8=======>

2022-05-06 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 164 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2182
164 of 164 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.52%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
87.2%
in alpha space · 95.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-16.94%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (164 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0224190.022809+1.74%0.015252-31.97%0.2220✗0.974.2M2022-06-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.238.2367+0.08%5.42-34.14%0.3262✗0.502.5M2022-06-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.112350.112277-0.06%0.0666-40.72%0.3837✓0.7517k2022-06-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin96.6995.6819-1.04%63.1-34.74%0.2236✓1.0417.5M2022-06-05
API3Api3Ethereum3.2843.2471-1.12%1.508-54.08%0.5662✓1.082.8M2022-06-05
GITCOINGITCOIN4.6974.6339-1.34%2.731-41.86%0.2491✓1.5118k2022-06-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8252.7767-1.71%2.754-2.51%0.1133✗0.651.1M2022-06-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0944.0205-1.80%2.722-33.51%0.1982✓1.0373k2022-06-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.667440.655345-1.81%0.36717-44.99%0.3308✓1.341.3M2022-06-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash274.77269.749-1.83%179.67-34.61%0.2185✓1.015.0M2022-06-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.024630.024179-1.83%0.0255+3.53%0.1397✗0.47405k2022-06-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.038340.037632-1.85%0.02841-25.90%0.1249✓0.84222k2022-06-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.49360.484406-1.86%0.3487-29.36%0.1209✓1.127.9M2022-06-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.7371.7038-1.91%1.3104-24.56%0.1143✓0.8024k2022-06-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.884.7855-1.94%4.51-7.58%0.0757✗0.73987k2022-06-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,069.7035,362.35-1.96%29,859.60-17.22%0.0100✓0.9726k2022-06-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.13780.134986-2.04%0.0869-36.94%0.0729✓1.98256k2022-06-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.37675.2667-2.05%5.1091-4.98%0.0273✗0.31278k2022-06-05
XTZTezosTezos2.50782.4556-2.08%1.9503-22.23%0.0225✓1.12847k2022-06-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.931.8894-2.10%1.26-34.72%0.2129✓1.04134k2022-06-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.01820.017801-2.19%0.01482-18.57%0.0769✓0.57193k2022-06-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.8944.786-2.21%2.813-42.52%0.3084✓1.20184k2022-06-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.648.4448-2.26%7.43-14.00%0.0371✓0.491.3M2022-06-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum10.7910.5443-2.28%7.64-29.19%0.1015✓1.1918.3M2022-06-05
ETHEthereumEthereum2,691.722,628.66-2.34%1,804.70-32.95%0.1900✓1.00438.2M2022-06-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4673.3847-2.37%4.537+30.86%0.3604✗0.362.4M2022-06-05
FTTFTXEthereum35.8934.9947-2.49%26.13-27.19%0.1218✓0.9211.7M2022-06-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.13.9944-2.58%4.07-0.73%0.1608✗0.77630k2022-06-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0370.036038-2.60%0.01983-46.41%0.2553✓1.8423.0M2022-06-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin35,999.1035,060.79-2.61%29,901.54-16.94%0.0264✗1.00553.2M2022-06-05
STXStacksnative0.860.836976-2.68%0.5329-38.03%0.2648✓1.01274k2022-06-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche5755.4518-2.72%24.15-57.63%0.6055✓1.2244.2M2022-06-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot14.3213.9243-2.76%9.339-34.78%0.1942✓1.1111.7M2022-06-05
DIADIAEthereum0.710.690108-2.80%0.44367-37.51%0.3550✓0.4770k2022-06-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.854.7134-2.82%3.38-30.31%0.2192✓0.61851k2022-06-05
GTGateEthereum6.34966.1701-2.83%5.401-14.94%0.0504✓0.454.2M2022-06-05
KCSKuCoinnative16.94316.4618-2.84%16.331-3.61%0.1366✗0.784.1M2022-06-05
