8=======>

2022-05-18 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1758
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+24.48%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
63.1%
in alpha space · 35.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-28.69%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum81.7686.5972+5.92%57.31-29.90%0.1076✓1.549.0M2022-06-17
XVSVenusEthereum4.324.5595+5.54%4.16-3.70%0.4328✓1.552.7M2022-06-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash186.73196.1338+5.04%121.36-35.01%0.0827✗1.185.3M2022-06-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1051.1581+4.81%0.697-36.92%0.0893✓1.77582k2022-06-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9463.0836+4.67%2.038-30.82%0.1103✓1.55263k2022-06-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.5730.9182+4.56%15.98-45.96%0.1517✗1.5046.9M2022-06-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15710.164099+4.46%0.0984-37.36%0.0116✓1.558.9M2022-06-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.3487+4.39%2.36+4.89%0.5994✓1.76390k2022-06-17
XVGVergenative0.004810.005012+4.20%0.00291-39.50%0.0634✗1.42949k2022-06-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070270.073106+4.04%0.04599-34.55%0.1095✗1.0518k2022-06-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin65.8768.4601+3.93%47.55-27.81%0.0323✓1.1719.3M2022-06-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5040.523593+3.89%0.291-42.26%0.0585✗1.56967k2022-06-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150.015583+3.89%0.012048-19.68%0.1181✓1.114.0M2022-06-17
SOLSolanaSolana49.8751.7847+3.84%30.69-38.46%0.0308✓1.4693.8M2022-06-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.479.8276+3.78%7.269-23.24%0.1558✓1.3513.7M2022-06-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01450.015041+3.73%0.02196+51.45%1.1440✓2.2623.0M2022-06-17
UNIUniswapEthereum4.885.0579+3.64%3.931-19.45%0.1676✓1.243.5M2022-06-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.2212.2978+3.46%2.4165+8.80%0.6439✓1.7622k2022-06-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.621.6758+3.45%1.31-19.14%0.3349✓1.72455k2022-06-17
STXStacksnative0.510.527463+3.42%0.3817-25.16%0.0681✓1.16296k2022-06-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.184250.190545+3.42%0.12862-30.19%0.1602✓1.64269k2022-06-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.492.5748+3.41%1.715-31.12%0.1878✓1.766.7M2022-06-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.05780.05975+3.37%0.0613+6.06%0.4335✓1.21407k2022-06-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009130.009436+3.35%0.00671-26.51%0.0510✓1.161.3M2022-06-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2960.305775+3.30%0.888+200.00%1.6680✓1.781.8M2022-06-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.497.7373+3.30%5.437-27.41%0.1439✓1.478.0M2022-06-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035610.036767+3.25%0.02675-24.88%0.1544✓1.4087k2022-06-17
KSMKusamaHydration75.9278.3304+3.17%48.97-35.50%0.0393✗1.271.5M2022-06-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.10590.109232+3.15%0.0892-15.77%0.3515✓1.641.7M2022-06-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.840.86624+3.12%0.49-41.67%0.2276✗1.01117k2022-06-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.797.0018+3.12%6.356-6.39%0.3594✓1.3518.8M2022-06-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011470.000011823+3.08%0.00000816-28.86%0.0825✓1.341.2M2022-06-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11860.122188+3.03%0.1066-10.12%0.2119✓1.0319k2022-06-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.340.350272+3.02%0.266-21.76%0.0950✓1.091.1M2022-06-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008980.009246+2.96%0.006945-22.66%0.0138✓0.81195k2022-06-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.842.9237+2.95%2.413-15.04%0.1769✓1.09102k2022-06-17
