8=======>

2022-05-11 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1852
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+75.24%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.6%
in alpha space · 54.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.31%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 21.060.136742-87.10%0.00007028-99.99%7.5833✓3.187.5M2022-06-10
GMTGMTEthereum1.3171.257-4.55%0.907-31.13%0.3295✓1.009.7M2022-06-10
TRXTRONTron0.0741460.070936-4.33%0.078732+6.19%0.1017✗0.82553k2022-06-10
STEEMSteemnative0.19560.188237-3.76%0.2497+27.66%0.2794✗1.002.4M2022-06-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0780.075578-3.11%0.06235-20.06%0.1955✓1.004.2M2022-06-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.0010.970497-3.05%1.678+67.63%0.5434✗1.3317.4M2022-06-10
NEXONEXOEthereum1.4061.3694-2.60%1.173-16.57%0.1580✓1.005.3M2022-06-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0010.981731-1.92%0.757-24.38%0.2634✓1.10574k2022-06-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0091720.008998-1.90%0.0097+5.76%0.0719✗1.0336k2022-06-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.30650.301407-1.66%0.178-41.92%0.5282✓0.48514k2022-06-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.042950.042303-1.51%0.05+16.41%0.1642✗0.959,2282022-06-10
XYMSymbolnative0.06810.067144-1.40%0.054376-20.15%0.2132✓0.74619k2022-06-10
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7155.6418-1.28%5.168-9.57%0.0959✓2.6179.5M2022-06-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.255.1978-0.99%5.5099+4.95%0.0575✗0.27284k2022-06-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1970.195272-0.88%0.246+24.87%0.2263✗1.474.1M2022-06-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.70251.6899-0.74%1.3861-18.59%0.2002✓0.6316k2022-06-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.852.428-0.70%57.265+8.46%0.0852✗0.962.0M2022-06-10
CTKShentuOsmosis0.80.795129-0.61%0.782-2.25%0.0201✓1.113.3M2022-06-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.9119.7974-0.57%19.99+0.40%0.0058✗1.254.4M2022-06-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.307170.305929-0.40%0.36944+20.27%0.1838✗1.5642k2022-06-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.489.4549-0.26%10.4+9.70%0.0904✗1.574.5M2022-06-10
ETHEthereumEthereum2,075.932,072.48-0.17%1,660.78-20.00%0.2247✓1.03464.2M2022-06-10
QTUMQtumQtum4.00984.0075-0.06%3.674-8.38%0.0907✓1.21134k2022-06-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59630.596276-0.00%0.6583+10.40%0.0946✗1.406.1M2022-06-10
PROPropyEthereum1.071.0704+0.04%0.99-7.48%0.0803✗0.70528k2022-06-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1257370.125881+0.11%0.132961+5.75%0.0514✓1.0613.8M2022-06-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.45250.453135+0.14%0.3688-18.50%0.2097✗1.1912.6M2022-06-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08330.083616+0.38%0.0651-21.85%0.2550✗1.513.7M2022-06-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04120.041365+0.40%0.0497+20.63%0.1800✓1.151.9M2022-06-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0847740.085239+0.55%0.075288-11.19%0.1276✗1.117.1M2022-06-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.463.4826+0.65%3.64+5.20%0.0420✓0.72788k2022-06-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.44861.4584+0.68%1.7732+22.41%0.1917✓1.1810.0M2022-06-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.540.543693+0.68%0.525-2.78%0.0395✗1.4528k2022-06-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017720.017843+0.69%0.02258+27.43%0.2334✓0.67400k2022-06-10
DODODODOEthereum0.1660.167248+0.75%0.1644-0.96%0.0217✗1.454.7M2022-06-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10560.106419+0.78%0.0965-8.62%0.1035✗1.82787k2022-06-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,348.9911,440.69+0.81%7,054.39-37.84%0.4872✗1.172.6M2022-06-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.38620.3897+0.91%0.360192-6.73%0.0829✗1.326.1M2022-06-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.2614.395+0.95%11.21-21.39%0.2542✗1.32766k2022-06-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.024130.024371+1.00%0.025632+6.22%0.0473✓0.9930k2022-06-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009480.009577+1.03%0.01084+14.35%0.1187✓1.6545.0M2022-06-10
