8=======>

2022-05-05 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 164 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2122
164 of 164 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+18.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
87.8%
in alpha space · 95.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.32%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (164 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0235240.023881+1.52%0.015222-35.29%0.2543✗0.974.3M2022-06-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.11520.114816-0.33%0.06905-40.06%0.3577✓0.7417k2022-06-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.658.6134-0.42%5.48-36.65%0.3529✓0.492.5M2022-06-04
GITCOINGITCOIN4.5544.4994-1.20%2.819-38.10%0.1614✓1.5119k2022-06-04
API3Api3Ethereum3.2583.2174-1.24%1.494-54.14%0.5476✓1.083.0M2022-06-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin96.8495.6079-1.27%63.68-34.24%0.1959✓1.0417.5M2022-06-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.13425.0513-1.61%4.9981-2.65%0.0542✗0.32262k2022-06-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8872.8289-2.01%2.881-0.21%0.1504✗0.651.2M2022-06-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.039240.038432-2.06%0.02738-30.22%0.1692✓0.84227k2022-06-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.49820.487933-2.06%0.3494-29.87%0.1070✓1.128.1M2022-06-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14020.137201-2.14%0.0916-34.66%0.0025✓1.98266k2022-06-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,624.3035,833.82-2.16%29,796.60-18.64%0.0106✓0.9625k2022-06-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.931.8878-2.19%1.23-36.27%0.2183✓1.04128k2022-06-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.8714.764-2.20%2.981-38.80%0.2247✓1.21184k2022-06-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.974.8608-2.20%4.56-8.25%0.0831✗0.731.0M2022-06-04
XTZTezosTezos2.48952.4347-2.20%1.9076-23.37%0.0165✓1.12855k2022-06-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.710320.694646-2.21%0.36017-49.29%0.3867✓1.331.3M2022-06-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.026210.025619-2.25%0.02949+12.51%0.2337✗0.46416k2022-06-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash277.17270.8526-2.28%188.78-31.89%0.1563✓1.015.2M2022-06-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2034.1048-2.34%2.694-35.90%0.2121✓1.0373k2022-06-04
ETHEthereumEthereum2,747.432,678.27-2.52%1,803.35-34.36%0.1929✓1.00438.2M2022-06-04
CBKCobakEthereum1.7881.7426-2.54%1.2725-28.83%0.1534✓0.8024k2022-06-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.798.5644-2.57%7.52-14.45%0.0314✓0.491.4M2022-06-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.018610.018128-2.59%0.015902-14.55%0.0153✓0.57195k2022-06-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum10.9210.6323-2.63%7.406-32.18%0.1209✓1.1918.3M2022-06-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5183.4196-2.80%4.645+32.04%0.3795✗0.362.4M2022-06-04
FTTFTXEthereum36.2135.1637-2.89%25.99-28.22%0.1165✓0.9211.7M2022-06-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03710.036017-2.92%0.02035-45.15%0.1994✓1.8423.0M2022-06-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,537.2235,457.82-2.95%29,843.18-18.32%0.0300✗1.00553.2M2022-06-04
KCSKuCoinnative17.2716.755-2.98%16.779-2.84%0.1588✗0.784.3M2022-06-04
GTGateEthereum6.33616.1465-2.99%5.4021-14.74%0.0387✓0.454.5M2022-06-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.884.733-3.01%3.05-37.50%0.3156✓0.61869k2022-06-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19410.188159-3.06%0.1311-32.46%0.1854✓0.871.2M2022-06-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.194.0613-3.07%4.02-4.06%0.1443✗0.76690k2022-06-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.077340.074916-3.13%0.06559-15.19%0.0433✗0.8732k2022-06-04
ZECZcashZcash125.68121.7147-3.16%90.43-28.05%0.0586✓1.185.5M2022-06-04
STXStacksnative0.890.861857-3.16%0.5281-40.66%0.2869✓1.00274k2022-06-04
