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2022-05-13 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0786
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.75%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.0%
in alpha space · 31.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.16%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XVSVenusEthereum4.244.513+6.44%4.29+1.18%0.0870✓1.432.9M2022-06-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.064240.068246+6.24%0.05792-9.84%0.0650✗1.0319k2022-06-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4962.6508+6.20%2.189-12.30%0.0456✓1.52216k2022-06-12
AAVEAaveEthereum82.2886.802+5.50%70.3-14.56%0.0679✗1.498.6M2022-06-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.312.4336+5.35%2.42+4.76%0.1615✓1.74378k2022-06-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0145860.015334+5.13%0.012288-15.75%0.1157✗1.104.4M2022-06-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32.4132+4.92%2.4285+5.59%0.1697✓1.7023k2022-06-12
XVGVergenative0.004720.004949+4.85%0.00342-27.54%0.2403✗1.35885k2022-06-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14830.155351+4.75%0.1114-24.88%0.1890✗1.498.1M2022-06-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01640.017147+4.56%0.01815+10.67%0.2717✓2.2426.5M2022-06-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche32.1733.6134+4.49%17.27-46.32%0.5275✗1.4445.0M2022-06-12
STXStacksnative0.520.542851+4.39%0.4189-19.44%0.1544✗1.09274k2022-06-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash201.94210.7836+4.38%145.97-27.72%0.2593✗1.135.3M2022-06-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1941.2456+4.32%0.979-18.01%0.0788✗1.69582k2022-06-12
SOLSolanaSolana48.8950.9861+4.29%30.56-37.49%0.3788✗1.3987.4M2022-06-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035180.036668+4.23%0.02929-16.74%0.0954✗1.3594k2022-06-12
AVTAventusEthereum0.830.86484+4.20%1.69+103.61%0.7426✓0.76204k2022-06-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9482.0298+4.20%1.246-36.04%0.3286✗1.6699k2022-06-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4870.506981+4.10%0.489+0.41%0.1086✓1.511.7M2022-06-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6072.7118+4.02%2.216-15.00%0.0414✗1.677.7M2022-06-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.621.6841+3.96%1.185-26.85%0.2159✗1.412.5M2022-06-12
DIADIAEthereum0.376820.391663+3.94%0.42327+12.33%0.1518✓0.7770k2022-06-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.310.702+3.90%7.06-31.46%0.2881✗1.3320.9M2022-06-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2830.293705+3.78%1.13+299.29%1.5131✓1.731.8M2022-06-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin67.7870.2638+3.66%47.86-29.39%0.2735✗1.1517.8M2022-06-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4990.517167+3.64%0.34-31.86%0.2792✗1.46869k2022-06-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.137.388+3.62%6.26-12.20%0.0395✗1.3119.6M2022-06-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3750.388526+3.61%0.25-33.33%0.3178✗1.2893k2022-06-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.792.8897+3.57%2.7-3.23%0.0311✓1.0390k2022-06-12
SCSiacoinnative0.004660.004816+3.35%0.00405-13.09%0.0352✗1.44403k2022-06-12
KSMKusamaHydration73.8476.2796+3.30%50.78-31.23%0.2895✗1.221.2M2022-06-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.228083+3.30%0.2317+4.94%0.1331✓1.22292k2022-06-12
UNIUniswapEthereum5.135.2991+3.30%4.054-20.97%0.1522✗1.203.9M2022-06-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.661.7143+3.27%1.34-19.28%0.0845✗1.69399k2022-06-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.890.918757+3.23%0.66-25.84%0.2412✗0.93137k2022-06-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.23340.240766+3.16%0.2316-0.77%0.0928✓1.37180k2022-06-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.05730.059107+3.15%0.063+9.95%0.1719✓1.13415k2022-06-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.4338+3.15%1.13-18.71%0.0952✗1.494.1M2022-06-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31590.325799+3.13%0.2816-10.86%0.0273✓1.238.5M2022-06-12
