8=======>

2022-05-07 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 165 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2541
165 of 165 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.87%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
87.9%
in alpha space · 94.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.60%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (165 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0224810.022867+1.72%0.01521-32.34%0.2871✗0.984.2M2022-06-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.110270.110192-0.07%0.07063-35.95%0.3567✓0.7117k2022-06-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.888.8321-0.54%5.58-37.16%0.3994✓0.482.5M2022-06-06
API3Api3Ethereum3.1223.1023-0.63%1.562-49.97%0.5519✓1.092.6M2022-06-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin94.2793.581-0.73%64.38-31.71%0.2465✓1.0317.3M2022-06-06
GITCOINGITCOIN4.4914.4355-1.24%2.804-37.56%0.2726✓1.5118k2022-06-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash267.87264.2501-1.35%185.41-30.78%0.2289✓1.024.9M2022-06-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.7212.6826-1.41%3.162+16.21%0.2457✗0.661.1M2022-06-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.5724.5049-1.47%2.866-37.31%0.3031✓1.21174k2022-06-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.6581.6334-1.49%1.3642-17.72%0.0808✓0.8024k2022-06-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173340.017064-1.56%0.015286-11.81%0.0377✓0.59193k2022-06-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0613.9975-1.56%2.833-30.24%0.2174✓1.0367k2022-06-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.47650.468926-1.59%0.3639-23.63%0.1149✓1.127.9M2022-06-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum10.2110.0464-1.60%7.971-21.93%0.0839✓1.2017.5M2022-06-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03450.033891-1.76%0.02403-30.35%0.1098✓1.9022.0M2022-06-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.630660.619487-1.77%0.36796-41.65%0.3559✓1.341.3M2022-06-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.024720.024274-1.80%0.02592+4.85%0.1240✗0.47405k2022-06-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.871.8361-1.81%1.29-31.02%0.2251✓1.04134k2022-06-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.874.7818-1.81%4.97+2.05%0.1284✗0.73930k2022-06-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3763.3119-1.90%4.612+36.61%0.3761✗0.362.4M2022-06-06
XTZTezosTezos2.51172.4615-2.00%2.061-17.94%0.0389✓1.12847k2022-06-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.03960.038805-2.01%0.02849-28.06%0.2059✓0.84227k2022-06-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.27335.164-2.07%5.1334-2.65%0.0311✗0.30278k2022-06-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot13.7513.4622-2.09%9.492-30.97%0.2128✓1.1111.6M2022-06-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.648.4579-2.11%7.53-12.85%0.0566✓0.481.2M2022-06-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche55.0353.866-2.12%25.98-52.79%0.5788✓1.2243.7M2022-06-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum35,568.5034,814.59-2.12%31,441.50-11.60%0.0175✓0.9726k2022-06-06
FTTFTXEthereum35.0934.3442-2.13%27.37-22.00%0.1133✓0.9211.7M2022-06-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14190.138878-2.13%0.0872-38.55%0.2231✓1.96256k2022-06-06
STXStacksnative0.810.792278-2.19%0.5587-31.02%0.2260✓1.00260k2022-06-06
ZECZcashZcash112.65110.1473-2.22%94.38-16.22%0.0088✓1.185.1M2022-06-06
ETHEthereumEthereum2,634.802,575.84-2.24%1,858.21-29.47%0.2025✓1.01437.0M2022-06-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.454.3501-2.25%3.21-27.87%0.2271✓0.62851k2022-06-06
AAVEAaveEthereum132.21129.2334-2.25%105.84-19.95%0.0342✓1.348.3M2022-06-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos16.4316.0565-2.27%9.457-42.44%0.3865✓1.1618.8M2022-06-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.083.986-2.30%4.09+0.25%0.1206✗0.77585k2022-06-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.76562.699-2.41%2.3293-15.78%0.0680✓0.645.0M2022-06-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.370.360998-2.43%0.20236-45.31%0.4027✓1.43268k2022-06-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin35,458.0034,589.97-2.45%31,343.61-11.60%0.0248✗1.00542.5M2022-06-06
