8=======>

2022-05-17 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1716
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+28.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.1%
in alpha space · 47.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-33.01%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000190.000027834-85.35%0.000058-69.47%1.7693✓2.588.4M2022-06-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4131.2574-11.01%1.31-7.29%0.6101✗1.4214.3M2022-06-16
STEEMSteemnative0.29990.273919-8.66%0.1854-38.18%0.0104✓1.001.6M2022-06-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.181.9934-8.56%1.3599-37.62%0.1213✗1.268.8M2022-06-16
GMTGMTEthereum1.581.4616-7.49%0.593-62.47%0.5014✓1.006.6M2022-06-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08440.078896-6.52%0.04718-44.10%0.1135✓1.003.0M2022-06-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.68181.5888-5.53%0.91995-45.30%0.2974✓0.6215k2022-06-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.33.1418-4.79%1.699-48.52%0.2141✓1.00213k2022-06-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2530.241721-4.46%0.212-16.21%0.4788✗1.523.4M2022-06-16
PROPropyEthereum1.211.1567-4.40%0.86-28.93%0.0123✓0.71429k2022-06-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05620.053788-4.29%0.0345-38.61%0.0376✓1.201.5M2022-06-16
TRXTRONTron0.0721420.069168-4.12%0.058994-18.23%0.1648✗0.811.2M2022-06-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.18920.182047-3.78%0.085-55.07%0.3609✓1.004,7802022-06-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.640.61592-3.76%0.381-40.47%0.1127✗1.4816k2022-06-16
APEApeCoinEthereum8.8778.5435-3.76%3.372-62.01%0.1053✗2.5894.8M2022-06-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.393370.379988-3.40%0.27575-29.90%0.3385✗1.6527k2022-06-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014680.014184-3.38%0.00889-39.44%0.1273✗1.4844.1M2022-06-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.14180.137213-3.23%0.0817-42.38%0.1769✗1.74694k2022-06-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4248170.411144-3.22%0.261084-38.54%0.0921✗1.366.1M2022-06-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.68411.6304-3.19%1.7294+2.69%0.5087✗1.124.3M2022-06-16
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3951.3527-3.03%0.667-52.19%0.3064✓1.004.4M2022-06-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047380.045953-3.01%0.03838-19.00%0.2103✗0.978,0692022-06-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.4412.0724-2.96%8.02-35.53%0.2089✗1.546.4M2022-06-16
XYMSymbolnative0.06970.068062-2.35%0.0501-28.12%0.0052✓0.75536k2022-06-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0089630.008762-2.24%0.00623-30.49%0.0719✗1.0315k2022-06-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9580.936609-2.23%0.574-40.08%0.0438✓1.11769k2022-06-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.054109-2.03%0.04577-17.13%0.2388✗1.0125k2022-06-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1680.16464-2.00%0.1219-27.44%0.2955✗1.494.0M2022-06-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.21874.1352-1.98%2.6461-37.28%0.0307✗1.19134k2022-06-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1483.0906-1.82%3.6+14.36%0.4858✗0.832.1M2022-06-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.49470.486213-1.72%0.3018-38.99%0.0034✓1.2015.2M2022-06-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.7554.8693-1.58%50.901-8.70%0.3073✗0.951.7M2022-06-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1264.061-1.58%2.845-31.05%0.0754✗1.081.5M2022-06-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0901510.088749-1.55%0.055166-38.81%0.0281✓1.126.3M2022-06-16
XEMNEMnative0.06140.060474-1.51%0.038032-38.06%0.0616✗1.31127k2022-06-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.029040.028611-1.48%0.018988-34.61%0.0088✓1.0025k2022-06-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.7621.4465-1.44%13.82-36.49%0.0668✗1.264.2M2022-06-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9130.900625-1.36%0.685-24.97%0.3472✗1.557.6M2022-06-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1415430.1397-1.30%0.10905-22.96%0.1856✗1.0813.4M2022-06-16
