8=======>

2022-05-15 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2085
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+31.12%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.5%
in alpha space · 48.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-29.31%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000220.000027473-87.51%0.00006063-72.44%1.7087✓2.648.4M2022-06-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.2148-10.61%1.429+5.15%0.6507✗1.4115.1M2022-06-14
STEEMSteemnative0.26890.246221-8.43%0.1927-28.34%0.1017✗1.001.9M2022-06-14
GMTGMTEthereum1.6181.5009-7.24%0.633-60.88%0.5165✓1.007.5M2022-06-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08610.080416-6.60%0.05078-41.02%0.1129✓1.003.4M2022-06-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81421.708-5.85%1.35-25.59%0.1886✗1.229.3M2022-06-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.4543.2809-5.01%1.909-44.73%0.1947✓1.00257k2022-06-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.77981.7019-4.38%1.0032-43.64%0.3039✓0.6516k2022-06-14
TRXTRONTron0.0723170.069215-4.29%0.055589-23.13%0.0570✗0.801.2M2022-06-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05570.053413-4.11%0.0375-32.68%0.0654✗1.211.6M2022-06-14
APEApeCoinEthereum9.1318.759-4.07%3.615-60.41%0.0030✓2.5694.8M2022-06-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.19430.186432-4.05%0.1105-43.13%0.1762✓1.004,0132022-06-14
PROPropyEthereum1.21.1541-3.82%0.93-22.50%0.0280✓0.70459k2022-06-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.409920.39452-3.76%0.27244-33.54%0.2016✗1.6530k2022-06-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2370.228662-3.52%0.216-8.86%0.4567✗1.483.7M2022-06-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6970.674831-3.18%0.402-42.32%0.0079✓1.4716k2022-06-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04850.04699-3.11%0.0391-19.38%0.1534✗0.978,2452022-06-14
NEXONEXOEthereum1.4011.3599-2.93%0.75-46.47%0.2483✓1.005.1M2022-06-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.13230.128494-2.88%0.0896-32.28%0.2951✗1.89694k2022-06-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4442650.431641-2.84%0.250986-43.51%0.0764✓1.346.1M2022-06-14
XYMSymbolnative0.07170.06981-2.64%0.050449-29.64%0.0698✓0.74568k2022-06-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9770.951323-2.63%0.593-39.30%0.0894✓1.11769k2022-06-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0092840.009054-2.48%0.00656-29.34%0.0289✗1.0124k2022-06-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.51271.477-2.36%1.8133+19.87%0.5742✗1.064.3M2022-06-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.3710.1414-2.20%8.22-20.73%0.3305✗1.565.9M2022-06-14
QTUMQtumQtum4.27084.1817-2.09%2.776-35.00%0.0079✓1.20135k2022-06-14
XEMNEMnative0.06670.065383-1.97%0.040001-40.03%0.0503✓1.27164k2022-06-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.49020.481151-1.85%0.3083-37.11%0.0312✓1.1914.3M2022-06-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.1121.7252-1.74%14.59-34.01%0.0395✗1.264.2M2022-06-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.9654.0978-1.57%53.965-1.81%0.3299✗0.961.8M2022-06-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1449860.142761-1.53%0.112638-22.31%0.1350✗1.0713.4M2022-06-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0929870.091626-1.46%0.05555-40.26%0.1154✓1.116.3M2022-06-14
DODODODOEthereum0.1690.16658-1.43%0.1351-20.06%0.2971✗1.464.3M2022-06-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0110.010854-1.32%0.00934-15.09%0.4270✗1.6643.3M2022-06-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028040.027704-1.20%0.018367-34.50%0.0589✓1.0226k2022-06-14
XMRMoneroMonero171.74169.7595-1.15%118.2-31.18%0.0042✓1.063.2M2022-06-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.056780.056173-1.07%0.04428-22.01%0.1101✗1.0025k2022-06-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9540.944533-0.99%0.71-25.58%0.2510✗1.557.6M2022-06-14
