8=======>

2022-05-16 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2454
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+22.16%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
63.7%
in alpha space · 36.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-24.39%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum83.7988.441+5.55%66.59-20.53%0.1356✓1.508.6M2022-06-15
XVSVenusEthereum4.544.7838+5.37%4.49-1.10%0.3477✓1.472.8M2022-06-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.662.8015+5.32%2.372-10.83%0.2646✓1.54240k2022-06-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.262.3649+4.64%2.43+7.52%0.5086✓1.72390k2022-06-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash197.37206.4637+4.61%127.9-35.20%0.1604✗1.145.3M2022-06-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070670.07383+4.47%0.04977-29.57%0.1059✗1.0318k2022-06-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche32.4933.887+4.30%18.29-43.71%0.2150✗1.4448.8M2022-06-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0153160.015953+4.16%0.012519-18.26%0.0631✓1.094.2M2022-06-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01520.015826+4.12%0.02523+65.99%1.0870✓2.2225.3M2022-06-15
XVGVergenative0.004860.005059+4.10%0.00331-31.89%0.0420✗1.37915k2022-06-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4770.49652+4.09%0.316-33.75%0.0462✗1.45891k2022-06-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.17360.179864+3.61%0.112-35.48%0.0505✗1.518.8M2022-06-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin67.1369.5407+3.59%50.63-24.58%0.0032✓1.1518.9M2022-06-15
KSMKusamaHydration73.4776.0966+3.58%58.26-20.70%0.0793✓1.241.2M2022-06-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2891.335+3.57%0.9-30.18%0.0819✓1.70665k2022-06-15
GITCOINGITCOIN2.2982.3788+3.52%2.4285+5.68%0.4885✓1.6723k2022-06-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3160.326784+3.41%0.268-15.19%0.0866✓1.021.1M2022-06-15
DIADIAEthereum0.379940.392772+3.38%0.41844+10.13%0.2854✓0.7970k2022-06-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.340.351455+3.37%0.2423-28.74%0.0176✓1.2791k2022-06-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009030.00932+3.21%0.007031-22.14%0.0491✗0.83246k2022-06-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3070.316845+3.21%0.962+213.36%1.5904✓1.721.8M2022-06-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.691.7437+3.18%1.47-13.02%0.2992✓1.68436k2022-06-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.193910.199974+3.13%0.14196-26.79%0.1041✓1.60264k2022-06-15
SOLSolanaSolana53.6955.3567+3.10%34.72-35.33%0.0722✗1.4188.2M2022-06-15
UNIUniswapEthereum5.035.1857+3.09%4.415-12.23%0.1732✓1.203.5M2022-06-15
STXStacksnative0.560.577055+3.05%0.3649-34.84%0.1420✗1.13314k2022-06-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.91.9569+2.99%1.285-32.37%0.0443✓1.6687k2022-06-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7232.8038+2.97%1.954-28.24%0.1109✓1.696.7M2022-06-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.271.3073+2.93%1.11-12.60%0.2449✓1.463.6M2022-06-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9072.9922+2.93%2.556-12.07%0.1349✓1.0599k2022-06-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.610.627841+2.92%0.55-9.84%0.3197✓1.621.7M2022-06-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.920.946562+2.89%0.62-32.61%0.1535✗0.96126k2022-06-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.18.333+2.88%5.986-26.10%0.0678✓1.438.5M2022-06-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.6210.9228+2.85%8.491-20.05%0.1126✓1.3013.3M2022-06-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037910.038988+2.84%0.02805-26.01%0.0471✓1.3594k2022-06-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011960.00001229+2.76%0.00000882-26.25%0.0371✓1.321.2M2022-06-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11780.121049+2.76%0.1079-8.40%0.1613✓0.9919k2022-06-15
API3Api3Ethereum1.8051.8542+2.73%1.519-15.84%0.2009✓1.432.3M2022-06-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0127620.013108+2.71%0.016262+27.43%0.4206✓0.73198k2022-06-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.10970.11262+2.66%0.0985-10.21%0.3112✓1.591.7M2022-06-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.08610.088267+2.52%0.0655-23.93%0.1781✓1.70239k2022-06-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.417.5945+2.49%7.32-1.21%0.3306✓1.3118.4M2022-06-15
