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2022-01-28 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 144 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0027
144 of 144 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.78%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
59.0%
in alpha space · 28.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+10.26%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (144 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SPELLSpellEthereum0.005470.005722+4.60%0.00663+21.21%0.0744✗2.2721.3M2022-02-04
MOVRMoonriverBase77.006278.4401+1.86%88.7362+15.23%0.0037✓1.22437k2022-02-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4820.489194+1.49%0.41-14.94%0.3194✗1.462.1M2022-02-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.971.9978+1.41%2.14+8.63%0.0752✗1.474.2M2022-02-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0389170.039406+1.26%0.0408+4.84%0.0843✗1.2210.1M2022-02-04
SUSHISushiEthereum4.164.21+1.20%4.47+7.45%0.0715✗1.3511.6M2022-02-04
XVSVenusEthereum8.428.5093+1.06%8.72+3.56%0.1044✗1.322.8M2022-02-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0469010.047333+0.92%0.039645-15.47%0.2749✗1.00321k2022-02-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.3120.4496+0.69%22.27+9.65%0.0372✗1.2534.3M2022-02-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.58870.59261+0.66%0.6793+15.39%0.0134✗1.531.4M2022-02-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.932.949+0.65%3.43+17.06%0.0139✓1.4025.6M2022-02-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051520.051826+0.59%0.05692+10.48%0.0455✗1.431.7M2022-02-04
UNIUniswapEthereum10.6710.727+0.53%11.18+4.78%0.0884✗1.3312.5M2022-02-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.0947.3165+0.48%51.33+9.00%0.0317✗1.167.5M2022-02-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.850.853809+0.45%1.24+45.88%0.2251✓1.52528k2022-02-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.1616.2304+0.44%17.51+8.35%0.0433✗1.2281.3M2022-02-04
RADRadworksEthereum5.115.1316+0.42%5.44+6.46%0.0377✗0.981.0M2022-02-04
AAVEAaveEthereum149.11149.7107+0.40%166.87+11.91%0.0243✗1.3613.3M2022-02-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.17.1273+0.38%8.01+12.82%0.0886✓0.291.9M2022-02-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.11770.11808+0.32%0.1601+36.02%0.2113✓0.95337k2022-02-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash296.79297.6362+0.29%306.37+3.23%0.0730✗1.047.8M2022-02-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.09270.092935+0.25%0.1207+30.20%0.1175✓1.471.7M2022-02-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.821.8243+0.23%2.1+15.38%0.0075✓1.362.8M2022-02-04
KSMKusamaHydration169169.3924+0.23%180.53+6.82%0.0537✗1.201.3M2022-02-04
SOLSolanaSolana91.3591.5329+0.20%112.69+23.36%0.0925✓1.18164.2M2022-02-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.3418.3749+0.19%20.51+11.83%0.0244✗1.3851.5M2022-02-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0206230.020654+0.15%0.0224+8.62%0.0283✗1.123.2M2022-02-04
COMPCompoundEthereum124.2124.3697+0.14%132.7+6.84%0.0598✗1.2874k2022-02-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03530.035342+0.12%0.0408+15.58%0.0001✓1.47852k2022-02-04
DODODODOEthereum0.4910.491442+0.09%0.543+10.59%0.0501✗1.535.3M2022-02-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8990.899588+0.07%0.978+8.79%0.0506✗1.372.4M2022-02-04
XVGVergenative0.009860.009865+0.05%0.01084+9.94%0.0356✗1.331.6M2022-02-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.6319.6349+0.02%21.63+10.19%0.0187✗1.1813.3M2022-02-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7360.735996-0.00%0.772+4.89%0.0603✓1.111.9M2022-02-04
QNTQuantEthereum97.2597.2415-0.01%134.25+38.05%0.2211✗1.047.5M2022-02-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.99060.989896-0.07%0.9113-8.01%0.2747✓1.971.1M2022-02-04
ZECZcashZcash91.391.2248-0.08%107.21+17.43%0.0325✗1.327.0M2022-02-04
MINAMina Protocolnative2.292.2875-0.11%2.71+18.34%0.0537✗1.19611k2022-02-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.915.9034-0.11%6.47+9.48%0.0020✓0.96953k2022-02-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin109.49109.3669-0.11%121.42+10.90%0.0259✓1.3433.8M2022-02-04
GITCOINGITCOIN7.0917.0808-0.14%7.996+12.76%0.0975✗0.2538k2022-02-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41410.41347-0.15%0.4406+6.40%0.0619✓1.2810.2M2022-02-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3280.327337-0.20%0.352+7.32%0.0630✓1.391.7M2022-02-04
BANDBandEthereum3.463.453-0.20%3.84+10.98%0.0149✓1.242.5M2022-02-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021340.00002129-0.23%0.0000222+4.03%0.0960✓1.411.7M2022-02-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.17980.179303-0.28%0.2023+12.51%0.0129✓1.373.9M2022-02-04
