8=======>

2022-05-04 · +30d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1692
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+17.75%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
91.4%
in alpha space · 98.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-25.20%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MINAMina Protocolnative2.011.7348-13.69%0.844-58.01%0.3958✓1.121.1M2022-06-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.393.8554-12.18%1.72-60.82%0.3925✓1.43385k2022-06-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.24780.220424-11.05%0.0937-62.19%0.3609✓1.701.3M2022-06-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.48110.428038-11.03%0.1252-73.98%1.1166✓0.39580k2022-06-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1680.149697-10.89%0.0591-64.82%0.8062✓0.42132k2022-06-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2821.1444-10.73%0.87-32.14%0.0308✓1.05462k2022-06-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0761.8554-10.62%1.367-34.15%0.0035✓1.0616.1M2022-06-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.29790.266338-10.59%0.2103-29.41%0.1428✗1.30763k2022-06-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.675480.605821-10.31%0.41393-38.72%0.0393✓1.1873k2022-06-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum33.3329.9301-10.20%19.94-40.17%0.0314✓1.294.0M2022-06-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.2220.199403-10.18%0.1216-45.23%0.1134✓1.312.1M2022-06-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.820.736799-10.15%0.81108-1.09%0.4294✗1.15430k2022-06-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.1243.7057-10.14%1.871-54.63%0.1783✓1.741.4M2022-06-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0734.5677-9.96%2.719-46.40%0.0993✓1.447.7M2022-06-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.34380.309678-9.92%0.1475-57.10%0.3967✓1.196.8M2022-06-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.4741.3277-9.92%0.602-59.16%0.4723✓1.1055k2022-06-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,332.5916,519.78-9.89%7,417.33-59.54%0.5240✓0.952.7M2022-06-03
XECeCashnative0.000078520.000070883-9.73%0.00004773-39.21%0.1058✓1.007.8M2022-06-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.81620.736831-9.72%0.5152-36.88%0.0156✓1.29311k2022-06-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.174.6681-9.71%2.73-47.20%0.1050✓1.49339k2022-06-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.7855.2256-9.67%3.416-40.95%0.2495✓0.601.5M2022-06-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7642.498-9.62%1.291-53.29%0.1954✓1.60719k2022-06-03
UNIUniswapEthereum7.947.1773-9.61%5.067-36.18%0.0307✓1.094.4M2022-06-03
XVGVergenative0.008960.008102-9.58%0.00467-47.88%0.2316✓1.10943k2022-06-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.16130.145854-9.58%0.0734-54.49%0.3096✓1.30180k2022-06-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003530.003196-9.45%0.001257-64.39%0.6117✓1.114.2M2022-06-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.75220.681515-9.40%0.3272-56.50%0.3724✓1.24110k2022-06-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15920.14459-9.18%0.0654-58.92%0.4246✓1.275.3M2022-06-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.4514.9412-9.17%10.49-36.23%0.0536✓1.40145k2022-06-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.83.4516-9.17%1.733-54.39%0.2930✓1.3679k2022-06-03
APEApeCoinEthereum15.55714.1714-8.91%6.122-60.65%0.2505✓2.0363.9M2022-06-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71530.651905-8.86%0.3809-46.75%0.2634✓0.9410.9M2022-06-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum22.1520.2331-8.65%10.83-51.11%0.2485✓1.302.2M2022-06-03
STEEMSteemnative0.39660.362533-8.59%0.2618-33.99%0.0351✓1.003.9M2022-06-03
SUSHISushiEthereum2.622.3954-8.57%1.53-41.60%0.0765✓1.283.6M2022-06-03
BANDBandEthereum3.3423.0556-8.57%1.612-51.77%0.2705✓1.27537k2022-06-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6150.563288-8.41%0.364-40.81%0.2123✓0.771.4M2022-06-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09730.089129-8.40%0.0541-44.40%0.2576✓0.832.8M2022-06-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV78.6372.1129-8.29%55.269-29.71%0.0244✓0.832.1M2022-06-03