CBKCobakEthereum1.0561.0887+3.10%0.998-5.49%0.0065✓0.9725k2022-06-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.4410.763+3.09%7.393-29.19%0.2521✗1.2911.9M2022-06-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001320.001361+3.08%0.000825-37.50%0.3571✗1.493.8M2022-06-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.4461.4903+3.06%3.294+127.80%0.8920✓1.03714k2022-06-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.820.845092+3.06%0.71-13.41%0.0269✓1.53815k2022-06-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.195840.20176+3.02%0.15043-23.19%0.1379✗1.62250k2022-06-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.013310.013709+3.00%0.012724-4.40%0.0004✓0.77200k2022-06-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.865.0036+2.95%4.64-4.53%0.0072✓0.862.7M2022-06-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07140.07349+2.93%0.0657-7.98%0.0706✓1.90177k2022-06-12
NANOnanopayBase1.07641.1075+2.89%0.911103-15.35%0.0756✗1.25161k2022-06-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.153387+2.88%0.1443-3.22%0.0718✓1.38372k2022-06-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009530.009802+2.85%0.00687-27.91%0.2491✗1.111.0M2022-06-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7113.0717+2.85%9.32-26.67%0.2512✗0.91555k2022-06-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.499640.513732+2.82%0.42173-15.59%0.0614✗1.4291k2022-06-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023990.024665+2.81%0.02308-3.79%0.0351✓1.06214k2022-06-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.831.8815+2.81%3.675+100.82%0.7390✓0.721.8M2022-06-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.61191.6572+2.81%2.083+29.23%0.3339✓1.102.5M2022-06-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.126138+2.80%0.1199-2.28%0.1055✓1.63109k2022-06-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08720.089627+2.78%0.0788-9.63%0.0476✗0.85169k2022-06-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.11020.113246+2.76%0.1-9.26%0.0262✓1.571.8M2022-06-12
XTZTezosTezos1.76611.8147+2.75%1.6356-7.39%0.0172✓1.26878k2022-06-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.340.349362+2.75%0.51439+51.29%0.5434✓1.63351k2022-06-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12230.12563+2.72%0.1072-12.35%0.0698✗0.9319k2022-06-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03290.03378+2.68%0.03-8.81%0.0100✓1.34189k2022-06-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.350770.359966+2.62%0.28555-18.59%0.0880✗1.491.4M2022-06-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.9132.9889+2.61%2.296-21.18%0.1034✗1.672.4M2022-06-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009850.010105+2.59%0.00818-16.95%0.1351✗0.79246k2022-06-12
MOVRMoonriverBase22.637623.2052+2.51%15.5809-31.17%0.2584✗1.46195k2022-06-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.764.8781+2.48%5.1+7.14%0.1733✓1.34629k2022-06-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3440.352155+2.37%0.277-19.48%0.1425✗1.021.1M2022-06-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,926.0510,157.71+2.33%6,006.74-39.49%0.4137✗1.162.6M2022-06-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.399.605+2.29%12.2+29.93%0.3802✓1.47134k2022-06-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1120.114558+2.28%0.0974-13.04%0.0556✗1.111.1M2022-06-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.3241.3542+2.28%3.026+128.55%0.8929✓0.92826k2022-06-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.09170.093748+2.23%0.0573-37.51%0.3301✗1.69215k2022-06-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.279.4762+2.22%5.636-39.20%0.3826✗1.438.0M2022-06-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6090.622293+2.18%0.373-38.75%0.3967✗1.2042k2022-06-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6720.68657+2.17%0.49-27.08%0.1963✗1.47344k2022-06-12
MANADecentralandEthereum1.0221.044+2.16%0.78892-22.80%0.1387✗1.47970k2022-06-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.47832.5316+2.15%2.1474-13.35%0.0463✗1.23177k2022-06-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.1110.113374+2.14%0.0972-12.43%0.0239✗1.351.2M2022-06-12
