8=======>

2022-05-27 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1935
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.11%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.9%
in alpha space · 48.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-26.47%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash174.68183.7727+5.21%112.89-35.37%0.1293✗1.164.9M2022-06-26
XVSVenusEthereum4.214.4029+4.58%4.8+14.01%0.6104✓1.702.2M2022-06-26
AAVEAaveEthereum92.2996.334+4.38%65.42-29.11%0.0826✓1.538.9M2022-06-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.5523.4773+4.11%19.71-12.59%0.2773✓1.4752.8M2022-06-26
SOLSolanaSolana41.0942.7544+4.05%39.39-4.14%0.3660✓1.46102.1M2022-06-26
UNIUniswapEthereum4.694.8748+3.94%5.592+19.23%0.5089✓1.213.2M2022-06-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.119.4552+3.79%7.832-14.03%0.2230✓1.3413.8M2022-06-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.5163.805+3.73%56.58-8.01%0.2458✓1.1919.8M2022-06-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5062.5909+3.39%2.592+3.43%0.4702✓1.53284k2022-06-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.064780.066866+3.22%0.06676+3.06%0.3316✓1.0816k2022-06-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0165610.017091+3.20%0.0121-26.94%0.0168✓1.073.4M2022-06-26
STXStacksnative0.510.526223+3.18%0.4026-21.06%0.0702✓1.10252k2022-06-26
XVGVergenative0.004670.004818+3.18%0.00319-31.69%0.0327✓1.45837k2022-06-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13590.140165+3.14%0.108-20.53%0.2018✓1.508.3M2022-06-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6721.7227+3.03%1.386-17.11%0.2566✓1.54110k2022-06-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010460.000010772+2.98%0.00001095+4.68%0.4216✓1.321.0M2022-06-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.286.4669+2.98%6.7+6.69%0.4473✓1.3419.2M2022-06-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.171.2047+2.96%0.694-40.68%0.0269✓1.71490k2022-06-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3180.327326+2.93%0.981+208.49%1.6537✓1.811.9M2022-06-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025430.02617+2.91%0.02096-17.58%0.0837✓0.99180k2022-06-26
COMPCompoundEthereum55.4857.0691+2.86%50.87-8.31%0.3189✓1.4131k2022-06-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02940.030241+2.86%0.0398+35.37%0.7160✓1.44257k2022-06-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.05920.060877+2.83%0.0641+8.28%0.4230✓1.21406k2022-06-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.480.493524+2.82%0.419-12.71%0.3149✓1.56807k2022-06-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.10620.109179+2.80%0.1001-5.74%0.4135✓1.631.3M2022-06-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,378.827,585.15+2.80%6,439.41-12.73%0.2117✓1.223.7M2022-06-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034710.03568+2.79%0.02988-13.92%0.2480✓1.3839k2022-06-26
MINAMina Protocolnative0.810.832481+2.78%0.676-16.54%0.2553✓1.51749k2022-06-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.651.6956+2.76%1.49-9.70%0.4018✓1.73636k2022-06-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.504930.518633+2.71%0.83731+65.83%0.9355✓1.4874k2022-06-26
NANOnanopayBase1.05711.0857+2.71%0.850925-19.50%0.1436✓1.26167k2022-06-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3410.349938+2.62%0.301-11.73%0.1884✓1.101.0M2022-06-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17590.180482+2.60%0.14257-18.95%0.2760✓1.66298k2022-06-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.06980.071606+2.59%0.0606-13.18%0.3611✓1.72191k2022-06-26
KSMKusamaHydration66.4368.1443+2.58%52.49-20.98%0.1205✓1.241.6M2022-06-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008920.00915+2.57%0.00695-22.09%0.0607✓1.091.0M2022-06-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5492.6145+2.57%2.655+4.16%0.3626✓1.1390k2022-06-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.810.830182+2.49%0.98+20.99%0.4957✓1.0794k2022-06-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.232.2854+2.48%2.82+26.46%0.7607✓1.79354k2022-06-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.957.1157+2.38%5.751-17.25%0.2491✓1.508.0M2022-06-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00840.008595+2.32%0.00693-17.50%0.0216✓0.77162k2022-06-26
