8=======>

2022-05-08 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2368
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.74%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
86.1%
in alpha space · 90.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.58%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6451.5158-7.85%1.773+7.78%0.2595✗1.1517.4M2022-06-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3011.2048-7.39%0.845-35.05%0.2652✓1.00547k2022-06-07
TRXTRONTron0.0880130.081616-7.27%0.081995-6.84%0.0683✓0.71352k2022-06-07
STEEMSteemnative0.3830.355252-7.25%0.2614-31.75%0.2170✓1.003.1M2022-06-07
MINAMina Protocolnative1.651.5352-6.96%0.857-48.06%0.4779✓1.17775k2022-06-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.20840.194207-6.81%0.1072-48.56%0.4456✓1.661.1M2022-06-07
GMTGMTEthereum2.7192.5382-6.65%0.958-64.77%0.8846✓1.008.1M2022-06-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.506480.473421-6.53%0.40951-19.15%0.0351✓1.2347k2022-06-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.8963.6421-6.52%1.684-56.78%0.6492✓1.3675k2022-06-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.72890.683729-6.20%0.3989-45.27%0.4513✓0.9811.5M2022-06-07
APEApeCoinEthereum11.22710.5472-6.05%6.028-46.31%0.3780✓2.0275.7M2022-06-07
XECeCashnative0.000068240.000064218-5.89%0.00005571-18.36%0.0505✓1.026.7M2022-06-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08270.07788-5.83%0.0542-34.46%0.2868✓0.842.2M2022-06-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.9916.0134-5.75%11.93-29.78%0.1712✓1.372.4M2022-06-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0127550.012024-5.73%0.01019-20.11%0.0869✓0.8838k2022-06-07
XMRMoneroMonero217.35205.2126-5.58%187.45-13.76%0.0116✓0.883.0M2022-06-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.18090.170812-5.58%0.1268-29.91%0.1736✓1.391.8M2022-06-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.523.3249-5.54%1.78-49.43%0.4964✓1.43349k2022-06-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.058490.055286-5.48%0.05367-8.24%0.0470✓0.859,7632022-06-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum30.4628.7934-5.47%19.69-35.36%0.2612✓1.323.5M2022-06-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV70.1966.4919-5.27%57.494-18.09%0.0698✓0.842.0M2022-06-07
PROPropyEthereum1.631.5442-5.26%1.04-36.20%0.3398✓0.62507k2022-06-07
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.14960.141892-5.15%0.0695-53.54%0.6240✓1.003.8M2022-06-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5420.514145-5.14%0.361-33.39%0.2837✓0.781.2M2022-06-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum15,574.1214,785.16-5.07%7,602.19-51.19%0.5752✓1.002.3M2022-06-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.3462.2273-5.06%1.187-49.40%0.5120✓1.315.1M2022-06-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.24920.236645-5.04%0.2353-5.58%0.1133✗1.33634k2022-06-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1250.118721-5.02%0.0623-50.16%0.5942✓0.56130k2022-06-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.360.341931-5.02%0.268-25.56%0.1416✓1.144.3M2022-06-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12930.122843-4.99%0.0687-46.87%0.4627✓1.323.7M2022-06-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.1082.0056-4.86%1.298-38.43%0.2954✓1.56582k2022-06-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.370.352032-4.86%0.1496-59.57%0.8173✓0.43540k2022-06-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.65940.627585-4.82%0.5291-19.76%0.0516✓1.33260k2022-06-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0344.7949-4.75%3.534-29.80%0.2452✓0.671.4M2022-06-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002960.002823-4.63%0.001238-58.18%0.7200✓1.163.9M2022-06-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6264750.597567-4.61%0.408422-34.81%0.2783✓1.145.6M2022-06-07
DODODODOEthereum0.2750.262819-4.43%0.1798-34.62%0.2659✓1.274.7M2022-06-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.5125.3398-4.41%21.53-18.79%0.0565✓1.194.4M2022-06-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.1161.0669-4.40%0.584-47.67%0.4989✓1.1534k2022-06-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.29930.286232-4.37%0.1547-48.31%0.5062✓1.226.3M2022-06-07
