039150.039741+1.51%0.02961-24.37%0.2568✓1.5120k2022-07-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.12680.128716+1.51%0.0947-25.32%0.3364✓1.771.2M2022-07-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09050.091869+1.51%0.0537-40.66%0.2744✗0.72323k2022-07-07
KSMKusamaHydration67.2568.2835+1.54%52.68-21.67%0.2281✓1.341.4M2022-07-07
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02111.0368+1.54%0.93517-8.41%0.5653✓1.84918k2022-07-07
FTTFTXEthereum27.0627.5082+1.66%27.43+1.37%0.3663✓1.019.6M2022-07-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.31.3219+1.68%0.5072-60.98%0.5401✗1.1574k2022-07-07
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8570.871425+1.68%0.711-17.04%0.4527✓1.80622k2022-07-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0149540.015212+1.73%0.0124-17.08%0.2400✓1.222.4M2022-07-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.1093.1633+1.75%2.392-23.06%0.1315✓1.1372k2022-07-07
ORCAOrcaSolana0.820.834598+1.78%0.8403+2.48%0.4365✓1.1878k2022-07-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0712.2927+1.85%9-25.43%0.1513✓1.27541k2022-07-07
STXStacksnative0.54210.552272+1.88%0.4106-24.26%0.1366✓1.19180k2022-07-07
COMPCompoundEthereum57.1258.1926+1.88%48.65-14.83%0.3873✓1.5636k2022-07-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,602.197,745.68+1.89%6,584.14-13.39%0.3127✓1.313.9M2022-07-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008550.008713+1.91%0.006963-18.56%0.0922✓0.87228k2022-07-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.1879.3668+1.96%9.36+1.88%0.5555✓1.5315.2M2022-07-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.07810.07964+1.97%0.0571-26.89%0.4090✓2.04154k2022-07-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009050.009234+2.04%0.00685-24.31%0.1190✓1.15917k2022-07-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.17970.183369+2.04%0.1885+4.90%0.5996✓1.572,8762022-07-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.06660.067974+2.06%0.0625-6.16%0.3760✓1.26396k2022-07-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.781.8168+2.07%1.55-12.92%0.5535✓1.96603k2022-07-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3610.368587+2.10%0.29-19.67%0.2153✓1.251.0M2022-07-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7492.809+2.18%2.426-11.75%0.4881✓1.74263k2022-07-07
XVGVergenative0.00490.005022+2.48%0.00331-32.45%0.1819✓1.64747k2022-07-07
XVSVenusEthereum5.815.9635+2.64%5.24-9.81%0.5751✓1.931.6M2022-07-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010730.000011014+2.65%0.00001131+5.41%0.5630✓1.47957k2022-07-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8287.0089+2.65%6.245-8.54%0.5239✓1.7610.9M2022-07-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15470.158825+2.67%0.1026-33.68%0.2001✓1.756.4M2022-07-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.7765.8507+3.26%52.11-18.28%0.2425✓1.3118.4M2022-07-07
UNIUniswapEthereum5.2115.3864+3.37%5.73+9.96%0.6027✓1.492.6M2022-07-07
AAVEAaveEthereum99.19102.8929+3.73%71.12-28.30%0.2997✓1.848.9M2022-07-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2149.578+3.95%7.3-20.77%0.2868✓1.5313.8M2022-07-07
SOLSolanaSolana39.2840.8636+4.03%38.43-2.16%0.5263✓1.61117.0M2022-07-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5625.5914+4.20%20.18-17.83%0.3769✓1.6954.6M2022-07-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash181.8190.8173+4.96%111.48-38.68%0.0772✗1.264.8M2022-07-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070190.073996+5.42%0.05894-16.03%0.2366✓1.2737k2022-07-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.