RADRadworksEthereum1.781.8165+2.05%1.72-3.37%0.0426✓1.01381k2022-06-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.322.3666+2.01%3.55+53.02%0.5059✓1.05553k2022-06-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,332.5029,920.86+2.01%26,697.30-8.98%0.0203✗0.9858k2022-06-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.874.9671+1.99%6.62+35.93%0.3649✓0.811.3M2022-06-12
BANDBandEthereum1.721.754+1.98%1.417-17.62%0.0751✗1.44537k2022-06-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.093.1509+1.97%4.2+35.92%0.3774✓0.94817k2022-06-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13990.142602+1.93%0.1095-21.73%0.1132✗1.576.2M2022-06-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012810.000013054+1.91%0.00000859-32.94%0.2912✗1.331.3M2022-06-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3121.3364+1.86%0.864-34.15%0.2994✗1.425.8M2022-06-12
BTTCBTTC0.000001120.00000114+1.80%9.30e-7-16.96%0.1274✗0.797.9M2022-06-12
DASHDashDash57.9858.9806+1.73%46.05-20.58%0.1343✗1.181.1M2022-06-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.7581.7883+1.72%1.484-15.59%0.0038✓1.981.0M2022-06-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004290.004364+1.72%0.00318-25.87%0.2023✗1.191.7M2022-06-12
ADACardanoCardano0.52810.537133+1.71%0.4899-7.23%0.0314✓1.2843.7M2022-06-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.392.4307+1.70%3.83+60.25%0.5471✓0.96470k2022-06-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.46310.470834+1.67%0.4054-12.46%0.0080✓1.47307k2022-06-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003770.003832+1.64%0.00368-2.39%0.0502✓0.9420k2022-06-12
XMRMoneroMonero143.73145.994+1.58%159.28+10.82%0.1853✓1.023.2M2022-06-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.391.4118+1.57%1.01-27.34%0.2311✗1.08140k2022-06-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.18970.192674+1.57%0.1183-37.64%0.3890✗1.032,9402022-06-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.4520.7614+1.52%14.43-29.44%0.2278✗1.423.8M2022-06-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,232.1829,677.03+1.52%26,555.20-9.16%0.0151✓1.00672.6M2022-06-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.738.8586+1.47%5.672-35.03%0.3253✗1.257.5M2022-06-12
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0411.056+1.44%0.63-39.48%0.3837✗1.38755k2022-06-12
COMPCompoundEthereum68.4569.3762+1.35%41.2-39.81%0.3900✗1.3630k2022-06-12
QNTQuantEthereum68.5869.4855+1.32%49.57-27.72%0.2389✗1.033.5M2022-06-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.383220.388125+1.28%0.30712-19.86%0.1134✗1.26188k2022-06-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25190.25512+1.28%0.2037-19.13%0.1054✗1.25480k2022-06-12
FTTFTXEthereum30.8331.2239+1.28%27.9-9.50%0.0204✗0.9615.2M2022-06-12
HIVEHivenative0.45490.460679+1.27%0.4325-4.92%0.0546✓1.231.5M2022-06-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18070.182816+1.17%0.1887+4.43%0.1707✓1.45640k2022-06-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.13791.1512+1.17%1.0921-4.02%0.0479✓1.0598k2022-06-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.023790.024057+1.12%0.0224-5.84%0.0237✓0.9927k2022-06-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015980.016151+1.07%0.02308+44.43%0.4238✓0.70400k2022-06-12
ZENHorizenBase20.2420.4312+0.94%15.15-25.15%0.1529✗1.52173k2022-06-12
ZECZcashZcash93.8194.654+0.90%79.32-15.45%0.0572✗1.245.1M2022-06-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.19e-76.24e-7+0.86%4.01e-7-35.17%0.3888✗0.551.4M2022-06-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8320.839161+0.86%0.733-11.90%0.0116✓1.537.9M2022-06-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0710.071583+0.82%0.0502-29.30%0.2549✗1.04115k2022-06-12
DODODODOEthereum0.1520.153154+0.76%0.1504-1.05%0.1214✓1.454.5M2022-06-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.273.2934+0.72%3.21-1.83%0.0436✓0.72770k2022-06-12
GTGateEthereum5.55845.5971+0.70%4.8594-12.58%0.0892✗0.544.9M2022-06-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.7314.8203+0.61%9.36-36.46%0.3336✗1.31822k2022-06-12
KCSKuCoinnative12.51112.5843+0.59%14.122+12.88%0.2046✓0.934.1M2022-06-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08210.082526+0.52%0.0518-36.91%0.3193✗1.523.6M2022-06-12
