8=======>

2022-05-15 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1815
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.66%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.5%
in alpha space · 19.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-29.31%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15160.164691+8.64%0.1259-16.95%0.2737✓1.566.2M2022-06-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5280.572872+8.50%0.296-43.94%0.1587✗1.45891k2022-06-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.399970.433208+8.31%0.24528-38.68%0.0474✓1.501.4M2022-06-14
AAVEAaveEthereum92.0699.6951+8.29%62.11-32.53%0.0441✓1.498.6M2022-06-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.68761.8263+8.22%2.1251+25.92%0.5289✓1.092.5M2022-06-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.9152.056+7.36%1.173-38.75%0.0624✓1.442.4M2022-06-14
STXStacksnative0.620.664982+7.26%0.3431-44.66%0.2709✗1.13314k2022-06-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071630.076773+7.18%0.04722-34.08%0.1231✗1.0519k2022-06-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.010450.01119+7.08%0.00686-34.35%0.2144✗0.79246k2022-06-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3570.382196+7.06%0.26-27.17%0.0342✓1.011.1M2022-06-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004490.004806+7.04%0.0032-28.73%0.0644✓0.9920k2022-06-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.38030.407084+7.04%0.2234-41.26%0.1582✗1.2793k2022-06-14
DIADIAEthereum0.409670.438515+7.04%0.39753-2.96%0.1766✓0.7970k2022-06-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.542.7149+6.89%3.49+37.40%0.6176✓1.06548k2022-06-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0171630.018314+6.71%0.012422-27.62%0.0032✓1.134.2M2022-06-14
XVGVergenative0.00530.005649+6.59%0.00303-42.83%0.1522✗1.36915k2022-06-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0722.2079+6.56%1.177-43.19%0.0594✓1.6487k2022-06-14
UMAUMAEthereum3.1323.3362+6.52%2.816-10.09%0.4063✓1.662.4M2022-06-14
BANDBandEthereum1.8081.9235+6.39%1.453-19.63%0.2133✓1.42500k2022-06-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.1220.129778+6.38%0.0951-22.05%0.2340✓1.571.7M2022-06-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26160.278093+6.30%0.1982-24.24%0.0947✓1.25280k2022-06-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.395.7279+6.27%6.53+21.15%0.4187✓0.831.3M2022-06-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017810.018915+6.20%0.01919+7.75%0.2681✓0.73400k2022-06-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6410.680081+6.10%0.338-47.27%0.2829✗1.2038k2022-06-14
SCSiacoinnative0.005720.006068+6.08%0.00359-37.24%0.0136✓1.47403k2022-06-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.861.9723+6.04%1.33-28.49%0.1920✓1.69436k2022-06-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.37450.397033+6.02%0.2666-28.81%0.0397✓1.268.8M2022-06-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.10010.106062+5.96%0.0609-39.16%0.0273✓1.68239k2022-06-14
HIVEHivenative0.53390.565334+5.89%0.3572-33.10%0.0249✓1.251.5M2022-06-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0125930.013327+5.83%0.014658+16.40%0.3540✓0.75198k2022-06-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013040.000013795+5.79%0.00000819-37.19%0.0666✗1.311.2M2022-06-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.890.94116+5.75%0.69-22.47%0.2200✓1.53801k2022-06-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.218660.231161+5.72%0.13793-36.92%0.0486✓1.63264k2022-06-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03570.037732+5.69%0.0291-18.49%0.2057✓1.34174k2022-06-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.4121.4919+5.66%0.867-38.60%0.0524✓1.72665k2022-06-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8873.0499+5.64%2.061-28.61%0.1425✓1.54245k2022-06-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.28341.3557+5.63%0.963038-24.96%0.0265✓1.0698k2022-06-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.522.6594+5.53%2.28-9.52%0.4456✓1.73378k2022-06-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.595350.627885+5.46%0.37199-37.52%0.0234✓1.4493k2022-06-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.21240.223952+5.44%0.13-38.79%0.1799✗1.052,6012022-06-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01730.018218+5.31%0.02014+16.42%0.8626✓2.2025.3M2022-06-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07510.079073+5.29%0.0559-25.57%0.3024✓1.87173k2022-06-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.433460.456104+5.22%0.29215-32.60%0.0057✓1.27223k2022-06-14