COMPCompoundEthereum63.765.5452+2.90%32.83-48.46%0.2123✗1.4228k2022-06-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.07730.079519+2.87%0.0568-26.52%0.2463✓1.72215k2022-06-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03130.032171+2.78%0.0282-9.90%0.3432✓1.40221k2022-06-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.110.3783+2.76%6.373-36.90%0.0063✓1.4620.1M2022-06-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12460.127988+2.72%0.1214-2.57%0.4946✓1.625.9M2022-06-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33710.346162+2.69%0.2378-29.46%0.0631✓1.3088k2022-06-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.261.2934+2.65%1.01-19.84%0.2666✓1.523.3M2022-06-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,070.749,311.07+2.65%4,789.56-47.20%0.2578✗1.203.1M2022-06-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.3352.3949+2.56%1.8611-20.30%0.1722✓1.26145k2022-06-17
NANOnanopayBase1.05871.0858+2.56%0.808399-23.64%0.1371✓1.28161k2022-06-17
API3Api3Ethereum1.6941.7365+2.51%1.276-24.68%0.2272✓1.582.1M2022-06-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9771.0015+2.51%0.611-37.46%0.0032✓1.47775k2022-06-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0812.1331+2.51%1.166-43.97%0.0578✗1.6299k2022-06-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24640.252562+2.50%0.2132-13.47%0.2565✓1.26292k2022-06-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13030.133512+2.47%0.1118-14.20%0.3838✓1.66109k2022-06-17
MOVRMoonriverBase21.817422.3481+2.43%11.6249-46.72%0.1582✗1.47207k2022-06-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33440.342153+2.32%0.266-20.45%0.1933✓1.329.0M2022-06-17
XTZTezosTezos1.6761.7135+2.24%1.3879-17.19%0.2250✓1.291.1M2022-06-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.121.1447+2.21%1.49+33.04%0.5278✓0.78204k2022-06-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.534940.546713+2.20%0.47267-11.64%0.3616✓1.5091k2022-06-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7313.0044+2.16%8.03-36.92%0.1633✗0.94583k2022-06-17
SCSiacoinnative0.004880.004985+2.15%0.00354-27.46%0.1776✓1.54378k2022-06-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001270.001297+2.12%0.000777-38.82%0.0007✓1.513.5M2022-06-17
UMAUMAEthereum3.0493.1116+2.05%2.649-13.12%0.4137✓1.702.4M2022-06-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.341.3672+2.03%0.56-58.21%0.5195✗1.10138k2022-06-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12730.129832+1.99%0.0924-27.42%0.0415✓1.131.2M2022-06-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08850.090187+1.91%0.0586-33.79%0.1543✗0.82183k2022-06-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07020.071524+1.89%0.0615-12.39%0.4569✓1.80166k2022-06-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6740.686706+1.89%0.505-25.07%0.2192✓1.561.8M2022-06-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.25810.262912+1.86%0.2207-14.49%0.2993✓1.40172k2022-06-17
DASHDashDash55.5956.6111+1.84%43.53-21.69%0.1440✓1.201.1M2022-06-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.639.8064+1.83%11.01+14.33%0.6393✓1.55154k2022-06-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.329880.335816+1.80%0.55352+67.79%1.0876✓1.74328k2022-06-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027970.028471+1.79%0.0204-27.06%0.0007✓0.99192k2022-06-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,786.0029,296.49+1.77%20,457.00-28.93%0.0302✗0.9776k2022-06-17
MANADecentralandEthereum1.03171.0494+1.71%0.83828-18.75%0.3085✓1.581.2M2022-06-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.820.833932+1.70%0.64-21.95%0.2593✓1.55767k2022-06-17
BTTCBTTC0.000001090.000001109+1.70%7.60e-7-30.28%0.1118✗0.797.7M2022-06-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.11830.120301+1.69%0.0943-20.29%0.2160✓1.361.1M2022-06-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4510.458421+1.65%0.376-16.63%0.3211✓1.54299k2022-06-17
BANDBandEthereum1.5661.5905+1.56%1.372-12.39%0.3519✓1.48484k2022-06-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.358510.363928+1.51%0.26334-26.55%0.1555✓1.421.3M2022-06-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2281.2453+1.41%0.66-46.25%0.1376✗1.477.1M2022-06-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.16530.167584+1.38%0.131-20.75%0.2313✓1.41386k2022-06-17
FTTFTXEthereum29.6430.0285+1.31%24.35-17.85%0.1169✓0.9712.7M2022-06-17
