2022-01-27 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 144 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0197

144 of 144 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+6.79%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

45.8%

in alpha space · 45.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.38%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (144 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00534	0.005646	+5.73%	0.00612	+14.61%	0.0720	✓	2.27	21.3M	2022-02-03
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	73.6045	75.8703	+3.08%	74.5146	+1.24%	0.0226	✓	1.22	442k	2022-02-03
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4535	0.466847	+2.94%	0.3716	-18.06%	0.2337	✗	1.45	2.1M	2022-02-03
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.95	1.9923	+2.17%	2.04	+4.62%	0.0181	✓	1.47	4.6M	2022-02-03
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.05	4.137	+2.15%	4.09	+0.99%	0.0165	✓	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-03
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.038232	0.038955	+1.89%	0.036103	-5.57%	0.0807	✗	1.22	10.8M	2022-02-03
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.61	19.98	+1.89%	20.81	+6.12%	0.0360	✓	1.25	34.3M	2022-02-03
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.79	2.8424	+1.88%	3.11	+11.47%	0.0847	✓	1.40	26.3M	2022-02-03
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.23	15.4981	+1.76%	16.31	+7.09%	0.0465	✓	1.21	81.3M	2022-02-03
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.75	6.851	+1.50%	7.27	+7.70%	0.0583	✓	0.28	2.0M	2022-02-03
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.39	8.5059	+1.38%	8.19	-2.38%	0.0429	✗	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-03
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5781	0.58557	+1.29%	0.6171	+6.75%	0.0466	✓	1.53	1.4M	2022-02-03
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.81	0.820345	+1.28%	1.24	+53.09%	0.4074	✓	1.51	532k	2022-02-03
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.32	10.4419	+1.18%	10.39	+0.68%	0.0100	✓	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-03
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04978	0.050344	+1.13%	0.05362	+7.71%	0.0577	✓	1.42	1.7M	2022-02-03
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	144.54	146.1346	+1.10%	152.86	+5.76%	0.0398	✓	1.36	14.3M	2022-02-03
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.76	1.7778	+1.01%	1.89	+7.39%	0.0560	✓	1.36	2.9M	2022-02-03
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.07	5.1121	+0.83%	5.12	+0.99%	0.0022	✓	0.98	1.1M	2022-02-03
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	164.64	165.922	+0.78%	162.76	-1.14%	0.0238	✗	1.20	1.3M	2022-02-03
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1146	0.115478	+0.77%	0.139	+21.29%	0.1818	✓	0.95	349k	2022-02-03
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	47.47	47.8306	+0.76%	48.5	+2.17%	0.0095	✓	1.16	7.5M	2022-02-03
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.050557	0.050912	+0.70%	0.03828	-24.28%	0.2890	✗	1.00	332k	2022-02-03
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.482	0.485089	+0.64%	0.526	+9.13%	0.0751	✓	1.53	5.5M	2022-02-03
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	93.16	93.7373	+0.62%	135.16	+45.08%	0.3620	✓	1.03	7.5M	2022-02-03
SOL	Solana	Solana	89.55	90.1002	+0.61%	101.93	+13.82%	0.1189	✓	1.18	164.2M	2022-02-03
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.94	122.6252	+0.56%	125	+2.51%	0.0143	✓	1.28	74k	2022-02-03
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.21	19.3137	+0.54%	20.37	+6.04%	0.0488	✓	1.18	13.6M	2022-02-03
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	289.64	291.1793	+0.53%	281.46	-2.82%	0.0379	✗	1.04	8.5M	2022-02-03
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.62	5.6494	+0.52%	5.65	+0.53%	0.0035	✓	0.95	960k	2022-02-03
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020242	0.020346	+0.52%	0.020346	+0.51%	0.0043	✓	1.12	3.2M	2022-02-03
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.13	18.2228	+0.51%	18.93	+4.41%	0.0328	✓	1.38	54.6M	2022-02-03
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.745	6.7795	+0.51%	7.128	+5.68%	0.0492	✓	0.24	38k	2022-02-03
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0357	0.035877	+0.50%	0.0321	-10.08%	0.1168	✗	1.48	887k	2022-02-03