XVSVenusEthereum5.015.2714+5.22%4.19-16.37%0.2718✓1.452.8M2022-06-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.742.8828+5.21%3.96+44.53%0.6592✓0.99453k2022-06-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.263.4288+5.18%4.03+23.62%0.4864✓0.94783k2022-06-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8320.875051+5.17%0.822-1.20%0.3148✓1.093.2M2022-06-14
MANADecentralandEthereum1.33831.4072+5.15%0.82109-38.65%0.0138✓1.511.2M2022-06-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.6514.3519+5.14%8.31-39.12%0.2291✗0.91564k2022-06-14
ORCAOrcaSolana11.051+5.10%0.62-38.00%0.1955✗0.96137k2022-06-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13590.142782+5.06%0.0988-27.30%0.0371✓0.9519k2022-06-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.27570.289527+5.02%0.2016-26.88%0.1275✓1.41176k2022-06-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.19950.209485+5.01%0.1042-47.77%0.1620✗1.558.8M2022-06-14
GTGateEthereum5.56745.8428+4.95%4.4459-20.14%0.0880✗0.535.0M2022-06-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,598.4911,115.64+4.88%4,887.88-53.88%0.4191✗1.162.8M2022-06-14
COMPCompoundEthereum74.8378.477+4.87%34.25-54.23%0.3552✗1.3730k2022-06-14
KSMKusamaHydration80.5384.4291+4.84%51.18-36.45%0.0747✗1.231.2M2022-06-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.3712.9484+4.68%6.357-48.61%0.2385✗1.3620.1M2022-06-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.968.3286+4.63%6.713-15.67%0.2437✓1.3218.4M2022-06-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.07050.073746+4.60%0.0577-18.16%0.1614✓1.17405k2022-06-14
NANOnanopayBase1.18671.2408+4.57%0.830219-30.04%0.0307✓1.25156k2022-06-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14610.152749+4.55%0.1016-30.46%0.1659✓1.65109k2022-06-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9540.997178+4.53%0.71-25.58%0.1967✓1.557.6M2022-06-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.571.6408+4.51%3.264+107.90%1.0454✓1.03683k2022-06-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7730.80771+4.49%0.454-41.27%0.0632✗1.48338k2022-06-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09070.094768+4.49%0.0643-29.11%0.0958✗0.84177k2022-06-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3280.342375+4.38%0.926+182.32%1.5964✓1.731.8M2022-06-14
XMRMoneroMonero171.74179.2348+4.36%118.2-31.18%0.0501✗1.063.2M2022-06-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.3190.332701+4.29%0.1768-44.58%0.1822✗1.30445k2022-06-14
SOLSolanaSolana58.8261.3458+4.29%29.54-49.78%0.2409✗1.4187.8M2022-06-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4692.5739+4.25%2.283-7.53%0.4664✓1.6923k2022-06-14
XECeCashnative0.000043080.000044901+4.23%0.00003807-11.63%0.3065✓1.366.2M2022-06-14
UNIUniswapEthereum5.455.678+4.18%3.857-29.23%0.0290✓1.203.5M2022-06-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche36.5438.0428+4.11%16.54-54.73%0.3306✗1.4546.9M2022-06-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.081.1241+4.09%1.63+50.93%0.6570✓0.82201k2022-06-14
DASHDashDash63.0365.6006+4.08%43.47-31.03%0.0029✓1.181.1M2022-06-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.85572.9714+4.05%2.6493-7.23%0.4455✓1.629.1M2022-06-14
QNTQuantEthereum75.2178.2163+4.00%47.79-36.46%0.1329✗1.043.6M2022-06-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum15.7716.3985+3.99%8.06-48.89%0.2574✗1.31822k2022-06-14
MINAMina Protocolnative1.161.2062+3.98%0.655-43.53%0.1334✗1.38760k2022-06-14