XMRMoneroMonero155.14157.1536+1.30%114.16-26.41%0.0495✓1.093.2M2022-06-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6430.651284+1.29%0.441-31.42%0.1179✓1.50315k2022-06-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.973.0064+1.23%3.12+5.05%0.3830✓1.02553k2022-06-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.18570.18789+1.18%0.1492-19.66%0.1395✓1.092,5552022-06-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.597.6785+1.17%5.333-29.74%0.0653✓1.275.7M2022-06-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.7481.7678+1.13%2.849+62.99%0.7974✓0.95793k2022-06-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18130.183276+1.09%0.1486-18.04%0.2905✓1.48649k2022-06-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,672.9428,979.86+1.07%20,447.86-28.69%0.0106✓1.00676.2M2022-06-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004610.004659+1.06%0.00275-40.35%0.1127✗1.231.9M2022-06-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.372320.376123+1.02%0.33827-9.15%0.3354✓1.31208k2022-06-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.935.9897+1.01%4.78-19.39%0.2459✓1.39717k2022-06-17
QNTQuantEthereum64.7765.4092+0.99%46.56-28.11%0.0211✓1.073.6M2022-06-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.8431.8602+0.94%3.133+69.99%0.8718✓1.04714k2022-06-17
ZENHorizenBase18.9919.1618+0.90%14.08-25.86%0.2265✓1.58171k2022-06-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.13441.1446+0.90%0.98783-12.92%0.2273✓1.1191k2022-06-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum13.7713.8914+0.88%7.72-43.94%0.1439✗1.31822k2022-06-17
ADACardanoCardano0.50530.509628+0.86%0.4868-3.66%0.4154✓1.3648.2M2022-06-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.0821.0912+0.85%0.87046-19.55%0.1176✓1.0220k2022-06-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum21.5921.7656+0.81%13.84-35.90%0.0328✓1.443.4M2022-06-17
HIVEHivenative0.4720.475419+0.72%0.3627-23.16%0.1688✓1.301.6M2022-06-17
GTGateEthereum5.49555.5345+0.71%3.9598-27.94%0.1520✗0.545.0M2022-06-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004110.004139+0.70%0.002904-29.34%0.0204✗0.9919k2022-06-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.060.060395+0.66%0.0462-23.00%0.1352✓1.19102k2022-06-17
RADRadworksEthereum1.891.9006+0.56%1.55-17.99%0.1481✓1.04304k2022-06-17
XECeCashnative0.000044390.000044603+0.48%0.00003796-14.49%0.2895✓1.336.2M2022-06-17
ZECZcashZcash99.4699.9301+0.47%62.52-37.14%0.0167✗1.345.7M2022-06-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.013310.013364+0.41%0.00897-32.61%0.0389✗1.063.2M2022-06-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32580.327089+0.40%0.1644-49.54%0.2416✗1.32463k2022-06-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07830.078586+0.36%0.052-33.59%0.1543✓1.683.4M2022-06-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.014.0226+0.31%3.96-1.25%0.2840✓0.89798k2022-06-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.543.5465+0.18%2.71-23.45%0.0205✓0.86774k2022-06-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.08732.0908+0.17%2.1459+2.81%0.3830✓1.062.5M2022-06-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.22580.225957+0.07%0.1304-42.25%0.3642✗0.55392k2022-06-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,911.981,912.41+0.02%1,085.76-43.21%0.2159✗1.04464.2M2022-06-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64870.648448-0.04%0.7237+11.56%0.6109✗1.485.9M2022-06-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9131.9112-0.09%1.283-32.93%0.2707✗1.98863k2022-06-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7470.746163-0.11%0.761+1.87%0.3950✗1.113.2M2022-06-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.456.4405-0.15%4.11-36.28%0.1738✓0.812.8M2022-06-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11040.110232-0.15%0.08-27.54%0.2874✗1.80684k2022-06-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.025540.025493-0.18%0.019788-22.52%0.0950✗1.0324k2022-06-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021370.021328-0.20%0.01777-16.85%0.0195✗0.60400k2022-06-17
