8=======>

2022-05-30 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0332
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-12.43%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.2%
in alpha space · 49.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-36.63%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000125560.000071103-43.37%0.00016196+28.99%2.2099✗3.044.9M2022-06-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.64631.429-13.20%0.78527-52.30%0.2224✓0.825,6992022-06-29
GMTGMTEthereum1.2481.0914-12.55%0.882-29.33%0.8666✗2.373.8M2022-06-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.33872.0467-12.49%1.3057-44.17%0.1624✗1.345.2M2022-06-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4281.2727-10.88%1.314-7.98%0.7322✗1.536.9M2022-06-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0090.902289-10.58%0.898-11.00%0.9737✗2.142.0M2022-06-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.776160.703673-9.34%0.48326-37.74%0.5364✗2.00397k2022-06-29
STEEMSteemnative0.2660.241308-9.28%0.2193-17.56%0.6584✗1.65710k2022-06-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.07240.066453-8.21%0.05063-30.07%0.7455✗2.232.9M2022-06-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.22.962-7.44%1.935-39.53%0.0304✓1.00133k2022-06-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4384.1213-7.14%3.623-18.36%0.1245✗0.564.1M2022-06-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.061850.05764-6.81%0.04542-26.56%0.3011✗1.1814k2022-06-29
PROPropyEthereum1.020.954051-6.47%0.9-11.76%0.3211✗0.83223k2022-06-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05440.051164-5.95%0.047-13.60%0.5600✗1.41847k2022-06-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.459440.433111-5.73%0.30158-34.36%0.3872✗1.6421k2022-06-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06590.062131-5.72%0.0452-31.41%0.4556✗1.7067k2022-06-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6610.623955-5.60%0.689+4.24%0.8617✗1.6710k2022-06-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4284130.404611-5.56%0.350619-18.16%0.5288✗1.473.5M2022-06-29
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2156.8309-5.32%4.695-34.93%0.6740✗2.3037.3M2022-06-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2290.216947-5.26%0.271+18.34%1.0316✗1.771.3M2022-06-29
FLOWFlownative2.6812.5429-5.15%1.555-42.00%0.0356✓1.00986k2022-06-29
DODODODOEthereum0.18440.175129-5.03%0.1215-34.11%0.4143✗1.712.6M2022-06-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.30252.1939-4.71%1.7865-22.41%0.2350✗0.974.0M2022-06-29
CBKCobakEthereum1.24781.1948-4.25%0.956-23.39%0.3169✗1.187,1582022-06-29
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1521.106-3.99%0.9458-17.90%0.6489✗1.774.2M2022-06-29
TRXTRONTron0.0831520.07986-3.96%0.064615-22.29%0.1815✗0.861.5M2022-06-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.77.4049-3.83%6.17-19.87%0.0019✓0.401.3M2022-06-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.051820.049988-3.53%0.04161-19.70%0.2985✗1.064,9852022-06-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.013160.012701-3.49%0.0092-30.09%0.4021✗1.5922.1M2022-06-29
XMRMoneroMonero203.87196.8336-3.45%118.93-41.66%0.0132✓1.132.4M2022-06-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.5812.1514-3.41%8.83-29.81%0.4789✗1.755.9M2022-06-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.324.1749-3.36%3.74-13.43%0.2225✗0.731.1M2022-06-29
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3191.2753-3.31%0.608-53.90%0.2347✓1.111.8M2022-06-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.16740.161969-3.24%0.0775-53.70%0.2809✓1.003,4222022-06-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.3533.2492-3.09%2.375-29.17%0.6018✗2.014.0M2022-06-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42742.3529-3.07%2.1566-11.16%0.3943✗1.062.8M2022-06-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.2447-2.83%1.82-21.21%0.3419✗1.21247k2022-06-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0291390.028333-2.77%0.020416-29.94%0.1913✗1.1413k2022-06-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.009660.00941-2.58%0.00578-40.16%0.0168✓1.114,6812022-06-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0982.045-2.53%0.624-70.26%0.3201✓1.90491k2022-06