DIADIAEthereum0.690.672688-2.51%0.45239-34.44%0.3385✓0.4770k2022-06-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.37041.336-2.51%1.0154-25.90%0.1248✓1.21760k2022-06-06
GTGateEthereum6.30716.1433-2.60%5.4841-13.05%0.0589✓0.444.1M2022-06-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.38830.378123-2.62%0.3228-16.87%0.0406✓0.95297k2022-06-06
KCSKuCoinnative16.73116.2764-2.72%16.559-1.03%0.1134✗0.784.0M2022-06-06
BTTCBTTC0.000001620.000001576-2.73%0.00000109-32.72%0.2811✓0.717.6M2022-06-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.20940.203654-2.74%0.1476-29.51%0.1396✓1.486.3M2022-06-06
XVSVenusEthereum7.437.2258-2.75%4.57-38.49%0.3175✓1.142.6M2022-06-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.073660.071628-2.76%0.06463-12.26%0.0057✓0.8829k2022-06-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.77262.6959-2.77%2.5863-6.72%0.0409✗0.672.8M2022-06-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.9640.937316-2.77%0.719-25.41%0.1112✓1.251.9M2022-06-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000019280.000018742-2.79%0.00001106-42.63%0.3969✓1.061.2M2022-06-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19130.185929-2.81%0.1323-30.84%0.2322✓0.881.2M2022-06-06
KSMKusamaHydration117.99114.6296-2.85%70.26-40.45%0.3519✓1.121.0M2022-06-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.371.3305-2.88%0.88-35.77%0.2430✓1.38875k2022-06-06
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9480.920491-2.90%0.813-14.24%0.0137✓1.123.3M2022-06-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.87460.848542-2.98%0.6122-30.00%0.1627✓1.336.3M2022-06-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.9960.966241-2.99%0.652-34.54%0.2323✓1.31344k2022-06-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9040.87673-3.02%0.504-44.25%0.3925✓1.311.0M2022-06-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.2119.6-3.02%12.09-40.18%0.3881✓0.77445k2022-06-06
QNTQuantEthereum87.0984.4509-3.03%67.76-22.20%0.0972✓1.003.4M2022-06-06
LUNATerraTerra 268.0265.9557-3.03%0.00008059-100.00%13.4504✓1.346.9M2022-06-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6130.594394-3.04%1.053+71.78%0.7506✗1.451.6M2022-06-06
ORCAOrcaSolana1.531.4833-3.05%0.84-45.10%0.4799✓0.72142k2022-06-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.807880.783087-3.07%0.6076-24.79%0.0993✓1.2588k2022-06-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.63191.5815-3.09%1.43-12.37%0.0129✓0.9280k2022-06-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.33160.321204-3.14%0.306-7.72%0.0928✗1.15188k2022-06-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.4221.3757-3.26%1.04-26.86%0.1046✓1.428.3M2022-06-06
UMAUMAEthereum5.2745.1017-3.27%3.103-41.16%0.3177✓1.461.6M2022-06-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.056110.054239-3.33%0.03982-29.03%0.1715✓1.1155k2022-06-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00710.006861-3.36%0.0051-28.17%0.2210✓0.6121k2022-06-06
SUSHISushiEthereum2.142.0654-3.48%1.62-24.30%0.0759✓1.353.3M2022-06-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.722.6249-3.50%3.017+10.92%0.2298✗0.73788k2022-06-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.36540.352521-3.52%0.3225-11.74%0.0504✗1.13487k2022-06-06
RADRadworksEthereum3.443.3178-3.55%2.22-35.47%0.2951✓0.87541k2022-06-06
SCSiacoinnative0.007570.007301-3.56%0.00581-23.25%0.0750✓1.24373k2022-06-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.0511.6209-3.56%7.576-37.13%0.2744✓1.248.3M2022-06-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.484.3188-3.60%4.21-6.03%0.0589✗0.68497k2022-06-06
XYMSymbolnative0.08410.081072-3.60%0.059309-29.48%0.2280✓0.69657k2022-06-06
MOVRMoonriverBase34.658833.395-3.65%20.5584-40.68%0.3078✓1.44173k2022-06-06
HIVEHivenative0.74230.714919-3.69%0.5692-23.32%0.0973✓1.061.4M2022-06-06
XEMNEMnative0.08060.077616-3.70%0.053095-34.13%0.2574✓0.9954k2022-06-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin13.2512.7529-3.75%7.563-42.92%0.3804✓1.156.5M2022-06-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1675110.16119-3.77%0.144814-13.55%0.0169✓1.0113.6M2022-06-06
