8=======>

2022-05-14 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1383
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.27%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.8%
in alpha space · 19.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-25.23%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14290.15452+8.13%0.149+4.27%0.4193✓1.576.2M2022-06-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4960.53495+7.85%0.301-39.31%0.1537✗1.45869k2022-06-13
AAVEAaveEthereum86.4493.0779+7.68%59.74-30.89%0.0099✓1.497.8M2022-06-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.377370.404848+7.28%0.25822-31.57%0.0121✓1.501.4M2022-06-13
STXStacksnative0.560.599403+7.04%0.347-38.04%0.2255✗1.10296k2022-06-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.355799+6.85%0.256-23.12%0.0380✓1.001.1M2022-06-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.010010.010687+6.77%0.00733-26.77%0.1459✗0.80269k2022-06-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.64381.7549+6.76%2.0689+25.86%0.4828✓1.092.5M2022-06-13
DIADIAEthereum0.376460.401863+6.75%0.38009+0.96%0.1679✓0.7770k2022-06-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36470.388805+6.61%0.2205-39.54%0.1986✗1.2793k2022-06-13
XVGVergenative0.004770.00508+6.50%0.00303-36.48%0.1271✗1.34885k2022-06-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.118087+6.48%0.0926-16.50%0.2102✓1.561.7M2022-06-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.8391.9579+6.47%1.149-37.52%0.1155✗1.442.5M2022-06-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.9923.1804+6.30%1.997-33.26%0.0190✓1.672.4M2022-06-13
SCSiacoinnative0.005120.005437+6.19%0.00359-29.88%0.0074✓1.45403k2022-06-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152870.016229+6.16%0.01281-16.20%0.0854✓1.114.3M2022-06-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.42.5472+6.13%3.52+46.67%0.6283✓1.05548k2022-06-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068470.072641+6.09%0.04562-33.37%0.1619✗1.0419k2022-06-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015660.016604+6.03%0.01967+25.61%0.3694✓0.69400k2022-06-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos22.1202+6.01%1.145-42.75%0.1345✗1.6687k2022-06-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24970.264295+5.84%0.195-21.91%0.0585✓1.25292k2022-06-13
BANDBandEthereum1.7441.8447+5.78%1.318-24.43%0.0806✓1.43500k2022-06-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6210.655985+5.63%0.332-46.54%0.3326✗1.2040k2022-06-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003950.004172+5.62%0.00331-16.20%0.0452✓0.9519k2022-06-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5982.7426+5.56%2.042-21.40%0.1472✓1.52221k2022-06-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.547610.578047+5.56%0.37168-32.13%0.0258✓1.4393k2022-06-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.36845+5.48%0.2574-26.31%0.0057✓1.258.5M2022-06-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.085.3578+5.47%6.79+33.66%0.4744✓0.821.3M2022-06-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11710.123493+5.46%0.0991-15.37%0.0443✓0.9119k2022-06-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.231.2959+5.36%0.858-30.24%0.0777✓1.69582k2022-06-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.9279+5.35%1.29-29.51%0.0926✓1.70418k2022-06-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.19581.2598+5.35%0.939069-21.47%0.0124✓1.0598k2022-06-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0119920.012632+5.34%0.012961+8.08%0.2412✓0.74198k2022-06-13
HIVEHivenative0.50930.536414+5.32%0.3584-29.63%0.0404✓1.251.5M2022-06-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012570.000013237+5.30%0.00000802-36.20%0.1194✗1.311.3M2022-06-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03380.035582+5.27%0.0291-13.91%0.1884✓1.34179k2022-06-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.269726+5.16%0.1992-22.34%0.1039✓1.40180k2022-06-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.33181.4003+5.15%0.82849-37.79%0.0791✗1.531.1M2022-06-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90.945979+5.11%0.6-33.33%0.1845✗0.93137k2022-06-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.196760.206797+5.10%0.13259-32.61%0.0248✓1.61262k2022-06-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.09940.104358+4.99%0.0599-39.74%0.0604✗1.70215k2022-06-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.880.923674+4.96%0.68-22.73%0.1420✓1.54801k2022-06-13
