8=======>

2022-05-14 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1480
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+31.34%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.4%
in alpha space · 36.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-25.23%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000460.000056591-87.70%0.00006043-86.86%0.9167✓2.938.4M2022-06-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1211.0365-7.54%1.458+30.06%0.7360✗1.3614.9M2022-06-13
STEEMSteemnative0.25420.235997-7.16%0.1835-27.81%0.0392✓1.002.1M2022-06-13
GMTGMTEthereum1.5331.4422-5.92%0.591-61.45%0.6013✓1.008.1M2022-06-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0740.069875-5.57%0.04897-33.82%0.0647✓1.003.8M2022-06-13
TRXTRONTron0.072360.069397-4.09%0.063701-11.97%0.1494✗0.811.1M2022-06-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73291.6687-3.70%1.2396-28.47%0.0602✗1.239.6M2022-06-13
APEApeCoinEthereum8.6468.3585-3.33%3.485-59.69%0.1161✓2.6194.8M2022-06-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.67441.6224-3.10%1.0426-37.73%0.2575✓0.6416k2022-06-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.399530.387218-3.08%0.25719-35.63%0.0796✗1.6832k2022-06-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3571.3205-2.69%0.778-42.67%0.2382✓1.005.2M2022-06-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.222145-2.57%0.189-17.11%0.2694✗1.484.0M2022-06-13
PROPropyEthereum1.111.0828-2.45%0.9-18.92%0.0142✓0.68470k2022-06-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04610.044979-2.43%0.03724-19.22%0.0920✗0.978,2452022-06-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0093150.009109-2.22%0.00763-18.09%0.1221✗1.0327k2022-06-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04720.04619-2.14%0.0358-24.15%0.0827✗1.161.5M2022-06-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6350.622649-1.95%0.392-38.27%0.0408✓1.4517k2022-06-13
XYMSymbolnative0.06970.068371-1.91%0.0486-30.27%0.1269✓0.74568k2022-06-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9380.920512-1.86%0.599-36.14%0.1076✓1.11769k2022-06-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4175280.410978-1.57%0.252041-39.63%0.1005✓1.346.1M2022-06-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.48951.4677-1.46%1.7211+15.55%0.4725✗1.084.3M2022-06-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.12070.118945-1.45%0.0833-30.99%0.1893✗1.88694k2022-06-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.10784.056-1.26%2.7762-32.42%0.0280✓1.21135k2022-06-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.629.5044-1.20%8.03-16.53%0.2833✗1.555.9M2022-06-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.9753.3538-1.14%46.677-13.51%0.1472✗0.971.8M2022-06-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.0520.8115-1.13%14.4-31.59%0.0028✓1.264.2M2022-06-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28640.283193-1.12%0.1335-53.39%0.6126✓0.48458k2022-06-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1381110.136827-0.93%0.106761-22.70%0.0629✗1.0713.6M2022-06-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.4630.45896-0.87%0.3039-34.36%0.0666✓1.1914.3M2022-06-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8180.812506-0.67%0.776-5.13%0.2733✗1.103.3M2022-06-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.065.0262-0.67%5.3088+4.92%0.1330✗0.27285k2022-06-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.7313.71-0.56%3.092-17.13%0.1213✗1.041.5M2022-06-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.33181.3244-0.56%0.82849-37.79%0.0234✓1.531.1M2022-06-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0893580.088862-0.55%0.054172-39.38%0.1727✓1.116.3M2022-06-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053370.053203-0.31%0.04329-18.89%0.0825✗0.9925k2022-06-13
ETHEthereumEthereum2,053.332,047.13-0.30%1,207.82-41.18%0.2282✓1.03494.1M2022-06-13
XEMNEMnative0.05680.056647-0.27%0.039006-31.33%0.0158✓1.23164k2022-06-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20080.200304-0.25%0.1611-19.77%0.2085✗1.47649k2022-06-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1580.157673-0.21%0.136-13.92%0.2752✗1.454.4M2022-06-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010130.01011-0.20%0.00971-4.15%0.4400✗1.6543.3M2022-06-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.73262.7274-0.19%2.313-15.36%0.3069✗1.628.0M2022-06-13