SOLSolanaSolana78.8375.8382-3.80%42.35-46.28%0.4298✓1.2482.2M2022-06-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04940.047513-3.82%0.035-29.15%0.1564✓1.21176k2022-06-06
COMPCompoundEthereum99.0695.269-3.83%59.38-40.06%0.3206✓1.2331k2022-06-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.9570.919941-3.87%0.485-49.32%0.5026✓1.1143k2022-06-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1273390.12239-3.89%0.082485-35.22%0.2786✓0.947.1M2022-06-06
ADACardanoCardano0.75980.730212-3.89%0.6087-19.89%0.0381✓1.1740.5M2022-06-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.63373.4888-3.99%2.565-29.41%0.1708✓1.11173k2022-06-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.18950.18184-4.04%0.1709-9.82%0.1071✗1.37109k2022-06-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.49.9787-4.05%6.61-36.44%0.2824✓1.05748k2022-06-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum13.412.8529-4.08%10.96-18.21%0.0171✓1.43136k2022-06-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2170.208022-4.14%0.1275-41.24%0.4009✓0.7222k2022-06-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00780.007475-4.16%0.00431-44.74%0.4080✓1.161.7M2022-06-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.7920.8774-4.19%12.56-42.36%0.3530✓1.26532k2022-06-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.23550.225599-4.20%0.1942-17.54%0.0006✓1.21372k2022-06-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.13580.130034-4.25%0.0879-35.27%0.2285✓1.32180k2022-06-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.22422.1295-4.26%1.5277-31.31%0.2506✓0.6614k2022-06-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.16740.160241-4.28%0.1296-22.58%0.0658✓1.191.3M2022-06-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.82654.6185-4.31%3.2249-33.18%0.2218✓1.118.6M2022-06-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.013920.013319-4.32%0.00924-33.62%0.2543✓0.901.0M2022-06-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12030.115098-4.32%0.0925-23.11%0.1150✓0.84136k2022-06-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.036220.034639-4.36%0.029571-18.36%0.0511✓0.8731k2022-06-06
XVGVergenative0.007690.00735-4.42%0.00484-37.06%0.2761✓1.15898k2022-06-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.10110.09663-4.42%0.0684-32.34%0.2416✓0.84416k2022-06-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.3164.1244-4.44%2.776-35.68%0.2075✓1.537.1M2022-06-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.70.668151-4.55%0.84358+20.51%0.3898✗1.27412k2022-06-06
DASHDashDash83.4179.6058-4.56%60.01-28.05%0.1502✓1.071.1M2022-06-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016270.015526-4.57%0.01214-25.38%0.0464✓1.6248.2M2022-06-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.01550.014791-4.58%0.00859-44.58%0.4372✓0.86209k2022-06-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.017810.016993-4.59%0.01186-33.41%0.2672✓0.752.9M2022-06-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.32810.31301-4.60%0.1941-40.84%0.3986✓0.643,2632022-06-06
BANDBandEthereum2.7842.6546-4.65%1.72-38.22%0.2730✓1.31499k2022-06-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.69e-78.28e-7-4.66%6.31e-7-27.38%0.2717✓0.00717k2022-06-06
DODODODOEthereum0.2740.261175-4.68%0.1715-37.41%0.2610✓1.294.9M2022-06-06
UNIUniswapEthereum7.176.833-4.70%5.369-25.12%0.1028✓1.124.2M2022-06-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.524.3069-4.71%2.84-37.17%0.2266✓1.54335k2022-06-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.63622.5106-4.77%1.9814-24.84%0.1149✓0.9910.0M2022-06-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.4563.2906-4.79%1.98-42.71%0.2967✓1.711.2M2022-06-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.556810.529968-4.82%0.40356-27.52%0.1352✓1.11129k2022-06-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.29180.277604-4.86%0.1585-45.68%0.4054✓1.266.3M2022-06-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2272.1178-4.91%1.286-42.25%0.3321✓1.355.1M2022-06-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.8725.5428-4.94%22.51-16.23%0.0237✓1.224.6M2022-06-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.1331.0768-4.96%0.602-46.87%0.4364✓1.1836k2022-06-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.941.8424-5.03%1.06-45.36%0.4841✓0.56264k2022-06-06
