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2022-06-05 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 170 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0840
170 of 170 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.76%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.2%
in alpha space · 55.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-32.60%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (170 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000790.000062684-20.65%0.00011635+47.28%1.9066✗3.262.7M2022-07-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.48741.2933-13.05%0.78762-47.05%0.1992✓0.754,7612022-07-05
STEEMSteemnative0.30160.265156-12.08%0.2136-29.18%0.4205✗1.61585k2022-07-05
PROPropyEthereum1.231.0979-10.74%0.83-32.52%0.0652✓0.87187k2022-07-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4241.2778-10.27%1.252-12.08%0.5877✗1.545.0M2022-07-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95831.7923-8.47%1.3742-29.83%0.2769✗1.382.8M2022-07-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.824310.756555-8.22%0.43936-46.70%0.3074✗2.161.9M2022-07-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9360.865881-7.49%0.903-3.53%0.9571✗2.322.6M2022-07-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5374.2069-7.27%3.68-18.89%0.1248✗0.665.1M2022-07-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.064240.059707-7.06%0.04396-31.57%0.1425✗1.1415k2022-07-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8252.6343-6.75%2.104-25.52%0.5052✗1.85124k2022-07-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2730.255255-6.50%0.286+4.76%0.8653✗1.911.2M2022-07-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.31041.2268-6.38%0.91331-30.31%0.1713✗1.186,7502022-07-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.066660.062806-5.78%0.04963-25.55%0.6425✗2.232.5M2022-07-05
APEApeCoinEthereum6.0925.7481-5.64%4.911-19.39%0.7338✗2.2627.5M2022-07-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05340.050445-5.53%0.0461-13.67%0.4771✗1.44556k2022-07-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2991.2272-5.52%1.184-8.85%0.3587✗1.001.0M2022-07-05
FLOWFlownative2.4372.3062-5.37%1.602-34.26%0.0302✓1.00721k2022-07-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9232.7798-4.90%2.936+0.44%0.4109✗0.901.7M2022-07-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8040.765935-4.73%0.839+4.35%0.9074✗2.072.8M2022-07-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06070.057945-4.54%0.0425-29.98%0.3666✗1.7244k2022-07-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.35232.2457-4.53%1.7642-25.00%0.1584✗1.013.7M2022-07-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4074480.389139-4.49%0.301121-26.10%0.3257✗1.482.5M2022-07-05
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9770.939851-3.80%0.9895+1.28%0.7717✗1.833.0M2022-07-05
TRXTRONTron0.0813680.078286-3.79%0.068129-16.27%0.2010✗0.861.2M2022-07-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.411620.396373-3.70%0.29801-27.60%0.3494✗1.6118k2022-07-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.437.1548-3.70%6.12-17.63%0.0444✗0.511.4M2022-07-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.052120.050212-3.66%0.04112-21.11%0.2190✗1.064,6802022-07-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5960.574401-3.62%0.675+13.26%0.8508✗1.755,9962022-07-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.14830.143366-3.33%0.0744-49.83%0.0660✗1.832,8332022-07-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.7542.6665-3.18%3.307+20.08%0.4706✗0.652.3M2022-07-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012110.011727-3.17%0.00988-18.41%0.4698✗1.6317.8M2022-07-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.0510.7033-3.14%9.3-15.84%0.6097✗1.904.3M2022-07-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.53792.4602-3.06%2.0787-18.09%0.2424✗1.043.1M2022-07-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9461.8872-3.02%1.291-33.66%0.3700✗1.90303k2022-07-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.123.9958-3.01%3.7-10.19%0.2208✗0.751.3M2022-07-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.425.2568-3.01%4.44-18.08%0.1455✗0.801.9M2022-07-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.073.9487-2.98%3.11-23.59%0.1192✗0.911.2M2022-07-05