ZECZcashZcash105.67105.5277-0.13%65.48-38.03%0.1090✓1.275.3M2022-06-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.013760.013743-0.12%0.00905-34.23%0.1090✓1.063.2M2022-06-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64010.6395-0.09%0.5649-11.75%0.2793✗1.396.1M2022-06-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026460.026438-0.08%0.018258-31.00%0.0763✓1.0126k2022-06-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.417580.41748-0.02%0.28493-31.77%0.0124✓1.27199k2022-06-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08660.086589-0.01%0.0508-41.34%0.0890✓1.533.6M2022-06-13
ZENHorizenBase21.2121.2347+0.12%14.12-33.43%0.0352✓1.52167k2022-06-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8570.858048+0.12%0.7-18.32%0.2405✓1.537.6M2022-06-13
HIVEHivenative0.50930.51038+0.21%0.3584-29.63%0.0094✓1.251.5M2022-06-13
KCSKuCoinnative12.96812.9992+0.24%11.706-9.73%0.1666✓0.934.1M2022-06-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.9214.958+0.25%8.36-43.97%0.2021✗1.31822k2022-06-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.533.5401+0.29%2.75-22.10%0.0380✗0.74777k2022-06-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum22.422.4681+0.30%13.49-39.78%0.0939✗1.433.5M2022-06-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.18290.183642+0.41%0.1272-30.45%0.0476✓1.43375k2022-06-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07290.07321+0.43%0.048-34.16%0.1196✗1.04115k2022-06-13
XECeCashnative0.000042570.000042757+0.44%0.00003827-10.10%0.2885✓1.376.5M2022-06-13
QNTQuantEthereum72.1172.4715+0.50%49.66-31.13%0.0770✗1.033.6M2022-06-13
GTGateEthereum5.55515.5843+0.53%4.2445-23.59%0.1178✗0.544.9M2022-06-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.20080.201908+0.55%0.1305-35.01%0.1339✗1.042,6012022-06-13
XMRMoneroMonero153.49154.468+0.64%132.56-13.64%0.1469✓1.033.2M2022-06-13
FTTFTXEthereum31.5331.7508+0.70%24.51-22.26%0.0200✓0.9615.2M2022-06-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.19581.2044+0.72%0.939069-21.47%0.0574✓1.0598k2022-06-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.4131.4232+0.72%0.718-49.19%0.2672✗1.436.6M2022-06-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,041.8830,262.36+0.73%22,460.97-25.23%0.0073✓1.00672.6M2022-06-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27590.278178+0.83%0.1607-41.75%0.1816✗1.26463k2022-06-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6410.7285+0.83%11.71+10.06%0.5213✓1.49136k2022-06-13
ADACardanoCardano0.53710.541675+0.85%0.4636-13.68%0.2169✓1.2846.3M2022-06-13
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0921.1018+0.89%0.662-39.38%0.1062✗1.39760k2022-06-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004710.004753+0.91%0.00285-39.49%0.1608✗1.211.8M2022-06-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015660.015817+1.00%0.01967+25.61%0.4180✓0.69400k2022-06-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6210.627255+1.01%0.332-46.54%0.2878✗1.2040k2022-06-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7430.750491+1.01%0.447-39.84%0.0864✗1.48357k2022-06-13
DASHDashDash60.8661.4766+1.01%42.59-30.02%0.0229✗1.181.1M2022-06-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003950.003991+1.03%0.00331-16.20%0.0897✓0.9519k2022-06-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.88.8933+1.06%5.329-39.44%0.1488✗1.257.4M2022-06-13
COMPCompoundEthereum71.4572.2108+1.06%35.73-49.99%0.3062✗1.3730k2022-06-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.572.5978+1.08%4.17+62.26%0.7570✓0.98453k2022-06-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.09940.100542+1.15%0.0599-39.74%0.0231✗1.70215k2022-06-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.58e-75.64e-7+1.15%3.58e-7-35.81%0.3042✗0.521.4M2022-06-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47580.481283+1.15%0.3765-20.87%0.1824✓1.47307k2022-06-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8271.8482+1.16%1.255-31.31%0.1876✓1.98973k2022-06-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.635.7061+1.35%4.53-19.54%0.1697✓1.38572k2022-06-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.58832.6234+1.35%1.8846-27.19%0.0282✓1.23173k2022-06-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.421.4395+1.37%0.88-38.03%0.1780✗1.08140k2022-06-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.085.1543+1.46%6.79+33.66%0.5131✓0.821.3M2022-06-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.891.9181+1.49%1.52-19.58%0.0646✓1.02381k2022-06-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.11710.118869+1.51%0.0945-19.30%0.1657✓1.361.2M2022-06-13