DIADIAEthereum0.740.716294-3.20%0.45767-38.15%0.3542✓0.4670k2022-06-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot14.5914.116-3.25%9.44-35.30%0.1789✓1.1011.7M2022-06-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4070.393644-3.28%0.2819-30.74%0.1425✓0.95305k2022-06-04
BTTCBTTC0.000001680.000001625-3.30%0.00000107-36.31%0.2749✓0.717.7M2022-06-04
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9990.965833-3.32%0.79-20.92%0.0223✓1.103.6M2022-06-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos17.8317.2318-3.36%9.246-48.14%0.3894✓1.1519.4M2022-06-04
MANADecentralandEthereum1.46831.4188-3.37%0.98025-33.24%0.1220✓1.22886k2022-06-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche59.0257.0085-3.41%24.57-58.37%0.5959✓1.2144.2M2022-06-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11813.0113-3.43%2.2785-26.93%0.1520✓0.635.4M2022-06-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020290.000019592-3.44%0.00001086-46.48%0.3655✓1.111.4M2022-06-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9080.876161-3.51%0.501-44.82%0.2946✓1.311.1M2022-06-04
UMAUMAEthereum5.1484.9651-3.55%3.091-39.96%0.1794✓1.461.6M2022-06-04
XYMSymbolnative0.08930.086122-3.56%0.056908-36.27%0.2752✓0.69675k2022-06-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.071.0319-3.56%0.623-41.78%0.2390✓1.31358k2022-06-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.007210.006952-3.58%0.00468-35.09%0.2718✓0.6127k2022-06-04
XVSVenusEthereum7.577.2969-3.61%4.69-38.04%0.2109✓1.142.9M2022-06-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96530.930432-3.61%0.6078-37.04%0.1613✓1.316.6M2022-06-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.96552.8575-3.64%2.5364-14.47%0.0151✓0.663.2M2022-06-04
XEMNEMnative0.08360.080539-3.66%0.050577-39.50%0.2665✓0.9869k2022-06-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.69721.6336-3.75%1.32-22.23%0.0269✓0.9284k2022-06-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.855340.823057-3.77%0.56161-34.34%0.1302✓1.2588k2022-06-04
AAVEAaveEthereum141.32135.9284-3.82%106.84-24.40%0.0306✓1.349.8M2022-06-04
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5741.5129-3.88%0.963-38.82%0.1684✓1.408.3M2022-06-04
QNTQuantEthereum91.8888.3036-3.89%65.53-28.68%0.0968✓1.003.4M2022-06-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.410.393879-3.93%0.19969-51.30%0.3890✓1.43284k2022-06-04
KSMKusamaHydration127.39122.3111-3.99%68.67-46.09%0.3512✓1.121.0M2022-06-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.2290.219823-4.01%0.1407-38.56%0.1482✓1.476.7M2022-06-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.481.4203-4.04%0.86-41.89%0.2247✓1.37951k2022-06-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6390.61321-4.04%0.855+33.80%0.6262✗1.451.7M2022-06-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0350.99284-4.07%0.692-33.14%0.1115✓1.232.2M2022-06-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.624.4306-4.10%4.19-9.31%0.0827✗0.68575k2022-06-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1710620.163922-4.17%0.143441-16.15%0.0714✗1.0113.8M2022-06-04
HIVEHivenative0.76730.735073-4.20%0.5363-30.11%0.1001✓1.061.5M2022-06-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.12810.122641-4.26%0.081667-36.25%0.2144✓0.957.1M2022-06-04
RADRadworksEthereum3.743.5785-4.32%2.04-45.45%0.3864✓0.87564k2022-06-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.3121.3359-4.37%11.86-46.84%0.4348✓0.75412k2022-06-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.220.210251-4.43%0.1276-42.00%0.3534✓0.7223k2022-06-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.76974.5583-4.43%3.2309-32.26%0.1171✓1.128.6M2022-06-04
COMPCompoundEthereum104.67100.0068-4.46%56.35-46.16%0.3246✓1.2333k2022-06-04
SCSiacoinnative0.008040.007679-4.49%0.00547-31.97%0.0896✓1.23382k2022-06-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.520.5335-4.50%12.41-42.28%0.2465✓1.27532k2022-06-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.39430.376263-4.57%0.3192-19.05%0.0615✗1.12487k2022-06-04