TRXTRONTron0.0863970.079239-8.29%0.081001-6.25%0.2194✗0.68296k2022-06-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.070790.064938-8.27%0.0509-28.10%0.0120✓0.8014k2022-06-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020560.018881-8.17%0.01206-41.34%0.0177✓1.4848.2M2022-06-03
DASHDashDash95.8588.0513-8.14%58.15-39.33%0.1138✓1.041.2M2022-06-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05980.054976-8.07%0.0341-42.98%0.1481✓1.13179k2022-06-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.015240.014012-8.06%0.0093-38.98%0.1470✓0.911.1M2022-06-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4780.439999-7.95%0.286-40.17%0.1308✓1.034.3M2022-06-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5962.3899-7.94%1.173-54.82%0.3251✓1.335.1M2022-06-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum14.2813.1574-7.86%7.905-44.64%0.1678✓1.188.7M2022-06-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.651350.600683-7.78%0.37809-41.95%0.1527✓1.07126k2022-06-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8002760.738272-7.75%0.393839-50.79%0.3298✓1.035.3M2022-06-03
SOLSolanaSolana92.7685.6245-7.69%38.23-58.79%0.4561✓1.2185.8M2022-06-03
ZENHorizenBase33.731.1105-7.68%19.8-41.25%0.0605✓1.35173k2022-06-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.57e-78.84e-7-7.66%6.99e-7-26.98%0.2522✓-0.06646k2022-06-03
MOVRMoonriverBase43.573440.2589-7.61%20.6845-52.53%0.2395✓1.47182k2022-06-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.6128.297-7.56%21.82-28.72%0.0757✓1.164.9M2022-06-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.066750.06173-7.52%0.03786-43.28%0.1781✓1.0775k2022-06-03
QTUMQtumQtum5.93685.4907-7.51%3.8179-35.69%0.0236✓1.1798k2022-06-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.73243.4534-7.48%2.0259-45.72%0.3054✓0.7810.0M2022-06-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0180.016666-7.41%0.00861-52.17%0.3670✓1.01248k2022-06-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.0311.1405-7.39%6.3-47.63%0.2745✓1.02963k2022-06-03
NANOnanopayBase1.80611.673-7.37%1.1198-38.00%0.0905✓1.07149k2022-06-03
AAVEAaveEthereum159.43147.7487-7.33%107.05-32.85%0.0477✓1.279.8M2022-06-03
FIDABonfidaSolana1.1141.0328-7.29%0.477-57.18%0.4818✓1.0050k2022-06-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.1960.181721-7.29%0.1219-37.81%0.0625✓1.161.5M2022-06-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.2220.205868-7.27%0.1632-26.49%0.1697✗1.38114k2022-06-03
PROPropyEthereum1.721.5969-7.16%0.92-46.51%0.3756✓0.61470k2022-06-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009340.008674-7.13%0.00413-55.78%0.4054✓1.162.3M2022-06-03
ADACardanoCardano0.89830.834258-7.13%0.5595-37.72%0.0842✓1.0941.1M2022-06-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.23743.9386-7.05%2.4133-43.05%0.1957✓1.01173k2022-06-03
XVSVenusEthereum8.527.9215-7.02%4.57-46.36%0.2422✓1.063.0M2022-06-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.141.0602-7.00%0.708-37.89%0.0669✓1.162.2M2022-06-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04390.040848-6.95%0.01977-54.97%0.2454✓1.6523.0M2022-06-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7170.667673-6.88%1.068+48.95%0.8803✗1.411.6M2022-06-03
SCSiacoinnative0.008980.008363-6.88%0.00545-39.31%0.0850✓1.18382k2022-06-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12950.120601-6.87%0.0859-33.67%0.0764✓0.91156k2022-06-03
DODODODOEthereum0.3230.300844-6.86%0.1646-49.04%0.2601✓1.185.1M2022-06-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44150.41145-6.81%0.3183-27.90%0.0575✓1.08491k2022-06-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin15.7114.6436-6.79%7.374-53.06%0.3749✓1.077.5M2022-06-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.019370.018056-6.79%0.01141-41.09%0.2450✓0.743.6M2022-06-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.25570.238357-6.78%0.1369-46.46%0.1355✓1.446.9M2022-06-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.460.429029-6.73%0.19437-57.75%0.3609✓1.48293k2022-06-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.3720.347115-6.69%0.3247-12.72%0.3199✗1.33188k2022-06-03
