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2022-06-06 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 170 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0743
170 of 170 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-7.59%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.2%
in alpha space · 52.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-34.46%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (170 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000080590.000061266-23.98%0.0001122+39.22%1.9712✗3.232.6M2022-07-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.52771.2938-15.31%0.77816-49.06%0.1974✓0.744,7612022-07-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5591.3614-12.67%1.261-19.11%0.5748✗1.545.0M2022-07-06
STEEMSteemnative0.2840.252062-11.25%0.2151-24.26%0.4797✗1.51585k2022-07-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0530.940115-10.72%0.849-19.37%0.8045✗2.153.0M2022-07-06
GMTGMTEthereum1.0050.905871-9.86%0.965-3.98%1.0365✗2.302.4M2022-07-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98141.7958-9.37%1.3926-29.72%0.2995✗1.312.7M2022-07-06
PROPropyEthereum1.070.974044-8.97%0.85-20.56%0.2017✗0.80187k2022-07-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.843580.769542-8.78%0.44192-47.61%0.3413✗2.122.4M2022-07-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9852.7603-7.53%2.291-23.25%0.5881✗1.83113k2022-07-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2810.260211-7.40%0.282+0.36%0.8753✗1.881.3M2022-07-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6124.2751-7.30%3.71-19.56%0.1326✗0.655.1M2022-07-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.36421.2715-6.79%0.9408-31.04%0.1949✗1.176,7502022-07-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.064630.060269-6.75%0.04441-31.29%0.1659✗1.1215k2022-07-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068210.063654-6.68%0.05158-24.38%0.7073✗2.172.4M2022-07-06
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3825.9793-6.31%5.014-21.44%0.7629✗2.2226.5M2022-07-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05360.050514-5.76%0.0475-11.38%0.5318✗1.40524k2022-07-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4280690.404782-5.44%0.307678-28.12%0.3427✗1.462.5M2022-07-06
FLOWFlownative2.52.3724-5.11%1.6-36.00%0.0286✓1.00718k2022-07-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06340.060205-5.04%0.043-32.18%0.3837✗1.7040k2022-07-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3511.2846-4.91%1.261-6.66%0.4039✗1.001.1M2022-07-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0172.8708-4.85%2.955-2.06%0.4106✗0.901.9M2022-07-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1623.0116-4.76%3.449+9.08%0.4329✗0.702.4M2022-07-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.32932.2214-4.63%1.7961-22.89%0.2038✗0.993.6M2022-07-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.040.996141-4.22%1.0139-2.51%0.7913✗1.833.0M2022-07-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.422350.405132-4.08%0.29848-29.33%0.3621✗1.5818k2022-07-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6020.577955-3.99%0.694+15.28%0.9107✗1.725,9962022-07-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.537.2323-3.95%6.25-17.00%0.0737✗0.521.6M2022-07-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.052850.050968-3.56%0.04092-22.57%0.2191✗1.044,6802022-07-06
TRXTRONTron0.0814640.0787-3.39%0.067504-17.14%0.2006✗0.841.1M2022-07-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012140.011737-3.32%0.01025-15.57%0.5434✗1.6117.8M2022-07-06
DODODODOEthereum0.17150.165828-3.31%0.1335-22.16%0.4736✗1.632.6M2022-07-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0295710.028596-3.30%0.020657-30.14%0.1600✗1.1512k2022-07-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.974.8103-3.21%4.06-18.31%0.1887✗0.85845k2022-07-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.1711.7861-3.15%10.26-15.69%0.6681✗1.914.2M2022-07-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.981.9181-3.13%1.377-30.45%0.4574✗1.87303k2022-07-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15050.145856-3.09%0.0757-49.70%0.0906✗1.772,8332022-07-06