BANDBandEthereum1.7441.7704+1.51%1.318-24.43%0.1218✓1.43500k2022-06-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,968.5030,422.62+1.52%22,471.70-25.02%0.0197✗0.9768k2022-06-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001110.000001128+1.60%8.10e-7-27.03%0.1018✗0.797.9M2022-06-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,210.4910,374.47+1.61%4,951.67-51.50%0.4015✗1.162.7M2022-06-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.183.2313+1.61%4.2+32.08%0.5352✓0.94798k2022-06-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11980.121877+1.73%0.0914-23.71%0.0384✓1.121.1M2022-06-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13750.139972+1.80%0.1013-26.33%0.1584✓1.66109k2022-06-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14290.14559+1.88%0.149+4.27%0.4789✓1.576.2M2022-06-13
NANOnanopayBase1.15951.1815+1.89%0.845884-27.05%0.0314✓1.26161k2022-06-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.5141.5427+1.90%3.286+117.04%1.0338✓0.95779k2022-06-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.42.4456+1.90%3.52+46.67%0.6690✓1.05548k2022-06-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.06340.064647+1.97%0.0519-18.14%0.1132✓1.14415k2022-06-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.377370.384847+1.98%0.25822-31.57%0.0386✓1.501.4M2022-06-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.261607+1.99%0.1992-22.34%0.1345✓1.40180k2022-06-13
XTZTezosTezos1.83041.8671+2.01%1.4008-23.47%0.0799✓1.26878k2022-06-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03380.034483+2.02%0.0291-13.91%0.2197✓1.34179k2022-06-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.547610.55887+2.06%0.37168-32.13%0.0080✓1.4393k2022-06-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.880.898642+2.12%0.68-22.73%0.1695✓1.54801k2022-06-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.135.2387+2.12%4.54-11.50%0.1097✓0.872.7M2022-06-13
SCSiacoinnative0.005120.005229+2.12%0.00359-29.88%0.0464✓1.45403k2022-06-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.9923.0557+2.13%1.997-33.26%0.0590✓1.672.4M2022-06-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08790.089777+2.14%0.0654-25.60%0.0719✗0.84169k2022-06-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.2811.5246+2.17%7.032-37.66%0.1169✗1.3012.2M2022-06-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7112.9868+2.18%8.14-35.96%0.2050✗0.90555k2022-06-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.010010.01023+2.20%0.00733-26.77%0.1021✗0.80269k2022-06-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.357068+2.22%0.2574-26.31%0.0371✓1.258.5M2022-06-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012570.00001285+2.23%0.00000802-36.20%0.0898✗1.311.3M2022-06-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.351630.359596+2.27%0.45073+28.18%0.7001✓1.63331k2022-06-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07140.073064+2.33%0.0561-21.43%0.2833✓1.88176k2022-06-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.1411.1676+2.33%0.80971-29.04%0.0787✗0.9924k2022-06-13