XMRMoneroMonero149.15148.7347-0.28%165.31+10.83%0.0071✗1.012.2M2022-02-04
LUNATerraTerra 250.650.4478-0.30%54.06+6.84%0.0911✓1.648.8M2022-02-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.047310.047157-0.32%0.04226-10.67%0.2391✓1.339.2M2022-02-04
UMAUMAEthereum6.015.9898-0.34%6.19+3.00%0.0718✓1.072.4M2022-02-04
XTZTezosTezos3.02643.0158-0.35%4.0141+32.64%0.1527✗1.362.5M2022-02-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.496.4663-0.37%7.38+13.71%0.1109✗0.221.2M2022-02-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.81730.814246-0.37%0.9567+17.06%0.0538✗1.1019.5M2022-02-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0141810.014127-0.38%0.016562+16.79%0.0433✗1.192.7M2022-02-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.917.8298-0.39%20.65+15.36%0.0308✓1.823.9M2022-02-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.637283-0.42%0.8+25.00%0.0457✗1.861.2M2022-02-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11830.117786-0.43%0.1262+6.68%0.0591✓1.313.8M2022-02-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche67.0666.7605-0.45%77.91+16.18%0.0251✗1.3287.3M2022-02-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.145.1166-0.45%5.39+4.86%0.0190✓0.73437k2022-02-04
DASHDashDash95.6495.1988-0.46%103.07+7.77%0.0362✓1.183.0M2022-02-04
CBKCobakEthereum2.1812.1709-0.46%2.495+14.40%0.0335✗1.0823k2022-02-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24340.242238-0.48%0.2513+3.25%0.0848✓1.241.9M2022-02-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.252.2391-0.48%2.29+1.78%0.1284✓1.542.4M2022-02-04
STORJStorjEthereum1.12661.1211-0.49%1.2494+10.90%0.0116✗0.99385k2022-02-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.7804-0.51%6.43+10.67%0.0302✗0.78481k2022-02-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.0819.9722-0.54%21.99+9.51%0.0561✓1.56814k2022-02-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0112.994-0.56%3.234+7.41%0.0008✓0.80407k2022-02-04
XECeCashnative0.000072770.000072359-0.56%0.00008267+13.60%0.0247✗1.115.8M2022-02-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,506.6723,373.70-0.57%24,905.44+5.95%0.0262✓0.9219.5M2022-02-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.2314.1483-0.57%15.13+6.32%0.0301✓0.99886k2022-02-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071920.071505-0.58%0.08239+14.56%0.0654✗0.7867k2022-02-04
ETHEthereumEthereum2,546.842,532.01-0.58%2,998.19+17.72%0.0606✗1.11569.1M2022-02-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.030240.03006-0.60%0.03121+3.21%0.0535✓0.938.7M2022-02-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010460.010397-0.61%0.0106+1.34%0.1054✓1.282.2M2022-02-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2470.245471-0.62%0.27+9.31%0.0015✓0.9667k2022-02-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5440570.540672-0.62%0.647332+18.98%0.0612✗1.223.7M2022-02-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.11653.0964-0.64%3.373+8.23%0.0216✓1.103.4M2022-02-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1316.0913-0.65%6.123-0.13%0.0769✓0.84133k2022-02-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.574.5397-0.66%5.53+21.01%0.0762✗1.243.0M2022-02-04
MANADecentralandEthereum2.28352.2679-0.68%2.8185+23.43%0.1249✗0.952.8M2022-02-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase6.4526.407-0.70%5.748-10.91%0.2062✓1.001.5M2022-02-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.8525.665-0.72%29.67+14.78%0.0189✓1.682.7M2022-02-04
TRXTRONTron0.0576310.057219-0.72%0.06445+11.83%0.0271✗0.94478k2022-02-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.52230.518552-0.72%0.5902+13.00%0.0039✓1.362.7M2022-02-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.42.3827-0.72%2.65+10.42%0.0065✓1.02794k2022-02-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.651.6377-0.75%1.77+7.27%0.0470✓1.282.2M2022-02-04
NANOnanopayBase2.34942.3318-0.75%2.207-6.06%0.1762✓1.24884k2022-02-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6391.6266-0.76%1.823+11.23%0.0127✓1.301.7M2022-02-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2943.2683-0.78%3.56+8.08%0.0004✓0.87944k2022-02-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.95910.95145-0.80%0.9987+4.13%0.0654✓1.1737.7M2022-02-04
QTUMQtumQtum5.79665.7494-0.81%6.8761+18.62%0.0392✗1.43224k2022-02-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040140.03981-0.82%0.04407+9.79%0.0088✓1.1331k2022-02-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4381.4259-0.84%1.721+19.68%0.0728✗1.181.6M2022-02-04
KCSKuCoinnative16.84616.7021-0.85%19.447+15.44%0.0045✓1.5110.9M2022-02-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1416030.140353-0.88%0.147947+4.48%0.0497✓1.057.1M2022-02-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.2325.006-0.89%29.7+17.72%0.0667✗1.083.4M2022-02-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,741.9037,405.87-0.89%41,614.64+10.26%0.0089✓1.00734.4M2022-02-04
