2022-01-26 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0211

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.98%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

49.0%

in alpha space · 48.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.22%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4593	0.475994	+3.63%	0.37	-19.44%	0.2553	✗	1.53	2.2M	2022-02-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	78.4855	80.8616	+3.03%	73.5972	-6.23%	0.0969	✗	1.22	445k	2022-02-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.91	1.9678	+3.02%	1.9	-0.52%	0.0383	✗	1.46	5.2M	2022-02-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0078	0.007999	+2.55%	0.00607	-22.18%	0.2814	✗	2.40	21.3M	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.24	15.6178	+2.48%	15.79	+3.61%	0.0083	✓	1.21	84.2M	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.86	20.3504	+2.47%	21.59	+8.71%	0.0563	✓	1.26	34.9M	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.87	2.9341	+2.23%	3.11	+8.36%	0.0551	✓	1.38	27.8M	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5576	0.569709	+2.17%	0.6281	+12.64%	0.0941	✓	1.53	1.4M	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.26	4.352	+2.16%	4.09	-3.99%	0.0651	✗	1.36	13.0M	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.92	8.091	+2.16%	7.83	-1.14%	0.0357	✗	1.31	3.0M	2022-02-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.8	0.815478	+1.93%	1.36	+70.00%	0.5079	✓	1.59	538k	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.73	1.7601	+1.74%	1.87	+8.09%	0.0575	✓	1.36	2.9M	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0491	0.049884	+1.60%	0.05325	+8.45%	0.0619	✓	1.51	1.8M	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.034	0.034526	+1.55%	0.034	+0.00%	0.0186	✗	1.47	927k	2022-02-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.03	7.1385	+1.54%	7.54	+7.25%	0.0540	✓	0.30	2.2M	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.041779	0.042369	+1.41%	0.035872	-14.14%	0.1693	✗	1.26	10.8M	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.58	10.7288	+1.41%	10.53	-0.47%	0.0217	✗	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	146.64	148.6932	+1.40%	151.26	+3.15%	0.0141	✓	1.34	14.8M	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.05	5.1169	+1.32%	5.22	+3.37%	0.0178	✓	0.98	1.1M	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	165.32	167.1767	+1.12%	162.31	-1.82%	0.0322	✗	1.19	1.3M	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.115	0.116187	+1.03%	0.1348	+17.22%	0.1465	✓	0.95	349k	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0439	0.044328	+0.97%	0.0786	+79.04%	0.5682	✓	2.02	22.4M	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13	13.1237	+0.95%	13.76	+5.85%	0.0451	✓	1.01	841k	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.28	19.4597	+0.93%	20.19	+4.72%	0.0342	✓	1.18	14.0M	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.64	5.6883	+0.86%	5.77	+2.30%	0.0122	✓	0.94	990k	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.05	18.1952	+0.80%	18.76	+3.93%	0.0275	✓	1.39	58.4M	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.038	3.0609	+0.75%	3.166	+4.21%	0.0318	✓	0.87	993k	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.62	49.9902	+0.75%	49.12	-1.01%	0.0203	✗	1.21	7.8M	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.856	0.862367	+0.74%	0.883	+3.15%	0.0206	✓	1.38	2.4M	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.18	92.8568	+0.73%	101.99	+10.64%	0.0912	✓	1.19	164.2M	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	289.23	291.2877	+0.71%	278	-3.88%	0.0490	✗	1.04	8.5M	2022-02-02
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.052469	0.05284	+0.71%	0.037204	-29.09%	0.3531	✗	1.00	363k	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125.05	125.9104	+0.69%	121.22	-3.06%	0.0409	✗	1.29	80k	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.63	98.2919	+0.68%	113.54	+16.30%	0.1419	✓	1.03	7.5M	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.982	7.027	+0.64%	7.564	+8.34%	0.0731	✓	0.26	38k	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.501	0.50414	+0.63%	0.465	-7.19%	0.0843	✗	1.56	6.4M	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.44	3.4615	+0.63%	3.37	-2.03%	0.0296	✗	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	89.84	90.3859	+0.61%	98.35	+9.47%	0.0815	✓	1.32	7.8M	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.00978	0.009837	+0.58%	0.00978	+0.00%	0.0087	✗	1.32	1.7M	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.91	19.0135	+0.55%	20.09	+6.24%	0.0516	✓	1.55	871k	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020906	0.021016	+0.53%	0.020246	-3.16%	0.0399	✗	1.13	3.4M	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4047	0.406714	+0.50%	0.4048	+0.02%	0.0076	✗	1.28	11.7M	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.322	