HIVEHivenative0.47720.482118+1.03%0.5051+5.85%0.0428✓1.221.5M2022-06-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.411.4251+1.07%1.2-14.89%0.1753✗1.08134k2022-06-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.991.0006+1.08%0.763-22.93%0.2755✗1.38755k2022-06-10
XEMNEMnative0.0490.049528+1.08%0.046679-4.74%0.0630✗1.2184k2022-06-10
KCSKuCoinnative11.3911.5193+1.14%15.538+36.42%0.2964✓0.924.1M2022-06-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.5021.52+1.20%1.027-31.62%0.3965✗1.445.3M2022-06-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049180.049789+1.24%0.05774+17.41%0.1451✓0.9726k2022-06-10
BTTCBTTC0.000001210.000001225+1.25%0.00000101-16.53%0.1956✗0.797.7M2022-06-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.82191.8454+1.29%2.9432+61.55%0.4619✓1.578.0M2022-06-10
COMPCompoundEthereum70.9771.8903+1.30%51.66-27.21%0.3347✗1.3638k2022-06-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1750.17727+1.30%0.2306+31.77%0.2585✓1.45634k2022-06-10
XMRMoneroMonero140.01141.921+1.36%174.19+24.41%0.2017✓1.033.0M2022-06-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.1771.1933+1.38%2.2942+94.92%0.6504✓1.044.3M2022-06-10
XECeCashnative0.00003640.000036922+1.44%0.00004786+31.48%0.2552✓1.366.7M2022-06-10
FTTFTXEthereum29.9430.3849+1.49%27.6-7.82%0.0991✗0.9612.7M2022-06-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22580.229181+1.50%0.2708+19.93%0.1630✓1.24486k2022-06-10
DASHDashDash58.0658.9648+1.56%53.86-7.23%0.0942✗1.181.0M2022-06-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.588.714+1.56%6.816-20.56%0.2496✗1.267.4M2022-06-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.18850.191513+1.60%0.1482-21.38%0.2596✗1.022,9402022-06-10
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.8394+1.68%1.875+3.65%0.0148✓1.41537k2022-06-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0570.057957+1.68%0.0542-4.91%0.0703✗1.03115k2022-06-10
ZECZcashZcash83.0984.4948+1.69%88.85+6.93%0.0464✓1.245.1M2022-06-10
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8560.870474+1.69%0.889+3.86%0.0163✓1.548.3M2022-06-10
QNTQuantEthereum64.165.1984+1.71%61.16-4.59%0.0672✗1.043.5M2022-06-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,972.3429,469.97+1.72%29,063.11+0.31%0.0170✗1.00634.5M2022-06-10
ZENHorizenBase19.6419.9885+1.77%17.79-9.42%0.1213✗1.53173k2022-06-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004570.004651+1.78%0.00408-10.72%0.1347✗1.181.7M2022-06-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.373340.379995+1.78%0.36298-2.77%0.0497✗1.26151k2022-06-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.01891.0372+1.80%1.2336+21.07%0.1701✓1.0496k2022-06-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000012187+1.99%0.00001012-15.31%0.1900✗1.311.3M2022-06-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.252.2948+1.99%4.58+103.56%0.6881✓0.96429k2022-06-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.4281.4571+2.04%4.059+184.24%1.0216✓0.93858k2022-06-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.219.5919+2.04%18.02-6.15%0.0881✗1.413.8M2022-06-10
RADRadworksEthereum1.841.8782+2.08%2.05+11.41%0.0844✓1.01392k2022-06-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09240.094332+2.09%0.0874-5.41%0.0790✗0.85169k2022-06-10
GTGateEthereum4.97855.0835+2.11%5.3641+7.75%0.0521✓0.544.7M2022-06-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.378340.386338+2.11%0.35202-6.96%0.0977✗1.501.4M2022-06-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.9110.1199+2.12%15.78+59.23%0.4397✓1.46134k2022-06-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.1070.109267+2.12%0.1136+6.17%0.0347✓1.351.2M2022-06-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.51452.5684+2.14%2.4885-1.03%0.0355✗1.24188k2022-06-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.010580.010807+2.15%0.01094+3.40%0.0090✓1.023.2M2022-06-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12570.128432+2.17%0.133+5.81%0.0300✓1.586.2M2022-06-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.282.33+2.19%4.21+84.65%0.5883✓1.04557k2022-06-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.11380.116323+2.22%0.1197+5.18%0.0237✓1.561.8M2022-06-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4150.424206+2.22%0.4786+15.33%0.1160✓1.47299k2022-06-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003670.003752+2.23%0.00433+17.98%0.1404✓0.9320k2022-06-10