MANADecentralandEthereum1.33831.3255-0.96%0.82109-38.65%0.0461✗1.511.2M2022-06-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.014260.014127-0.93%0.00972-31.84%0.0049✓1.063.2M2022-06-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.1223.9018-0.90%14.07-41.67%0.0296✓1.443.4M2022-06-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00570.005651-0.85%0.00288-49.47%0.2380✓1.261.9M2022-06-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.433460.429805-0.84%0.29215-32.60%0.0537✗1.27223k2022-06-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8320.825149-0.82%0.822-1.20%0.3735✗1.093.2M2022-06-14
ADACardanoCardano0.5980.593147-0.81%0.4828-19.26%0.2459✗1.3048.2M2022-06-14
ZECZcashZcash112.6111.7176-0.78%64.06-43.11%0.1165✓1.275.3M2022-06-14
ZENHorizenBase22.121.9293-0.77%14.65-33.71%0.1222✗1.52167k2022-06-14
ETHEthereumEthereum2,142.692,126.28-0.77%1,207.58-43.64%0.2090✓1.03494.1M2022-06-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.09140.090706-0.76%0.058-36.54%0.0797✗1.523.6M2022-06-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71690.712232-0.65%0.6004-16.25%0.3163✗1.406.1M2022-06-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20210.200809-0.64%0.1597-20.98%0.2731✗1.45683k2022-06-14
KCSKuCoinnative14.50714.4175-0.62%11.914-17.87%0.1416✗0.964.1M2022-06-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.653.628-0.60%2.992-18.03%0.1617✗1.021.5M2022-06-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum15.7715.6767-0.59%8.06-48.89%0.2124✓1.31822k2022-06-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.85572.841-0.51%2.6493-7.23%0.4903✗1.629.1M2022-06-14
HIVEHivenative0.53390.531442-0.46%0.3572-33.10%0.0369✗1.251.5M2022-06-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.00774.9849-0.45%5.4+7.83%0.1710✗0.26285k2022-06-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.833.8128-0.45%2.79-27.15%0.0481✓0.76788k2022-06-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.5071.5003-0.45%0.731-51.49%0.2225✓1.436.6M2022-06-14
QNTQuantEthereum75.2174.8948-0.42%47.79-36.46%0.0895✓1.043.6M2022-06-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.18680.186028-0.41%0.127-32.01%0.1079✗1.41386k2022-06-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.5311.4834-0.40%11.75+1.91%0.5439✗1.50140k2022-06-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.21240.211723-0.32%0.13-38.79%0.1237✓1.052,6012022-06-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.51520.513828-0.27%0.3815-25.95%0.2152✗1.48307k2022-06-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.3190.318236-0.24%0.1768-44.58%0.1377✓1.30445k2022-06-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0740.073846-0.21%0.0475-35.81%0.0818✓1.04113k2022-06-14
FTTFTXEthereum32.6632.6018-0.18%23.96-26.64%0.0240✗0.9613.8M2022-06-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.30e-76.29e-7-0.17%3.77e-7-40.07%0.3189✓0.551.4M2022-06-14
MINAMina Protocolnative1.161.1586-0.12%0.655-43.53%0.0932✓1.38760k2022-06-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,290.0531,261.26-0.09%22,120.25-29.31%0.0009✗1.00672.6M2022-06-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.240.239816-0.08%0.1366-43.08%0.4174✓0.42448k2022-06-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6410.640749-0.04%0.338-47.27%0.2233✓1.2038k2022-06-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004490.004492+0.04%0.0032-28.73%0.0033✓0.9920k2022-06-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.28341.2842+0.06%0.963038-24.96%0.0808✓1.0698k2022-06-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0842.0864+0.11%1.3-37.62%0.2229✓2.01973k2022-06-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7730.774022+0.13%0.454-41.27%0.0206✗1.48338k2022-06-14
XECeCashnative0.000043080.000043143+0.15%0.00003807-11.63%0.3465✓1.366.2M2022-06-14
GTGateEthereum5.56745.5815+0.25%4.4459-20.14%0.0423✗0.535.0M2022-06-14
DASHDashDash63.0363.2176+0.30%43.47-31.03%0.0341✓1.181.1M2022-06-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.169.1879+0.30%5.468-40.31%0.0865✗1.257.4M2022-06-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017810.017883+0.41%0.01919+7.75%0.3242✓0.73400k2022-06-14
COMPCompoundEthereum74.8375.153+0.43%34.25-54.23%0.3120✗1.3730k2022-06-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.12580.126346+0.43%0.0943-25.04%0.1806✓1.361.2M2022-06-14
RADRadworksEthereum22.009+0.45%1.61-19.50%0.1366✓1.03350k2022-06-14