DODODODOEthereum0.16520.160297-2.97%0.1219-26.21%0.3774✗1.652.6M2022-07-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0288590.028032-2.86%0.020598-28.63%0.1501✗1.1612k2022-07-05
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2071.1734-2.78%0.602-50.12%0.2337✓1.101.2M2022-07-05
XMRMoneroMonero187.77182.6952-2.70%122.3-34.87%0.0278✗1.092.4M2022-07-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.514.4004-2.43%4.06-9.98%0.2427✗0.82830k2022-07-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4770.466264-2.25%0.394-17.40%0.3239✗1.2519k2022-07-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0096850.009476-2.16%0.006187-36.12%0.0132✓1.112,4432022-07-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.112.0658-2.09%1.59-24.64%0.2344✗1.26233k2022-07-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0810390.079353-2.08%0.06703-17.29%0.3170✗1.231.6M2022-07-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.10915.0167-1.81%5.7325+12.20%0.2692✗0.34270k2022-07-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.476.3543-1.79%5.31-17.93%0.4125✗1.50414k2022-07-05
XYMSymbolnative0.056810.055797-1.78%0.051-10.23%0.2318✗0.8292k2022-07-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11290.110917-1.76%0.0904-19.93%0.5295✗1.86451k2022-07-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.86883.8009-1.75%2.8613-26.04%0.2094✗1.2553k2022-07-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02550.025053-1.75%0.02034-20.24%0.0416✗0.63516k2022-07-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004870.004788-1.68%0.00161-66.94%0.5864✓1.287,3792022-07-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.870.856557-1.55%1.0407+19.62%0.8694✗1.71237k2022-07-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1433260.141254-1.45%0.107769-24.81%0.2052✗1.2111.2M2022-07-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.18783.1429-1.41%2.415-24.24%0.3688✗1.605.2M2022-07-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,859.6029,476.94-1.28%20,328.40-31.92%0.0129✗0.9775k2022-07-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.39140.386428-1.27%0.3075-21.44%0.3157✗1.3815.6M2022-07-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08690.085814-1.25%0.0817-5.98%0.5551✗1.53172k2022-07-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.44355.7428-1.24%54.116-4.12%0.3845✗1.051.1M2022-07-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.821.543-1.18%14.91-31.61%0.1530✗1.323.1M2022-07-05
ZENHorizenBase19.7219.494-1.15%14.6-25.96%0.3616✗1.6579k2022-07-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.49e-76.41e-7-1.13%3.46e-7-46.72%0.2149✓1.02961k2022-07-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.30010.296746-1.12%0.2401-19.99%0.3202✗1.35107k2022-07-05
KCSKuCoinnative16.33116.1542-1.08%8.821-45.99%0.1925✓1.056.9M2022-07-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2091.196-1.08%0.9543-21.07%0.3220✗1.396.2M2022-07-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,901.5429,592.29-1.03%20,153.51-32.60%0.0104✓1.00638.2M2022-07-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.533.4948-1.00%2.828-19.89%0.1521✗0.921.6M2022-07-05
ADACardanoCardano0.56690.561352-0.98%0.4567-19.44%0.4172✗1.5844.7M2022-07-05
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7960.788308-0.97%0.781-1.88%0.4700✗1.212.3M2022-07-05
HIVEHivenative0.5510.545726-0.96%0.4418-19.82%0.3406✗1.401.6M2022-07-05
API3Api3Ethereum1.5081.4947-0.88%2.125+40.92%1.0068✗1.66900k2022-07-05
QNTQuantEthereum64.7664.1961-0.87%59.71-7.80%0.3918✗1.182.3M2022-07-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14030.139086-0.87%0.0973-30.65%0.0322✗0.99285k2022-07-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.7312.7085-0.82%2.5475-6.72%0.7784✗2.1313k2022-07-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.38491.3758-0.65%1.0387-25.00%0.1943✗1.2054k2022-07-05
XEMNEMnative0.0510070.050721-0.56%0.040319-20.95%0.3763✗1.5445k2022-07-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.3820.379871-0.56%0.44014+15.22%0.6897✗1.37141k2022-07-05
XECeCashnative0.000048170.000047902-0.56%0.00004156-13.72%0.4260✗1.443.4M2022-07-05
ZECZcashZcash90.3689.8936-0.52%57.05-36.86%0.0656✗1.324.3M2022-07-05