MOVRMoonriverBase25.57526.5794+3.93%15.1911-40.60%0.0478✗1.48201k2022-06-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.4446+3.93%1-28.06%0.1407✓1.473.6M2022-06-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00570.005923+3.92%0.00288-49.47%0.2850✗1.261.9M2022-06-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.12580.130726+3.92%0.0943-25.04%0.1465✓1.361.2M2022-06-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12990.134927+3.87%0.0982-24.40%0.0780✓1.141.1M2022-06-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.014260.014806+3.83%0.00972-31.84%0.0518✗1.063.2M2022-06-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.5311.9704+3.82%11.75+1.91%0.5024✓1.50140k2022-06-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0573.1728+3.79%1.854-39.35%0.0474✓1.696.7M2022-06-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0929870.096497+3.78%0.05555-40.26%0.1672✗1.116.3M2022-06-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.833.9743+3.77%2.79-27.15%0.0896✗0.76788k2022-06-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.240.249023+3.76%0.1366-43.08%0.4551✗0.42448k2022-06-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20210.209676+3.75%0.1597-20.98%0.2299✓1.45683k2022-06-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.51520.534168+3.68%0.3815-25.95%0.1764✓1.48307k2022-06-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010190.010557+3.61%0.00658-35.43%0.0867✗1.111.2M2022-06-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.063.1689+3.56%2.441-20.23%0.0979✓1.0396k2022-06-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.056780.058772+3.51%0.04428-22.01%0.0649✓1.0025k2022-06-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001410.001459+3.50%0.000824-41.56%0.0546✗1.493.7M2022-06-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,290.0532,378.14+3.48%22,120.25-29.31%0.0342✓1.00672.6M2022-06-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.046.2498+3.47%4.73-21.69%0.2012✓1.38572k2022-06-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028040.029007+3.45%0.018367-34.50%0.1049✗1.0226k2022-06-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040220.0416+3.43%0.02637-34.44%0.0149✓1.3694k2022-06-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.995.1604+3.42%4.42-11.42%0.1383✓0.852.7M2022-06-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71690.741218+3.39%0.6004-16.25%0.2764✓1.406.1M2022-06-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.18680.193046+3.34%0.127-32.01%0.0709✓1.41386k2022-06-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.51.5501+3.34%0.82-45.33%0.2608✗1.08140k2022-06-14
DODODODOEthereum0.1690.174608+3.32%0.1351-20.06%0.2500✓1.464.3M2022-06-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.7912.1797+3.31%7.349-37.67%0.0558✗1.3012.5M2022-06-14
RADRadworksEthereum22.0653+3.26%1.61-19.50%0.1089✓1.03350k2022-06-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin71.573.77+3.17%46.1-35.52%0.0726✗1.1518.7M2022-06-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.66172.7441+3.10%1.9235-27.73%0.0712✓1.23166k2022-06-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.13230.136393+3.09%0.0896-32.28%0.2355✓1.89694k2022-06-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash214.55220.9943+3.00%125.88-41.33%0.1732✗1.125.3M2022-06-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.5871.6345+2.99%3.195+101.32%1.0040✓0.96779k2022-06-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0740.076208+2.98%0.0475-35.81%0.1133✗1.04113k2022-06-14
ZECZcashZcash112.6115.7983+2.84%64.06-43.11%0.1524✗1.275.3M2022-06-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7040.723808+2.81%0.515-26.85%0.2112✓1.591.7M2022-06-14
CBKCobakEthereum1.2121.2459+2.80%0.81622-32.66%0.0761✗1.0024k2022-06-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.8441.8948+2.76%3.625+96.58%0.8962✓0.711.9M2022-06-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.30e-76.47e-7+2.72%3.77e-7-40.07%0.3474✗0.551.4M2022-06-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.51271.5537+2.71%1.8133+19.87%0.5236✓1.064.3M2022-06-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.09140.093869+2.70%0.058-36.54%0.0454✓1.523.6M2022-06-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.229.4561+2.56%5.558-39.72%0.0459✗1.408.3M2022-06-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026940.027628+2.55%0.0204-24.28%0.0701✓1.08194k2022-06-14
ADACardanoCardano0.5980.613211+2.54%0.4828-19.26%0.2126✓1.3048.2M2022-06-14
