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2022-06-04 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 170 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1394
170 of 170 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.73%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.9%
in alpha space · 55.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-32.27%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (170 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092240.000072015-21.93%0.00012814+38.92%1.8440✗3.252.8M2022-07-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.51281.3189-12.81%0.82384-45.54%0.1753✓0.764,7612022-07-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3711.2443-9.24%1.29-5.91%0.6361✗1.545.0M2022-07-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.846760.76961-9.11%0.44407-47.56%0.2900✗2.161.2M2022-07-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.99781.8229-8.76%1.2945-35.20%0.1905✗1.373.1M2022-07-04
GMTGMTEthereum0.9990.918313-8.08%0.887-11.21%0.8724✗2.332.8M2022-07-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.065590.060429-7.87%0.04492-31.51%0.1465✗1.1415k2022-07-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.283.0243-7.80%2.993-8.75%0.3437✗0.911.3M2022-07-04
STEEMSteemnative0.25960.239741-7.65%0.219-15.64%0.5308✗1.59585k2022-07-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6454.295-7.53%3.75-19.27%0.1204✗0.665.1M2022-07-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.290.269744-6.98%0.313+7.93%0.8923✗1.911.3M2022-07-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8282.6362-6.78%2.168-23.34%0.1942✗1.00124k2022-07-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8550.80239-6.15%0.862+0.82%0.8792✗2.072.5M2022-07-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068250.064243-5.87%0.05111-25.11%0.6392✗2.232.6M2022-07-04
PROPropyEthereum0.930.875949-5.81%0.88-5.38%0.3414✗0.86187k2022-07-04
CBKCobakEthereum1.27251.2003-5.67%0.93041-26.88%0.2054✗1.186,7502022-07-04
FLOWFlownative2.4762.3384-5.56%1.605-35.18%0.0134✓1.00724k2022-07-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2951.2239-5.49%1.202-7.18%0.3716✗1.001.3M2022-07-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05340.050471-5.48%0.047-11.99%0.4896✗1.44593k2022-07-04
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1955.8588-5.43%4.915-20.66%0.7053✗2.2629.0M2022-07-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8812.7389-4.93%3.312+14.96%0.4428✗0.652.1M2022-07-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06230.059353-4.73%0.0442-29.05%0.3735✗1.7152k2022-07-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.27852.1769-4.46%1.7975-21.11%0.2036✗1.013.7M2022-07-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3947260.377652-4.33%0.300211-23.94%0.3450✗1.472.5M2022-07-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.053110.050956-4.06%0.04197-20.98%0.2197✗1.064,6802022-07-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6110.586812-3.96%0.656+7.36%0.7932✗1.757,0732022-07-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.527.2336-3.81%6.13-18.48%0.0323✓0.511.4M2022-07-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.414870.399255-3.76%0.30445-26.62%0.3561✗1.6118k2022-07-04
TRXTRONTron0.0803770.077404-3.70%0.067229-16.36%0.1948✗0.861.4M2022-07-04
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9630.927624-3.67%0.955-0.83%0.7300✗1.803.4M2022-07-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15310.147771-3.48%0.0775-49.38%0.2557✓1.003,0542022-07-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.194.0463-3.43%3.65-12.89%0.1912✗0.761.2M2022-07-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.029490.028484-3.41%0.02106-28.59%0.0522✓0.64452k2022-07-04
DODODODOEthereum0.16760.162049-3.31%0.1287-23.21%0.4135✗1.652.6M2022-07-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.53642.457-3.13%2.1545-15.06%0.2752✗1.043.1M2022-07-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0451.9812-3.12%1.309-35.99%0.3271✗1.90338k2022-07-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012160.011782-3.11%0.01027-15.54%0.4968✗1.6319.7M2022-07-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.9810.6452-3.05%9.78-10.93%0.6564✗1.904.6M2022-07-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.023.9026-2.92%3.17-21.14%0.1458✗0.911.1M2022-07-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.485.3232-2.86%4.52-17.52%0.1470✗0.802.3M2022-07-04