XECeCashnative0.000049360.000048858-1.02%0.00003702-25.00%0.2462✗1.316.5M2022-06-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.15e-77.08e-7-0.88%3.34e-7-53.27%0.5435✓0.521.6M2022-06-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.09130.090579-0.79%0.0526-42.39%0.0846✗1.573.6M2022-06-16
ZENHorizenBase22.1421.9726-0.76%13.48-39.11%0.1277✗1.54171k2022-06-16
ZECZcashZcash114.63113.8112-0.71%58.94-48.58%0.1347✓1.315.7M2022-06-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8170.811267-0.70%0.785-3.92%0.4127✗1.113.2M2022-06-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.25470.25295-0.69%0.1237-51.43%0.5296✓0.46410k2022-06-16
KCSKuCoinnative14.91614.8154-0.67%11.087-25.67%0.0994✗0.974.9M2022-06-16
XMRMoneroMonero172.72171.56-0.67%106.33-38.44%0.0476✓1.083.5M2022-06-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73650.731755-0.64%0.6143-16.59%0.3948✗1.426.1M2022-06-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.984.9505-0.59%5.0538+1.48%0.1238✗0.26294k2022-06-16
ETHEthereumEthereum2,088.962,077.43-0.55%1,066.87-48.93%0.2578✓1.02494.1M2022-06-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.014070.013993-0.55%0.00877-37.67%0.0432✓1.063.3M2022-06-16
ADACardanoCardano0.5770.573909-0.54%0.4756-17.57%0.3370✗1.3148.6M2022-06-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6290.625643-0.53%0.324-48.49%0.1818✓1.1938k2022-06-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.92712.9115-0.53%2.3926-18.26%0.4607✗1.649.8M2022-06-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07120.070827-0.52%0.043-39.61%0.0798✓1.05113k2022-06-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.3460.344312-0.49%0.158-54.34%0.2449✓1.33463k2022-06-16
HIVEHivenative0.54110.538464-0.49%0.345-36.24%0.0619✗1.271.5M2022-06-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.1152.1048-0.48%1.23-41.84%0.2607✗1.99903k2022-06-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20220.201299-0.45%0.1448-28.39%0.2524✗1.45683k2022-06-16
QNTQuantEthereum74.4674.1587-0.40%44.42-40.34%0.0994✓1.033.6M2022-06-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.763.7475-0.33%2.57-31.65%0.0605✓0.79788k2022-06-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.41490.413969-0.22%0.32127-22.57%0.2615✗1.29223k2022-06-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum15.2115.182-0.18%7.13-53.12%0.2318✓1.31822k2022-06-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.29541.2938-0.12%0.954432-26.32%0.1276✗1.0898k2022-06-16
GTGateEthereum5.75215.745-0.12%3.9508-31.32%0.1597✓0.545.2M2022-06-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.21090.210669-0.11%0.1494-29.16%0.0828✗1.062,6012022-06-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004430.004428-0.04%0.003262-26.37%0.0916✗0.9919k2022-06-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.005120.005118-0.03%0.002801-45.29%0.1093✓1.231.9M2022-06-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.18040.180381-0.01%0.124-31.26%0.1900✗1.41386k2022-06-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.536.533+0.05%4.34-33.54%0.1410✓1.37666k2022-06-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.21591.2164+0.05%0.80833-33.52%0.1930✓1.501.2M2022-06-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum22.422.4214+0.10%13.61-39.24%0.0854✓1.463.4M2022-06-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.042.0421+0.10%1.52-25.49%0.1208✓1.04315k2022-06-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.865.866+0.10%6.05+3.24%0.3902✓0.901.2M2022-06-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.50040.501057+0.13%0.362-27.66%0.2782✓1.51307k2022-06-16
FTTFTXEthereum32.0332.0811+0.16%23.28-27.32%0.0581✓0.9513.2M2022-06-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.740.741797+0.24%0.425-42.57%0.0338✓1.47338k2022-06-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3891.3926+0.26%0.664-52.20%0.1660✗1.436.6M2022-06-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.852.8577+0.27%3.57+25.26%0.6312✓1.02440k2022-06-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,412.1230,498.32+0.28%20,372.00-33.01%0.0028✓1.00675.4M2022-06-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.96881.9763+0.38%2.1202+7.69%0.5215✓1.132.4M2022-06-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.355.3705+0.38%4.04-24.49%0.0806✓0.912.7M2022-06-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.568.6015+0.48%5.302-38.06%0.0208✓1.265.8M2022-06-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.2311.2374+0.52%0.84123-31.66%0.0120✓0.9924k2022-06-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01870.018802+0.54%0.01773-5.19%0.2103✓0.67400k2022-06-16