COMPCompoundEthereum71.4574.9909+4.96%35.73-49.99%0.3440✗1.3730k2022-06-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7113.3255+4.84%8.14-35.96%0.2307✗0.90555k2022-06-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.64.8203+4.79%3.88-15.65%0.2034✓1.452.8M2022-06-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.572.6926+4.77%4.17+62.26%0.7211✓0.98453k2022-06-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.183.3315+4.76%4.2+32.08%0.5047✓0.94798k2022-06-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,210.4910,695.30+4.75%4,951.67-51.50%0.4320✗1.162.7M2022-06-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.20080.210285+4.72%0.1305-35.01%0.1745✗1.042,6012022-06-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7711.2756+4.69%6.495-39.69%0.1635✗1.3320.1M2022-06-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.06340.066365+4.68%0.0519-18.14%0.0870✓1.14415k2022-06-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8180.856051+4.65%0.776-5.13%0.2211✓1.103.3M2022-06-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01710.017888+4.61%0.01829+6.96%0.6718✓2.2325.3M2022-06-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8570.896215+4.58%0.7-18.32%0.1970✓1.537.6M2022-06-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.417580.436645+4.57%0.28493-31.77%0.0573✗1.27199k2022-06-13
XMRMoneroMonero153.49160.4974+4.57%132.56-13.64%0.1087✓1.033.2M2022-06-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27590.2883+4.49%0.1607-41.75%0.2173✗1.26463k2022-06-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.257.5726+4.45%5.917-18.39%0.1341✓1.3118.3M2022-06-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.582.6948+4.45%2.19-15.12%0.3038✓1.76378k2022-06-13
KSMKusamaHydration74.377.5831+4.42%46.08-37.98%0.1671✗1.221.2M2022-06-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07140.074525+4.38%0.0561-21.43%0.2635✓1.88176k2022-06-13
GTGateEthereum5.55515.7963+4.34%4.2445-23.59%0.1551✗0.544.9M2022-06-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13750.143439+4.32%0.1013-26.33%0.1339✓1.66109k2022-06-13
SOLSolanaSolana52.3754.6176+4.29%28.58-45.43%0.2424✗1.3987.4M2022-06-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.533.6763+4.14%2.75-22.10%0.0757✗0.74777k2022-06-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.19240.200369+4.14%0.1066-44.59%0.1795✗1.558.6M2022-06-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08790.091501+4.10%0.0654-25.60%0.0909✗0.84169k2022-06-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7430.773347+4.08%0.447-39.84%0.1164✗1.48357k2022-06-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004710.004901+4.06%0.00285-39.49%0.1914✗1.211.8M2022-06-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0893580.092965+4.04%0.054172-39.38%0.2178✗1.116.3M2022-06-13
UNIUniswapEthereum5.175.378+4.02%3.662-29.17%0.0359✓1.203.6M2022-06-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7532.8628+3.99%1.912-30.55%0.0831✓1.677.4M2022-06-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.531.5904+3.95%3.225+110.78%1.0088✓1.04683k2022-06-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3050.316909+3.90%0.941+208.52%1.5926✓1.731.8M2022-06-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.9215.502+3.90%8.36-43.97%0.2378✗1.31822k2022-06-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64010.665045+3.90%0.5649-11.75%0.2401✓1.396.1M2022-06-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.311.3606+3.86%0.97-25.95%0.0873✓1.463.6M2022-06-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.73262.8377+3.85%2.313-15.36%0.2673✓1.628.0M2022-06-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009440.009803+3.84%0.00632-33.05%0.1197✗1.101.1M2022-06-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47580.493948+3.81%0.3765-20.87%0.1564✓1.47307k2022-06-13
MOVRMoonriverBase22.493223.3482+3.80%14.6487-34.87%0.0452✗1.45195k2022-06-13