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2171.1827-2.81%0.612-49.71%0.2305✓1.101.2M2022-07-04
XMRMoneroMonero189.06183.8053-2.78%123.81-34.51%0.0290✗1.092.4M2022-07-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028270.027532-2.61%0.021046-25.55%0.1833✗1.1611k2022-07-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.009770.009535-2.41%0.005996-38.63%0.0287✓1.122,4432022-07-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.564.4521-2.37%4-12.28%0.2121✗0.82830k2022-07-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4770.466419-2.22%0.396-16.98%0.3230✗1.2519k2022-07-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0816670.079972-2.08%0.069304-15.14%0.3374✗1.231.7M2022-07-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.99e-76.86e-7-2.00%3.55e-7-49.27%0.2560✓1.03961k2022-07-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0569080.055912-1.75%0.05332-6.30%0.2704✗0.82104k2022-07-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.99814.9156-1.65%5.7295+14.63%0.2868✗0.34279k2022-07-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.042.0077-1.58%1.65-19.12%0.2960✗1.26233k2022-07-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.09160.090183-1.55%0.0504-44.98%0.0159✗1.53172k2022-07-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.556.4498-1.53%5.33-18.63%0.3938✗1.50414k2022-07-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.23093.1849-1.43%2.4791-23.27%0.3758✗1.615.6M2022-07-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.860.847749-1.42%1.0068+17.07%0.8377✗1.71240k2022-07-04
QTUMQtumQtum3.8573.8052-1.34%2.9094-24.57%0.2188✗1.2557k2022-07-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1434410.141557-1.31%0.111116-22.54%0.2281✗1.2111.8M2022-07-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.93956.1945-1.31%55.633-2.29%0.3994✗1.051.2M2022-07-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.30590.301927-1.30%0.2411-21.18%0.3011✗1.35116k2022-07-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004680.004621-1.27%0.001687-63.95%0.5112✓1.278,3852022-07-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.38830.383585-1.21%0.3193-17.77%0.3541✗1.3816.6M2022-07-04
ZENHorizenBase19.919.676-1.13%15.02-24.52%0.3719✗1.6581k2022-07-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.9621.7131-1.12%15.39-29.92%0.1707✗1.323.1M2022-07-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6793.6377-1.12%2.858-22.32%0.1191✗0.921.8M2022-07-04
KCSKuCoinnative16.77916.5918-1.12%9.013-46.28%0.2019✓1.056.9M2022-07-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,796.6029,534.72-0.88%20,210.10-32.17%0.0012✓0.9875k2022-07-04
QNTQuantEthereum65.5364.9783-0.84%60.53-7.63%0.3873✗1.182.4M2022-07-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,843.1829,595.69-0.83%20,211.35-32.27%0.0083✗1.00674.4M2022-07-04
CTKShentuOsmosis0.790.783474-0.83%0.807+2.15%0.5026✗1.212.4M2022-07-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1781.1684-0.82%0.8653-26.54%0.2410✗1.396.3M2022-07-04
HIVEHivenative0.53630.532057-0.79%0.4548-15.20%0.3883✗1.401.4M2022-07-04
API3Api3Ethereum1.4941.4823-0.78%2.074+38.82%0.9831✗1.66932k2022-07-04
ADACardanoCardano0.56620.561961-0.75%0.469-17.17%0.4357✗1.5846.8M2022-07-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09320.092512-0.74%0.0868-6.87%0.6577✗1.85445k2022-07-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12980.128857-0.73%0.0983-24.27%0.1124✗0.98295k2022-07-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8192.7992-0.70%2.6032-7.66%0.7565✗2.1314k2022-07-04
XECeCashnative0.000048340.000048064-0.57%0.00003971-17.85%0.3703✗1.443.5M2022-07-04
XEMNEMnative0.0505770.050331-0.49%0.041725-17.50%0.4108✗1.5437k2022-07-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.380660.37891-0.46%0.4074+7.02%0.6080✗1.37141k2022-07-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.360170.35878-0.39%0.25772-28.44%0.2302✗1.44606k2022-07-04
UMAUMAEthereum3.0913.0801-0.35%2.741-11.32%0.4359✗1.421.5M2022-07-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.321.3157-0.33%1.05-20.45%0.2459✗1.2150k2022-07-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,803.351,797.65-0.32%1,149.98-36.23%0.0222✓1.09363.3M2022-07-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.4527.4295-0.30%5.545-25.59%0.3043✗1.533.1M2022-07-04