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2441.2071-2.97%0.637-48.79%0.1787✓1.091.2M2022-07-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.585.4187-2.89%4.5-19.35%0.1519✗0.801.8M2022-07-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.58632.5116-2.89%2.1214-17.98%0.2646✗1.033.1M2022-07-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.093.9738-2.84%3.19-22.00%0.1556✗0.891.2M2022-07-06
XMRMoneroMonero189.44184.1622-2.79%125.33-33.84%0.0452✗1.022.4M2022-07-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.214.0943-2.75%3.84-8.79%0.2537✗0.751.4M2022-07-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.222.1628-2.58%1.66-25.23%0.2691✗1.26247k2022-07-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4850.47269-2.54%0.393-18.97%0.3327✗1.2217k2022-07-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,441.5030,722.56-2.29%20,413.50-35.07%0.0025✓0.9771k2022-07-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0824850.080671-2.20%0.068516-16.93%0.3511✗1.221.5M2022-07-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.616.4649-2.19%5.64-14.67%0.4888✗1.48414k2022-07-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0593090.058105-2.03%0.0517-12.83%0.2313✗0.8292k2022-07-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00510.004999-1.98%0.001588-68.86%0.6087✓1.277,4632022-07-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.009580.009411-1.77%0.006097-36.36%0.0246✗1.092,4432022-07-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.025920.025515-1.56%0.0204-21.30%0.0332✗0.61582k2022-07-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11060.108896-1.54%0.0991-10.40%0.6753✗1.82455k2022-07-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.880.867481-1.42%1.002+13.86%0.8567✗1.69232k2022-07-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.13345.062-1.39%5.8046+13.08%0.2764✗0.33279k2022-07-06
QTUMQtumQtum4.03493.9806-1.35%2.8773-28.69%0.2023✗1.2548k2022-07-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.22493.1823-1.32%2.42-24.96%0.3596✗1.504.8M2022-07-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08720.086057-1.31%0.0949+8.83%0.7320✗1.50165k2022-07-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.65456.9067-1.30%54.636-5.23%0.3964✗1.031.2M2022-07-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1448140.142995-1.26%0.109283-24.54%0.2316✗1.1811.2M2022-07-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.3060.302402-1.18%0.2429-20.62%0.3413✗1.33105k2022-07-06
XECeCashnative0.000052960.000052353-1.15%0.00004262-19.52%0.4102✗1.463.4M2022-07-06
KCSKuCoinnative16.55916.3801-1.08%8.979-45.78%0.1661✓1.036.9M2022-07-06
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8042.7739-1.07%2.498-10.91%0.7829✗2.1015k2022-07-06
HIVEHivenative0.56920.56333-1.03%0.4555-19.98%0.3720✗1.381.6M2022-07-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6113.574-1.02%2.83-21.63%0.1539✗0.921.6M2022-07-06
API3Api3Ethereum1.5621.5469-0.97%2.084+33.42%0.9958✗1.65847k2022-07-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.32280.319705-0.96%0.2232-30.86%0.2282✗1.39384k2022-07-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.5122.2943-0.96%15.18-32.56%0.1677✗1.313.1M2022-07-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7762.75-0.94%2.612-5.91%0.8112✗2.043.1M2022-07-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14420.142857-0.93%0.0927-35.71%0.0165✓0.98285k2022-07-06
ADACardanoCardano0.60870.603205-0.90%0.4619-24.12%0.4018✗1.5846.8M2022-07-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.41260.408982-0.88%0.3106-24.72%0.3064✗1.3815.2M2022-07-06
ZENHorizenBase20.9520.7732-0.84%15.29-27.02%0.3752✗1.6179k2022-07-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2861.2753-0.83%0.96-25.35%0.3021✗1.395.9M2022-07-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,343.6131,099.94-0.78%20,542.67-34.46%0.0078✓1.00656.1M2022-07-06
QNTQuantEthereum67.7667.3075-0.67%61.97-8.54%0.4144✗1.182.2M2022-07-06
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8130.807977-0.62%0.885+8.86%0.5955✗1.192.1M2022-07-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.19420.19304-0.60%0.1428-26.47%0.3277✗1.49199k2022-07-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.431.422-0.56%1.059-25.95%0.2117✗1.2054k2022-07-06
XEMNEMnative0.0530950.052877-0.41%0.040762-23.23%0.3834✗1.5250k2022-07-06
ZECZcashZcash94.3894.1439-0.25%58.16-38.38%0.0530✗1.274.3M2022-07-06