-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.4192.3593-2.47%2.96+22.36%0.6754✗0.98852k2022-06-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.5832.5228-2.33%3.122+20.87%0.5344✗0.701.3M2022-06-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.455.3245-2.30%4.54-16.70%0.1836✗0.752.6M2022-06-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.087830.085984-2.10%0.069297-21.10%0.3377✗1.212.1M2022-06-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum13.813.5131-2.08%11.27-18.33%0.7220✗1.98197k2022-06-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.980.962257-1.81%0.8274-15.57%0.6125✗1.67329k2022-06-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.177.043-1.77%5.69-20.64%0.4478✗1.45509k2022-06-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.564.4804-1.74%3.94-13.60%0.2091✗0.74824k2022-06-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,731.2031,198.80-1.68%20,072.10-36.74%0.0030✓0.9778k2022-06-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0060.989733-1.62%0.708-29.62%0.2053✗1.18541k2022-06-29
XYMSymbolnative0.05810.057201-1.55%0.051725-10.97%0.2644✗0.80119k2022-06-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.520.51203-1.53%0.375-27.88%0.2637✗1.2625k2022-06-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08910.087735-1.53%0.0526-40.97%0.1911✗1.54166k2022-06-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11320.111533-1.47%0.0914-19.26%0.6260✗1.81501k2022-06-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.783.7256-1.44%3.09-18.25%0.2283✗0.91741k2022-06-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3983.3498-1.42%2.5247-25.70%0.4746✗1.666.1M2022-06-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative24.824.4673-1.34%15.2-38.71%0.1198✗1.313.7M2022-06-29
QTUMQtumQtum4.18044.1284-1.24%2.8538-31.73%0.1913✗1.2358k2022-06-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1434370.141859-1.10%0.110086-23.25%0.2857✗1.1810.5M2022-06-29
KCSKuCoinnative17.0616.8741-1.09%9.995-41.41%0.0533✓1.036.5M2022-06-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.67455.1258-0.98%57.172+2.69%0.5144✗1.051.2M2022-06-29
XECeCashnative0.000051170.00005067-0.98%0.00003886-24.06%0.3774✗1.414.4M2022-06-29
ZENHorizenBase22.8122.5948-0.94%13.56-40.55%0.2459✗1.66104k2022-06-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00470.004656-0.93%0.00234-50.21%0.1378✓1.219,4522022-06-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4043.3742-0.87%2.865-15.83%0.2821✗0.981.7M2022-06-29
CTKShentuOsmosis0.880.872392-0.86%0.787-10.57%0.4306✗1.172.5M2022-06-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.24545.2063-0.75%5.9333+13.11%0.2691✗0.30289k2022-06-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3851.3752-0.71%0.7084-48.85%0.0267✓1.406.8M2022-06-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.024420.024248-0.70%0.01919-21.42%0.0260✗0.57582k2022-06-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.04e-77.00e-7-0.67%3.53e-7-49.82%0.2877✓0.871.3M2022-06-29
QNTQuantEthereum73.6573.1839-0.63%51.04-30.70%0.1633✗1.152.6M2022-06-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.56970.566287-0.60%0.3844-32.53%0.3477✗1.61217k2022-06-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.41990.417659-0.53%0.3014-28.22%0.2862✗1.3417.7M2022-06-29
ADACardanoCardano0.56970.566666-0.53%0.4658-18.24%0.4924✗1.5144.7M2022-06-29
XEMNEMnative0.0533430.053087-0.48%0.039556-25.85%0.3964✗1.5131k2022-06-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,711.4231,580.35-0.41%20,094.79-36.63%0.0041✓1.00708.0M2022-06-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum23.9823.8853-0.39%14.32-40.28%0.2098✗1.583.1M2022-06-29
HIVEHivenative0.51990.518232-0.32%0.6335+21.85%0.8205✗1.361.3M2022-06-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.17660.176183-0.24%0.1389-21.35%0.4435✗1.49277k2022-06-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.401640.400926-0.18%0.38358-4.50%0.5820✗1.37147k2022-06-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.343.3377-0.07%2.6-22.16%0.2275✗1.05700k2022-06-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.791.7896-0.02%1.813+1.28%0.7756✗1.671.5M2022-06-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.38970.389654-0.01%0.2327-40.29%0.2034✗1.5845k2022-06-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,998.301,998.78+0.02%1,099.15-45.00%0.1001✗1.09393.0M2022-06-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.16820.168243+0.03%0.121-28.06%0.0694✓0.87335k2022-06-29
