8=======>

2022-05-09 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1324
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-74.22%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.0%
in alpha space · 56.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 230.3531.5604+3.99%0.00004747-100.00%13.4137✗1.957.1M2022-06-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0182420.018962+3.95%0.015221-16.56%0.2231✗1.014.2M2022-06-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.817.0673+3.78%5.48-19.53%0.2564✗0.632.8M2022-06-08
XVSVenusEthereum5.155.3321+3.54%4.92-4.47%0.0846✗1.282.8M2022-06-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084630.087304+3.16%0.06914-18.30%0.2361✗0.8618k2022-06-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.5493.6483+2.80%2.814-20.71%0.2639✗1.30186k2022-06-08
AAVEAaveEthereum99.45102.2259+2.79%96.35-3.12%0.0638✗1.418.3M2022-06-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0140040.014383+2.70%0.015019+7.25%0.0410✓0.69195k2022-06-08
GITCOINGITCOIN3.3483.43+2.45%3.101-7.38%0.1060✗1.5819k2022-06-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02530.025917+2.44%0.02062-18.50%0.2352✗1.9922.0M2022-06-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.312.3644+2.36%1.456-36.97%0.4890✗1.262.6M2022-06-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash217.92222.6981+2.19%176.62-18.95%0.2353✗1.074.9M2022-06-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.18.2727+2.13%8.696+7.36%0.0458✓1.2518.3M2022-06-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.043460.044334+2.01%0.03811-12.31%0.1552✗1.2070k2022-06-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7260.740501+2.00%0.668-7.99%0.1074✗1.321.7M2022-06-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin76.1977.71+2.00%61.34-19.49%0.2401✗1.0917.3M2022-06-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.6410.8416+1.89%8.995-15.46%0.1906✗1.1911.7M2022-06-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.4912.7265+1.89%8.753-29.92%0.3784✗1.2519.4M2022-06-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.3471.3704+1.74%1.2699-5.72%0.0790✗0.8624k2022-06-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche41.2141.9093+1.70%24.49-40.57%0.5415✗1.2944.2M2022-06-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2393.2939+1.70%2.636-18.62%0.2281✗1.617.1M2022-06-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.333.3819+1.56%3.11-6.61%0.0891✗1.62339k2022-06-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6392.6799+1.55%4.741+79.65%0.5687✓0.532.2M2022-06-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.26470.268682+1.50%0.2871+8.46%0.0624✓1.20186k2022-06-08
STXStacksnative0.650.659587+1.47%0.5504-15.32%0.1844✗1.05260k2022-06-08
XVGVergenative0.006110.006198+1.43%0.00484-20.79%0.2511✗1.19885k2022-06-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.280.283977+1.42%0.1917-31.54%0.3976✗1.43250k2022-06-08
XTZTezosTezos2.00882.0355+1.33%2.0863+3.86%0.0207✓1.20855k2022-06-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.38940.394232+1.24%0.3492-10.32%0.1251✗1.158.1M2022-06-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,239.2030,597.55+1.19%30,360.20+0.40%0.0110✓0.9738k2022-06-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.47e-76.55e-7+1.13%5.27e-7-18.61%0.2180✗0.28855k2022-06-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06011.0717+1.10%0.97809-7.73%0.0956✗1.28760k2022-06-08
ORCAOrcaSolana1.211.2231+1.08%0.8-33.88%0.4271✗0.79151k2022-06-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.5153.5528+1.07%3.273-6.88%0.0853✗0.9973k2022-06-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.152.1727+1.06%2.5435+18.30%0.1549✓0.812.5M2022-06-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.731.7479+1.04%1.5-13.29%0.1575✗1.373.6M2022-06-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.29460.297605+1.02%0.2886-2.04%0.0342✗1.07305k2022-06-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.9110.0082+0.99%6.502-34.39%0.4354✗1.268.0M2022-06-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.038555+0.93%0.0381-0.26%0.0159✗1.22179k2022-06-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.50.504593+0.92%0.79127+58.25%0.4453✓1.39398k2022-06-08