LUNATerraTerra 286.0980.4226-6.58%0.00009548-100.00%13.2794✓1.267.3M2022-06-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0136310.012738-6.55%0.00929-31.85%0.0579✓0.8943k2022-06-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.11090.103671-6.52%0.0636-42.65%0.2328✓0.88425k2022-06-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9942.7993-6.50%2.733-8.72%0.1832✗0.71915k2022-06-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.28290.264627-6.46%0.175-38.14%0.0913✓1.11391k2022-06-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0060.943012-6.26%0.496-50.70%0.3033✓1.171.1M2022-06-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.91.7827-6.18%1.03-45.79%0.3932✓0.53272k2022-06-03
KSMKusamaHydration140.48131.8426-6.15%67.99-51.60%0.3433✓1.10954k2022-06-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.641.5392-6.15%0.88-46.34%0.1712✓1.34951k2022-06-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche67.2863.2731-5.96%22.97-65.86%0.6679✓1.1944.2M2022-06-03
ORCAOrcaSolana1.871.7588-5.95%0.83-55.61%0.5448✓0.71159k2022-06-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.07944.7801-5.89%3.1525-37.94%0.0809✓1.158.6M2022-06-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.3215.3597-5.88%9.365-42.62%0.1896✓1.0511.7M2022-06-03
COMPCompoundEthereum114.56107.8217-5.88%56.92-50.31%0.3004✓1.1733k2022-06-03
XMRMoneroMonero225.24212.016-5.87%193.73-13.99%0.1802✗0.933.5M2022-06-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum24.0822.679-5.82%11.56-51.99%0.4147✓0.89417k2022-06-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.9522.5685-5.77%11.98-49.98%0.2588✓1.29532k2022-06-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.914.627-5.76%3.96-19.35%0.0375✓0.67648k2022-06-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041090.038743-5.71%0.02831-31.10%0.0694✓0.8436k2022-06-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.38460.362912-5.64%0.1528-60.27%0.7119✓0.534,1372022-06-03
QNTQuantEthereum101.5895.8761-5.62%65.24-35.77%0.1328✓0.873.4M2022-06-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.95750.903753-5.61%0.57064-40.40%0.1158✓1.1894k2022-06-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.47792.3401-5.56%1.5331-38.13%0.2295✓0.6715k2022-06-03
HIVEHivenative0.82910.783108-5.55%0.5404-34.82%0.0800✓1.001.5M2022-06-03
UMAUMAEthereum5.675.3564-5.53%3.067-45.91%0.1526✓1.391.6M2022-06-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.2253-5.47%3.83-14.32%0.1117✗0.72719k2022-06-03
STXStacksnative0.990.937019-5.35%0.5357-45.89%0.2793✓0.96274k2022-06-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.021610.020456-5.34%0.01605-25.73%0.1038✓0.48193k2022-06-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8171.7205-5.31%0.966-46.84%0.2557✓1.118.2M2022-06-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos19.9118.8567-5.29%9.177-53.91%0.4101✓1.0719.4M2022-06-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00780.007388-5.28%0.00466-40.26%0.2770✓0.6328k2022-06-03
MANADecentralandEthereum1.65851.5711-5.27%0.9797-40.93%0.1433✓1.13886k2022-06-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.87651.7777-5.27%1.3256-29.36%0.0332✓0.9084k2022-06-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2370.22472-5.18%0.1244-47.51%0.3898✓0.6925k2022-06-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7833.59-5.10%4.664+23.29%0.3565✗0.332.4M2022-06-03
RADRadworksEthereum4.013.8092-5.01%2.07-48.38%0.3659✓0.84565k2022-06-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1847210.17548-5.00%0.146016-20.95%0.1003✗0.9813.8M2022-06-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1359080.129307-4.86%0.080237-40.96%0.2067✓0.937.1M2022-06-03
FTTFTXEthereum39.5637.6401-4.85%25.97-34.35%0.1145✓0.8811.7M2022-06-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.45260.430643-4.85%0.2805-38.02%0.1699✓0.89299k2022-06-03