BANDBandEthereum1.7651.7766+0.66%1.348-23.63%0.3036✓1.45500k2022-06-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.14930.150317+0.68%0.0928-37.84%0.0534✗1.071.2M2022-06-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.612540.61682+0.70%0.42782-30.16%0.2229✓1.4793k2022-06-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15250.153566+0.70%0.1016-33.38%0.2361✓1.62109k2022-06-16
COMPCompoundEthereum74.6975.2598+0.76%30.16-59.62%0.3649✗1.3728k2022-06-16
SCSiacoinnative0.005610.005653+0.76%0.00341-39.22%0.0933✓1.49403k2022-06-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.3410.4194+0.77%10.81+4.55%0.6600✓1.56154k2022-06-16
DASHDashDash60.1160.6376+0.88%41.86-30.36%0.1101✓1.201.2M2022-06-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3840.387402+0.89%0.253-34.11%0.0050✓1.051.1M2022-06-16
MINAMina Protocolnative1.11.1098+0.89%0.593-46.09%0.0639✗1.40775k2022-06-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.7481.7636+0.89%3.078+76.09%0.9831✓1.06714k2022-06-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0153680.015506+0.90%0.014896-3.07%0.2667✓0.77198k2022-06-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.613.6426+0.90%3.86+6.93%0.4434✓0.96798k2022-06-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.910.918236+0.91%0.62-31.87%0.2234✓1.54800k2022-06-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.07110.071771+0.94%0.0558-21.52%0.2037✓1.14407k2022-06-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.120.121204+1.00%0.0922-23.17%0.2781✓1.381.1M2022-06-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08030.081107+1.01%0.052-35.24%0.2697✓1.78169k2022-06-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.27050.27325+1.02%0.2052-24.14%0.2870✓1.43172k2022-06-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,409.8030,728.39+1.05%20,300.70-33.24%0.0240✗0.9790k2022-06-16
MOVRMoonriverBase24.710724.9774+1.08%12.9736-47.50%0.0781✗1.44207k2022-06-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.035709+1.16%0.0275-22.10%0.2883✓1.37189k2022-06-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09070.091754+1.16%0.0581-35.94%0.1190✗0.84183k2022-06-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029710.030057+1.17%0.01905-35.88%0.0557✗1.00194k2022-06-16
BTTCBTTC0.000001130.000001143+1.19%7.60e-7-32.74%0.0936✗0.797.7M2022-06-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.471.4877+1.20%0.6-59.18%0.4735✗1.08134k2022-06-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.6613.8361+1.29%7.91-42.09%0.1876✗0.93571k2022-06-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,984.1310,113.02+1.29%4,598.44-53.94%0.3210✗1.172.9M2022-06-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.39060.395791+1.33%0.2551-34.69%0.0684✓1.279.0M2022-06-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.385080.390218+1.33%0.49666+28.98%0.9216✓1.70331k2022-06-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.380480.385624+1.35%0.24344-36.02%0.1160✓1.441.4M2022-06-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.1210.122663+1.37%0.0869-28.18%0.2996✓1.611.7M2022-06-16
UMAUMAEthereum3.3143.3596+1.38%2.64-20.34%0.4291✓1.672.6M2022-06-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01040.010544+1.39%0.00641-38.37%0.0510✗1.121.3M2022-06-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.57862.6146+1.40%1.7941-30.42%0.1203✓1.24145k2022-06-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.6741.6981+1.44%2.909+73.78%0.9347✓0.99779k2022-06-16
XTZTezosTezos1.85681.8844+1.49%1.355-27.02%0.1800✓1.271.1M2022-06-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.161.1778+1.53%1.47+26.72%0.5545✓0.83204k2022-06-16