ADACardanoCardano0.78840.752208-4.59%0.5662-28.18%0.0484✓1.1641.1M2022-06-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.74233.5703-4.60%2.4485-34.57%0.1536✓1.10177k2022-06-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8922.7588-4.61%3.28+13.42%0.3203✗0.73915k2022-06-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin13.9813.3338-4.62%7.452-46.70%0.3493✓1.157.5M2022-06-04
ORCAOrcaSolana1.781.6976-4.63%0.82-53.93%0.5865✓0.70153k2022-06-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.7112.1207-4.64%7.737-39.13%0.1962✓1.258.7M2022-06-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.03780.036012-4.73%0.02827-25.21%0.0674✓0.8634k2022-06-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.32820.312459-4.80%0.158-51.86%0.5510✓0.654,4692022-06-04
MOVRMoonriverBase38.470336.6004-4.86%20.6396-46.35%0.2811✓1.44182k2022-06-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.1010.096064-4.89%0.0663-34.36%0.1959✓0.86425k2022-06-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.3652.2492-4.90%1.5128-36.04%0.2650✓0.6515k2022-06-04
NANOnanopayBase1.63051.5504-4.92%1.166-28.49%0.0544✓1.14149k2022-06-04
FIDABonfidaSolana1.0170.967004-4.92%0.477-53.10%0.4825✓1.1150k2022-06-04
SUSHISushiEthereum2.282.1674-4.94%1.58-30.70%0.0426✓1.353.6M2022-06-04
LUNATerraTerra 282.4278.3228-4.97%0.00009224-100.00%13.3874✓1.317.3M2022-06-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.017840.016943-5.03%0.01149-35.59%0.2349✓0.763.5M2022-06-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum11.0810.5227-5.03%6.55-40.88%0.2628✓1.04963k2022-06-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00830.007881-5.05%0.00446-46.27%0.3312✓1.182.3M2022-06-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.17580.166924-5.05%0.128-27.19%0.0219✓1.201.4M2022-06-04
DODODODOEthereum0.2840.269482-5.11%0.1676-40.99%0.2118✓1.305.1M2022-06-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19950.1893-5.11%0.1606-19.50%0.1128✗1.37114k2022-06-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12350.11715-5.14%0.0863-30.12%0.1369✓0.83156k2022-06-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05330.050558-5.15%0.0347-34.90%0.1326✓1.20179k2022-06-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014150.01342-5.16%0.0092-34.98%0.1954✓0.901.1M2022-06-04
SOLSolanaSolana84.5280.1315-5.19%38.99-53.87%0.4712✓1.2385.8M2022-06-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.25510.24183-5.20%0.1776-30.38%0.0659✓1.20391k2022-06-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.016760.015879-5.26%0.00847-49.46%0.4574✓0.85238k2022-06-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017220.016306-5.31%0.01216-29.38%0.0332✓1.6149.4M2022-06-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.060670.05743-5.34%0.03791-37.51%0.1905✓1.1177k2022-06-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.13990.132389-5.37%0.0745-46.75%0.3065✓1.33180k2022-06-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.06752.9022-5.39%1.9978-34.87%0.1780✓0.9710.2M2022-06-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.2923.1111-5.49%1.751-46.81%0.2763✓1.4779k2022-06-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.16750.158265-5.51%0.06825-59.25%0.6387✓1.003.9M2022-06-04
ZENHorizenBase30.9829.2697-5.52%19.9-35.77%0.1103✓1.36173k2022-06-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.574.3176-5.52%2.83-38.07%0.1091✓1.55339k2022-06-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.2413.4506-5.54%10.62-25.42%0.0558✓1.44145k2022-06-04
BANDBandEthereum2.9392.7733-5.64%1.641-44.16%0.2617✓1.30537k2022-06-04
DASHDashDash87.4782.5218-5.66%58.66-32.94%0.1233✓1.081.2M2022-06-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.37430.352904-5.72%0.3059-18.27%0.0845✗1.12188k2022-06-04
XMRMoneroMonero206.75194.87-5.75%189.06-8.56%0.1575✗0.933.3M2022-06-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.720.678607-5.75%0.84676+17.61%0.4786✗1.27426k2022-06-04
XVGVergenative0.008030.007561-5.84%0.00469-41.59%0.2454✓1.15943k2022-06-04
UNIUniswapEthereum7.346.9058-5.92%5.119-30.26%0.0714✓1.134.3M2022-06-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.587720.55285-5.93%0.38066-35.23%0.1488✓1.11130k2022-06-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.3226.6269-5.98%21.96-22.46%0.0523✓1.214.9M2022-06-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.67220.631835-6.00%0.3211-52.23%0.4272✓1.23105k2022-06-04