ZECZcashZcash123.65120.0943-2.88%90.36-26.92%0.0652✓1.185.1M2022-06-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.39850.386859-2.92%0.294-26.22%0.0986✓0.95299k2022-06-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.076010.073787-2.92%0.06424-15.48%0.0233✓0.8730k2022-06-05
MANADecentralandEthereum1.4491.405-3.04%0.97643-32.61%0.1364✓1.23805k2022-06-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19550.189512-3.06%0.1294-33.81%0.2204✓0.871.1M2022-06-05
BTTCBTTC0.000001670.000001619-3.07%0.00000109-34.73%0.2647✓0.707.7M2022-06-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos17.6617.1155-3.08%9.166-48.10%0.4110✓1.1518.8M2022-06-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.390.377836-3.12%0.20206-48.19%0.3593✓1.44278k2022-06-05
AAVEAaveEthereum138.23133.8941-3.14%103.57-25.07%0.0078✓1.348.9M2022-06-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020040.0000194-3.19%0.00001078-46.21%0.3817✓1.111.3M2022-06-05
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9880.956397-3.20%0.796-19.43%0.0212✓1.103.5M2022-06-05
XVSVenusEthereum7.557.3069-3.22%4.53-40.00%0.2665✓1.142.8M2022-06-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.007070.006842-3.23%0.00487-31.12%0.2262✓0.6124k2022-06-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.91910.889218-3.25%0.6064-34.02%0.1392✓1.316.5M2022-06-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.0481.0137-3.27%0.63-39.89%0.2318✓1.31357k2022-06-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.3319.6616-3.29%11.72-42.35%0.3758✓0.76412k2022-06-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9130.882906-3.30%0.504-44.80%0.3190✓1.301.1M2022-06-05
XYMSymbolnative0.08670.083706-3.45%0.05681-34.48%0.2598✓0.69657k2022-06-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.18733.076-3.49%2.3523-26.20%0.1526✓0.625.0M2022-06-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.68681.6277-3.50%1.3849-17.90%0.0091✓0.9280k2022-06-05
QNTQuantEthereum90.2687.0841-3.52%64.76-28.25%0.1115✓1.003.3M2022-06-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.850450.820431-3.53%0.57798-32.04%0.1191✓1.2588k2022-06-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5071.4532-3.57%0.977-35.17%0.1369✓1.408.3M2022-06-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.22630.218168-3.59%0.1408-37.78%0.1651✓1.476.5M2022-06-05
KSMKusamaHydration126.34121.7866-3.60%67.69-46.42%0.3800✓1.121.0M2022-06-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.99352.8848-3.63%2.5379-15.22%0.0055✓0.662.9M2022-06-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.36220.348681-3.73%0.3297-8.97%0.1537✗1.13486k2022-06-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6410.616949-3.75%0.804+25.43%0.5336✗1.451.7M2022-06-05
XEMNEMnative0.08310.079981-3.75%0.051007-38.62%0.2676✓0.9855k2022-06-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.544.3681-3.79%4.12-9.25%0.0688✗0.69515k2022-06-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0411.0014-3.81%0.73-29.88%0.0877✓1.232.1M2022-06-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.7572.6513-3.83%2.923+6.02%0.2335✗0.73824k2022-06-05
RADRadworksEthereum3.583.4426-3.84%2.11-41.06%0.3277✓0.87555k2022-06-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.491.4327-3.84%0.87-41.61%0.2453✓1.37909k2022-06-05
UMAUMAEthereum5.4675.2519-3.93%3.077-43.72%0.2662✓1.451.6M2022-06-05
ORCAOrcaSolana1.711.6412-4.02%0.85-50.29%0.5277✓0.70146k2022-06-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1277160.122571-4.03%0.081039-36.55%0.2378✓0.957.1M2022-06-05
HIVEHivenative0.77030.739223-4.03%0.551-28.47%0.0967✓1.061.5M2022-06-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1714840.164565-4.04%0.143326-16.42%0.0494✗1.0113.8M2022-06-05
SCSiacoinnative0.00790.007579-4.07%0.00559-29.24%0.0752✓1.23373k2022-06-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.4711.9562-4.12%7.34-41.14%0.2562✓1.258.5M2022-06-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.67213.5206-4.13%2.4897-32.20%0.1412✓1.11173k2022-06-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.18862.0978-4.15%1.4874-32.04%0.2214✓0.6614k2022-06-05