FTTFTXEthereum26.4227.0149+2.25%27.18+2.88%0.3020✓0.9610.2M2022-06-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.1070.109386+2.23%0.0984-8.04%0.3043✓1.331.0M2022-06-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.221.2465+2.17%0.53-56.56%0.5201✗1.09111k2022-06-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33772.387+2.11%1.899-18.76%0.1557✓1.2591k2022-06-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.16380.167245+2.10%0.2294+40.05%0.6335✓1.031,8912022-06-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30210.308447+2.10%0.2841-5.96%0.3165✓1.308.2M2022-06-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum8.588.7556+2.05%11.05+28.79%0.7279✓1.61188k2022-06-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12280.125297+2.03%0.1395+13.60%0.6070✓1.625.4M2022-06-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25040.255275+1.95%0.2188-12.62%0.2312✓1.25318k2022-06-26
DIADIAEthereum0.427620.435702+1.89%0.39154-8.44%0.0839✓0.62110k2022-06-26
BTTCBTTC0.000001020.000001039+1.84%8.60e-7-15.69%0.0619✓0.827.7M2022-06-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.269.429+1.82%8.054-13.02%0.2827✓1.4319.4M2022-06-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.071.0895+1.82%1.58+47.66%0.6221✓0.81181k2022-06-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12280.124979+1.77%0.1013-17.51%0.1383✓1.13951k2022-06-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4552.4974+1.73%2.668+8.68%0.5948✓1.724.3M2022-06-26
MOVRMoonriverBase20.706421.063+1.72%11.7796-43.11%0.1319✗1.46247k2022-06-26
MANADecentralandEthereum0.926360.942052+1.69%0.92999+0.39%0.4681✓1.561.2M2022-06-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14030.142645+1.67%0.1171-16.54%0.3125✓1.6689k2022-06-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4770.484914+1.66%0.4006-16.02%0.2640✓1.48230k2022-06-26
XTZTezosTezos1.81481.8438+1.60%1.4426-20.51%0.1473✓1.281.3M2022-06-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.24740.251313+1.58%0.2411-2.55%0.3810✓1.37141k2022-06-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0860.087354+1.57%0.0542-36.98%0.2381✗0.78235k2022-06-26
DASHDashDash54.7255.5739+1.56%49.25-10.00%0.2426✓1.181.2M2022-06-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0412.2272+1.55%9.09-24.50%0.0751✓1.21655k2022-06-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.26260.266375+1.44%0.2024-22.92%0.1116✓1.26432k2022-06-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30770.312102+1.43%0.2491-19.04%0.1922✓1.3658k2022-06-26
SCSiacoinnative0.005410.005483+1.35%0.00398-26.43%0.1582✓1.56359k2022-06-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01930.019559+1.34%0.02368+22.69%0.8651✓2.1926.5M2022-06-26
BANDBandEthereum1.4291.448+1.33%1.438+0.63%0.4571✓1.51433k2022-06-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12380.125394+1.29%0.1046-15.51%0.1760✓1.1617k2022-06-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17440.176619+1.27%0.1565-10.26%0.3471✓1.52501k2022-06-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.6111.7527+1.23%8.8-24.20%0.0154✗0.89517k2022-06-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.15460.156454+1.20%0.1416-8.41%0.3241✓1.38372k2022-06-26
UMAUMAEthereum3.1013.1381+1.20%2.688-13.32%0.3654✓1.692.2M2022-06-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4468+1.18%1.14-20.28%0.2270✓1.512.4M2022-06-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,613.0028,946.34+1.17%21,050.20-26.43%0.0181✗0.9880k2022-06-26
GTGateEthereum5.235.2892+1.13%4.2955-17.87%0.0507✗0.514.8M2022-06-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.14021.1527+1.10%1.0606-6.98%0.2751✓1.1754k2022-06-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.1618.3591+1.10%16.17-10.96%0.3008✓1.393.1M2022-06-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.2442.2666+1.01%2.8887+28.73%0.8070✓1.8417k2022-06-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6530.659231+0.95%0.524-19.75%0.2363✓1.521.7M2022-06-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001220.001232+0.94%0.001064-12.79%0.3279✓1.542.6M2022-06-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.590.595175+0.88%0.548-7.12%0.3781✓1.50247k2022-06-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004070.004104+0.83%0.002812-30.91%0.0167✗1.181.9M2022-06-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.011450.011544+0.82%0.0091-20.52%0.0788✓1.032.3M2022-06-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06280.063261+0.73%0.0554-11.78%0.3774✓1.662.4M2022-06-26