ZENHorizenBase30.9929.661-4.29%19.8-36.11%0.2804✓1.38173k2022-06-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.542750.519541-4.28%0.39279-27.63%0.1803✓1.11136k2022-06-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.41082.3085-4.25%1.8963-21.34%0.1037✓1.0410.0M2022-06-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.32180.308139-4.25%0.1797-44.16%0.4821✓0.642,9402022-06-07
QTUMQtumQtum5.03874.8259-4.22%4.0001-20.61%0.0840✓1.16103k2022-06-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.017830.017094-4.13%0.01159-35.00%0.3231✓0.732.7M2022-06-07
AVTAventusEthereum1.871.7938-4.08%2.3+22.99%0.2995✗0.57254k2022-06-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.61960.594918-3.98%0.3358-45.80%0.4659✓1.1895k2022-06-07
BANDBandEthereum2.7312.6222-3.98%1.708-37.46%0.3121✓1.30499k2022-06-07
DASHDashDash82.9379.6305-3.98%58.33-29.66%0.2172✓1.051.0M2022-06-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.23930.229823-3.96%0.2017-15.71%0.0237✓1.19372k2022-06-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.015560.014953-3.90%0.01223-21.40%0.0555✓1.6246.7M2022-06-07
NANOnanopayBase1.63471.5716-3.86%1.1738-28.20%0.1908✓1.13145k2022-06-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.007860.007561-3.80%0.00429-45.42%0.4712✓1.061.7M2022-06-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.034650.033355-3.74%0.028441-17.92%0.0813✓0.8731k2022-06-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.13612.0567-3.72%1.5077-29.42%0.2533✓0.6415k2022-06-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.16290.156931-3.66%0.1232-24.37%0.1353✓1.191.2M2022-06-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.434.2693-3.63%2.8-36.79%0.2856✓1.52335k2022-06-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.210.20244-3.60%0.129-38.57%0.3870✓0.7121k2022-06-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1241950.119794-3.54%0.08034-35.31%0.3169✓0.926.1M2022-06-07
COMPCompoundEthereum99.6796.1497-3.53%57.12-42.69%0.4119✓1.2130k2022-06-07
UNIUniswapEthereum7.16.851-3.51%5.211-26.61%0.1750✓1.104.1M2022-06-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum13.4412.9717-3.48%14.24+5.95%0.2197✗1.41134k2022-06-07
NEXONEXOEthereum1.8721.8078-3.43%1.231-34.24%0.2945✓1.006.1M2022-06-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.013960.013486-3.39%0.00855-38.75%0.3771✓0.88199k2022-06-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum20.319.6141-3.38%12.07-40.54%0.3714✓1.27532k2022-06-07
XEMNEMnative0.07570.073156-3.36%0.052131-31.13%0.2497✓0.9951k2022-06-07
XYMSymbolnative0.07790.075282-3.36%0.057976-25.58%0.1979✓0.70657k2022-06-07
XLMStellarStellar0.1616290.156231-3.34%0.140233-13.24%0.0192✓0.9913.4M2022-06-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.54283.4246-3.34%2.6327-25.69%0.1645✓1.10173k2022-06-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin13.1212.6939-3.25%7.322-44.19%0.4499✓1.125.8M2022-06-07
ADACardanoCardano0.74030.716571-3.21%0.6136-17.11%0.0516✓1.1540.5M2022-06-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.019.6899-3.20%6.52-34.87%0.3036✓1.03666k2022-06-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.344.2019-3.18%4.36+0.46%0.0983✗0.68497k2022-06-07
HIVEHivenative0.70880.686321-3.17%0.5983-15.59%0.0415✓1.071.4M2022-06-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.48564.3434-3.17%3.134-30.13%0.2253✓1.138.6M2022-06-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.13090.126752-3.17%0.0781-40.34%0.3666✓1.31180k2022-06-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.1573.0574-3.16%1.952-38.17%0.2936✓1.731.2M2022-06-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.09070.087862-3.13%0.0666-26.57%0.1970✓0.89416k2022-06-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.11420.11067-3.09%0.0905-20.75%0.1255✓0.84136k2022-06-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2164.0857-3.09%2.72-35.48%0.2700✓1.536.6M2022-06-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.660.639638-3.09%0.83712+26.84%0.3833✗1.27398k2022-06-07