DIADIAEthereum0.530.534851+0.92%0.46566-12.14%0.1405✗0.6170k2022-06-08
SOLSolanaSolana62.1362.668+0.87%38.79-37.57%0.4839✗1.2985.8M2022-06-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.11.1087+0.79%0.9-18.18%0.2131✗1.40842k2022-06-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010580.010663+0.79%0.00872-17.58%0.2045✗1.011.0M2022-06-08
KSMKusamaHydration94.2694.9858+0.77%66.16-29.81%0.3654✗1.161.1M2022-06-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.4420.4454+0.77%0.36868-16.59%0.1937✗1.431.3M2022-06-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.686.7302+0.75%7.61+13.92%0.1208✓0.631.2M2022-06-08
UNIUniswapEthereum5.955.9937+0.73%5.077-14.67%0.1697✗1.144.1M2022-06-08
FTTFTXEthereum30.1530.3683+0.72%28.1-6.80%0.0807✗0.9311.7M2022-06-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.1030.103744+0.72%0.0749-27.28%0.3304✗1.40192k2022-06-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.4790.482151+0.66%1.246+160.13%0.9445✓1.501.6M2022-06-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,078.2730,274.61+0.65%30,177.00+0.33%0.0065✗1.00580.1M2022-06-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.030610.030801+0.62%0.02761-9.80%0.1124✗0.92227k2022-06-08
SCSiacoinnative0.005930.005966+0.60%0.00554-6.58%0.0783✗1.30373k2022-06-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum1616.0944+0.59%11.68-27.00%0.3234✗0.87468k2022-06-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1440.144724+0.50%0.1282-10.97%0.1245✗1.001.1M2022-06-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.7740.777708+0.48%0.491-36.56%0.4637✗1.1546k2022-06-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.05322.063+0.48%2.296+11.83%0.1044✓0.814.8M2022-06-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7650.768091+0.40%0.618-19.22%0.2219✗1.37327k2022-06-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.50360.505626+0.40%0.3209-36.28%0.4587✗1.2395k2022-06-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14360.144143+0.38%0.1588+10.58%0.0921✓1.45108k2022-06-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.074.0848+0.36%4.94+21.38%0.1875✓0.79835k2022-06-08
QNTQuantEthereum69.8170.0534+0.35%64.34-7.84%0.0884✗1.023.4M2022-06-08
UMAUMAEthereum4.1284.1418+0.33%2.966-28.15%0.3389✗1.521.8M2022-06-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11630.116638+0.29%0.0842-27.60%0.3316✗1.74232k2022-06-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013950.00001399+0.29%0.00001058-24.16%0.2833✗1.181.2M2022-06-08
ADACardanoCardano0.60180.603192+0.23%0.6405+6.43%0.0560✓1.2241.1M2022-06-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.7480.749636+0.22%0.456-39.04%0.5013✗1.29954k2022-06-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16340.163741+0.21%0.1456-10.89%0.1223✗1.506.0M2022-06-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.18810.188437+0.18%0.1882+0.05%0.0055✗1.29372k2022-06-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.937.9437+0.17%6.7-15.51%0.1740✗1.14666k2022-06-08
ZECZcashZcash92.6892.8371+0.17%96.29+3.90%0.0325✓1.235.1M2022-06-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.2032.2061+0.14%4.1+86.11%0.6171✓0.83763k2022-06-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.33.304+0.12%4.37+32.42%0.2768✓0.86565k2022-06-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.5972.5999+0.11%2.009-22.64%0.2634✗1.701.2M2022-06-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.23890.239129+0.10%0.149-37.63%0.4773✗1.306.5M2022-06-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.005430.005435+0.09%0.00455-16.21%0.1802✗0.7720k2022-06-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.624220.623911-0.05%0.57244-8.30%0.0904✓1.3288k2022-06-08
MOVRMoonriverBase27.460527.4455-0.05%20.3659-25.84%0.3029✓1.39188k2022-06-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.242.2382-0.08%3.792+69.29%0.5248✗0.74975k2022-06-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.773.7657-0.11%3.57-5.31%0.0555✓0.66804k2022-06-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.10290.102771-0.13%0.0897-12.83%0.1388✓0.84152k2022-06-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.020410.020368-0.20%0.02386+16.90%0.1563✗0.58405k2022-06-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.89952.8935-0.20%2.6512-8.56%0.0913✓1.17177k2022-06-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.561.5567-0.21%1.29-17.31%0.1913✓1.05134k2022-06-08