0.323597	+0.50%	0.316	-1.86%	0.0269	✗	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1727	0.173507	+0.47%	0.1803	+4.40%	0.0353	✓	1.38	4.1M	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.87	5.8949	+0.42%	5.49	-6.47%	0.0735	✗	1.06	2.6M	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.16	93.544	+0.41%	93.05	-0.12%	0.0079	✗	1.18	3.1M	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.02	17.0787	+0.35%	18.01	+5.82%	0.0490	✓	1.81	4.0M	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0472	0.047361	+0.34%	0.0418	-11.44%	0.1279	✗	1.33	9.9M	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9426	2.952	+0.32%	3.7524	+27.52%	0.2368	✓	1.37	2.6M	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	148.42	148.8938	+0.32%	145.08	-2.25%	0.0282	✗	1.00	2.3M	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0991	0.099416	+0.32%	0.11	+11.00%	0.0978	✓	1.49	1.9M	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.31	2.3172	+0.31%	2.46	+6.49%	0.0572	✓	1.18	667k	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.13	6.148	+0.29%	6.53	+6.53%	0.0598	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.746	0.747911	+0.26%	0.719	-3.62%	0.0419	✗	1.11	2.0M	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8025	0.804428	+0.24%	0.8404	+4.72%	0.0413	✓	1.10	20.8M	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	107	107.2342	+0.22%	108.36	+1.27%	0.0074	✓	1.34	35.8M	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2242	0.224665	+0.21%	0.278	+24.00%	0.2105	✓	1.11	469k	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9233	0.924882	+0.17%	0.9235	+0.02%	0.0041	✗	1.16	38.4M	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.887	2.8914	+0.15%	3.03	+4.95%	0.0450	✓	0.79	478k	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.1	24.1309	+0.13%	26.55	+10.17%	0.0918	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.068	1.0691	+0.10%	1.1125	+4.17%	0.0376	✓	0.99	402k	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.552	1.5535	+0.09%	1.696	+9.28%	0.0849	✓	1.30	1.8M	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002111	0.000021129	+0.09%	0.00002064	-2.23%	0.0266	✗	1.42	1.8M	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.086	2.0874	+0.07%	2.235	+7.14%	0.0659	✓	1.10	23k	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,190.20	24,206.49	+0.07%	23,029.36	-4.80%	0.0519	✗	0.93	20.9M	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.91	4.9128	+0.06%	5.04	+2.65%	0.0239	✓	0.72	457k	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.62	5.6221	+0.04%	6.02	+7.12%	0.0666	✓	0.78	531k	2022-02-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,316.90	36,321.90	+0.01%	37,883.40	+4.31%	0.0398	✓	1.01	53k	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	65.89	65.881	-0.01%	67.87	+3.01%	0.0268	✗	1.31	92.3M	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014587	0.01458	-0.05%	0.014783	+1.34%	0.0112	✗	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01035	0.010344	-0.06%	0.00952	-8.02%	0.0858	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.235	0.234834	-0.07%	0.2314	-1.53%	0.0175	✓	1.23	1.9M	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06885	0.068793	-0.08%	0.07379	+7.18%	0.0683	✗	0.79	60k	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2234	4.2188	-0.11%	4.6307	+9.64%	0.0904	✗	1.21	403k	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.247	0.246653	-0.14%	0.25	+1.21%	0.0113	✗	0.96	70k	2022-02-02
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2547	1.2527	-0.16%	1.24	-1.17%	0.0124	✓	1.00	3.7M	2022-02-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.530813	0.529947	-0.16%	0.5718	+7.72%	0.0732	✗	1.23	3.4M	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1184	0.118202	-0.17%	0.1092	-7.77%	0.0822	✓	1.32	4.1M	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007183	0.000071699	-0.18%	0.00007582	+5.55%	0.0534	✗	1.11	5.9M	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0743	3.0679	-0.21%	3.1357	+2.00%	0.0194	✗	1.12	3.7M	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.1607	2.1553	-0.25%	2.537	+17.41%	0.1606	✗	1.08	3.1M	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02988	0.029804	-0.26%	0.02927	-2.04%	0.0202	✓	0.93	9.2M	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.3	2.2941	-0.26%	2.18	-5.22%	0.0545	✓	1.56	2.6M	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03832	0.038219	-0.26%	0.03913	+2.11%	0.0210	✗	1.12	30k	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.668207	-0.27%	0.64	-4.48%	0.0474	✓	1.89	1.2M	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8673	0.864889	-0.28%	0.9455	+9.02%	0.0857	✗	1.50	3.5M	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.051	6.0327	-0.30%	5.754	-4.91%	0.0491	✓	0.81	156k	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,465.00	2,457.13	-0.32%	2,682.66	+8.83%	0.0853	