QTUMQtumQtum5.2284.9632-5.07%4.0349-22.82%0.0636✓1.1698k2022-06-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum28.6527.1521-5.23%20.69-27.78%0.1044✓1.363.5M2022-06-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.4253.2405-5.39%1.794-47.62%0.4135✓1.4475k2022-06-06
NANOnanopayBase1.73281.6389-5.42%1.1816-31.81%0.1881✓1.13145k2022-06-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.15410.145706-5.45%0.06821-55.74%0.6357✓1.003.4M2022-06-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.37050.350297-5.45%0.1442-61.08%0.8344✓0.43540k2022-06-06
XMRMoneroMonero204.44193.2441-5.48%189.44-7.34%0.0944✗0.933.0M2022-06-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.6640.627202-5.54%0.3392-48.92%0.4669✓1.2097k2022-06-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.390.368318-5.56%0.281-27.95%0.1319✓1.124.3M2022-06-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003070.002899-5.58%0.001275-58.47%0.6786✓1.163.9M2022-06-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.667580.63012-5.61%0.428069-35.88%0.2476✓1.135.6M2022-06-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13480.126927-5.84%0.069-48.81%0.4460✓1.333.8M2022-06-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV70.3366.1956-5.88%57.654-18.02%0.0324✓0.862.1M2022-06-06
PROPropyEthereum1.681.5811-5.89%1.07-36.31%0.3138✓0.62507k2022-06-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.2182.0864-5.93%1.349-39.18%0.2440✓1.56665k2022-06-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.69460.652877-6.01%0.5543-20.20%0.0001✓1.33296k2022-06-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0125430.011787-6.02%0.00958-23.62%0.0971✓0.8939k2022-06-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.25650.240961-6.06%0.2146-16.34%0.0498✓1.34675k2022-06-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.3154.9914-6.09%3.611-32.06%0.2435✓0.651.4M2022-06-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1330.124823-6.15%0.0634-52.33%0.6087✓0.56134k2022-06-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum16,364.7315,358.11-6.15%7,455.25-54.44%0.5973✓1.022.3M2022-06-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0610.057231-6.18%0.05285-13.36%0.0254✓0.859,8712022-06-06
ZENHorizenBase35.3833.1573-6.28%20.95-40.79%0.2941✓1.34173k2022-06-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.18190.170268-6.39%0.1224-32.71%0.1566✓1.411.8M2022-06-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.523.2948-6.40%1.75-50.28%0.4522✓1.46349k2022-06-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5770.539889-6.43%0.369-36.05%0.2848✓0.781.3M2022-06-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.317.121-6.44%12.17-33.50%0.1730✓1.362.3M2022-06-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08580.080139-6.60%0.0536-37.53%0.2971✓0.852.4M2022-06-06
APEApeCoinEthereum12.35311.5239-6.71%6.382-48.34%0.3447✓2.0075.7M2022-06-06
XECeCashnative0.000069860.000065138-6.76%0.00005296-24.19%0.0797✓1.037.2M2022-06-06
TRXTRONTron0.0833540.077489-7.04%0.081464-2.27%0.1415✗0.74304k2022-06-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74840.6952-7.11%0.4126-44.87%0.4002✓0.9910.9M2022-06-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.541590.501056-7.48%0.42235-22.02%0.0211✓1.2148k2022-06-06
STEEMSteemnative0.38560.356364-7.58%0.284-26.35%0.1036✓1.003.5M2022-06-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.21650.199893-7.67%0.1106-48.91%0.3832✓1.691.1M2022-06-06
GMTGMTEthereum2.5622.3642-7.72%1.005-60.77%0.7321✓1.009.0M2022-06-06
MINAMina Protocolnative1.721.5753-8.41%0.873-49.24%0.4462✓1.17835k2022-06-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7321.5861-8.43%1.559-9.99%0.1241✗1.1517.4M2022-06-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2991.1883-8.52%0.874-32.72%0.1819✓1.02501k2022-06-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.