NANOnanopayBase1.08591.1129+2.48%0.880603-18.91%0.1138✓1.24161k2022-06-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03170.032484+2.47%0.0305-3.79%0.3159✓1.36174k2022-06-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.58811.6268+2.43%2.22+39.79%0.6155✓1.092.4M2022-06-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001330.001362+2.38%0.000877-34.06%0.0279✗1.473.5M2022-06-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009780.010012+2.37%0.00693-29.14%0.0585✗1.111.2M2022-06-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24630.252141+2.37%0.2139-13.15%0.1846✓1.25280k2022-06-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.0711.3234+2.29%7.32-33.88%0.0516✗1.3821.0M2022-06-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1390.141966+2.13%0.1286-7.48%0.3397✓1.576.2M2022-06-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.810.827144+2.12%0.72-11.11%0.2860✓1.52801k2022-06-15
XTZTezosTezos1.77221.8084+2.04%1.5269-13.84%0.1852✓1.271.0M2022-06-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.534180.545063+2.04%0.39957-25.20%0.0944✓1.4593k2022-06-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.43112.4798+2.00%2.0265-16.64%0.1430✓1.23154k2022-06-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.111.1322+2.00%1.58+42.34%0.5591✓0.81204k2022-06-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.5041.534+2.00%3.264+117.02%1.0453✓1.04683k2022-06-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.279.4549+1.99%12.3+32.69%0.6924✓1.54146k2022-06-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.7331.7675+1.99%3.74+115.81%0.9513✓0.721.9M2022-06-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.35870.365834+1.99%0.2859-20.30%0.1037✓1.258.8M2022-06-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.359870.366936+1.96%0.46762+29.94%0.7154✓1.69331k2022-06-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.4461.4744+1.96%3.216+122.41%1.0493✓0.96736k2022-06-15
MOVRMoonriverBase23.500223.9521+1.92%15.0504-35.96%0.0638✗1.43201k2022-06-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.2540.258851+1.91%0.2169-14.61%0.2197✓1.42172k2022-06-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,743.689,929.15+1.90%5,347.81-45.12%0.2930✗1.172.8M2022-06-15
SCSiacoinnative0.005170.005267+1.87%0.0038-26.50%0.0884✓1.48403k2022-06-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.0313.2726+1.86%8.47-35.00%0.1916✗0.92564k2022-06-15
UMAUMAEthereum2.9883.0427+1.83%2.776-7.10%0.3707✓1.652.4M2022-06-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.370020.376783+1.83%0.25328-31.55%0.0016✓1.431.4M2022-06-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.11370.115752+1.80%0.1027-9.67%0.2633✓1.371.2M2022-06-15
BANDBandEthereum1.6021.6309+1.80%1.57-2.00%0.3605✓1.43500k2022-06-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.532.5752+1.79%3.46+36.76%0.5856✓1.04548k2022-06-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08870.090268+1.77%0.0642-27.62%0.1061✗0.84177k2022-06-15
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0421.0589+1.62%0.69-33.78%0.0368✗1.40775k2022-06-15
DASHDashDash57.8258.7327+1.58%45.86-20.68%0.0851✓1.191.2M2022-06-15
COMPCompoundEthereum68.6769.7514+1.57%35.52-48.27%0.2952✗1.3628k2022-06-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,058.3030,530.63+1.57%22,542.40-25.00%0.0308✗0.9790k2022-06-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.153.1988+1.55%4.08+29.52%0.5056✓0.94783k2022-06-15