NANOnanopayBase1.15951.2034+3.78%0.845884-27.05%0.0130✓1.26161k2022-06-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11980.124327+3.78%0.0914-23.71%0.0185✓1.121.1M2022-06-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche33.8935.1633+3.76%16.09-52.52%0.3615✗1.4545.0M2022-06-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6411.0387+3.75%11.71+10.06%0.4928✓1.49136k2022-06-13
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0921.1325+3.71%0.662-39.38%0.1337✗1.39760k2022-06-13
QNTQuantEthereum72.1174.7712+3.69%49.66-31.13%0.1083✗1.033.6M2022-06-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.11710.121375+3.65%0.0945-19.30%0.1448✓1.361.2M2022-06-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053370.05531+3.63%0.04329-18.89%0.0437✓0.9925k2022-06-13
DASHDashDash60.8663.0625+3.62%42.59-30.02%0.0484✗1.181.1M2022-06-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026460.027417+3.62%0.018258-31.00%0.1127✗1.0126k2022-06-13
XECeCashnative0.000042570.000044073+3.53%0.00003827-10.10%0.2582✓1.376.5M2022-06-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4472.5322+3.48%2.0821-14.91%0.3005✓1.7123k2022-06-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.891.9556+3.47%1.52-19.58%0.0452✓1.02381k2022-06-13
AVTAventusEthereum0.950.982452+3.42%1.61+69.47%0.7233✓0.79201k2022-06-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.013760.014226+3.39%0.00905-34.23%0.1436✗1.063.2M2022-06-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.58e-75.76e-7+3.33%3.58e-7-35.81%0.3255✗0.521.4M2022-06-13
XEMNEMnative0.05680.058677+3.30%0.039006-31.33%0.0510✗1.23164k2022-06-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038980.040255+3.27%0.02635-32.40%0.0273✓1.3694k2022-06-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.421.4649+3.16%0.88-38.03%0.1955✗1.08140k2022-06-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.2811.6334+3.13%7.032-37.66%0.1263✗1.3012.2M2022-06-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.12070.124351+3.03%0.0833-30.99%0.1449✓1.88694k2022-06-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,041.8830,949.76+3.02%22,460.97-25.23%0.0298✓1.00672.6M2022-06-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.135.2833+2.99%4.54-11.50%0.1012✓0.872.7M2022-06-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0193.1086+2.97%2.414-20.04%0.0511✓1.0596k2022-06-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1580.16261+2.92%0.136-13.92%0.2443✓1.454.4M2022-06-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20080.206618+2.90%0.1611-19.77%0.1774✓1.47649k2022-06-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08660.089059+2.84%0.0508-41.34%0.1171✗1.533.6M2022-06-13
ADACardanoCardano0.53710.552288+2.83%0.4636-13.68%0.1975✓1.2846.3M2022-06-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.8170.7218+2.78%43.45-36.86%0.1538✗1.1518.2M2022-06-13
ZECZcashZcash105.67108.5943+2.77%65.48-38.03%0.1377✗1.275.3M2022-06-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.1411.1725+2.76%0.80971-29.04%0.0829✗0.9924k2022-06-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28640.294181+2.72%0.1335-53.39%0.6507✗0.48458k2022-06-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.630.646983+2.70%0.493-21.75%0.1833✓1.571.7M2022-06-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.538.7542+2.63%5.442-36.20%0.0697✗1.408.0M2022-06-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.18290.187689+2.62%0.1272-30.45%0.0258✓1.43375k2022-06-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash208.47213.9197+2.61%126.93-39.11%0.1943✗1.135.3M2022-06-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.635.7751+2.58%4.53-19.54%0.1577✓1.38572k2022-06-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001340.001374+2.57%0.000828-38.21%0.0744✗1.493.8M2022-06-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024960.025587+2.51%0.01883-24.56%0.0020✓1.06202k2022-06-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.4630.474553+2.50%0.3039-34.36%0.1001✗1.1914.3M2022-06-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.5141.5509+2.44%3.286+117.04%1.0285✓0.95779k2022-06-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.58832.6507+2.41%1.8846-27.19%0.0178✓1.23173k2022-06-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.48951.5251+2.39%1.7211+15.55%0.4342✓1.084.3M2022-06-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04610.047167+2.31%0.03724-19.22%0.0445✓0.978,2452022-06-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9380.959047+2.24%0.599-36.14%0.1486✗1.11769k2022-06-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1381110.141132+2.19%0.106761-22.70%0.0319✓1.0713.6M2022-06-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07290.074475+2.16%0.048-34.16%0.1367✗1.04115k2022-06-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.88.9889+2.15%5.329-39.44%0.1595✗1.257.4M2022-06-13