GTGateEthereum5.48415.4716-0.23%4.0142-26.80%0.0636✓0.583.8M2022-07-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.403560.402727-0.21%0.44139+9.37%0.6698✗1.37125k2022-07-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32250.321883-0.19%0.1906-40.90%0.0295✗1.31296k2022-07-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.5637.5488-0.19%5.559-26.50%0.3338✗1.512.8M2022-07-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.31e-76.30e-7-0.14%3.79e-7-40.00%0.0895✓0.99961k2022-07-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,858.211,855.89-0.12%1,185.61-36.20%0.0063✗1.08344.3M2022-07-06
UMAUMAEthereum3.1033.1002-0.09%2.642-14.86%0.4286✗1.391.4M2022-07-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6520.651934-0.01%0.54-17.18%0.4887✗1.60161k2022-07-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.367960.367986+0.01%0.28113-23.60%0.3304✓1.42606k2022-07-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8740.874203+0.02%0.624-28.60%0.1472✓1.15423k2022-07-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33920.339605+0.12%0.2598-23.41%0.3845✓1.5433k2022-07-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004310.004317+0.15%0.00272-36.89%0.0442✓1.202.2M2022-07-06
XTZTezosTezos2.0612.0643+0.16%1.5433-25.12%0.2696✓1.33928k2022-07-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13230.132511+0.16%0.1061-19.80%0.3200✓1.28951k2022-07-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.621.623+0.18%1.15-29.01%0.3799✓1.711.4M2022-07-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.61220.613432+0.20%0.7581+23.83%0.8190✓1.443.3M2022-07-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024030.024081+0.21%0.02512+4.54%1.0656✓2.4238.7M2022-07-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17090.171293+0.23%0.1251-26.80%0.3371✓1.5480k2022-07-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.0912.1249+0.29%17.25+42.68%0.7844✓1.02369k2022-07-06
DASHDashDash60.0160.1862+0.29%44.2-26.35%0.2063✓1.22948k2022-07-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.55430.555935+0.29%0.4074-26.50%0.3880✓1.65177k2022-07-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7190.721429+0.34%0.5055-29.69%0.3475✓1.661.2M2022-07-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.9610.9978+0.34%11.9+8.58%0.9170✓1.98226k2022-07-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.213.2222+0.38%2.79-13.08%0.2984✓1.05663k2022-07-06
BANDBandEthereum1.721.7269+0.40%1.347-21.69%0.4691✓1.70329k2022-07-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7941.8019+0.44%1.826+1.78%0.7076✓1.6479k2022-07-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.011860.01192+0.50%0.00913-23.02%0.2048✓1.121.7M2022-07-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0690.06938+0.55%0.047-31.88%0.3536✓1.761.8M2022-07-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.6920.8068+0.56%14.77-28.61%0.3426✓1.623.0M2022-07-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.5652.5797+0.57%1.8376-28.36%0.2320✓1.3568k2022-07-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.12960.130371+0.59%0.0996-23.15%0.3207✓1.40996k2022-07-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.08790.088504+0.69%0.0542-38.34%0.3320✓1.95146k2022-07-06
SCSiacoinnative0.005810.005851+0.71%0.00387-33.39%0.2953✓1.68259k2022-07-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5040.507687+0.73%0.4497-10.77%0.6304✓1.78683k2022-07-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012750.001285+0.76%0.0009592-24.77%0.3958✓1.631.8M2022-07-06
NANOnanopayBase1.18161.1917+0.85%0.911182-22.88%0.2819✓1.30160k2022-07-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14760.148861+0.85%0.1168-20.87%0.4633✓1.673.6M2022-07-06
BTTCBTTC0.000001090.000001099+0.86%8.70e-7-20.18%0.1326✓0.876.9M2022-07-06
MOVRMoonriverBase20.558420.7503+0.93%12.3111-40.12%0.1321✓1.55239k2022-07-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12750.128703+0.94%0.1061-16.78%0.3186✓1.2112k2022-07-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.36390.36741+0.96%0.2755-24.29%0.2985✓1.396.7M2022-07-06