GTGateEthereum5.69955.7024+0.05%4.1136-27.83%0.0778✗0.554.4M2022-06-29
XTZTezosTezos2.13652.1378+0.06%1.4756-30.93%0.2369✓1.331.1M2022-06-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6970.697646+0.09%0.5323-23.63%0.4611✓1.601.7M2022-06-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8452.8477+0.09%2.9634+4.16%0.9495✓1.9916k2022-06-29
ZECZcashZcash98.7898.898+0.12%57.5-41.79%0.0662✓1.334.9M2022-06-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.012630.012658+0.22%0.00855-32.30%0.1090✓1.102.0M2022-06-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.33811.3411+0.23%1.167-12.78%0.4045✓1.1952k2022-06-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.68720.689147+0.28%0.6978+1.54%0.6579✓1.414.4M2022-06-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001370.001374+0.32%0.0009641-29.63%0.4016✓1.662.0M2022-06-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0149970.015046+0.32%0.014998+0.01%0.3370✓0.75186k2022-06-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13450.134949+0.33%0.1067-20.67%0.3194✓1.2114k2022-06-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6710.67333+0.35%0.521-22.35%0.4682✓1.59204k2022-06-29
DASHDashDash63.1963.4112+0.35%44.51-29.56%0.2093✓1.231.1M2022-06-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.691.6962+0.37%1.05-37.87%0.2714✓1.652.1M2022-06-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20060.201336+0.37%0.1641-18.20%0.5017✓1.55489k2022-06-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.27960.280654+0.38%0.2239-19.92%0.3881✓1.35318k2022-06-29
UMAUMAEthereum3.3933.4062+0.39%2.554-24.73%0.3266✓1.352.0M2022-06-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.28.2329+0.40%5.448-33.56%0.2645✓1.484.1M2022-06-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.38270.384297+0.42%0.26325-31.21%0.2852✓1.45720k2022-06-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004330.00435+0.47%0.002758-36.30%0.0774✓1.172.1M2022-06-29
MOVRMoonriverBase23.403723.5188+0.49%10.9181-53.35%0.0449✗1.58247k2022-06-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13740.138089+0.50%0.1034-24.75%0.2876✓1.26997k2022-06-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.28070.282111+0.50%0.2319-17.39%0.4264✓1.36105k2022-06-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03870.0389+0.52%0.0449+16.02%0.8434✓1.53269k2022-06-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.3260.327702+0.52%0.1941-40.46%0.1002✓1.37420k2022-06-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07030.070671+0.53%0.0503-28.45%0.4573✓1.752.1M2022-06-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024030.02416+0.54%0.02464+2.54%1.0784✓2.3227.1M2022-06-29
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.8206+0.64%1.351-25.32%0.4498✓1.64418k2022-06-29
DIADIAEthereum0.485310.489199+0.80%0.38415-20.84%0.0488✓0.64145k2022-06-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3870.390376+0.87%0.287-25.84%0.2348✓1.191.0M2022-06-29
SCSiacoinnative0.005790.005841+0.88%0.00382-34.02%0.3335✓1.66326k2022-06-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.8612.9769+0.91%13.55+5.37%0.4853✓0.97461k2022-06-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1570.15861+1.03%0.1158-26.24%0.4231✓1.6289k2022-06-29
MANADecentralandEthereum1.08531.0967+1.05%0.87877-19.03%0.5601✓1.711.1M2022-06-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.7312.7598+1.05%1.8714-31.48%0.2211✓1.3487k2022-06-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09050.091473+1.08%0.0517-42.87%0.2234✗0.76244k2022-06-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.41.4151+1.08%0.634-54.71%0.0470✓1.86478k2022-06-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.12180.123127+1.09%0.1-17.90%0.4207✓1.38985k2022-06-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039290.039734+1.13%0.0275-30.01%0.2870✓1.4434k2022-06-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.19260.194847+1.17%0.1791-7.01%0.5850✓1.471,8582022-06-29