MOVRMoonriverBase22.493223.0265+2.37%14.6487-34.87%0.0313✗1.45195k2022-06-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024960.025554+2.38%0.01883-24.56%0.0033✓1.06202k2022-06-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.531.5671+2.42%3.225+110.78%1.0236✓1.04683k2022-06-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.19240.197101+2.44%0.1066-44.59%0.1631✗1.558.6M2022-06-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24970.255883+2.48%0.195-21.91%0.0909✓1.25292k2022-06-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.113673+2.50%0.0926-16.50%0.2483✓1.561.7M2022-06-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.64381.6851+2.51%2.0689+25.86%0.5234✓1.092.5M2022-06-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.8786+2.66%1.29-29.51%0.1186✓1.70418k2022-06-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11710.120217+2.66%0.0991-15.37%0.0712✓0.9119k2022-06-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.538.7611+2.71%5.442-36.20%0.0704✗1.408.0M2022-06-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.7811.8299+2.75%3.335+87.25%0.8072✓0.711.9M2022-06-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0193.1021+2.75%2.414-20.04%0.0532✓1.0596k2022-06-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001340.001378+2.81%0.000828-38.21%0.0768✗1.493.8M2022-06-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.342411+2.83%0.256-23.12%0.0003✓1.001.1M2022-06-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009440.009709+2.85%0.00632-33.05%0.1100✗1.101.1M2022-06-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7711.0808+2.89%6.495-39.69%0.1461✗1.3320.1M2022-06-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.630.648318+2.91%0.493-21.75%0.1813✓1.571.7M2022-06-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038980.040118+2.92%0.02635-32.40%0.0239✓1.3694k2022-06-13
UNIUniswapEthereum5.175.3233+2.96%3.662-29.17%0.0257✓1.203.6M2022-06-13
AVTAventusEthereum0.950.978338+2.98%1.61+69.47%0.7275✓0.79201k2022-06-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.196760.202662+3.00%0.13259-32.61%0.0450✓1.61262k2022-06-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.257.468+3.01%5.917-18.39%0.1480✓1.3118.3M2022-06-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90.927299+3.03%0.6-33.33%0.1645✗0.93137k2022-06-13
KSMKusamaHydration74.376.6038+3.10%46.08-37.98%0.1544✗1.221.2M2022-06-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7532.8392+3.13%1.912-30.55%0.0913✓1.677.4M2022-06-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.8391.8979+3.20%1.149-37.52%0.0843✗1.442.5M2022-06-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.311.3529+3.27%0.97-25.95%0.0930✓1.463.6M2022-06-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos22.0663+3.31%1.145-42.75%0.1088✗1.6687k2022-06-13
SOLSolanaSolana52.3754.1294+3.36%28.58-45.43%0.2334✗1.3987.4M2022-06-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36470.376989+3.37%0.2205-39.54%0.1677✗1.2793k2022-06-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.8171.1307+3.37%43.45-36.86%0.1596✗1.1518.2M2022-06-13
STXStacksnative0.560.579219+3.43%0.347-38.04%0.1912✗1.10296k2022-06-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3050.315611+3.48%0.941+208.52%1.5967✓1.731.8M2022-06-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0119920.012413+3.51%0.012961+8.08%0.2588✓0.74198k2022-06-13
DIADIAEthereum0.376460.390945+3.85%0.38009+0.96%0.1954✓0.7770k2022-06-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4960.515119+3.85%0.301-39.31%0.1159✗1.45869k2022-06-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche33.8935.2267+3.94%16.09-52.52%0.3633✗1.4545.0M2022-06-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.231.2791+3.99%0.858-30.24%0.0907✓1.69582k2022-06-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.582.684+4.03%2.19-15.12%0.3078✓1.76378k2022-06-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4472.5472+4.09%2.0821-14.91%0.2946✓1.7123k2022-06-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash208.47217.043+4.11%126.93-39.11%0.2088✗1.135.3M2022-06-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01710.017825+4.24%0.01829+6.96%0.6753✓2.2325.3M2022-06-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152870.015974+4.49%0.01281-16.20%0.1013✓1.114.3M2022-06-13
XVGVergenative0.004770.004993+4.67%0.00303-36.48%0.1098✗1.34885k2022-06-13
AAVEAaveEthereum86.4490.8134+5.06%59.74-30.89%0.0147✓1.497.8M2022-06-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068470.07194+5.07%0.04562-33.37%0.1522✗1.0419k2022-06-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.64.8528+5.50%3.88-15.65%0.1966✓1.452.8M2022-06-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5982.7475+5.75%2.042-21.40%0.1454✓1.52221k2022-06-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.