DIADIAEthereum0.452390.456957+1.01%0.39434-12.83%0.1247✓0.64190k2022-07-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09250.093451+1.03%0.0511-44.76%0.2867✗0.75313k2022-07-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.842.8693+1.03%2.51-11.62%0.7370✓2.06282k2022-07-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0350.035369+1.05%0.0371+6.00%0.7114✓1.57224k2022-07-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3491.3636+1.08%0.677-49.81%0.1385✓1.99399k2022-07-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.60760.614231+1.09%0.702+15.54%0.7978✓1.5768k2022-07-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.21460.216964+1.10%0.1526-28.89%0.2887✓1.52647k2022-07-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.028490.028825+1.17%0.01958-31.27%0.0330✓0.99175k2022-07-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039820.040297+1.20%0.02834-28.83%0.2464✓1.4220k2022-07-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.19410.196436+1.20%0.1866-3.86%0.6113✓1.572,3482022-07-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0152860.015489+1.33%0.016049+4.99%0.3318✓0.70240k2022-07-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.061.075+1.41%1.48+39.62%0.7019✓0.90138k2022-07-06
KSMKusamaHydration70.2671.2713+1.44%51.25-27.06%0.2341✓1.331.4M2022-07-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.5612.7415+1.45%8.69-30.81%0.1451✓1.25541k2022-07-06
COMPCompoundEthereum59.3860.2583+1.48%46-22.53%0.3653✓1.5031k2022-07-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.202360.205363+1.48%0.1261-37.69%0.2829✓1.82298k2022-07-06
FTTFTXEthereum27.3727.7777+1.49%26.28-3.98%0.3642✓0.999.5M2022-07-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01541.0307+1.50%0.91459-9.93%0.6236✓1.76865k2022-07-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8730.886225+1.51%0.672-23.02%0.4510✓1.72622k2022-07-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.4579.6055+1.57%8.886-6.04%0.5552✓1.5015.2M2022-07-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.12240.124375+1.61%0.0928-24.18%0.4256✓1.701.2M2022-07-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9718.1002+1.62%6.327-20.62%0.3768✓1.4829.2M2022-07-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.06840.069531+1.65%0.0607-11.26%0.3659✓1.19396k2022-07-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3690.375143+1.66%0.283-23.31%0.2248✓1.201.0M2022-07-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.840.854119+1.68%0.7999-4.77%0.4059✓1.1281k2022-07-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.015210.015469+1.70%0.012059-20.72%0.2489✓1.182.6M2022-07-06
STXStacksnative0.55870.568351+1.73%0.398-28.76%0.1342✓1.16180k2022-07-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,455.257,594.15+1.86%6,308.79-15.38%0.3523✓1.273.9M2022-07-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009240.009413+1.87%0.00668-27.71%0.1218✓1.10917k2022-07-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.291.3145+1.90%0.492-61.86%0.5060✗1.1377k2022-07-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008590.008758+1.96%0.006925-19.38%0.1045✓0.80214k2022-07-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.7844+1.96%1.46-16.57%0.5975✓1.89580k2022-07-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.5767.7447+2.23%5.624-25.77%0.3874✓1.6710.6M2022-07-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8662.9319+2.30%2.297-19.85%0.4633✓1.67271k2022-07-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.8332.9018+2.43%2.44-13.87%0.3028✓1.1372k2022-07-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011060.000011338+2.52%0.00001047-5.33%0.5185✓1.42957k2022-07-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15850.162627+2.60%0.0986-37.79%0.2048✓1.676.4M2022-07-06
XVGVergenative0.004840.004969+2.67%0.00309-36.16%0.1850✓1.56753k2022-07-06
UNIUniswapEthereum5.3695.5256+2.92%5.342-0.50%0.5691✓1.432.6M2022-07-06
AAVEAaveEthereum105.84109.0249+3.01%62.94-40.53%0.1921✓1.758.9M2022-07-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin64.3866.416+3.16%50.29-21.89%0.2610✓1.2818.2M2022-07-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.4929.8445+3.71%6.915-27.15%0.2720✓1.4813.7M2022-07-06
SOLSolanaSolana42.3544.0175+3.94%37.01-12.61%0.4886✓1.57114.5M2022-07-06
XVSVenusEthereum4.574.7576+4.10%5.06+10.72%0.8453✓1.851.6M2022-07-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.9827.0934+4.29%19.15-26.29%0.3440✓1.6453.9M2022-07-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash185.41194.371+4.83%105.86-42.90%0.0809✗1.254.6M2022-07-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070630.074608+5.63%0.05572-21.11%0.2311✓1.2427k2022-07-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.