UOSUltraEthereum1.04421.0347-0.91%1.172+12.24%0.0012✓1.292.4M2022-02-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.45270.448564-0.91%0.4872+7.62%0.0519✓1.382.4M2022-02-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.62031.6049-0.95%1.7925+10.63%0.0017✓1.1282k2022-02-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,761.0037,398.60-0.96%40,457.70+7.14%0.0204✓1.0153k2022-02-04
SCSiacoinnative0.01010.010002-0.97%0.01119+10.79%0.0093✓1.05598k2022-02-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.28391.2711-0.99%1.2609-1.79%0.1058✓1.003.5M2022-02-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.58264.5364-1.01%4.9837+8.75%0.0253✓1.22430k2022-02-04
ZENHorizenBase38.9738.575-1.01%43.19+10.83%0.0412✓1.58626k2022-02-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08120.080369-1.02%0.0871+7.27%0.0404✓1.24338k2022-02-04
HIVEHivenative0.9310.921308-1.04%1.1073+18.94%0.0357✗1.522.6M2022-02-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06290.062233-1.06%0.0663+5.41%0.0761✓1.43605k2022-02-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.25230.249573-1.08%0.3064+21.44%0.0950✗1.13532k2022-02-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.088080.087117-1.09%0.09859+11.93%0.0068✓1.2046k2022-02-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.529.1745-1.10%31.13+5.53%0.0454✓1.13130.3M2022-02-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9233.8796-1.11%4.373+11.47%0.0432✗0.78381k2022-02-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6472.6176-1.11%2.734+3.29%0.1063✓1.53986k2022-02-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.46913.4281-1.18%5.1583+48.69%0.4108✗-0.02350k2022-02-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1986460.196299-1.18%0.209216+5.32%0.0373✓1.0326.2M2022-02-04
ADACardanoCardano1.04861.0362-1.18%1.1398+8.70%0.0150✓1.13113.2M2022-02-04
XYMSymbolnative0.1770.174884-1.20%0.1886+6.55%0.0095✓0.68573k2022-02-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.058.9409-1.21%9.89+9.28%0.0279✗0.75709k2022-02-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV90.3789.271-1.22%95.61+5.80%0.0236✓0.941.7M2022-02-04
GTGateEthereum6.58616.5045-1.24%7.0386+6.87%0.0116✓0.934.3M2022-02-04
XEMNEMnative0.09990.098645-1.26%0.1096+9.71%0.0032✓1.0543k2022-02-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.8612.6953-1.28%14.97+16.41%0.0983✗0.68774k2022-02-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.045.9625-1.28%6.46+6.95%0.0028✓0.85529k2022-02-04
IMXImmutableEthereum2.822.7831-1.31%3+6.38%0.0753✓1.542.2M2022-02-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06470.063817-1.36%0.0704+8.81%0.0115✓1.1221k2022-02-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.864460.852183-1.42%0.89908+4.00%0.1151✓1.73643k2022-02-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.05410.053328-1.43%0.05094-5.84%0.1435✓1.005.9M2022-02-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012550.012368-1.45%0.01363+8.61%0.0094✓0.9020k2022-02-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.89150.878066-1.51%0.964+8.13%0.0548✓1.52107k2022-02-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.79622.7538-1.51%3.186+13.94%0.0452✗1.031.9M2022-02-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05670.055778-1.63%0.0798+40.74%0.1450✗2.1823.2M2022-02-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.30940.303902-1.78%0.3098+0.13%0.1333✓1.564.2M2022-02-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4361.4104-1.78%1.458+1.53%0.0926✓1.293.6M2022-02-04
FTTFTXEthereum40.0139.2811-1.82%46.03+15.05%0.0402✗1.2135.1M2022-02-04
API3Api3Ethereum3.753.681-1.84%3.57-4.80%0.0522✓0.22720k2022-02-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.9235.8086-1.93%6.454+8.97%0.0090✓0.99320k2022-02-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55550.542922-2.26%0.5994+7.90%0.0154✓1.172.1M2022-02-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.62720.612146-2.40%0.5318-15.21%0.3250✓1.8950.8M2022-02-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1140.111072-2.57%0.124+8.77%0.0124✓1.00149k2022-02-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.07152.9898-2.66%3.4217+11.40%0.0498✗0.8716k2022-02-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.79541.7458-2.76%2.0881+16.30%0.1035✗0.772.8M2022-02-04
PROPropyEthereum2.392.3237-2.77%2.1-12.13%0.1989✓1.003.6M2022-02-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.18350.178089-2.95%0.20472+11.56%0.0146✓1.5821k2022-02-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.626.6637-3.39%29.4+6.52%0.0203✓0.79407k2022-02-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.