SCSiacoinnative0.005720.005747+0.47%0.00359-37.24%0.0407✓1.47403k2022-06-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,598.4910,654.20+0.53%4,887.88-53.88%0.3767✗1.162.8M2022-06-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.742.7545+0.53%3.96+44.53%0.7047✓0.99453k2022-06-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.07050.070924+0.60%0.0577-18.16%0.2004✓1.17405k2022-06-14
BANDBandEthereum1.8081.8204+0.69%1.453-19.63%0.2684✓1.42500k2022-06-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.046.0832+0.72%4.73-21.69%0.2283✓1.38572k2022-06-14
MOVRMoonriverBase25.57525.763+0.74%15.1911-40.60%0.0166✗1.48201k2022-06-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.10010.100874+0.77%0.0609-39.16%0.0775✓1.68239k2022-06-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.27570.277889+0.79%0.2016-26.88%0.1685✓1.41176k2022-06-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.66172.6829+0.80%1.9235-27.73%0.0938✓1.23166k2022-06-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.395.4331+0.80%6.53+21.15%0.4715✓0.831.3M2022-06-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,292.3031,546.29+0.81%22,084.60-29.42%0.0180✗0.9876k2022-06-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.51.5123+0.82%0.82-45.33%0.2361✗1.08140k2022-06-14
BTTCBTTC0.000001150.00000116+0.90%8.10e-7-29.57%0.0853✗0.797.8M2022-06-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03570.036028+0.92%0.0291-18.49%0.2519✓1.34174k2022-06-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13590.137158+0.93%0.0988-27.30%0.0031✓0.9519k2022-06-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14610.147526+0.98%0.1016-30.46%0.2007✓1.65109k2022-06-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.1220.123221+1.00%0.0951-22.05%0.2859✓1.571.7M2022-06-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.595350.601474+1.03%0.37199-37.52%0.0196✓1.4493k2022-06-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12990.131272+1.06%0.0982-24.40%0.1054✓1.141.1M2022-06-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.3712.5011+1.06%6.357-48.61%0.2033✗1.3620.1M2022-06-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.010450.010564+1.09%0.00686-34.35%0.1569✗0.79246k2022-06-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09070.091694+1.10%0.0643-29.11%0.0629✗0.84177k2022-06-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.229.3215+1.10%5.558-39.72%0.0316✗1.408.3M2022-06-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.6513.801+1.11%8.31-39.12%0.1900✗0.91564k2022-06-14
NANOnanopayBase1.18671.201+1.21%0.830219-30.04%0.0634✓1.25156k2022-06-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.414980.420021+1.21%0.46115+11.13%0.6745✓1.68331k2022-06-14
XTZTezosTezos1.9151.9391+1.26%1.4566-23.94%0.1510✓1.26971k2022-06-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.263.3022+1.29%4.03+23.62%0.5240✓0.94783k2022-06-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15160.15372+1.40%0.1259-16.95%0.3426✓1.566.2M2022-06-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.7911.9552+1.40%7.349-37.67%0.0372✗1.3012.5M2022-06-14
UMAUMAEthereum3.1323.1767+1.43%2.816-10.09%0.4553✓1.662.4M2022-06-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.399970.405744+1.44%0.24528-38.68%0.0181✓1.501.4M2022-06-14
CBKCobakEthereum1.2121.2297+1.46%0.81622-32.66%0.0630✗1.0024k2022-06-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.890.903218+1.49%0.69-22.47%0.2611✓1.53801k2022-06-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.995.0647+1.50%4.42-11.42%0.1570✓0.852.7M2022-06-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010190.010343+1.50%0.00658-35.43%0.0661✗1.111.2M2022-06-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7040.714855+1.54%0.515-26.85%0.2236✓1.591.7M2022-06-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0573.1041+1.54%1.854-39.35%0.0693✓1.696.7M2022-06-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.37450.380331+1.56%0.2666-28.81%0.0827✓1.268.8M2022-06-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.968.0864+1.59%6.713-15.67%0.2732✓1.3218.4M2022-06-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07510.076304+1.60%0.0559-25.57%0.3380✓1.87173k2022-06-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026940.027379+1.63%0.0204-24.28%0.0791✓1.08194k2022-06-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.542.582+1.65%3.49+37.40%0.6677✓1.06548k2022-06-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.19950.202806+1.66%0.1042-47.77%0.1296✗1.558.8M2022-06-14