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.861	0.864825	+0.44%	0.874	+1.51%	0.0054	✓	1.37	2.4M	2022-02-03
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.38	3.394	+0.42%	3.38	+0.00%	0.0088	✗	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-03
XVG	Verge	native	0.00965	0.009689	+0.41%	0.00994	+3.01%	0.0205	✓	1.33	1.6M	2022-02-03
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.67	5.6927	+0.40%	5.71	+0.71%	0.0010	✓	1.06	2.6M	2022-02-03
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0947	0.095065	+0.39%	0.1064	+12.35%	0.1070	✓	1.48	1.9M	2022-02-03
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	88.89	89.2158	+0.37%	101.02	+13.65%	0.1193	✓	1.32	7.5M	2022-02-03
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.314	0.315053	+0.34%	0.328	+4.46%	0.0350	✓	1.38	1.6M	2022-02-03
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.107	3.1165	+0.31%	3.456	+11.23%	0.1001	✓	0.86	944k	2022-02-03
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.67	18.7235	+0.29%	19.28	+3.27%	0.0234	✓	1.55	841k	2022-02-03
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.725	0.726991	+0.27%	0.718	-0.97%	0.0166	✗	1.11	1.9M	2022-02-03
XMR	Monero	Monero	144.6	144.9853	+0.27%	146.89	+1.58%	0.0092	✓	1.00	2.2M	2022-02-03
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9645	0.96679	+0.24%	0.8505	-11.82%	0.1356	✗	1.97	1.1M	2022-02-03
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.26	2.2652	+0.23%	2.49	+10.18%	0.0901	✓	1.19	626k	2022-02-03
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4054	0.406306	+0.22%	0.4067	+0.32%	0.0039	✗	1.28	10.9M	2022-02-03
DASH	Dash	Dash	91.73	91.8761	+0.16%	95.23	+3.82%	0.0314	✓	1.18	3.0M	2022-02-03
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9095	2.9134	+0.14%	3.8358	+31.84%	0.2699	✓	1.36	2.6M	2022-02-03
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.82	16.8404	+0.12%	18.42	+9.51%	0.0828	✓	1.81	3.9M	2022-02-03
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04646	0.046514	+0.12%	0.03949	-15.00%	0.1687	✗	1.32	9.5M	2022-02-03
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	106.92	107.0201	+0.09%	111.02	+3.83%	0.0316	✓	1.33	35.7M	2022-02-03
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1754	0.175529	+0.07%	0.1839	+4.85%	0.0414	✓	1.36	4.0M	2022-02-03
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014097	0.014092	-0.03%	0.014662	+4.01%	0.0351	✗	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-03
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8032	0.802853	-0.04%	0.9279	+15.53%	0.1406	✗	1.10	20.0M	2022-02-03
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1127	0.112645	-0.05%	0.1138	+0.98%	0.0053	✗	1.30	3.9M	2022-02-03
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	64.73	64.6612	-0.11%	68.49	+5.81%	0.0525	✗	1.32	92.3M	2022-02-03
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002125	0.000021225	-0.12%	0.00002075	-2.35%	0.0280	✓	1.42	1.8M	2022-02-03
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0754	1.0739	-0.13%	1.1541	+7.33%	0.0683	✗	0.98	387k	2022-02-03
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.121	2.1176	-0.16%	2.366	+11.55%	0.1068	✗	1.08	23k	2022-02-03
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2041	1.2021	-0.16%	1.2058	+0.14%	0.0007	✓	1.00	3.6M	2022-02-03
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.37	6.3586	-0.18%	6.88	+8.01%	0.0780	✗	0.21	1.2M	2022-02-03
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.3	24.2551	-0.18%	25.37	+4.40%	0.0386	✗	1.67	2.7M	2022-02-03
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2343	0.233827	-0.20%	0.2361	+0.77%	0.0050	✗	1.24	1.8M	2022-02-03
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.955	2.9484	-0.22%	3.09	+4.57%	0.0439	✗	0.79	431k	2022-02-03
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02909	0.029024	-0.23%	0.02918	+0.31%	0.0018	✓	0.93	8.7M	2022-02-03
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007022	0.000070057	-0.23%	0.0000764	+8.80%	0.0825	✗	1.11	5.8M	2022-02-03
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,910.78	23,853.66	-0.24%	23,620.52	-1.21%	0.0133	✓	0.93	19.5M	2022-02-03
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.243	0.242372	-0.26%	0.254	+4.53%	0.0432	✗	0.96	67k	2022-02-03
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,269.30	37,164.08	-0.28%	37,210.50	-0.16%	0.0026	✓	1.01	47k	2022-02-03
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.95	13.9105	-0.28%	13.95	+0.00%	0.0009	✓	0.99	841k	2022-02-03
