8=======>

2022-05-23 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1236
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+20.56%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.8%
in alpha space · 43.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-31.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000160.000051029-68.11%0.00005646-64.71%1.1788✗2.876.3M2022-06-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4441.3023-9.81%1.397-3.25%0.6021✗1.4110.1M2022-06-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.20962.0126-8.91%1.3099-40.72%0.0738✓1.347.1M2022-06-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6854.2989-8.24%3.636-22.39%0.0268✓0.372.8M2022-06-22
STEEMSteemnative0.2650.244669-7.67%0.2187-17.47%0.5367✗1.731.1M2022-06-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.58091.4598-7.66%0.73856-53.28%0.4480✓0.6212k2022-06-22
GMTGMTEthereum1.3651.2633-7.45%0.729-46.59%0.1738✓1.004.1M2022-06-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2012.97-7.22%2.725-14.87%0.2020✗0.77858k2022-06-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.70440.662801-5.91%0.5232-25.72%0.3535✗1.57329k2022-06-22
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06590.062029-5.87%0.05045-23.44%0.1694✗1.003.0M2022-06-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7030.664129-5.53%0.448-36.27%0.1711✗1.5016k2022-06-22
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9362.793-4.87%1.776-39.51%0.0768✓1.00163k2022-06-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05390.051531-4.39%0.0359-33.40%0.1071✗1.251.3M2022-06-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.22112.1255-4.30%1.7619-20.67%0.1487✗0.894.7M2022-06-22
TRXTRONTron0.0760520.072783-4.30%0.062991-17.17%0.1526✗0.791.2M2022-06-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2360.225898-4.28%0.236+0.00%0.6404✗1.592.0M2022-06-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.056270.053906-4.20%0.04676-16.90%0.2609✗1.0718k2022-06-22
BORABORAKlay Token0.414570.397646-4.08%0.293-29.32%0.3380✗1.7126k2022-06-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4202640.403738-3.93%0.270138-35.72%0.0968✗1.335.6M2022-06-22
PROPropyEthereum1.040.999504-3.89%0.87-16.35%0.1296✗0.71369k2022-06-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.017.7098-3.75%6.39-20.22%0.0163✓0.461.2M2022-06-22
APEApeCoinEthereum7.7497.4635-3.68%3.975-48.70%0.2570✗2.3676.4M2022-06-22
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.16750.161633-3.50%0.082-51.04%0.3026✓1.004,0132022-06-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.6182.5312-3.32%3.081+17.69%0.5860✗1.04748k2022-06-22
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2921.2528-3.03%0.648-49.85%0.2833✓1.003.3M2022-06-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047060.045642-3.01%0.04219-10.35%0.2887✗0.986,4572022-06-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.029750.028875-2.94%0.01586-46.69%0.3698✓0.61407k2022-06-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.7112.3732-2.65%8.49-33.20%0.2100✗1.566.9M2022-06-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50732.4409-2.65%2.11-15.85%0.2168✗0.962.7M2022-06-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0550.05365-2.45%0.0446-18.91%0.2673✗1.2085k2022-06-22
XYMSymbolnative0.06540.063988-2.16%0.05289-19.13%0.0951✗0.76229k2022-06-22
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9380.917745-2.16%0.765-18.44%0.4043✗1.566.1M2022-06-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012410.012152-2.08%0.00932-24.90%0.2934✗1.4934.7M2022-06-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.008590.008412-2.07%0.005947-30.77%0.0352✗1.0211k2022-06-22
DODODODOEthereum0.1460.143069-2.01%0.1206-17.40%0.3942✗1.503.0M2022-06-22
CBKCobakEthereum1.1691.1465-1.92%0.95479-18.32%0.2007✗1.0212k2022-06-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.49413.4333-1.74%2.5053-28.30%0.2526✗1.519.1M2022-06-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.573.5095-1.70%3.55-0.56%0.3152✗0.81659k2022-06-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0830870.081695-1.67%0.061566-25.90%0.1389✗1.125.8M2022-06-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9311.9031-1.44%1.185-38.63%0.2422✗1.90756k2022-06-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.027090.026704-1.43%0.02105-22.30%0.1448✗1.0218k2022-06-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9510.937511-1.42%0.686-27.87%0.0922✗1.08658k2022-06-22