XECeCashnative0.000042120.000042315+0.46%0.00004105-2.54%0.1022✓1.386.7M2022-06-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009890.009928+0.38%0.00946-4.35%0.1108✓1.6644.1M2022-06-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4873.4988+0.34%3.11-10.81%0.0185✗1.031.5M2022-06-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.01350.01354+0.30%0.01007-25.41%0.1940✗1.063.4M2022-06-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10180.102053+0.25%0.083-18.47%0.0298✗1.84734k2022-06-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050050.050174+0.25%0.05067+1.24%0.1042✓0.9825k2022-06-12
ETHEthereumEthereum2,005.482,007.66+0.11%1,433.19-28.54%0.2381✗1.03494.1M2022-06-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0882440.088336+0.10%0.063482-28.06%0.2235✗1.117.1M2022-06-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3664160.366181-0.06%0.297576-18.79%0.0815✓1.316.1M2022-06-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.44260.442304-0.07%0.3246-26.66%0.1957✓1.1812.8M2022-06-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.86813.8648-0.08%3.0871-20.19%0.1094✓1.20135k2022-06-12
XEMNEMnative0.0580.057934-0.11%0.041719-28.07%0.2090✓1.24127k2022-06-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1320630.1316-0.35%0.118556-10.23%0.0021✓1.0713.8M2022-06-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66530.662176-0.47%0.5869-11.78%0.0146✗1.416.1M2022-06-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.88482.8711-0.48%2.3596-18.21%0.0379✓1.657.0M2022-06-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08995.0603-0.58%5.5114+8.28%0.1116✗0.27284k2022-06-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.8951.5817-0.59%48.273-6.97%0.0261✗0.961.9M2022-06-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8140.809068-0.61%0.849+4.30%0.1542✗1.103.3M2022-06-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative20.4720.3251-0.71%16.59-18.95%0.0822✓1.264.4M2022-06-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.769.6813-0.81%8.45-13.42%0.0146✗1.575.9M2022-06-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.46751.4553-0.83%1.7899+21.97%0.3106✗1.084.3M2022-06-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28280.280066-0.97%0.1563-44.73%0.5376✓0.48458k2022-06-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04630.045743-1.20%0.0423-8.64%0.0335✗1.161.6M2022-06-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.670.660967-1.35%0.45-32.84%0.2429✓1.4720k2022-06-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9140.901583-1.36%0.65-28.88%0.2208✓1.11729k2022-06-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2060.202993-1.46%0.203-1.46%0.1408✗1.474.1M2022-06-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.344170.339036-1.49%0.31445-8.64%0.0793✗1.6135k2022-06-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.042970.04225-1.68%0.0437+1.70%0.1253✗0.958,5302022-06-12
XYMSymbolnative0.06990.068722-1.69%0.0525-24.89%0.1980✓0.74568k2022-06-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55161.5253-1.69%1.439-7.26%0.0580✗1.219.8M2022-06-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.72541.69-2.05%1.2017-30.35%0.2789✓0.6516k2022-06-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0094570.00925-2.19%0.00867-8.32%0.0351✗1.0428k2022-06-12
PROPropyEthereum1.191.1613-2.41%1.05-11.76%0.0329✓0.71495k2022-06-12
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3031.2716-2.41%0.953-26.86%0.1923✓1.005.3M2022-06-12
APEApeCoinEthereum8.538.2654-3.10%3.885-54.45%0.5004✓2.6594.8M2022-06-12
TRXTRONTron0.07420.071071-4.22%0.076131+2.60%0.1477✗0.821.1M2022-06-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.07040.067089-4.70%0.05315-24.50%0.1369✓1.003.9M2022-06-12
GMTGMTEthereum1.4931.4171-5.09%0.664-55.53%0.6620✓1.008.8M2022-06-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.0040.950763-5.30%1.723+71.61%0.7231✗1.3414.9M2022-06-12
STEEMSteemnative0.21850.206058-5.69%0.208-4.81%0.1054✗1.002.1M2022-06-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.000120.000014405-88.00%0.00006946-42.12%1.8193✓2.567.8M2022-06-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.