BTTCBTTC0.000001110.000001127+1.49%8.30e-7-25.23%0.0861✗0.787.8M2022-06-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14490.146993+1.44%0.1085-25.12%0.1476✓1.61110k2022-06-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.411.4302+1.44%0.76-46.10%0.3303✗1.08134k2022-06-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.1781.1945+1.40%0.88114-25.20%0.0284✗0.9924k2022-06-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07950.080529+1.29%0.0585-26.42%0.1802✓1.79173k2022-06-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.46180.467686+1.27%0.4119-10.81%0.2911✓1.50307k2022-06-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.955.0074+1.16%6.56+32.53%0.5125✓0.871.2M2022-06-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.07020.070969+1.10%0.072+2.56%0.3328✓1.14405k2022-06-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.030610.03091+0.98%0.02082-31.98%0.1146✗1.00194k2022-06-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.9521.1535+0.97%15.79-24.63%0.1123✓1.453.4M2022-06-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.542.5646+0.97%3.98+56.69%0.7192✓1.00399k2022-06-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.298.3697+0.96%5.871-29.18%0.0048✓1.256.6M2022-06-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6990.705414+0.92%0.483-30.90%0.0312✓1.47338k2022-06-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.066.1107+0.84%4.85-19.97%0.1496✓1.36629k2022-06-15
GTGateEthereum5.43635.4811+0.82%4.4001-19.06%0.0724✗0.535.2M2022-06-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.17330.174675+0.79%0.1343-22.50%0.1305✓1.41386k2022-06-15
MANADecentralandEthereum1.16531.1742+0.76%0.92106-20.96%0.1758✓1.501.2M2022-06-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.564.5942+0.75%4.45-2.41%0.2155✓0.882.7M2022-06-15
RADRadworksEthereum1.931.9445+0.75%1.63-15.54%0.1091✓1.02350k2022-06-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3611.3712+0.75%0.768-43.57%0.1791✗1.436.6M2022-06-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1490.150076+0.72%0.1027-31.07%0.0787✗1.081.2M2022-06-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30180.303739+0.64%0.1855-38.54%0.1286✗1.30463k2022-06-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.39140.393902+0.64%0.36061-7.87%0.2692✓1.28223k2022-06-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,839.8930,027.87+0.63%22,562.33-24.39%0.0063✓1.00675.4M2022-06-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.19331.2008+0.63%1.0023-16.01%0.1175✓1.0798k2022-06-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18720.188361+0.62%0.1657-11.49%0.2748✓1.44683k2022-06-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.20980.211097+0.62%0.1444-31.17%0.2595✗0.43433k2022-06-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.19880.199695+0.45%0.1786-10.16%0.1830✓1.052,5292022-06-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004320.004339+0.44%0.003233-25.16%0.0184✗0.9920k2022-06-15
FTTFTXEthereum31.8231.959+0.44%25.56-19.67%0.0415✓0.9513.8M2022-06-15
QNTQuantEthereum70.4970.7302+0.34%50.8-27.93%0.0446✗1.023.6M2022-06-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9761.9826+0.33%1.311-33.65%0.1406✓1.98928k2022-06-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0680.068214+0.32%0.0494-27.35%0.0311✗1.04113k2022-06-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08090.081153+0.31%0.0598-26.08%0.1285✓1.553.6M2022-06-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.523.5307+0.31%2.87-18.47%0.0109✓0.78788k2022-06-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019020.019075+0.29%0.01921+1.00%0.1960✓0.68402k2022-06-15
XMRMoneroMonero161.82162.2824+0.29%118.21-26.95%0.0184✗1.073.2M2022-06-15
HIVEHivenative0.48960.490952+0.28%0.3788-22.63%0.0901✓1.251.5M2022-06-15
ZENHorizenBase20.320.3535+0.26%16.08-20.79%0.1921✓1.53171k2022-06-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3793.3865+0.22%3.026-10.45%0.1783✓1.041.5M2022-06-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.5814.6119+0.22%8.46-41.98%0.1824✗1.30822k2022-06-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.59162.5969+0.20%2.6352+1.68%0.4680✓1.629.1M2022-06-15
ADACardanoCardano0.55610.557012+0.16%0.5343-3.92%0.3239✓1.3148.6M2022-06-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6190.619484+0.08%0.346-44.10%0.2499✗1.1938k2022-06-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7530.753017+0.00%0.815+8.23%0.3874✓1.103.2M2022-06-15
ZECZcashZcash102.47102.4719+0.00%68.57-33.08%0.0414✗1.295.3M2022-06-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.005270.005269-0.02%0.003053-42.07%0.1992✓1.241.9M2022-06-15
KCSKuCoinnative13.82113.8052-0.11%11.832-14.39%0.1136✗0.964.5M2022-06-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.67320.671621-0.23%0.6667-0.97%0.3875✗1.416.1M2022-06-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.013870.013834-0.26%0.00977-29.56%0.0535✓1.053.2M2022-06-15