UMAUMAEthereum5.325.1576-3.05%3.017-43.29%0.4071✓1.441.8M2022-06-07
RADRadworksEthereum3.333.2284-3.05%2.31-30.63%0.2577✓0.86509k2022-06-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.06e-77.81e-7-3.04%5.34e-7-33.71%0.3767✓0.04777k2022-06-07
XVGVergenative0.00740.007175-3.04%0.0049-33.78%0.2794✓1.14885k2022-06-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04840.046935-3.03%0.0391-19.21%0.0820✓1.12173k2022-06-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.013120.012723-3.02%0.00905-31.02%0.2596✓0.90961k2022-06-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17830.173149-2.89%0.1638-8.13%0.0677✗1.37108k2022-06-07
SCSiacoinnative0.007390.007178-2.86%0.00565-23.55%0.1289✓1.23367k2022-06-07
FIDABonfidaSolana0.9220.895714-2.85%0.465-49.57%0.5560✓1.1143k2022-06-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.5971.5518-2.83%1.3839-13.34%0.0326✓0.9180k2022-06-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum11.9111.5738-2.82%6.828-42.67%0.4173✓1.238.0M2022-06-07
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9480.921531-2.79%0.811-14.45%0.0281✓1.113.2M2022-06-07
IMXImmutableEthereum1.3631.325-2.79%0.969-28.91%0.1853✓1.428.2M2022-06-07
SUSHISushiEthereum2.112.053-2.70%1.56-26.07%0.1544✓1.343.2M2022-06-07
SOLSolanaSolana75.3473.3139-2.69%39.28-47.86%0.5124✓1.2482.2M2022-06-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.632.5599-2.66%2.809+6.81%0.1592✗0.74775k2022-06-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.84110.818864-2.64%0.6069-27.84%0.1811✓1.326.1M2022-06-07
MOVRMoonriverBase32.383331.5278-2.64%20.1594-37.75%0.3216✓1.40173k2022-06-07
STORJStorjEthereum0.781250.76142-2.54%0.58497-25.12%0.1519✓1.2474k2022-06-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.33960.331003-2.53%0.3143-7.45%0.0508✗1.14486k2022-06-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6140.598538-2.52%1.805+193.97%1.2314✗1.421.6M2022-06-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.006740.006572-2.49%0.0047-30.27%0.2792✓0.6220k2022-06-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.9580.935291-2.37%0.626-34.66%0.2842✓1.31327k2022-06-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.21090.205928-2.36%0.1569-25.60%0.1445✓1.426.1M2022-06-07
KCSKuCoinnative15.89615.5229-2.35%16.189+1.84%0.1130✗0.794.0M2022-06-07
BTTCBTTC0.000001610.000001573-2.33%0.00000108-32.92%0.3133✓0.707.6M2022-06-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.341.3095-2.27%0.95-29.10%0.1981✓1.37842k2022-06-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.070390.068801-2.26%0.0618-12.20%0.0283✓0.8827k2022-06-07
QNTQuantEthereum83.2281.3596-2.24%64.45-22.55%0.1465✓0.963.4M2022-06-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000018360.000017958-2.19%0.00001073-41.56%0.4231✓1.021.2M2022-06-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.054020.052842-2.18%0.03915-27.53%0.1997✓1.1255k2022-06-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.31835.2029-2.17%5.3187+0.01%0.0504✗0.32262k2022-06-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.0818.6684-2.16%11.66-38.89%0.4001✓0.79458k2022-06-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.18050.176619-2.15%0.1306-27.65%0.2229✓0.881.1M2022-06-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.68322.6262-2.13%2.5154-6.25%0.0163✓0.662.7M2022-06-07
ZECZcashZcash114111.5971-2.11%93.47-18.01%0.0730✓1.165.1M2022-06-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.8550.837383-2.06%0.477-44.21%0.4446✓1.32954k2022-06-07
GTGateEthereum6.13326.0075-2.05%5.4736-10.75%0.0532✓0.444.2M2022-06-07
ETHEthereumEthereum2,519.102,468.52-2.01%1,811.89-28.07%0.2186✓1.01428.7M2022-06-07
LUNATerraTerra 264.262.9321-1.97%0.00006324-100.00%13.6907✓1.346.9M2022-06-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.31440.308318-1.93%0.2952-6.11%0.0595✗1.15186k2022-06-07
KSMKusamaHydration111.73109.6254-1.88%67.25-39.81%0.3876✓1.131.0M2022-06-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.36740.360511-1.87%0.3017-17.88%0.0915✓0.97292k2022-06-07