ZECZcashZcash134.35128.0115-4.72%90.17-32.88%0.0235✓1.135.5M2022-06-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21183.062-4.66%2.4381-24.09%0.0474✓0.623.5M2022-06-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.1821.1273-4.63%0.609-48.48%0.2513✓1.25357k2022-06-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash299.95286.1372-4.61%182.82-39.05%0.1609✓0.995.3M2022-06-03
DIADIAEthereum0.810.772753-4.60%0.45866-43.38%0.3943✓0.4471k2022-06-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04480.997004-4.57%0.6072-41.88%0.1314✓1.256.6M2022-06-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum12.211.6443-4.55%6.847-43.88%0.2039✓1.1318.3M2022-06-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.565.3084-4.53%3.06-44.96%0.3884✓0.56869k2022-06-03
BTTCBTTC0.000001780.0000017-4.51%0.00000107-39.89%0.2576✓0.717.7M2022-06-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2130.203667-4.38%0.1283-39.77%0.2232✓0.821.2M2022-06-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021780.000020845-4.29%0.00001081-50.37%0.3459✓1.071.4M2022-06-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,669.5637,972.46-4.28%29,670.85-25.20%0.0437✓1.00553.2M2022-06-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.689.2691-4.24%7.21-25.52%0.1250✓0.431.6M2022-06-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.3955.1676-4.21%2.83-47.54%0.2515✓1.21184k2022-06-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.36643.227-4.14%2.2381-33.52%0.2012✓0.575.6M2022-06-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.084850.081349-4.13%0.06467-23.78%0.0080✓0.8232k2022-06-03
XEMNEMnative0.09170.087952-4.09%0.049645-45.86%0.3009✓0.9355k2022-06-03
CBKCobakEthereum1.9351.8571-4.03%1.2799-33.85%0.1528✓0.7624k2022-06-03
XYMSymbolnative0.09590.092242-3.81%0.057486-40.06%0.2769✓0.67706k2022-06-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.179.7875-3.76%5.25-48.38%0.5137✓0.382.5M2022-06-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.345.1406-3.73%4.32-19.10%0.0240✓0.681.1M2022-06-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1151.0736-3.71%0.786-29.51%0.0053✓1.093.6M2022-06-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.684.5095-3.64%2.754-41.15%0.2127✓0.9767k2022-06-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.55380.533703-3.63%0.3465-37.43%0.1334✓1.038.0M2022-06-03
GTGateEthereum6.5236.2921-3.54%5.3737-17.62%0.0272✓0.454.2M2022-06-03
XTZTezosTezos2.70282.6091-3.47%1.9041-29.55%0.0071✓1.06855k2022-06-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,665.5038,322.75-3.39%29,681.70-25.17%0.0179✓0.9425k2022-06-03
KCSKuCoinnative18.40817.7986-3.31%17.046-7.40%0.1818✗0.774.3M2022-06-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.028520.027578-3.30%0.02105-26.19%0.1412✓0.44416k2022-06-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.122.0529-3.17%1.2-43.40%0.2453✓1.00124k2022-06-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0922.9949-3.14%2.827-8.57%0.1169✗0.601.2M2022-06-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.15440.149568-3.13%0.0827-46.44%0.0200✓2.11269k2022-06-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.042530.04121-3.10%0.02712-36.23%0.1851✓0.80236k2022-06-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.808090.784243-2.95%0.36301-55.08%0.4065✓1.251.4M2022-06-03
ETHEthereumEthereum2,939.982,855.60-2.87%1,773.25-39.68%0.1835✓1.01438.2M2022-06-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin106.25103.3515-2.73%62.54-41.14%0.2083✓1.0117.3M2022-06-03
GITCOINGITCOIN5.1475.0153-2.56%2.701-47.52%0.1916✓1.4719k2022-06-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.63895.5025-2.42%4.9002-13.10%0.0184✓0.46251k2022-06-03
API3Api3Ethereum3.6523.5648-2.39%1.505-58.79%0.5738✓0.993.1M2022-06-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.126040.124481-1.24%0.06909-45.18%0.3854✓0.7017k2022-06-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0244650.024607+0.58%0.01546-36.81%0.1667✗1.034.2M2022-06-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.