LUNATerraTerra 277.3674.1056-4.21%0.000079-100.00%13.5076✓1.316.9M2022-06-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2180.208719-4.26%0.1274-41.56%0.3599✓0.7222k2022-06-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.058520.056022-4.27%0.03855-34.13%0.1669✓1.1170k2022-06-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.69874.4978-4.27%3.1878-32.16%0.1361✓1.128.6M2022-06-05
ADACardanoCardano0.78310.749615-4.28%0.5669-27.61%0.0636✓1.1641.1M2022-06-05
MOVRMoonriverBase37.03735.4478-4.29%20.9153-43.53%0.2599✓1.44173k2022-06-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.35210.33697-4.30%0.3001-14.77%0.0947✗1.13188k2022-06-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin13.8713.2722-4.31%7.358-46.95%0.3768✓1.157.4M2022-06-05
COMPCompoundEthereum103.599.0127-4.34%58.45-43.53%0.2986✓1.2330k2022-06-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.9780.935028-4.39%0.477-51.23%0.4670✓1.1147k2022-06-05
SUSHISushiEthereum2.252.1506-4.42%1.54-31.56%0.0831✓1.353.6M2022-06-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.7920.8266-4.42%12.33-43.41%0.2892✓1.27532k2022-06-05
SOLSolanaSolana81.6678.0089-4.47%38.49-52.87%0.4775✓1.2385.8M2022-06-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.036940.03525-4.57%0.028859-21.88%0.0396✓0.8632k2022-06-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12160.115955-4.64%0.088-27.63%0.1212✓0.83146k2022-06-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.17310.165003-4.68%0.1262-27.09%0.0445✓1.201.3M2022-06-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19770.188433-4.69%0.1655-16.29%0.1238✗1.37110k2022-06-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.24720.235458-4.75%0.1822-26.29%0.0332✓1.20380k2022-06-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.9510.4263-4.78%6.47-40.91%0.2834✓1.04887k2022-06-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05240.049892-4.79%0.0341-34.92%0.1568✓1.21179k2022-06-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014130.013452-4.80%0.00895-36.66%0.2409✓0.901.0M2022-06-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.017960.017093-4.83%0.01146-36.19%0.2595✓0.763.2M2022-06-05
NANOnanopayBase1.68051.5984-4.89%1.1647-30.69%0.1064✓1.13145k2022-06-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.10440.099285-4.90%0.0646-38.12%0.2706✓0.86425k2022-06-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.33970.323013-4.91%0.1601-52.87%0.5833✓0.643,3932022-06-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.016290.015488-4.93%0.00902-44.63%0.3841✓0.84223k2022-06-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.008470.008051-4.95%0.00419-50.53%0.4353✓1.172.0M2022-06-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.70.665159-4.98%0.82431+17.76%0.4505✗1.27424k2022-06-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01720.016343-4.98%0.01211-29.59%0.0012✓1.6148.2M2022-06-05
DODODODOEthereum0.2880.273421-5.06%0.1652-42.64%0.2636✓1.295.0M2022-06-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.2313.5094-5.06%10.3-27.62%0.0037✓1.44140k2022-06-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.02752.8704-5.19%1.9583-35.32%0.2031✓0.9710.0M2022-06-05
BANDBandEthereum2.9262.7703-5.32%1.629-44.33%0.2900✓1.30504k2022-06-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.14380.136133-5.33%0.0746-48.12%0.3570✓1.32180k2022-06-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.931.8271-5.33%1.05-45.60%0.4508✓0.56272k2022-06-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.64550.610942-5.35%0.3423-46.97%0.3499✓1.24101k2022-06-05
DASHDashDash87.6382.92-5.37%58.53-33.21%0.1488✓1.081.2M2022-06-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.29520.279329-5.38%0.156-47.15%0.3477✓1.276.5M2022-06-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2952.1714-5.39%1.209-47.32%0.3368✓1.345.1M2022-06-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.579870.548344-5.44%0.382-34.12%0.1557✓1.11129k2022-06-05