KCSKuCoinnative14.37514.3451-0.21%11.096-22.81%0.0730✗0.985.0M2022-06-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173930.017347-0.27%0.015393-11.50%0.1158✗0.70198k2022-06-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.43280.431593-0.28%0.31-28.37%0.0864✗1.2315.4M2022-06-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.83e-76.81e-7-0.33%3.34e-7-51.06%0.4485✓0.781.4M2022-06-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5650.562908-0.37%0.346-38.76%0.0816✓1.2037k2022-06-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1275440.127029-0.40%0.111803-12.34%0.2460✗1.1113.1M2022-06-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.8119.7206-0.45%14.37-27.46%0.1156✗1.283.9M2022-06-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV50.0649.8107-0.50%54.432+8.73%0.4196✗0.981.7M2022-06-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.06463.0457-0.62%2.4336-20.59%0.3062✗1.5710.0M2022-06-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.97534.9442-0.62%5.055+1.60%0.0995✗0.23294k2022-06-17
XEMNEMnative0.05370.05332-0.71%0.039899-25.70%0.1660✗1.3597k2022-06-17
QTUMQtumQtum3.80223.7721-0.79%2.744-27.83%0.0855✗1.19133k2022-06-17
DODODODOEthereum0.1470.145526-1.00%0.1244-15.37%0.3599✗1.533.9M2022-06-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0829840.082139-1.02%0.056877-31.46%0.0163✗1.146.3M2022-06-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011630.011509-1.04%0.00913-21.50%0.2865✗1.5343.5M2022-06-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8010.792447-1.07%0.759-5.24%0.4881✗1.577.0M2022-06-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9040.892155-1.31%0.59-34.73%0.0393✓1.11769k2022-06-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.4810.3343-1.39%8.24-21.37%0.3097✗1.596.4M2022-06-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0084880.008355-1.57%0.006055-28.66%0.0283✗1.0413k2022-06-17
XYMSymbolnative0.06580.064655-1.74%0.050499-23.25%0.0091✓0.76525k2022-06-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.336370.330255-1.82%0.29309-12.87%0.4520✗1.6926k2022-06-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.623.5446-2.08%3.68+1.66%0.3422✗0.90503k2022-06-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050160.049049-2.22%0.04657-7.16%0.2965✗1.0324k2022-06-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3712980.362693-2.32%0.267879-27.85%0.1711✗1.406.1M2022-06-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6224.5147-2.32%2.92-36.82%0.0921✓1.021.6M2022-06-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043580.042562-2.34%0.0401-7.99%0.2732✗0.987,7862022-06-17
APEApeCoinEthereum7.9697.7505-2.74%3.741-53.06%0.1365✗2.5694.8M2022-06-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5370.522033-2.79%0.385-28.31%0.2081✗1.5216k2022-06-17
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2961.2595-2.81%0.646-50.15%0.3296✓1.004.3M2022-06-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.8931.8356-3.03%1.741-8.03%0.2796✗0.984.3M2022-06-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05310.051288-3.41%0.0357-32.77%0.0620✗1.261.5M2022-06-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.16990.163972-3.49%0.0799-52.97%0.3808✓1.004,6042022-06-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.208216-3.60%0.24+11.11%0.6696✗1.563.2M2022-06-17
TRXTRONTron0.0709770.068222-3.88%0.0598-15.75%0.1366✗0.791.2M2022-06-17
PROPropyEthereum1.171.1228-4.04%0.9-23.08%0.0135✓0.69417k2022-06-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8632.7342-4.50%1.727-39.68%0.1214✓1.00194k2022-06-17
DIADIAEthereum0.740.703084-4.99%0.38556-47.90%0.3745✓0.6770k2022-06-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06840.064645-5.49%0.04779-30.13%0.0360✓1.003.0M2022-06-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.63651.5441-5.64%0.85035-48.04%0.3934✓0.6014k2022-06-17
GMTGMTEthereum1.3841.2964-6.33%0.616-55.49%0.4060✓1.006.3M2022-06-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.729.0622-6.77%6.25-35.70%0.1587✓0.631.2M2022-06-17
STEEMSteemnative0.25150.233476-7.17%0.2011-20.04%0.1888✗1.001.5M2022-06-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4494.1098-7.63%3.619-18.66%0.0951✗0.662.3M2022-06-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.232.0544-7.87%1.3769-38.26%0.0307✓1.278.8M2022-06-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3421.2165-9.35%1.34-0.15%0.5764✗1.4214.1M2022-06-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000150.000023748-84.17%0.00005853-60.98%1.8172✓2.717.8M2022-06-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.