ZECZcashZcash85.8586.4364+0.68%63.78-25.71%0.0949✓1.305.1M2022-06-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.357420.359693+0.64%0.392+9.67%0.4820✓1.29200k2022-06-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.5221.531+0.59%1.635+7.42%0.5475✓1.571.6M2022-06-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.217.2428+0.46%5.821-19.26%0.1793✓1.294.6M2022-06-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1691.174+0.43%0.749-35.93%0.0451✗1.326.8M2022-06-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,598.3128,717.42+0.42%21,027.92-26.47%0.0042✗1.00676.2M2022-06-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.345430.346837+0.41%0.27698-19.82%0.2048✓1.40832k2022-06-26
ADACardanoCardano0.45620.457911+0.38%0.4899+7.39%0.4839✓1.3546.3M2022-06-26
QNTQuantEthereum62.162.3328+0.37%61.52-0.93%0.3114✓1.063.3M2022-06-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60080.603013+0.37%0.8195+36.40%0.7498✓1.444.8M2022-06-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.760.762624+0.35%0.73-3.95%0.4356✓1.56402k2022-06-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV47.9948.1508+0.34%60.879+26.86%0.5331✓0.971.2M2022-06-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum33.0089+0.30%2.7-10.00%0.1951✓0.99724k2022-06-26
ETHEthereumEthereum1,724.831,728.85+0.23%1,197.13-30.59%0.0489✗1.04407.6M2022-06-26
HIVEHivenative0.44720.447675+0.11%0.3977-11.07%0.2742✓1.281.3M2022-06-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.360.360371+0.10%0.3319-7.81%0.2925✓1.2217.7M2022-06-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09430.09434+0.04%0.0788-16.44%0.3744✓1.80531k2022-06-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.096.0905+0.01%5.28-13.30%0.2942✓1.42553k2022-06-26
ZENHorizenBase18.8618.8217-0.20%14.59-22.64%0.2237✗1.56124k2022-06-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0820.08178-0.27%0.056-31.71%0.1160✗1.61166k2022-06-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004380.004366-0.32%0.002979-31.99%0.0415✓1.1111k2022-06-26
XECeCashnative0.000046890.000046728-0.35%0.00004039-13.86%0.2537✗1.305.4M2022-06-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1203360.119915-0.35%0.120282-0.04%0.3372✗1.0911.0M2022-06-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0158220.015764-0.36%0.015374-2.83%0.1768✗0.66186k2022-06-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.20.199268-0.37%0.1231-38.45%0.2646✓0.71335k2022-06-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3473.3341-0.38%2.939-12.19%0.1739✗0.981.9M2022-06-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7790.774698-0.55%0.807+3.59%0.3804✗1.102.7M2022-06-26
XEMNEMnative0.04690.046584-0.67%0.041004-12.57%0.2923✗1.3731k2022-06-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02320.023033-0.72%0.01707-26.42%0.1125✓0.61589k2022-06-26
KCSKuCoinnative15.1715.053-0.77%10.716-29.36%0.0398✓0.986.6M2022-06-26
QTUMQtumQtum3.70653.6777-0.78%2.9427-20.61%0.1333✗1.1673k2022-06-26
XMRMoneroMonero180.42179.012-0.78%125.18-30.62%0.0209✓1.102.5M2022-06-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.522.3107-0.84%16.66-25.96%0.0915✗1.254.2M2022-06-26
XYMSymbolnative0.05270.052236-0.88%0.0553+4.93%0.2941✗0.77126k2022-06-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.91814.8742-0.89%5.9+19.97%0.2672✗0.25294k2022-06-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2343.1988-1.09%2.6123-19.22%0.2837✗1.586.7M2022-06-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8950.88448-1.18%0.692-22.68%0.0888✗1.09658k2022-06-26