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.65	0.648143	-0.29%	0.66	+1.54%	0.0110	✗	1.88	1.2M	2022-02-03
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	6.617	6.598	-0.29%	4.748	-28.25%	0.3328	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-03
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.23	2.2236	-0.29%	2.25	+0.90%	0.0059	✗	1.55	2.6M	2022-02-03
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.873	5.8558	-0.29%	5.773	-1.70%	0.0174	✓	0.83	145k	2022-02-03
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9364	0.933391	-0.32%	0.936	-0.04%	0.0016	✓	1.16	37.9M	2022-02-03
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	54.08	53.8984	-0.34%	51.23	-5.27%	0.0572	✓	1.70	8.6M	2022-02-03
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0464	3.036	-0.34%	3.2104	+5.38%	0.0517	✗	1.09	3.6M	2022-02-03
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.12	5.1023	-0.35%	5.17	+0.98%	0.0104	✗	0.73	457k	2022-02-03
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.58	1.5745	-0.35%	1.695	+7.28%	0.0688	✗	1.29	1.8M	2022-02-03
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,425.82	2,417.36	-0.35%	2,697.59	+11.20%	0.1055	✗	1.10	569.1M	2022-02-03
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.530399	0.528503	-0.36%	0.613557	+15.68%	0.1446	✗	1.21	3.7M	2022-02-03
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01041	0.010372	-0.36%	0.00935	-10.18%	0.1086	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-03
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.59	1.5841	-0.37%	1.66	+4.40%	0.0419	✗	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-03
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.84	5.8184	-0.37%	6.17	+5.65%	0.0557	✗	0.78	504k	2022-02-03
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2126	4.1959	-0.40%	4.7256	+12.18%	0.1143	✗	1.21	403k	2022-02-03
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04444	0.044251	-0.43%	0.04805	+8.12%	0.0786	✗	1.00	6.4M	2022-02-03
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.3	2.289	-0.48%	2.44	+6.09%	0.0600	✗	1.02	800k	2022-02-03
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.57	4.5476	-0.49%	5.09	+11.38%	0.1080	✗	1.24	3.1M	2022-02-03
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5654	5.5356	-0.54%	6.0981	+9.57%	0.0914	✗	1.43	227k	2022-02-03
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3156	2.3026	-0.56%	2.0772	-10.30%	0.1077	✓	1.24	841k	2022-02-03
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.2527	2.2399	-0.57%	2.6813	+19.03%	0.1763	✗	0.94	3.1M	2022-02-03
ZEN	Horizen	Base	36.7	36.4867	-0.58%	38.69	+5.42%	0.0527	✗	1.57	626k	2022-02-03
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.056453	0.056121	-0.59%	0.05985	+6.02%	0.0608	✗	0.94	478k	2022-02-03
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5092	0.506174	-0.59%	0.5436	+6.76%	0.0662	✗	1.36	2.8M	2022-02-03
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00962	0.009562	-0.60%	0.01026	+6.65%	0.0664	✗	1.05	611k	2022-02-03
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.399	1.3903	-0.62%	1.629	+16.44%	0.1540	✗	1.18	1.6M	2022-02-03
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8838	0.878285	-0.62%	1.0602	+19.96%	0.1825	✗	1.51	3.2M	2022-02-03
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07195	0.071497	-0.63%	0.07603	+5.67%	0.0585	✗	0.78	60k	2022-02-03
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2367	0.235137	-0.66%	0.2929	+23.74%	0.2154	✗	1.12	469k	2022-02-03
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1614	0.16033	-0.66%	0.1775	+9.98%	0.0992	✗	0.66	573k	2022-02-03
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.33	24.1679	-0.67%	27.88	+14.59%	0.1388	✗	1.07	3.8M	2022-02-03
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08437	0.083788	-0.69%	0.09321	+10.48%	0.1020	✗	1.19	46k	2022-02-03
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0403	0.040021	-0.69%	0.04063	+0.82%	0.0108	✗	1.14	30k	2022-02-03
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.064	15.9523	-0.70%	17.927	+11.60%	0.1110	✗	1.51	10.9M	2022-02-03
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5616	1.5504	-0.72%	1.6279	+4.24%	0.0445	✗	1.11	89k	2022-02-03
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.141443	0.140425	-0.72%	0.13787	-2.53%	0.0224	✓	1.05	7.1M	2022-02-03