QTUMQtumQtum4.10254.0455-1.39%2.7336-33.37%0.0449✗1.16113k2022-06-22
XMRMoneroMonero185.61183.315-1.24%110.94-40.23%0.0989✓1.072.7M2022-06-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11940.118033-1.14%0.0726-39.20%0.1773✗1.76604k2022-06-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0176820.01749-1.08%0.017121-3.17%0.2206✗0.64205k2022-06-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.03e-76.95e-7-1.07%3.14e-7-55.25%0.4303✓0.971.5M2022-06-22
XEMNEMnative0.05540.054812-1.06%0.040606-26.70%0.2146✗1.3756k2022-06-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.7921.5701-1.01%15.18-30.34%0.1097✗1.233.6M2022-06-22
KCSKuCoinnative16.316.1449-0.95%10.437-35.97%0.0712✓0.976.5M2022-06-22
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5550.55-0.90%0.33-40.54%0.0699✓1.1733k2022-06-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.91794.8757-0.86%5.8136+18.21%0.2617✗0.23307k2022-06-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.665.6188-0.73%4.4-22.26%0.0327✗0.743.3M2022-06-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1287080.127774-0.73%0.112877-12.30%0.2807✗1.0812.0M2022-06-22
RADRadworksEthereum1.931.9171-0.67%1.48-23.32%0.1592✗1.11240k2022-06-22
XECeCashnative0.000048150.000047894-0.53%0.00003694-23.28%0.2272✗1.295.7M2022-06-22
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7690.765738-0.42%0.774+0.65%0.4284✗1.113.0M2022-06-22
ZENHorizenBase19.919.8165-0.42%13.84-30.45%0.2250✗1.55156k2022-06-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08960.08924-0.40%0.0605-32.48%0.2120✗1.60162k2022-06-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00450.004482-0.39%0.00274-39.11%0.0790✓1.1013k2022-06-22
ETHEthereumEthereum1,971.061,964.25-0.35%1,048.96-46.78%0.2385✓1.03425.9M2022-06-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.22420.223492-0.32%0.1831-18.33%0.1974✗1.061,8912022-06-22
ADACardanoCardano0.51290.511483-0.28%0.4589-10.53%0.3947✗1.3448.2M2022-06-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.186.1633-0.27%4.5-27.18%0.2072✗1.39610k2022-06-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.41650.415411-0.26%0.3136-24.71%0.1749✗1.2115.9M2022-06-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.55030.549323-0.18%0.376-31.67%0.1700✗1.46211k2022-06-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV5150.9096-0.18%61.895+21.36%0.5542✗0.951.5M2022-06-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08010.08-0.13%0.0505-36.95%0.1578✗1.642.5M2022-06-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana43.9958-0.11%4.04+1.00%0.3144✗0.81812k2022-06-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.793.7862-0.10%2.908-23.27%0.0968✗0.962.0M2022-06-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66530.664822-0.07%0.8371+25.82%0.7658✗1.424.9M2022-06-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.21490.214767-0.06%0.1178-45.18%0.3533✓0.66369k2022-06-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.38390.383824-0.02%0.36639-4.56%0.4353✗1.28197k2022-06-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6760.676205+0.03%0.463-31.51%0.1796✓1.49294k2022-06-22
QNTQuantEthereum67.9167.9399+0.04%52.28-23.02%0.1358✓1.063.5M2022-06-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.393.3923+0.07%2.55-24.78%0.0755✓0.96758k2022-06-22
HIVEHivenative0.48940.489806+0.08%0.3821-21.92%0.2334✓1.281.5M2022-06-22
ZECZcashZcash99.1899.3185+0.14%63.11-36.37%0.0369✓1.305.1M2022-06-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004720.004728+0.16%0.002535-46.29%0.1823✗1.171.9M2022-06-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.870.871551+0.18%0.67-22.99%0.3172✓1.54578k2022-06-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.012870.012894+0.18%0.00951-26.11%0.0846✓1.032.5M2022-06-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.168.1791+0.23%5.514-32.43%0.0863✓1.285.0M2022-06-22