NANOnanopayBase1.16071.179+1.58%0.798118-31.24%0.1115✓1.25161k2022-06-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25890.263023+1.59%0.1959-24.33%0.2093✓1.26280k2022-06-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.4611.6472+1.63%6.329-44.77%0.0573✗1.3821.0M2022-06-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.742.7851+1.65%3.11+13.50%0.5303✓1.05553k2022-06-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.08920.090726+1.71%0.0552-38.12%0.1869✓1.71239k2022-06-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.628.7679+1.72%5.311-38.39%0.0746✓1.448.3M2022-06-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040940.041666+1.77%0.02555-37.59%0.0552✓1.3694k2022-06-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14520.147802+1.79%0.1134-21.90%0.3647✓1.576.0M2022-06-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5930.603972+1.85%0.278-53.12%0.1816✗1.48929k2022-06-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001440.001467+1.86%0.000783-45.62%0.0319✗1.493.5M2022-06-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13110.13357+1.88%0.1049-19.98%0.1613✓1.0119k2022-06-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.717.8553+1.88%6.352-17.61%0.3160✓1.3218.8M2022-06-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.458+1.96%0.96-32.87%0.1751✓1.483.6M2022-06-16
UNIUniswapEthereum5.475.5815+2.04%3.829-30.00%0.1069✓1.213.5M2022-06-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6230.636323+2.14%0.5-19.74%0.4064✓1.621.7M2022-06-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012550.00001282+2.15%0.00000795-36.65%0.0535✓1.331.2M2022-06-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0573.1229+2.15%2.344-23.32%0.1370✓1.0699k2022-06-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8832.9458+2.18%1.743-39.54%0.1531✓1.696.7M2022-06-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.970.991568+2.22%0.48-50.52%0.3354✗0.97119k2022-06-16
SOLSolanaSolana57.0258.2994+2.24%30.1-47.21%0.0939✗1.4293.8M2022-06-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0342.08+2.26%1.105-45.67%0.0379✓1.6799k2022-06-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.0211.2703+2.27%7.11-35.48%0.0628✓1.3113.7M2022-06-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.9051.9484+2.28%1.284-32.60%0.1595✓1.442.3M2022-06-16
STXStacksnative0.580.59356+2.34%0.3286-43.34%0.1362✗1.14314k2022-06-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.752.815+2.36%2.2619-17.75%0.4663✓1.7123k2022-06-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3991.4325+2.39%0.807-42.32%0.1134✓1.72665k2022-06-16
KSMKusamaHydration82.0484.0382+2.44%49.2-40.03%0.0332✗1.251.4M2022-06-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36140.370255+2.45%0.2314-35.97%0.0486✓1.2991k2022-06-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.8749+2.45%1.27-30.60%0.2883✓1.69452k2022-06-16
XVGVergenative0.005460.005594+2.46%0.00286-47.62%0.1154✗1.39949k2022-06-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.209630.215141+2.63%0.12518-40.29%0.1026✓1.61273k2022-06-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3420.351137+2.67%0.822+140.35%1.5447✓1.731.8M2022-06-16
DIADIAEthereum0.397630.408497+2.73%0.37966-4.52%0.2478✓0.8070k2022-06-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009050.009303+2.80%0.006722-25.72%0.0084✓0.83222k2022-06-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.17980.184963+2.87%0.0973-45.88%0.0343✗1.528.8M2022-06-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin73.0475.1595+2.90%44.74-38.75%0.0547✗1.1619.1M2022-06-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.582.6585+3.04%2.29-11.24%0.5513✓1.75390k2022-06-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0162330.016795+3.46%0.011964-26.30%0.1040✓1.114.2M2022-06-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01670.0173+3.59%0.02059+23.29%1.0678✓2.2325.3M2022-06-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche34.3835.6231+3.62%15.77-54.13%0.2346✗1.4548.8M2022-06-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.133.2478+3.76%1.978-36.81%0.1329✓1.57240k2022-06-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072130.074963+3.93%0.04558-36.81%0.0835✗1.0318k2022-06-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash206.73215.1093+4.05%109.37-47.10%0.2183✗1.145.4M2022-06-16
AAVEAaveEthereum92.5396.5498+4.34%56.51-38.93%0.0714✓1.528.7M2022-06-16
XVSVenusEthereum4.734.9541+4.74%4.05-14.38%0.3965✓1.492.8M2022-06-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.