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,188.37	36,918.35	-0.73%	37,329.91	+0.38%	0.0073	✗	1.00	734.4M	2022-02-03
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4474	0.44415	-0.73%	0.4435	-0.87%	0.0067	✓	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-03
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.99692	0.989673	-0.73%	1.0898	+9.32%	0.0915	✗	1.28	2.4M	2022-02-03
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30	29.7618	-0.79%	29.72	-0.93%	0.0057	✓	1.14	130.3M	2022-02-03
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0794	0.078732	-0.84%	0.0807	+1.64%	0.0200	✗	1.24	352k	2022-02-03
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.194019	0.192199	-0.94%	0.19506	+0.54%	0.0109	✗	1.03	26.2M	2022-02-03
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0428	1.0328	-0.96%	1.061	+1.75%	0.0227	✗	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-03
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.637	2.6111	-0.98%	2.618	-0.72%	0.0032	✓	1.54	1.0M	2022-02-03
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.89	3.8511	-1.00%	4.136	+6.32%	0.0684	✗	0.78	396k	2022-02-03
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.31	88.4098	-1.01%	89.8	+0.55%	0.0120	✗	0.94	1.7M	2022-02-03
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.65	2.6224	-1.04%	3.39	+27.92%	0.2510	✗	1.52	2.2M	2022-02-03
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2772	0.274279	-1.05%	0.2853	+2.92%	0.0335	✗	1.54	4.2M	2022-02-03
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.93	8.8352	-1.06%	9.57	+7.17%	0.0771	✗	0.75	724k	2022-02-03
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.75	12.6065	-1.13%	14.45	+13.33%	0.1339	✗	0.68	801k	2022-02-03
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.5312	6.4576	-1.13%	6.7329	+3.09%	0.0382	✗	0.93	4.2M	2022-02-03
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4851	3.4449	-1.15%	4.1115	+17.97%	0.1770	✗	-0.02	371k	2022-02-03
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.9	5.8289	-1.21%	6.12	+3.73%	0.0455	✗	0.85	561k	2022-02-03
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.83214	0.821976	-1.22%	0.8263	-0.70%	0.0013	✓	1.72	681k	2022-02-03
XEM	NEM	native	0.0984	0.09719	-1.23%	0.1027	+4.37%	0.0512	✗	1.04	43k	2022-02-03
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0638	0.063006	-1.25%	0.0657	+2.98%	0.0376	✗	1.12	21k	2022-02-03
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0541	0.053421	-1.26%	0.0779	+43.99%	0.3690	✗	2.16	22.4M	2022-02-03
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.7225	2.6878	-1.28%	3.1745	+16.60%	0.1632	✗	0.85	8,523	2022-02-03
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8569	0.845951	-1.28%	0.8308	-3.05%	0.0238	✓	1.50	107k	2022-02-03
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.722	5.6437	-1.37%	6.085	+6.34%	0.0716	✗	0.98	320k	2022-02-03
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.065	0.064068	-1.43%	0.0616	-5.23%	0.0447	✓	1.44	605k	2022-02-03
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7628	2.723	-1.44%	3.0916	+11.90%	0.1230	✗	1.03	1.9M	2022-02-03
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.35	37.7798	-1.49%	42.77	+11.53%	0.1195	✗	1.21	35.1M	2022-02-03
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17087	0.16817	-1.58%	0.19482	+14.02%	0.1411	✗	1.57	18k	2022-02-03
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.42	1.3931	-1.89%	1.294	-8.87%	0.0787	✓	1.29	3.6M	2022-02-03
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.093	0.091207	-1.93%	0.119	+27.96%	0.2622	✗	1.00	141k	2022-02-03
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5303	0.519896	-1.96%	0.5612	+5.83%	0.0720	✗	1.16	2.1M	2022-02-03
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.97	3.8888	-2.05%	3.4	-14.36%	0.1353	✓	0.25	570k	2022-02-03
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01439	0.014055	-2.33%	0.01236	-14.11%	0.1320	✓	0.93	19k	2022-02-03
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6525	0.636783	-2.41%	0.4765	-26.97%	0.2972	✓	1.91	52.0M	2022-02-03
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.38	2.3206	-2.49%	2.01	-15.55%	0.1475	✓	1.00	3.8M	2022-02-03
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8043	1.7496	-3.03%	2.0312	+12.58%	0.1463	✗	0.78	2.6M	2022-02-03
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.76	25.9077	-3.19%	23.46	-12.33%	0.1022	✓	0.79	377k	2022-02-03

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.