QTUMQtumQtum5.48595.156-6.01%3.857-29.69%0.0552✓1.1698k2022-06-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0119260.011206-6.04%0.00977-18.08%0.0462✓0.9142k2022-06-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.6433.4229-6.04%2.045-43.86%0.1687✓1.711.4M2022-06-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.63440.595965-6.06%0.3883-38.79%0.2236✓1.0110.9M2022-06-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.30120.282898-6.08%0.1646-45.35%0.2857✓1.266.8M2022-06-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.15e-78.59e-7-6.11%6.99e-7-23.52%0.2063✓-0.01713k2022-06-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum28.9627.1858-6.13%20.59-28.90%0.0054✓1.404.0M2022-06-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.2361.1599-6.15%0.611-50.57%0.4040✓1.1751k2022-06-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.5354.2538-6.20%2.683-40.84%0.1536✓1.527.5M2022-06-04
PROPropyEthereum1.671.5659-6.23%0.93-44.31%0.3978✓0.61470k2022-06-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4542.3001-6.27%1.178-52.00%0.3991✓1.335.1M2022-06-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003120.002924-6.29%0.001274-59.17%0.5950✓1.164.1M2022-06-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4210.394488-6.30%0.29-31.12%0.0813✓1.124.3M2022-06-04
TRXTRONTron0.0747070.069992-6.31%0.080377+7.59%0.2918✗0.76297k2022-06-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7167120.670322-6.47%0.394726-44.93%0.3036✓1.125.5M2022-06-04
AVTAventusEthereum2.111.9726-6.51%1.05-50.24%0.5199✓0.55272k2022-06-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV73.7968.8792-6.66%56.939-22.84%0.0174✓0.852.1M2022-06-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5710.532473-6.75%0.37-35.20%0.2043✓0.791.4M2022-06-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.3364.9712-6.84%3.679-31.05%0.1701✓0.651.4M2022-06-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1430.13322-6.84%0.0704-50.77%0.3716✓1.325.0M2022-06-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.9517.6309-6.96%10.98-42.06%0.1969✓1.372.2M2022-06-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06430.059744-7.09%0.05311-17.40%0.0526✓0.8412k2022-06-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum16,867.4515,646.97-7.24%7,564.98-55.15%0.5232✓1.012.6M2022-06-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4452.2673-7.27%1.313-46.30%0.2305✓1.56713k2022-06-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.26920.249127-7.46%0.201-25.33%0.0570✓1.34735k2022-06-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1420.131367-7.49%0.0623-56.13%0.6360✓0.54132k2022-06-04
APEApeCoinEthereum13.68812.6623-7.49%6.195-54.74%0.3156✓1.9775.7M2022-06-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.74140.685683-7.52%0.5162-30.37%0.0101✓1.35311k2022-06-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0910.084154-7.52%0.0534-41.32%0.2830✓0.852.6M2022-06-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.4340.401248-7.55%0.1298-70.09%1.0431✓0.42572k2022-06-04
XECeCashnative0.000072070.000066523-7.70%0.00004834-32.93%0.1105✓1.037.7M2022-06-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.19290.177928-7.76%0.1224-36.55%0.0912✓1.402.1M2022-06-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.22430.20579-8.25%0.0932-58.45%0.4370✓1.751.2M2022-06-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.823.5016-8.34%1.73-54.71%0.4097✓1.46385k2022-06-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.605130.554393-8.38%0.41487-31.44%0.0481✓1.1960k2022-06-04
STEEMSteemnative0.40070.367079-8.39%0.2596-35.21%0.1441✓1.007.0M2022-06-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.911.7326-9.29%1.371-28.22%0.0052✓1.1317.4M2022-06-04
MINAMina Protocolnative1.791.6152-9.77%0.846-52.74%0.4096✓1.17987k2022-06-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2871.1606-9.82%0.868-32.56%0.0830✓1.03462k2022-06-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.