MANADecentralandEthereum1.331.3052-1.86%1.0211-23.23%0.1365✓1.22734k2022-06-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.64212.5933-1.85%2.267-14.20%0.0775✓0.635.0M2022-06-07
XTZTezosTezos2.56152.5148-1.82%2.0679-19.27%0.0977✓1.09855k2022-06-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin34,027.9133,416.22-1.80%31,106.90-8.58%0.0181✗1.00553.2M2022-06-07
ORCAOrcaSolana1.41.376-1.71%0.82-41.43%0.4516✓0.74142k2022-06-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.9150.899629-1.68%0.699-23.61%0.1407✓1.241.7M2022-06-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.24.1299-1.67%3.42-18.57%0.1319✓0.63825k2022-06-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.963.8947-1.65%4.06+2.53%0.1103✗0.77585k2022-06-07
DIADIAEthereum0.640.629511-1.64%0.46793-26.89%0.2539✓0.4870k2022-06-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum33,986.5033,466.59-1.53%31,177.90-8.26%0.0158✗0.9726k2022-06-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02390.02354-1.50%0.02389-0.04%0.0585✗0.49400k2022-06-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.715.4684-1.48%9.187-41.48%0.4165✓1.1618.8M2022-06-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.81.7735-1.47%1.3-27.78%0.2177✓1.03134k2022-06-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.350.344924-1.45%0.19731-43.63%0.4337✓1.39250k2022-06-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03490.034404-1.42%0.02341-32.92%0.2151✓1.8921.9M2022-06-07
FTTFTXEthereum33.8333.3505-1.42%27.06-20.01%0.1258✓0.9311.0M2022-06-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.754.6835-1.40%4.75+0.00%0.0792✗0.73855k2022-06-07
STXStacksnative0.780.769088-1.40%0.5421-30.50%0.2602✓1.00260k2022-06-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.178.0646-1.29%7.45-8.81%0.0344✓0.501.2M2022-06-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.12980.12817-1.26%0.087-32.97%0.2107✓1.97245k2022-06-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2233.1829-1.24%4.677+45.11%0.4174✗0.362.4M2022-06-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot13.2613.0966-1.23%9.214-30.51%0.2522✓1.1111.6M2022-06-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.036310.035867-1.22%0.02843-21.70%0.1565✓0.85227k2022-06-07
UOSUltraEthereum0.575020.568069-1.21%0.37599-34.61%0.2929✓1.341.3M2022-06-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.6462.6158-1.14%3.082+16.48%0.2227✗0.651.0M2022-06-07
XVSVenusEthereum6.916.8322-1.13%5.81-15.92%0.0624✓1.112.6M2022-06-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche51.5750.9953-1.11%24.56-52.38%0.6212✓1.2243.7M2022-06-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.46590.460711-1.11%0.3526-24.32%0.1678✓1.117.9M2022-06-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.999.8839-1.06%8.705-12.86%0.0210✓1.1817.5M2022-06-07
AAVEAaveEthereum126.06124.7575-1.03%99.19-21.32%0.1093✓1.348.2M2022-06-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.953.9128-0.94%3.109-21.29%0.1405✓1.0067k2022-06-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.5014.464-0.82%2.749-38.92%0.3779✓1.19184k2022-06-07
GITCOINGITCOIN4.434.3986-0.71%2.9-34.54%0.2834✓1.4818k2022-06-07
CBKCobakEthereum1.571.5612-0.56%1.3031-17.00%0.1080✓0.8124k2022-06-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash261.65260.273-0.53%181.8-30.52%0.2689✓1.004.7M2022-06-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0163380.016258-0.49%0.014967-8.39%0.0288✓0.60193k2022-06-07
API3Api3Ethereum3.1793.1638-0.48%1.477-53.54%0.6663✓1.062.6M2022-06-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin93.8393.4469-0.41%63.77-32.04%0.2920✓1.0016.8M2022-06-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.104570.105205+0.61%0.07019-32.88%0.3383✗0.7418k2022-06-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.18.1849+1.05%5.42-33.09%0.3662✗0.512.7M2022-06-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0220680.022505+1.98%0.014954-32.24%0.3233✗0.954.0M2022-06-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.