GTGateEthereum5.67355.6879+0.25%4.0753-28.17%0.1426✗0.514.9M2022-06-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.23041.2344+0.33%1.0404-15.44%0.2582✓1.1465k2022-06-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.17570.17632+0.35%0.1337-23.90%0.2397✓1.37372k2022-06-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2971.3021+0.39%0.698-46.18%0.1280✗1.327.5M2022-06-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.383050.384888+0.48%0.26926-29.71%0.1672✓1.391.1M2022-06-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,082.5229,226.00+0.49%19,968.46-31.34%0.0049✓1.00749.9M2022-06-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13240.133171+0.58%0.0924-30.21%0.0551✓1.12997k2022-06-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.9821.1071+0.61%13.98-33.37%0.1072✓1.383.3M2022-06-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02570.025864+0.64%0.02377-7.51%0.7554✓2.2325.3M2022-06-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3810.3837+0.71%0.2371-37.77%0.0057✓1.3068k2022-06-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30220.304513+0.77%0.1708-43.48%0.1078✗1.25438k2022-06-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.123.1449+0.80%3.19+2.24%0.3845✓0.98557k2022-06-22
MOVRMoonriverBase24.288524.4874+0.82%10.8704-55.24%0.2744✗1.43222k2022-06-22
BANDBandEthereum1.7081.7229+0.87%1.366-20.02%0.3256✓1.48433k2022-06-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001410.001424+0.97%0.000767-45.60%0.0478✗1.523.1M2022-06-22
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02791.0382+1.00%0.83608-18.66%0.3692✓1.561.2M2022-06-22
FTTFTXEthereum29.6829.9828+1.02%25.18-15.16%0.1858✓0.9610.6M2022-06-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.8713.0052+1.05%7.94-38.31%0.1543✗0.90568k2022-06-22
DASHDashDash59.8360.4687+1.07%45.07-24.67%0.1467✓1.171.1M2022-06-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.1314.2836+1.09%7.87-44.30%0.1308✗1.24812k2022-06-22
KSMKusamaHydration82.8583.7731+1.11%51.87-37.39%0.0190✗1.221.4M2022-06-22
AVTAventusEthereum1.181.1932+1.12%1.71+44.92%0.6612✓0.80192k2022-06-22
STXStacksnative0.620.62698+1.13%0.3795-38.79%0.0902✗1.10260k2022-06-22
SUSHISushiEthereum1.531.5472+1.13%1.19-22.22%0.2933✓1.483.1M2022-06-22
DIADIAEthereum0.489590.495147+1.14%0.37412-23.59%0.0695✗0.5691k2022-06-22
UMAUMAEthereum3.4593.4994+1.17%2.386-31.02%0.2457✓1.672.2M2022-06-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6470.654636+1.18%0.5-22.72%0.2950✓1.501.7M2022-06-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17210.174294+1.27%0.1482-13.89%0.3999✓1.49572k2022-06-22
XTZTezosTezos1.87271.8973+1.31%1.3432-28.27%0.1282✓1.261.1M2022-06-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.1311.287+1.41%7.047-36.68%0.0639✓1.4221.0M2022-06-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3770.38244+1.44%0.263-30.24%0.0290✓1.071.0M2022-06-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.11760.119346+1.48%0.0919-21.85%0.2342✓1.321.1M2022-06-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12650.128431+1.53%0.1023-19.13%0.1975✓1.1317k2022-06-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.25690.260858+1.54%0.2296-10.63%0.3912✓1.38156k2022-06-22
NANOnanopayBase1.14661.1643+1.55%0.793151-30.82%0.0851✓1.25157k2022-06-22
API3Api3Ethereum1.7481.7753+1.56%1.563-10.58%0.4613✓1.571.8M2022-06-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.52232.5618+1.57%1.8171-27.96%0.1212✓1.2494k2022-06-22
BTTCBTTC0.00000110.000001117+1.58%7.70e-7-30.00%0.0732✗0.807.5M2022-06-22
SCSiacoinnative0.005130.005213+1.62%0.00383-25.34%0.2723✓1.54367k2022-06-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.361.3822+1.63%0.49-63.97%0.6285✗1.09132k2022-06-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.06640.067486+1.64%0.0609-8.28%0.3461✓1.19404k2022-06-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.449.5973+1.67%10.91+15.57%0.7353✓1.61183k2022-06-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0870.088464+1.68%0.0522-40.00%0.2327✗0.78212k2022-06-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14390.146383+1.73%0.1121-22.10%0.3584✓1.6697k2022-06-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5872.6335+1.80%2.964+14.57%0.7676✓1.735.0M2022-06-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03290.033499+1.82%0.0277-15.81%0.3368✓1.40189k2022-06-22