FTTFTXEthereum31.5332.2005+2.13%24.51-22.26%0.0059✓0.9615.2M2022-06-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001110.000001133+2.10%8.10e-7-27.03%0.1068✗0.797.9M2022-06-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.7811.8157+1.95%3.335+87.25%0.8149✓0.711.9M2022-06-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.9755.0058+1.92%46.677-13.51%0.1167✓0.971.8M2022-06-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8271.86+1.80%1.255-31.31%0.1812✓1.98973k2022-06-13
XTZTezosTezos1.83041.8618+1.72%1.4008-23.47%0.0828✓1.26878k2022-06-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum22.422.7816+1.70%13.49-39.78%0.1078✗1.433.5M2022-06-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.351630.356994+1.53%0.45073+28.18%0.7073✓1.63331k2022-06-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.0521.3558+1.45%14.4-31.59%0.0286✗1.264.2M2022-06-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010130.010261+1.29%0.00971-4.15%0.4252✓1.6543.3M2022-06-13
KCSKuCoinnative12.96813.1344+1.28%11.706-9.73%0.1562✓0.934.1M2022-06-13
ZENHorizenBase21.2121.4777+1.26%14.12-33.43%0.0238✓1.52167k2022-06-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6350.64267+1.21%0.392-38.27%0.0724✗1.4517k2022-06-13
ETHEthereumEthereum2,053.332,077.55+1.18%1,207.82-41.18%0.2430✗1.03494.1M2022-06-13
XYMSymbolnative0.06970.070515+1.17%0.0486-30.27%0.1577✗0.74568k2022-06-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0093150.009423+1.15%0.00763-18.09%0.0882✓1.0327k2022-06-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,968.5030,291.95+1.08%22,471.70-25.02%0.0154✗0.9768k2022-06-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.4131.4281+1.07%0.718-49.19%0.2707✗1.436.6M2022-06-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.7313.7586+0.74%3.092-17.13%0.1083✓1.041.5M2022-06-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4175280.41977+0.54%0.252041-39.63%0.1217✗1.346.1M2022-06-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.10784.1199+0.30%2.7762-32.42%0.0436✗1.21135k2022-06-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.399530.400172+0.16%0.25719-35.63%0.0467✓1.6832k2022-06-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.065.0671+0.14%5.3088+4.92%0.1250✓0.27285k2022-06-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73291.7318-0.06%1.2396-28.47%0.0231✗1.239.6M2022-06-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.227664-0.15%0.189-17.11%0.2449✗1.484.0M2022-06-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04720.046929-0.57%0.0358-24.15%0.0668✗1.161.5M2022-06-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.629.5559-0.67%8.03-16.53%0.2779✗1.555.9M2022-06-13
APEApeCoinEthereum8.6468.5823-0.74%3.485-59.69%0.1425✓2.6194.8M2022-06-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.67441.6617-0.76%1.0426-37.73%0.2814✓0.6416k2022-06-13
PROPropyEthereum1.111.0938-1.46%0.9-18.92%0.0041✓0.68470k2022-06-13
GMTGMTEthereum1.5331.5079-1.64%0.591-61.45%0.6458✓1.008.1M2022-06-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1211.093-2.50%1.458+30.06%0.6830✗1.3614.9M2022-06-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3571.3106-3.42%0.778-42.67%0.2307✓1.005.2M2022-06-13
TRXTRONTron0.072360.069666-3.72%0.063701-11.97%0.1455✗0.811.1M2022-06-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0740.070678-4.49%0.04897-33.82%0.0761✓1.003.8M2022-06-13
STEEMSteemnative0.25420.241238-5.10%0.1835-27.81%0.0172✓1.002.1M2022-06-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000460.000022902-99.73%0.00006043-86.86%4.7534✓2.938.4M2022-06-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.