ADACardanoCardano0.51610.528007+2.31%0.5737+11.16%0.0790✓1.2842.0M2022-06-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.8514.1752+2.35%10.91-21.23%0.2646✗0.90483k2022-06-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009730.009959+2.35%0.00856-12.02%0.1539✗0.81238k2022-06-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.614.719+2.36%7.81+69.41%0.5013✓0.801.2M2022-06-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11570.118449+2.38%0.1214+4.93%0.0211✓1.111.1M2022-06-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3180.325775+2.44%0.336+5.66%0.0277✓1.011.1M2022-06-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.497160.509568+2.50%0.50769+2.12%0.0081✓1.4193k2022-06-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11880.121917+2.62%0.1424+19.87%0.1503✓1.61108k2022-06-10
NANOnanopayBase1.08021.1088+2.64%1.0563-2.22%0.0524✗1.25161k2022-06-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,313.9029,061.86+2.64%29,029.00+2.53%0.0042✓0.9840k2022-06-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.80e-75.95e-7+2.67%4.20e-7-27.54%0.3501✗0.531.4M2022-06-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.741.7867+2.68%1.64-5.75%0.0910✗1.69371k2022-06-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana2.862.937+2.69%4.94+72.73%0.5171✓0.93829k2022-06-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6531.6976+2.70%1.751+5.93%0.0248✓1.961.0M2022-06-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.620.637363+2.80%0.581-6.29%0.0972✗1.46344k2022-06-10
MOVRMoonriverBase21.439222.0407+2.81%18.4412-13.98%0.1829✗1.46195k2022-06-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.6232.6975+2.84%3.847+46.66%0.3518✓1.001.4M2022-06-10
XTZTezosTezos1.77761.8283+2.85%1.9644+10.51%0.0679✓1.24866k2022-06-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009360.009631+2.90%0.00811-13.35%0.1753✗1.091.0M2022-06-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1190.122501+2.94%0.1193+0.25%0.0293✗0.9019k2022-06-10
KSMKusamaHydration72.9275.2298+3.17%58.55-19.71%0.2545✗1.231.1M2022-06-10
STXStacksnative0.580.598517+3.19%0.4956-14.55%0.1921✗1.10260k2022-06-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03140.032404+3.20%0.0355+13.06%0.0870✓1.36179k2022-06-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001250.00129+3.22%0.001105-11.60%0.1597✗1.493.9M2022-06-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2231.2624+3.22%1.16-5.15%0.0899✗1.69582k2022-06-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07820.080733+3.24%0.078-0.26%0.0404✗1.89216k2022-06-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.8972.991+3.25%2.92+0.79%0.0273✓1.0481k2022-06-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.147675+3.27%0.1674+17.06%0.1211✓1.38372k2022-06-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.0560.05784+3.29%0.0768+37.14%0.2800✓1.12416k2022-06-10
ORCAOrcaSolana0.910.940255+3.32%0.81-10.99%0.1520✗0.93142k2022-06-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.834.9926+3.37%6.54+35.40%0.2658✓1.35666k2022-06-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5740.593516+3.40%0.456-20.56%0.2673✗1.2050k2022-06-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.190.196564+3.45%0.17724-6.72%0.1085✗1.61250k2022-06-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2990.309399+3.48%1.242+315.38%1.3845✓1.721.7M2022-06-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.051.0866+3.49%1.32+25.71%0.1922✓0.75221k2022-06-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.8472.9468+3.51%2.767-2.81%0.0682✗1.662.2M2022-06-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.310.320879+3.51%0.65587+111.57%0.7099✓1.61383k2022-06-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39390.407845+3.54%0.3078-21.86%0.2855✗1.2997k2022-06-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin66.3168.7215+3.64%56.62-14.61%0.1973✗1.1517.5M2022-06-10