GTGateEthereum5.4015.3755-0.47%4.0529-24.96%0.0540✓0.583.9M2022-07-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.367170.365441-0.47%0.25813-29.70%0.2215✗1.44546k2022-07-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,804.701,796.33-0.46%1,131.26-37.32%0.0330✓1.09344.3M2022-07-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8580.854298-0.43%0.621-27.62%0.1396✗1.16487k2022-07-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32970.328308-0.42%0.1943-41.07%0.0072✗1.35311k2022-07-05
UMAUMAEthereum3.0773.0645-0.41%2.633-14.43%0.4059✗1.411.4M2022-07-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.3587.3288-0.40%5.479-25.54%0.3128✗1.532.9M2022-07-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.630.62773-0.36%0.536-14.92%0.4810✗1.62163k2022-07-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.18220.181675-0.29%0.1431-21.46%0.3499✗1.49199k2022-07-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12940.129234-0.13%0.1039-19.71%0.2949✗1.30951k2022-07-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.730.729138-0.12%0.4874-33.23%0.2707✗1.711.1M2022-07-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60640.605837-0.09%0.7492+23.55%0.7891✗1.463.6M2022-07-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2940.293747-0.09%0.2231-24.12%0.2691✗1.38330k2022-07-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.34230.342412+0.03%0.2658-22.35%0.3694✓1.5835k2022-07-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7421.7426+0.04%1.85+6.20%0.7135✓1.6679k2022-07-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.541.5406+0.04%1.08-29.87%0.3244✓1.721.5M2022-07-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004190.004192+0.05%0.002587-38.26%0.0075✗1.202.2M2022-07-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6092.6104+0.05%2.649+1.53%0.8300✓2.073.3M2022-07-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16550.165604+0.06%0.1261-23.81%0.3435✓1.5676k2022-07-05
XTZTezosTezos1.95031.9528+0.13%1.4657-24.85%0.2378✓1.33928k2022-07-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.383.3847+0.14%2.6-23.08%0.1663✓1.09663k2022-07-05
DASHDashDash58.5358.6599+0.22%43.13-26.31%0.1871✓1.25948k2022-07-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.48972.4959+0.25%1.8084-27.36%0.2188✓1.3759k2022-07-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.21920.219764+0.26%0.1479-32.53%0.2135✓1.54572k2022-07-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0680.068184+0.27%0.0466-31.47%0.3256✓1.791.8M2022-07-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.310.3281+0.27%11.11+7.86%0.8589✓1.99197k2022-07-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.7211.7543+0.29%17.9+52.73%0.8244✓1.02396k2022-07-05
BANDBandEthereum1.6291.6338+0.30%1.325-18.66%0.4616✓1.70342k2022-07-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.0820.1418+0.31%14.47-27.94%0.3152✓1.643.0M2022-07-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.011460.0115+0.35%0.00911-20.51%0.2082✓1.121.7M2022-07-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012620.001267+0.42%0.000955-24.33%0.3649✓1.641.8M2022-07-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.50590.508412+0.50%0.4041-20.12%0.4211✓1.65159k2022-07-05
BTTCBTTC0.000001090.000001096+0.59%8.70e-7-20.18%0.1189✓0.897.0M2022-07-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5040.507065+0.61%0.3805-24.50%0.4299✓1.82683k2022-07-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.12620.126976+0.61%0.0986-21.87%0.3031✓1.41996k2022-07-05
MOVRMoonriverBase20.915321.0468+0.63%12.0365-42.45%0.0646✓1.58239k2022-07-05
SCSiacoinnative0.005590.005626+0.64%0.00379-32.20%0.2738✓1.70259k2022-07-05
NANOnanopayBase1.16471.1723+0.65%0.836041-28.22%0.1855✓1.33170k2022-07-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34870.351035+0.67%0.2713-22.20%0.2927✓1.406.7M2022-07-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.019830.019972+0.71%0.02445+23.30%1.1420✓2.3837.4M2022-07-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3711.3808+0.72%0.674-50.84%0.0801✓2.02399k2022-07-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12740.128499+0.86%0.1037-18.60%0.2728✓1.2313k2022-07-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3870.390514+0.91%0.279-27.91%0.1533✓1.241.0M2022-07-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03410.034418+0.93%0.0364+6.74%0.6848✓1.59224k2022-07-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.3312.4469+0.95%8.35-32.28%0.1024✓1.27546k2022-07-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.028410.02