FTTFTXEthereum29.1629.5444+1.32%24.87-14.71%0.2847✓1.0010.8M2022-06-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9782.0045+1.34%1.467-25.83%0.4323✓1.6392k2022-06-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum13.5313.7132+1.35%10.31-23.80%0.3040✓1.29620k2022-06-29
BTTCBTTC0.000001130.000001146+1.38%8.40e-7-25.66%0.0927✓0.887.6M2022-06-29
AAVEAaveEthereum117.41119.0715+1.42%59.79-49.08%0.1129✓1.768.7M2022-06-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.171.1869+1.45%1.53+30.77%0.5986✓0.76174k2022-06-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5540.562075+1.46%0.4719-14.82%0.6364✓1.78763k2022-06-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.595650.604348+1.46%0.71603+20.21%0.8960✓1.5963k2022-06-29
STXStacksnative0.570.578387+1.47%0.4446-22.00%0.2609✓1.15217k2022-06-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.852.8922+1.48%3.01+5.61%0.9311✓1.95324k2022-06-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.118.2333+1.52%5.408-33.32%0.3141✓1.618.0M2022-06-29
COMPCompoundEthereum62.9863.9463+1.53%49.3-21.72%0.4335✓1.5231k2022-06-29
NANOnanopayBase1.19521.2147+1.63%0.802503-32.86%0.1937✓1.33170k2022-06-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9861.0023+1.65%0.624-36.71%0.2787✓1.65749k2022-06-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.5110.6855+1.67%7.388-29.71%0.2986✓1.4618.4M2022-06-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009920.010088+1.70%0.00661-33.37%0.0813✓1.10959k2022-06-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.12290.124996+1.71%0.0946-23.03%0.4923✓1.691.3M2022-06-29
KSMKusamaHydration77.8479.18+1.72%48.95-37.11%0.1196✓1.321.6M2022-06-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.872.9194+1.72%2.354-17.98%0.2756✓1.0872k2022-06-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14590.148444+1.74%0.1215-16.72%0.5598✓1.675.1M2022-06-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.0840.085473+1.75%0.0563-32.98%0.4310✓1.86159k2022-06-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,376.528,535.45+1.90%5,597.96-33.17%0.1762✓1.313.7M2022-06-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.216330.220456+1.91%0.1266-41.48%0.2589✓1.78298k2022-06-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.032.0687+1.91%1.64-19.21%0.6105✓1.85580k2022-06-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.06780.069097+1.91%0.0587-13.42%0.3895✓1.21406k2022-06-29
XVGVergenative0.005440.005546+1.94%0.00298-45.22%0.0871✓1.55807k2022-06-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008840.009017+2.00%0.006363-28.02%0.0169✓0.80162k2022-06-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029230.029829+2.05%0.01948-33.36%0.0285✓1.00188k2022-06-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.371.3985+2.08%0.4928-64.03%0.5283✗1.1399k2022-06-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.2393.3091+2.16%2.558-21.03%0.4953✓1.65271k2022-06-29
UNIUniswapEthereum5.645.7665+2.24%5.11-9.40%0.5238✓1.413.0M2022-06-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34880.356693+2.26%0.2708-22.36%0.3479✓1.378.2M2022-06-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0182130.018625+2.26%0.011758-35.44%0.0707✓1.163.1M2022-06-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.880.900644+2.35%0.782-11.14%0.3704✓1.1286k2022-06-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.457.641+2.56%6.224-16.46%0.4559✓1.4520.3M2022-06-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012180.000012492+2.56%0.00001019-16.34%0.4376✓1.411.0M2022-06-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15660.160874+2.73%0.0946-39.59%0.2127✓1.636.6M2022-06-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin69.0771.3271+3.27%53.58-22.43%0.2973✓1.2819.8M2022-06-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.4710.8226+3.37%7.029-32.87%0.2348✓1.4614.2M2022-06-29
XVSVenusEthereum4.975.1522+3.67%4.73-4.83%0.7568✓1.851.9M2022-06-29
SOLSolanaSolana47.248.9959+3.80%33.95-28.07%0.3164✓1.50107.6M2022-06-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash196.88206.3274+4.80%104.45-46.95%0.1167✗1.244.5M2022-06-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.729.0493+4.87%17.76-35.88%0.2149✓1.5553.5M2022-06-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072580.076312+5.14%0.06133-15.50%0.3180✓1.1817k2022-06-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.