GTGateEthereum5.40215.3864-0.29%4.0796-24.48%0.0523✓0.583.9M2022-07-04
ZECZcashZcash90.4390.2178-0.23%58.07-35.78%0.0724✗1.324.3M2022-07-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8680.866538-0.17%0.636-26.73%0.1440✗1.16566k2022-07-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.31920.318907-0.09%0.1968-38.35%0.0424✗1.35345k2022-07-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.17760.177468-0.07%0.1481-16.61%0.4001✗1.49220k2022-07-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13110.131022-0.06%0.1052-19.76%0.2885✗1.30951k2022-07-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004460.004459-0.03%0.00265-40.58%0.0517✓1.202.2M2022-07-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60780.607855+0.01%0.7819+28.64%0.8216✓1.463.6M2022-07-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6230.623079+0.01%0.52-16.53%0.4503✓1.62170k2022-07-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.28190.281981+0.03%0.2288-18.84%0.3279✓1.38318k2022-07-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6832.6839+0.03%2.839+5.81%0.8610✓2.073.4M2022-07-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6210.6369+0.16%12.02+13.18%0.8972✓1.99197k2022-07-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07040.070521+0.17%0.0476-32.39%0.3048✓1.791.9M2022-07-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.581.583+0.19%1.09-31.01%0.2983✓1.721.6M2022-07-04
BANDBandEthereum1.6411.6449+0.24%1.356-17.37%0.4710✓1.70353k2022-07-04
XTZTezosTezos1.90761.9126+0.26%1.5347-19.55%0.2979✓1.33928k2022-07-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6920.693845+0.27%0.5052-26.99%0.3456✓1.701.1M2022-07-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.8611.8926+0.28%19.54+64.76%0.8957✓1.02434k2022-07-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012740.001278+0.31%0.000991-22.21%0.3837✓1.641.8M2022-07-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.053.0597+0.32%2.63-13.77%0.2717✓1.09642k2022-07-04
DASHDashDash58.6658.8746+0.37%44.19-24.67%0.2012✓1.25976k2022-07-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.5920.6722+0.40%14.87-27.78%0.3101✓1.643.0M2022-07-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7511.7595+0.48%1.893+8.11%0.7184✓1.6682k2022-07-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.51620.518721+0.49%0.4015-22.22%0.3868✓1.65159k2022-07-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.16060.161395+0.49%0.1242-22.67%0.3460✓1.5676k2022-07-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.011490.01155+0.52%0.00937-18.45%0.2273✓1.121.7M2022-07-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.44852.4625+0.57%1.8788-23.27%0.2641✓1.3768k2022-07-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.1280.128765+0.60%0.102-20.31%0.3181✓1.41996k2022-07-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32110.323045+0.61%0.2667-16.94%0.4230✓1.5835k2022-07-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0159020.016002+0.63%0.016387+3.05%0.2958✓0.70198k2022-07-04
MOVRMoonriverBase20.639620.7763+0.66%12.3539-40.14%0.0965✓1.58239k2022-07-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12760.12851+0.71%0.1064-16.61%0.2934✓1.2413k2022-07-04
NANOnanopayBase1.1661.1752+0.79%0.840623-27.90%0.1831✓1.33170k2022-07-04
SCSiacoinnative0.005470.005515+0.82%0.0039-28.70%0.3125✓1.69261k2022-07-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03470.034992+0.84%0.0381+9.80%0.7066✓1.59257k2022-07-04
BTTCBTTC0.000001070.000001079+0.84%8.70e-7-18.69%0.1300✓0.897.2M2022-07-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020350.020522+0.85%0.02501+22.90%1.1243✓2.3837.4M2022-07-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34940.3526+0.92%0.2793-20.06%0.3100✓1.397.0M2022-07-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08630.087099+0.93%0.0503-41.71%0.2577✗0.75274k2022-07-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.832.8569+0.95%2.64-6.71%0.7324✓2.08282k2022-07-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.2010.203009+1.00%0.1508-24.98%0.3030✓1.54501k2022-07-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.4112.5385+1.04%8.5-31.51%0.1058✓1.27551k2022-07-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.051.0611+1.05%1.49+41.90%0.6967✓0.92160k2022-07-04