GTGateEthereum5.68145.6691-0.22%5.5231-2.79%0.0276✓0.474.5M2022-06-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.8342.8277-0.22%1.657-41.53%0.5394✓1.5179k2022-06-08
NANOnanopayBase1.36871.3639-0.35%1.1534-15.73%0.1714✓1.17153k2022-06-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.013330.013282-0.36%0.01113-16.50%0.1798✓0.942.9M2022-06-08
COMPCompoundEthereum80.6480.2691-0.46%55.94-30.63%0.3653✓1.2831k2022-06-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.0770.076607-0.51%0.0686-10.91%0.1135✓0.95416k2022-06-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.42883.4104-0.54%3.1124-9.23%0.0956✓1.287.7M2022-06-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0794.0538-0.62%3.68-9.78%0.0994✓0.801.5M2022-06-08
BTTCBTTC0.000001430.000001421-0.62%0.00000106-25.87%0.2956✓0.737.7M2022-06-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.440850.437967-0.65%0.39491-10.42%0.1074✓1.18141k2022-06-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062530.06211-0.67%0.06191-0.99%0.0062✓0.8926k2022-06-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.19260.191265-0.69%0.2358+22.43%0.2047✗1.42634k2022-06-08
ZENHorizenBase24.424.2288-0.70%19.35-20.70%0.2296✓1.45173k2022-06-08
XEMNEMnative0.0580.057593-0.70%0.0501-13.62%0.1431✓1.1469k2022-06-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1431.1348-0.72%0.956-16.36%0.1761✓1.428.2M2022-06-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.29680.294577-0.75%0.306+3.10%0.0343✗1.13486k2022-06-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin10.9910.9026-0.80%7.178-34.69%0.4218✓1.156.6M2022-06-08
KCSKuCoinnative13.60813.4953-0.83%15.968+17.34%0.1655✗0.854.0M2022-06-08
BANDBandEthereum2.2032.1835-0.89%1.666-24.38%0.2749✓1.36504k2022-06-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.1330.131813-0.89%0.1199-9.85%0.0988✓1.251.2M2022-06-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.71.6845-0.91%1.26-25.88%0.2955✓1.58582k2022-06-08
HIVEHivenative0.57750.571969-0.96%0.5614-2.79%0.0224✓1.141.5M2022-06-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002340.002318-0.96%0.0012-48.72%0.6623✓1.253.9M2022-06-08
ETHEthereumEthereum2,228.502,206.27-1.00%1,790.72-19.64%0.2120✓1.01437.0M2022-06-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.006520.006448-1.10%0.0043-34.05%0.4089✓1.121.7M2022-06-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum12,496.7112,357.96-1.11%7,431.85-40.53%0.5121✓1.102.5M2022-06-08
DASHDashDash69.8969.086-1.15%58.04-16.96%0.1778✓1.091.0M2022-06-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.8124.5205-1.17%19.46-21.56%0.2356✓1.363.8M2022-06-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.612.4528-1.17%12.43-1.35%0.0061✓1.29134k2022-06-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.3571.3407-1.21%1.3742+1.27%0.0216✗0.9784k2022-06-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.5450.538008-1.28%0.5183-4.90%0.0418✓1.36296k2022-06-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.952.9107-1.33%2.26-23.39%0.2559✓0.87443k2022-06-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum17.4517.2119-1.36%12.31-29.46%0.3393✓1.27608k2022-06-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.14420.142223-1.37%0.1367-5.20%0.0443✓1.451.8M2022-06-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1017730.100367-1.38%0.079297-22.08%0.2390✓1.017.1M2022-06-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.713.6578-1.41%4.67+25.88%0.2418✗0.76470k2022-06-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.870.857509-1.44%0.555-36.21%0.4392✓1.2732k2022-06-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5006490.493427-1.44%0.397631-20.58%0.2199✓1.235.6M2022-06-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.23645.1592-1.47%5.3523+2.21%0.0359✗0.26278k2022-06-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72360.712608-1.52%0.6019-16.82%0.1732✓1.326.1M2022-06-08