ETHEthereumEthereum2,020.582,014.20-0.32%1,236.45-38.81%0.2036✓1.02494.1M2022-06-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.9614.9448-0.33%4.9947+0.68%0.0822✗0.26291k2022-06-15
XECeCashnative0.000046770.000046598-0.37%0.00004039-13.64%0.2210✗1.306.5M2022-06-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.93e-76.89e-7-0.65%3.87e-7-44.25%0.4345✓0.511.4M2022-06-15
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8720.866061-0.68%0.784-10.09%0.3326✗1.557.6M2022-06-15
DODODODOEthereum0.1510.149748-0.83%0.138-8.61%0.3288✗1.474.1M2022-06-15
XEMNEMnative0.05830.057777-0.90%0.041506-28.81%0.0337✗1.30164k2022-06-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1361630.134916-0.92%0.121018-11.12%0.1924✗1.0813.4M2022-06-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028180.027921-0.92%0.019823-29.66%0.0632✓1.0025k2022-06-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.45980.45545-0.95%0.3399-26.08%0.0388✗1.1914.9M2022-06-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative20.7720.5682-0.97%15.88-23.54%0.0939✗1.264.2M2022-06-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0878810.086963-1.04%0.062714-28.64%0.0150✓1.126.3M2022-06-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.5952.9882-1.12%55.477+3.52%0.3118✗0.951.7M2022-06-15
QTUMQtumQtum3.94613.8979-1.22%2.9566-25.08%0.0525✗1.18134k2022-06-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053420.052756-1.24%0.04473-16.27%0.1171✗1.0125k2022-06-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0085540.008415-1.62%0.006882-19.55%0.0854✗1.0219k2022-06-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9160.900693-1.67%0.629-31.33%0.0501✓1.11769k2022-06-15
XYMSymbolnative0.0680.066677-1.94%0.051233-24.66%0.0546✓0.75542k2022-06-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.6510.4385-1.99%9.32-12.49%0.3117✗1.525.9M2022-06-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4015960.392889-2.17%0.274033-31.76%0.0174✓1.356.1M2022-06-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.38341.3498-2.43%1.8408+33.06%0.6142✗1.094.3M2022-06-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04610.044835-2.74%0.04118-10.67%0.1861✗0.978,0692022-06-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.380730.370046-2.81%0.31437-17.43%0.2961✗1.6428k2022-06-15
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3671.3275-2.89%0.788-42.36%0.2420✓1.004.8M2022-06-15
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0697.8326-2.93%4.161-48.43%0.0860✗2.5794.8M2022-06-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6280.608004-3.18%0.418-33.44%0.0388✗1.4816k2022-06-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.206129-3.23%0.24+12.68%0.5705✗1.503.5M2022-06-15
PROPropyEthereum1.131.0911-3.44%0.91-19.47%0.0135✓0.70443k2022-06-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.051843-3.46%0.0382-28.86%0.0297✓1.201.6M2022-06-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014890.014375-3.46%0.00986-33.78%0.0412✗1.5044.1M2022-06-15
TRXTRONTron0.0690190.066484-3.67%0.062998-8.72%0.1707✗0.801.2M2022-06-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.19190.184591-3.81%0.1074-44.03%0.2620✓1.004,6042022-06-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.15770.150698-4.44%0.0903-42.74%0.0203✓1.76694k2022-06-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.71131.6309-4.70%1.0501-38.64%0.2654✓0.6315k2022-06-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.1422.9912-4.80%2.018-35.77%0.1140✓1.00232k2022-06-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.67041.5819-5.30%1.5362-8.03%0.3077✗1.219.3M2022-06-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.07640.071795-6.03%0.05412-29.16%0.0030✓1.003.0M2022-06-15
GMTGMTEthereum1.4331.3361-6.76%0.681-52.48%0.3944✓1.006.8M2022-06-15
STEEMSteemnative0.2840.260879-8.14%0.1965-30.81%0.0038✓1.001.8M2022-06-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2491.1339-9.21%1.496+19.78%0.6699✗1.4115.1M2022-06-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.00020.000027126-86.44%0.00006194-69.03%1.5424✓2.568.4M2022-06-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.