FTTFTXEthereum32.6633.4895+2.54%23.96-26.64%0.0029✓0.9613.8M2022-06-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9771.0018+2.54%0.593-39.30%0.1411✗1.11769k2022-06-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1449860.148643+2.52%0.112638-22.31%0.0946✓1.0713.4M2022-06-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.49020.502365+2.48%0.3083-37.11%0.0744✗1.1914.3M2022-06-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.414980.425238+2.47%0.46115+11.13%0.6622✓1.68331k2022-06-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.169.3827+2.43%5.468-40.31%0.1074✗1.257.4M2022-06-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0842.1341+2.41%1.3-37.62%0.2002✓2.01973k2022-06-14
XEMNEMnative0.06670.068297+2.39%0.040001-40.03%0.0939✗1.27164k2022-06-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.9656.2086+2.27%53.965-1.81%0.2916✓0.961.8M2022-06-14
BTTCBTTC0.000001150.000001175+2.21%8.10e-7-29.57%0.0982✗0.797.8M2022-06-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04850.049534+2.13%0.0391-19.38%0.1006✓0.978,2452022-06-14
XTZTezosTezos1.9151.9546+2.07%1.4566-23.94%0.1430✓1.26971k2022-06-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.1224.5907+1.95%14.07-41.67%0.0580✗1.443.4M2022-06-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0092840.009444+1.72%0.00656-29.34%0.0133✓1.0124k2022-06-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.1122.4829+1.69%14.59-34.01%0.0052✓1.264.2M2022-06-14
ETHEthereumEthereum2,142.692,177.48+1.62%1,207.58-43.64%0.2328✗1.03494.1M2022-06-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.653.7086+1.61%2.992-18.03%0.1397✓1.021.5M2022-06-14
ZENHorizenBase22.122.4501+1.58%14.65-33.71%0.0987✓1.52167k2022-06-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,292.3031,774.97+1.54%22,084.60-29.42%0.0252✗0.9876k2022-06-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6970.707395+1.49%0.402-42.32%0.0550✗1.4716k2022-06-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0110.011162+1.48%0.00934-15.09%0.3990✓1.6643.3M2022-06-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.5071.5242+1.14%0.731-51.49%0.2383✗1.436.6M2022-06-14
KCSKuCoinnative14.50714.6496+0.98%11.914-17.87%0.1257✓0.964.1M2022-06-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.00775.0553+0.95%5.4+7.83%0.1570✓0.26285k2022-06-14
XYMSymbolnative0.07170.072211+0.71%0.050449-29.64%0.1036✗0.74568k2022-06-14
QTUMQtumQtum4.27084.2956+0.58%2.776-35.00%0.0190✗1.20135k2022-06-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.409920.411817+0.46%0.27244-33.54%0.1587✓1.6530k2022-06-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4442650.444137-0.03%0.250986-43.51%0.1049✓1.346.1M2022-06-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2370.23668-0.13%0.216-8.86%0.4223✗1.483.7M2022-06-14
APEApeCoinEthereum9.1319.0631-0.74%3.615-60.41%0.0311✓2.5694.8M2022-06-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81421.8-0.78%1.35-25.59%0.1362✗1.229.3M2022-06-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05570.055222-0.86%0.0375-32.68%0.0321✗1.211.6M2022-06-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.77981.7546-1.42%1.0032-43.64%0.3343✓0.6516k2022-06-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.3710.2225-1.42%8.22-20.73%0.3225✗1.565.9M2022-06-14
GMTGMTEthereum1.6181.5912-1.66%0.633-60.88%0.5749✓1.007.5M2022-06-14
PROPropyEthereum1.21.1704-2.47%0.93-22.50%0.0140✓0.70459k2022-06-14
TRXTRONTron0.0723170.070354-2.71%0.055589-23.13%0.0406✗0.801.2M2022-06-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.19430.188356-3.06%0.1105-43.13%0.1865✓1.004,0132022-06-14
NEXONEXOEthereum1.4011.352-3.50%0.75-46.47%0.2425✓1.005.1M2022-06-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08610.082375-4.33%0.05078-41.02%0.1370✓1.003.4M2022-06-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.2947-4.73%1.429+5.15%0.5870✗1.4115.1M2022-06-14
STEEMSteemnative0.26890.25415-5.49%0.1927-28.34%0.0700✗1.001.9M2022-06-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.4543.208-7.12%1.909-44.73%0.1723✓1.00257k2022-06-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000220.000010953-99.60%0.00006063-72.44%5.1593✓2.648.4M2022-06-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.