868+0.95%0.01956-31.15%0.0144✓1.01184k2022-07-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.732.7565+0.97%2.48-9.16%0.7160✓2.08271k2022-07-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038550.038924+0.97%0.0276-28.40%0.2296✓1.4520k2022-07-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.051.0604+0.99%1.51+43.81%0.7158✓0.92152k2022-07-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14080.142212+1.00%0.1149-18.39%0.4547✓1.693.6M2022-07-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8370.845545+1.02%0.65-22.34%0.4196✓1.73622k2022-07-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.1669.2607+1.03%8.91-2.79%0.5553✓1.5116.5M2022-07-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.577980.584021+1.05%0.63801+10.39%0.7146✓1.5965k2022-07-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.976430.986702+1.05%0.87377-10.51%0.5783✓1.77855k2022-07-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0880.089002+1.14%0.0507-42.39%0.2674✗0.75299k2022-07-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.07460.075528+1.24%0.0532-28.69%0.4014✓1.91142k2022-07-05
DIADIAEthereum0.443670.449292+1.27%0.38098-14.13%0.0885✓0.64190k2022-07-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009020.009135+1.27%0.006866-23.88%0.0449✓0.84184k2022-07-05
STXStacksnative0.53290.540082+1.35%0.4007-24.81%0.1601✓1.16165k2022-07-05
KSMKusamaHydration67.6968.6064+1.35%50.3-25.69%0.2197✓1.341.4M2022-07-05
COMPCompoundEthereum58.4559.2481+1.37%46.7-20.10%0.3667✓1.5331k2022-07-05
FTTFTXEthereum26.1326.4906+1.38%25.16-3.71%0.3403✓0.999.5M2022-07-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.202060.204857+1.38%0.12055-40.34%0.2015✓1.85298k2022-07-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.014820.015026+1.39%0.015798+6.60%0.3235✓0.69212k2022-07-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,431.127,537.46+1.43%6,140.60-17.37%0.3094✓1.303.9M2022-07-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.647.7535+1.49%6.305-17.47%0.3809✓1.4927.1M2022-07-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06460.065611+1.57%0.0598-7.43%0.3772✓1.19386k2022-07-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152520.015494+1.58%0.011942-21.70%0.2103✓1.192.6M2022-07-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.11880.120685+1.59%0.093-21.72%0.4175✓1.721.2M2022-07-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.850.863888+1.63%0.02292-97.30%3.1831✗1.1381k2022-07-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008950.009102+1.70%0.00659-26.37%0.1126✓1.10917k2022-07-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7222.7689+1.72%2.326-14.55%0.2723✓1.1363k2022-07-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.721.7503+1.76%1.43-16.86%0.5535✓1.92580k2022-07-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.261.2824+1.78%0.4872-61.33%0.5172✗1.1477k2022-07-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8132.8726+2.12%2.221-21.05%0.4101✓1.69271k2022-07-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.347.5032+2.22%5.504-25.01%0.3586✓1.6910.1M2022-07-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010780.000011021+2.23%0.00001032-4.27%0.4982✓1.43957k2022-07-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1560.159498+2.24%0.0965-38.14%0.1661✓1.696.4M2022-07-05
XVGVergenative0.004930.005043+2.30%0.00303-38.54%0.1345✓1.63753k2022-07-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.16010.163918+2.38%0.1853+15.74%0.7153✓1.502,3482022-07-05
AAVEAaveEthereum103.57106.4906+2.82%60.57-41.52%0.1405✓1.798.9M2022-07-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.164.942+2.92%49.65-21.32%0.2423✓1.2918.2M2022-07-05
UNIUniswapEthereum5.0925.2505+3.11%5.295+3.99%0.5766✓1.442.6M2022-07-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.3399.633+3.15%6.845-26.71%0.2524✓1.5113.7M2022-07-05
SOLSolanaSolana38.4939.7353+3.24%35.37-8.11%0.4953✓1.55112.7M2022-07-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.1524.9553+3.33%18.03-25.34%0.3189✓1.6352.5M2022-07-05
XVSVenusEthereum4.534.697+3.69%4.93+8.83%0.7942✓1.891.6M2022-07-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash179.67188.0257+4.65%103.95-42.14%0.0946✗1.264.6M2022-07-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06660.070405+5.71%0.05704-14.35%0.2743✓1.2323k2022-07-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.