XVGVergenative0.008050.00761-5.47%0.00493-38.76%0.2215✓1.15926k2022-06-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.90e-78.42e-7-5.47%6.49e-7-27.14%0.2605✓-0.00717k2022-06-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.16150.152659-5.47%0.06666-58.72%0.6430✓1.003.8M2022-06-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum28.5126.9429-5.50%20.08-29.57%0.0337✓1.403.8M2022-06-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.5993.4011-5.50%1.946-45.93%0.2412✓1.711.3M2022-06-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.9526.4111-5.51%21.8-22.00%0.0327✓1.214.8M2022-06-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.74.4395-5.54%2.73-41.91%0.2001✓1.54339k2022-06-05
QTUMQtumQtum5.44765.1415-5.62%3.8688-28.98%0.0690✓1.1698k2022-06-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.5964.3347-5.68%2.609-43.23%0.2265✓1.527.3M2022-06-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.4733.2709-5.82%1.742-49.84%0.3582✓1.4679k2022-06-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4140.3894-5.94%0.273-34.06%0.1474✓1.124.3M2022-06-05
UNIUniswapEthereum7.597.1361-5.98%5.092-32.91%0.1296✓1.124.3M2022-06-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.2411.1668-5.98%0.596-51.97%0.4554✓1.1743k2022-06-05
XMRMoneroMonero218.44205.2593-6.03%187.77-14.04%0.0816✗0.923.1M2022-06-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003140.002949-6.07%0.001262-59.81%0.6333✓1.164.0M2022-06-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7019970.659103-6.11%0.407448-41.96%0.2735✓1.125.5M2022-06-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0129840.012173-6.25%0.009685-25.41%0.0630✓0.8940k2022-06-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV72.4467.8953-6.27%56.443-22.08%0.0259✓0.862.1M2022-06-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2174.8839-6.38%3.53-32.34%0.2040✓0.651.5M2022-06-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.570.533531-6.40%0.387-32.11%0.1748✓0.791.3M2022-06-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14160.13243-6.48%0.068-51.98%0.4224✓1.324.3M2022-06-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.40720.380608-6.53%0.1403-65.55%0.9182✓0.43565k2022-06-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.417.1968-6.54%11.05-39.95%0.1884✓1.372.2M2022-06-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3272.1735-6.60%1.371-41.08%0.1706✓1.56713k2022-06-05
PROPropyEthereum1.751.634-6.63%1.23-29.71%0.1720✓0.60507k2022-06-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.062910.058693-6.70%0.05212-17.15%0.0382✓0.8510k2022-06-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.69790.650914-6.73%0.3914-43.92%0.3236✓1.0010.9M2022-06-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum16,718.3215,592.21-6.74%7,431.12-55.55%0.5546✓1.012.5M2022-06-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.72480.675627-6.78%0.5059-30.20%0.0377✓1.36307k2022-06-05
ZENHorizenBase36.3933.909-6.82%19.72-45.81%0.2935✓1.34173k2022-06-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.26810.249493-6.94%0.2192-18.24%0.1193✗1.34722k2022-06-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1410.131008-7.09%0.0607-56.95%0.6682✓0.54148k2022-06-05
APEApeCoinEthereum13.25912.3155-7.12%6.092-54.05%0.3367✓1.9875.7M2022-06-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08960.083178-7.17%0.0534-40.40%0.2854✓0.852.5M2022-06-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.19130.177486-7.22%0.1188-37.90%0.1424✓1.401.9M2022-06-05
XECeCashnative0.000071540.000066344-7.26%0.00004817-32.67%0.1287✓1.037.6M2022-06-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.713.4342-7.43%1.72-53.64%0.4202✓1.46355k2022-06-05
TRXTRONTron0.0864820.080006-7.49%0.081368-5.91%0.1538✗0.74297k2022-06-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.21570.199001-7.74%0.1129-47.66%0.2404✓1.761.1M2022-06-05
STEEMSteemnative0.37590.34627-7.88%0.3016-19.77%0.0475✓1.003.9M2022-06-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.584460.537422-8.05%0.41162-29.57%0.0443✓1.2053k2022-06-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8381.6757-8.83%1.424-22.52%0.0479✓1.1417.4M2022-06-05
MINAMina Protocolnative1.841.662-9.67%0.837-54.51%0.4692✓1.17929k2022-06-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3561.2221-9.87%0.858-36.73%0.1651✓1.02462k2022-06-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.