STXStacksnative0.52810.533707+1.06%0.3939-25.41%0.1497✓1.16165k2022-07-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5010.506506+1.10%0.3928-21.60%0.4534✓1.82683k2022-07-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3131.3277+1.12%0.699-46.76%0.1462✓2.02423k2022-07-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037910.038347+1.15%0.02829-25.38%0.2609✓1.4521k2022-07-04
DIADIAEthereum0.457670.46309+1.18%0.39145-14.47%0.0830✓0.64190k2022-07-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.980250.992127+1.21%0.90515-7.66%0.5995✓1.77855k2022-07-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8460.856326+1.22%0.651-23.05%0.4010✓1.73622k2022-07-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.2469.3627+1.26%8.744-5.43%0.5174✓1.5017.0M2022-07-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027380.027727+1.27%0.01995-27.14%0.0629✓1.01184k2022-07-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14070.142649+1.38%0.1186-15.71%0.4751✓1.693.6M2022-07-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.561610.569461+1.40%0.67171+19.60%0.7835✓1.5968k2022-07-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.07450.075562+1.43%0.0556-25.37%0.4350✓1.90146k2022-07-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.06630.067249+1.43%0.0606-8.60%0.3612✓1.19398k2022-07-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.370.375305+1.43%0.284-23.24%0.2040✓1.24970k2022-07-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.12240.124183+1.46%0.0947-22.63%0.3984✓1.721.2M2022-07-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008470.008595+1.48%0.0067-20.90%0.0758✓0.83180k2022-07-04
FTTFTXEthereum25.9926.3763+1.49%25.91-0.31%0.3687✓0.999.6M2022-07-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.199690.202754+1.53%0.12447-37.67%0.2357✓1.86298k2022-07-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,564.987,681.74+1.54%6,353.47-16.01%0.3177✓1.303.9M2022-07-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6942.7371+1.60%2.424-10.02%0.3213✓1.1463k2022-07-04
KSMKusamaHydration68.6769.8284+1.69%51.64-24.80%0.2214✓1.341.6M2022-07-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00920.009356+1.69%0.00685-25.54%0.1186✓1.10917k2022-07-04
COMPCompoundEthereum56.3557.3173+1.72%49.19-12.71%0.4443✓1.5331k2022-07-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4067.5339+1.73%6.427-13.22%0.4219✓1.4927.1M2022-07-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152220.015487+1.74%0.012271-19.39%0.2322✓1.192.8M2022-07-04
ORCAOrcaSolana0.820.835111+1.84%0.8742+6.61%0.4850✓1.1383k2022-07-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.231.2542+1.97%0.4989-59.44%0.4768✗1.1484k2022-07-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.731.7643+1.98%1.52-12.14%0.5955✓1.91580k2022-07-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9813.0422+2.05%2.339-21.54%0.3978✓1.70271k2022-07-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.16460.168022+2.08%0.0979-40.52%0.1204✓1.706.4M2022-07-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7377.9032+2.15%5.585-27.81%0.3137✓1.709.4M2022-07-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010860.000011113+2.33%0.00001048-3.50%0.4989✓1.43957k2022-07-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.1580.161681+2.33%0.1831+15.89%0.7095✓1.501,8812022-07-04
XVGVergenative0.004690.004805+2.44%0.00317-32.41%0.2201✓1.63753k2022-07-04
AAVEAaveEthereum106.84109.6763+2.65%63.06-40.98%0.1429✓1.798.9M2022-07-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.6865.5848+2.99%52.2-18.03%0.2768✓1.3018.9M2022-07-04
UNIUniswapEthereum5.1195.2735+3.02%5.345+4.41%0.5749✓1.442.6M2022-07-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.449.7575+3.36%7.16-24.15%0.2780✓1.5113.8M2022-07-04
SOLSolanaSolana38.9940.3381+3.46%36.69-5.90%0.5101✓1.55114.5M2022-07-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5725.4492+3.58%17.89-27.19%0.2834✓1.6352.5M2022-07-04
XVSVenusEthereum4.694.8591+3.60%5+6.61%0.7656✓1.891.7M2022-07-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash188.78197.1236+4.42%107.98-42.80%0.1086✗1.274.5M2022-07-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.069050.072871+5.53%0.05624-18.55%0.2193✓1.2318k2022-07-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.