XMRMoneroMonero173.09170.388-1.56%186.67+7.85%0.0880✗1.013.0M2022-06-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.013280.013072-1.56%0.00849-36.07%0.4343✓0.81222k2022-06-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1406120.138374-1.59%0.139941-0.48%0.0080✓1.0113.6M2022-06-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1010.099384-1.60%0.0591-41.49%0.5221✓0.72124k2022-06-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.05532.0221-1.62%1.8734-8.85%0.0799✓1.0810.0M2022-06-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.030420.029922-1.64%0.027978-8.03%0.0701✓0.9031k2022-06-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.691.6623-1.64%1.88+11.24%0.1211✗0.60242k2022-06-08
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8550.840752-1.67%0.834-2.46%0.0116✓1.083.2M2022-06-08
QTUMQtumQtum4.42474.351-1.67%3.9293-11.20%0.1057✓1.15120k2022-06-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.772.7231-1.69%1.82-34.30%0.4079✓1.50355k2022-06-08
DODODODOEthereum0.2250.221147-1.71%0.185-17.78%0.1828✓1.314.7M2022-06-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.2640.258899-1.93%0.17-35.61%0.4232✓0.792,9402022-06-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9121.874-1.99%1.158-39.44%0.4858✓1.365.1M2022-06-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1970.192983-2.04%0.1277-35.18%0.4152✓0.6821k2022-06-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.10440.10221-2.10%0.0692-33.72%0.3946✓1.383.7M2022-06-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4690.45909-2.11%0.349-25.59%0.2769✓0.831.1M2022-06-08
XECeCashnative0.000053370.000052145-2.30%0.00005352+0.28%0.0223✓1.146.7M2022-06-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01450.014162-2.33%0.01184-18.34%0.1839✓1.4845.5M2022-06-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.7522.2177-2.34%21.32-6.29%0.0452✓1.204.4M2022-06-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.00891.9578-2.55%1.4694-26.85%0.2889✓0.6216k2022-06-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.57380.558909-2.60%0.4164-27.43%0.2979✓1.1012.4M2022-06-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06490.063203-2.62%0.0523-19.41%0.1926✓0.992.0M2022-06-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0110.984211-2.65%0.816-19.29%0.1911✓1.13547k2022-06-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.2258.602-2.69%56.869-5.56%0.0329✓0.892.0M2022-06-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.33470.325319-2.80%0.1592-52.44%0.7162✓0.46514k2022-06-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2720.264263-2.84%0.27-0.74%0.0173✓1.294.2M2022-06-08
MINAMina Protocolnative1.351.3115-2.85%0.84-37.78%0.4496✓1.23755k2022-06-08
XYMSymbolnative0.07460.072457-2.87%0.056825-23.83%0.2452✓0.65619k2022-06-08
NEXONEXOEthereum1.6781.6225-3.31%1.208-28.01%0.2983✓1.005.3M2022-06-08
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0087.7383-3.37%5.7-28.82%0.3131✓2.2576.4M2022-06-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.414340.400363-3.37%0.40101-3.22%0.0027✓1.3347k2022-06-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05180.050044-3.39%0.05271+1.76%0.0491✗0.8710k2022-06-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.17020.163987-3.65%0.1025-39.78%0.4752✓1.621.1M2022-06-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.2166-3.67%11.38-17.06%0.1543✓1.432.8M2022-06-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.010480.01009-3.73%0.00992-5.34%0.0201✓0.9738k2022-06-08
PROPropyEthereum1.531.4721-3.79%1.01-33.99%0.3787✓0.60528k2022-06-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.12130.11629-4.13%0.06599-45.60%0.5699✓1.003.9M2022-06-08
TRXTRONTron0.0725870.069421-4.36%0.080519+10.93%0.1456✗0.82402k2022-06-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3441.2784-4.88%1.69+25.74%0.2751✗1.2117.4M2022-06-08
STEEMSteemnative0.30150.284587-5.61%0.2544-15.62%0.1154✓1.002.9M2022-06-08
GMTGMTEthereum1.7691.6658-5.83%0.968-45.28%0.5461✓1.008.8M2022-06-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.