DODODODOEthereum0.1320.130398-1.21%0.1254-5.00%0.4455✗1.582.6M2022-06-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4670.461051-1.27%0.355-23.98%0.1058✗1.1928k2022-06-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.2642.2324-1.40%3.114+37.54%0.6505✗1.03763k2022-06-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.7911.7658-1.41%1.299-27.47%0.2878✗1.93644k2022-06-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0814360.080229-1.48%0.07289-10.49%0.2507✗1.133.8M2022-06-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.484.4082-1.60%3.98-11.16%0.1497✗0.82829k2022-06-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026440.026006-1.64%0.021475-18.78%0.1241✗1.0315k2022-06-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.699.5281-1.67%9.29-4.13%0.4603✗1.586.7M2022-06-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.35.2107-1.69%4.59-13.40%0.1017✗0.742.9M2022-06-26
RADRadworksEthereum2.112.0727-1.77%1.64-22.27%0.1292✗1.18219k2022-06-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.40e-77.27e-7-1.83%4.30e-7-41.97%0.2251✓0.981.6M2022-06-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011930.011677-2.12%0.00981-17.77%0.2817✗1.4827.3M2022-06-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4112.3559-2.29%2.2188-7.97%0.2399✗0.982.9M2022-06-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.008970.008758-2.36%0.006067-32.36%0.0459✓1.045,9322022-06-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.850.829723-2.39%0.82-3.53%0.4730✗1.584.7M2022-06-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.983.8824-2.45%3.14-21.11%0.0954✗1.00661k2022-06-26
NEXONEXOEthereum1.1841.1522-2.68%0.654-44.76%0.2588✓1.002.3M2022-06-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047060.045699-2.89%0.04296-8.71%0.2418✗0.994,9292022-06-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.387.1601-2.98%6.55-11.25%0.0506✗0.451.2M2022-06-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05410.05248-2.99%0.0486-10.17%0.3247✗1.3183k2022-06-26
CBKCobakEthereum1.1511.1162-3.02%0.96524-16.14%0.1689✗1.028,4812022-06-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1910.184851-3.22%0.275+43.98%0.8900✗1.601.6M2022-06-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.14310.138451-3.25%0.082-42.70%0.2163✓1.003,0542022-06-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.367740.355729-3.27%0.315285-14.26%0.2936✗1.354.5M2022-06-26
PROPropyEthereum0.90.868697-3.48%0.86-4.44%0.2109✗0.72272k2022-06-26
APEApeCoinEthereum6.0765.8529-3.67%4.695-22.73%0.5005✗2.3450.9M2022-06-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.622260.598333-3.85%0.53626-13.82%0.3892✗1.62397k2022-06-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5750.552698-3.88%0.688+19.65%0.6796✗1.5013k2022-06-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04670.044851-3.96%0.0484+3.64%0.4661✗1.271.2M2022-06-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.254.0722-4.18%3.72-12.47%0.1592✗0.81749k2022-06-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8332.7111-4.30%3.13+10.48%0.3612✗0.711.2M2022-06-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.28222.1824-4.37%1.8404-19.36%0.1114✗0.924.7M2022-06-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.420490.401834-4.44%0.32091-23.68%0.2998✗1.7123k2022-06-26
TRXTRONTron0.0806480.076994-4.53%0.064921-19.50%0.0796✗0.811.5M2022-06-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3512.2409-4.68%2.158-8.21%0.2698✗1.00138k2022-06-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053410.050883-4.73%0.04859-9.02%0.2851✗1.0815k2022-06-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0610.05783-5.20%0.05088-16.59%0.5747✗2.292.9M2022-06-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.0243.7885-5.85%3.742-7.01%0.1055✗0.384.0M2022-06-26
STEEMSteemnative0.23440.218574-6.75%0.221-5.72%0.5357✗1.71887k2022-06-26
GMTGMTEthereum1.0420.970314-6.88%0.94-9.79%0.2758✗1.004.1M2022-06-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.83511.7013-7.29%1.396-23.93%0.2168✗1.355.6M2022-06-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2171.1223-7.78%1.382+13.56%0.6436✗1.427.8M2022-06-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.41871.3026-8.19%0.83801-40.93%0.2441✓0.646,3352022-06-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.000121280.000066923-44.82%0.00006574-45.79%0.8664✗2.885.5M2022-06-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.