UNIUniswapEthereum4.895.0682+3.64%4.808-1.68%0.0565✗1.204.1M2022-06-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29740.308239+3.64%0.3219+8.24%0.0395✓1.238.5M2022-06-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.820.849895+3.65%0.87+6.10%0.0186✓1.52892k2022-06-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.3651.4149+3.66%3.786+177.36%0.9810✓1.02748k2022-06-10
SOLSolanaSolana50.8252.7293+3.76%37.13-26.94%0.3551✗1.3987.4M2022-06-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004350.004514+3.77%0.0049+12.64%0.0776✓1.43403k2022-06-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22190.230295+3.78%0.2842+28.08%0.2066✓1.20316k2022-06-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.0681.1085+3.79%1.1674+9.31%0.0487✓0.9725k2022-06-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7511.165+3.86%8.097-24.68%0.3255✗1.3419.8M2022-06-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.765610.795954+3.96%0.8884+16.04%0.1054✓1.44805k2022-06-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02090.021737+4.00%0.02592+24.02%0.1727✓1.04227k2022-06-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.5871.6506+4.01%4.469+181.60%0.9938✓0.701.9M2022-06-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash193.96201.7466+4.01%167.29-13.75%0.1908✗1.135.2M2022-06-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.3732+4.03%1.38+4.55%0.0004✓1.474.1M2022-06-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.937.2094+4.03%8.033+15.92%0.1041✓1.3119.6M2022-06-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.49014+4.06%0.42-10.83%0.1590✗1.45869k2022-06-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.059.4185+4.07%8.652-4.40%0.0889✗1.2711.8M2022-06-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.21330.222186+4.17%0.2712+27.14%0.1951✓1.35184k2022-06-10
DIADIAEthereum0.350.364662+4.19%0.49556+41.59%0.3043✓0.7670k2022-06-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0120560.012564+4.22%0.015267+26.63%0.1925✓0.76198k2022-06-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4972.6031+4.25%2.45-1.88%0.0658✗1.677.7M2022-06-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.0650.067847+4.38%0.0691+6.31%0.0131✓1.65204k2022-06-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.6371.7089+4.39%1.454-11.18%0.1660✗1.422.6M2022-06-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0140.014616+4.40%0.02013+43.79%0.3131✓2.2523.0M2022-06-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche31.132.4762+4.42%22.05-29.10%0.3917✗1.4545.0M2022-06-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3392.4437+4.48%3.447+47.37%0.3387✓1.7022k2022-06-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.427.7565+4.54%6.093-17.88%0.2458✗1.418.0M2022-06-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15170.158618+4.56%0.137-9.69%0.1512✗1.506.8M2022-06-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.18291.2374+4.60%2.5751+117.69%0.7296✓1.052.5M2022-06-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7851.8676+4.63%1.597-10.53%0.1617✗1.6584k2022-06-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4860.508652+4.66%0.622+27.98%0.1965✓1.491.7M2022-06-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.274.4741+4.78%5.42+26.93%0.1891✓0.852.8M2022-06-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.4629+4.80%3.5+48.94%0.3460✓1.74357k2022-06-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033190.034804+4.86%0.03478+4.79%0.0049✓1.3494k2022-06-10
AAVEAaveEthereum82.2886.3702+4.97%87.95+6.89%0.0135✓1.498.6M2022-06-10
XVGVergenative0.004360.004585+5.17%0.004-8.26%0.1408✗1.34885k2022-06-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0141560.014901+5.26%0.01425+0.66%0.0481✓1.114.3M2022-06-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068180.072204+5.90%0.06606-3.11%0.0922✗1.0418k2022-06-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4962.6465+6.03%2.648+6.09%0.0042✓1.51197k2022-06-10
XVSVenusEthereum3.683.9321+6.85%4.67+26.90%0.1675✓1.422.9M2022-06-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.