COMPCompoundEthereum68.8970.1548+1.84%40.06-41.85%0.0386✗1.3928k2022-06-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33150.337808+1.90%0.2842-14.27%0.3116✓1.298.6M2022-06-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,924.649,095.04+1.91%4,972.79-44.28%0.1549✗1.193.4M2022-06-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.560080.570944+1.94%0.61535+9.87%0.6281✓1.4787k2022-06-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13530.137927+1.94%0.1225-9.46%0.4837✓1.605.5M2022-06-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.767.9176+2.03%5.447-29.81%0.1838✓1.487.8M2022-06-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009880.010082+2.05%0.0064-35.22%0.0527✗1.071.2M2022-06-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,122.5029,731.78+2.09%19,947.30-31.51%0.0324✗0.9876k2022-06-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009060.009251+2.10%0.006945-23.34%0.0098✓0.79184k2022-06-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038650.039469+2.12%0.02917-24.53%0.2164✓1.3844k2022-06-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0206480.021086+2.12%0.012055-41.62%0.1718✗1.033.2M2022-06-22
UNIUniswapEthereum5.625.7401+2.14%4.977-11.44%0.3071✓1.202.8M2022-06-22
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9811.0027+2.21%0.606-38.23%0.0482✓1.47775k2022-06-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.017.1647+2.21%6.616-5.62%0.4228✓1.3418.8M2022-06-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027070.027671+2.22%0.02012-25.67%0.0295✓0.93180k2022-06-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.11540.117967+2.22%0.0881-23.66%0.3134✓1.611.4M2022-06-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.07970.081494+2.25%0.0542-31.99%0.2347✓1.71215k2022-06-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.208770.213789+2.40%0.13181-36.86%0.1363✓1.65298k2022-06-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25670.262893+2.41%0.2137-16.75%0.2639✓1.25305k2022-06-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9753.0479+2.45%2.475-16.81%0.2033✓1.0995k2022-06-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011670.000011962+2.50%0.00000966-17.22%0.2732✓1.301.1M2022-06-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos22.0502+2.51%1.437-28.15%0.2170✓1.5295k2022-06-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5450.558699+2.51%0.293-46.24%0.0542✗1.57904k2022-06-22
ORCAOrcaSolana0.780.800306+2.60%0.42-46.15%0.2455✗1.0695k2022-06-22
GITCOINGITCOIN2.5312.5972+2.62%2.4267-4.12%0.6175✓1.8221k2022-06-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.941.9911+2.64%1.35-30.41%0.2608✓1.73602k2022-06-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3460.355297+2.69%0.758+119.08%1.4300✓1.791.8M2022-06-22
XVGVergenative0.005070.005211+2.78%0.00309-39.05%0.0126✓1.42845k2022-06-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.562.6342+2.90%2.37-7.42%0.5642✓1.78390k2022-06-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.8810.1823+3.06%7.384-25.26%0.1819✓1.3413.8M2022-06-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1611.1982+3.20%0.602-48.15%0.0595✗1.67490k2022-06-22
SOLSolanaSolana49.1150.6835+3.20%34.1-30.56%0.1497✓1.4593.8M2022-06-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15460.159589+3.23%0.1046-32.34%0.1422✓1.508.8M2022-06-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.9571.2418+3.32%52.07-24.48%0.1290✓1.1819.5M2022-06-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070370.072885+3.57%0.04824-31.45%0.0064✓1.0817k2022-06-22
AAVEAaveEthereum99.24102.863+3.65%61.89-37.64%0.0571✓1.509.0M2022-06-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8522.9701+4.14%2.319-18.69%0.3283✓1.53284k2022-06-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.0430.2844+4.29%16.06-44.70%0.0827✗1.4752.0M2022-06-22
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.8736+4.58%4.86+4.29%0.6391✓1.712.5M2022-06-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash191.72200.5117+4.59%112.6-41.27%0.1402✗1.164.9M2022-06-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.