SOLSolanaSolana58.8259.8024+1.67%29.54-49.78%0.2154✗1.4187.8M2022-06-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013040.000013262+1.70%0.00000819-37.19%0.0272✗1.311.2M2022-06-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26160.266099+1.72%0.1982-24.24%0.1388✓1.25280k2022-06-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3570.363153+1.72%0.26-27.17%0.0169✓1.011.1M2022-06-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.5871.6154+1.79%3.195+101.32%1.0158✓0.96779k2022-06-14
UNIUniswapEthereum5.455.5476+1.79%3.857-29.23%0.0522✓1.203.5M2022-06-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.571.5985+1.81%3.264+107.90%1.0716✓1.03683k2022-06-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.68761.7186+1.84%2.1251+25.92%0.5897✓1.092.5M2022-06-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040220.040976+1.88%0.02637-34.44%0.0300✓1.3694k2022-06-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.081.1006+1.90%1.63+50.93%0.6782✓0.82201k2022-06-14
STXStacksnative0.620.632684+2.05%0.3431-44.66%0.2211✗1.13314k2022-06-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.8441.883+2.11%3.625+96.58%0.9025✓0.711.9M2022-06-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0722.1178+2.21%1.177-43.19%0.0177✓1.6487k2022-06-14
ORCAOrcaSolana11.0221+2.21%0.62-38.00%0.1676✗0.96137k2022-06-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.063.1296+2.27%2.441-20.23%0.1103✓1.0396k2022-06-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.861.9024+2.28%1.33-28.49%0.2281✓1.69436k2022-06-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001410.001442+2.29%0.000824-41.56%0.0428✗1.493.7M2022-06-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.4121.4447+2.32%0.867-38.60%0.0845✓1.72665k2022-06-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.218660.223738+2.32%0.13793-36.92%0.0812✓1.63264k2022-06-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.4225+2.34%1-28.06%0.1561✓1.473.6M2022-06-14
KSMKusamaHydration80.5382.4226+2.35%51.18-36.45%0.0507✗1.231.2M2022-06-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.38030.38939+2.39%0.2234-41.26%0.1137✗1.2793k2022-06-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.9151.964+2.56%1.173-38.75%0.0166✓1.442.4M2022-06-14
DIADIAEthereum0.409670.420369+2.61%0.39753-2.96%0.2189✓0.7970k2022-06-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0125930.012925+2.64%0.014658+16.40%0.3847✓0.75198k2022-06-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin71.573.5261+2.83%46.1-35.52%0.0693✗1.1518.7M2022-06-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3280.337578+2.92%0.926+182.32%1.6105✓1.731.8M2022-06-14
XVGVergenative0.00530.005457+2.96%0.00303-42.83%0.1176✗1.36915k2022-06-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5280.543748+2.98%0.296-43.94%0.1065✗1.45891k2022-06-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche36.5437.6572+3.06%16.54-54.73%0.3204✗1.4546.9M2022-06-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4692.5514+3.34%2.283-7.53%0.4752✓1.6923k2022-06-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.522.6068+3.44%2.28-9.52%0.4656✓1.73378k2022-06-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0171630.017756+3.45%0.012422-27.62%0.0342✓1.134.2M2022-06-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash214.55222.2268+3.58%125.88-41.33%0.1787✗1.125.3M2022-06-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01730.017961+3.82%0.02014+16.42%0.8769✓2.2025.3M2022-06-14
XVSVenusEthereum5.015.218+4.15%4.19-16.37%0.2820✓1.452.8M2022-06-14
AAVEAaveEthereum92.0695.93+4.20%62.11-32.53%0.0826✓1.498.6M2022-06-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071630.074668+4.24%0.04722-34.08%0.0953✗1.0519k2022-06-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8873.0152+4.44%2.061-28.61%0.1539✓1.54245k2022-06-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.