✗	1.11	569.1M	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	36.62	36.5002	-0.33%	38.13	+4.12%	0.0402	✗	1.57	626k	2022-02-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.63	1.6243	-0.35%	1.63	+0.00%	0.0006	✓	1.26	2.3M	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0722	1.0684	-0.36%	0.8664	-19.19%	0.2140	✓	1.98	1.2M	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.32	2.3113	-0.38%	2.41	+3.88%	0.0396	✗	1.02	800k	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00956	0.009524	-0.38%	0.00983	+2.82%	0.0293	✗	1.06	630k	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.63	4.6124	-0.38%	5.33	+15.12%	0.1418	✗	1.26	3.1M	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5942	5.5693	-0.44%	6.025	+7.70%	0.0754	✗	1.42	229k	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5015	0.499143	-0.47%	0.5398	+7.64%	0.0753	✗	1.35	2.9M	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2561	0.254896	-0.47%	0.2783	+8.67%	0.0844	✗	1.53	4.3M	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.056164	0.055896	-0.48%	0.058639	+4.41%	0.0458	✗	0.95	491k	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08331	0.082886	-0.51%	0.08941	+7.32%	0.0731	✗	1.18	45k	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3802	2.3678	-0.52%	2.1064	-11.51%	0.1199	✓	1.29	841k	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.401	1.3936	-0.53%	1.589	+13.42%	0.1286	✗	1.18	1.8M	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,840.63	36,634.46	-0.56%	36,923.39	+0.22%	0.0056	✓	1.00	734.4M	2022-02-02
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05048	0.050197	-0.56%	0.04359	-13.65%	0.1434	✓	1.00	9.1M	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.34	24.2023	-0.57%	26.29	+8.01%	0.0803	✗	1.08	4.1M	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	58.8	58.4667	-0.57%	47.6	-19.05%	0.2095	✓	1.75	8.6M	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1625	0.161539	-0.59%	0.1756	+8.06%	0.0820	✗	0.65	570k	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	20.41	20.2867	-0.60%	23.57	+15.48%	0.1484	✗	0.74	377k	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143059	0.142174	-0.62%	0.137104	-4.16%	0.0386	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4503	0.447481	-0.63%	0.4277	-5.02%	0.0483	✓	1.38	2.6M	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.167	16.0656	-0.63%	17.776	+9.95%	0.0977	✗	1.53	10.9M	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0645	0.064091	-0.63%	0.0599	-7.13%	0.0709	✓	1.47	605k	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.68	5.6432	-0.65%	6.05	+6.51%	0.0677	✗	0.84	561k	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.541	2.5242	-0.66%	2.582	+1.61%	0.0192	✗	1.52	1.0M	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01218	0.012097	-0.68%	0.0126	+3.45%	0.0387	✗	0.89	19k	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.788	3.7612	-0.71%	3.998	+5.54%	0.0593	✗	0.79	396k	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0799	0.079306	-0.74%	0.0794	-0.63%	0.0016	✓	1.24	342k	2022-02-02
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.333	7.2753	-0.79%	5.081	-30.71%	0.3612	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.196933	0.195259	-0.85%	0.193151	-1.92%	0.0132	✓	1.05	27.5M	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0283	1.0195	-0.86%	1.0423	+1.36%	0.0193	✗	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6506	1.6361	-0.88%	1.6005	-3.04%	0.0245	✓	1.11	93k	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.86	8.7779	-0.93%	9.36	+5.64%	0.0625	✗	0.74	744k	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.63	12.5117	-0.94%	14.09	+11.56%	0.1173	✗	0.68	801k	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0784	1.0683	-0.94%	1.0268	-4.78%	0.0421	✓	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3615	6.3008	-0.95%	6.8016	+6.92%	0.0744	✗	0.94	4.3M	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	32.35	32.0263	-1.00%	26.33	-18.61%	0.1984	✓	1.15	125.9M	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		90.62	89.7128	-1.00%	90	-0.68%	0.0011	✓	0.95	1.7M	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.80993	0.801805	-1.00%	0.81012	+0.02%	0.0063	✓	1.78	698k	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	36.48	36.1066	-1.02%	42.9	+17.60%	0.1697	✗	1.20	33.0M	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0618	0.061149	-1.05%	0.0643	+4.05%	0.0477	✗	1.12	21k	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.0977	0.096667	-1.06%	0.1015	+3.89%	0.0464	✗	1.05	43k	2022-02-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6029	0.595934	-1.16%	0.4666	-22.61%	0.2489	✓	1.88	52.0M	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.876	5.8059	-1.19%	5.883	+0.12%	0.0110	✓	0.98	320k	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8612	0.850569	-1.23%	0.8666	+0.63%	0.0153	✗	1.51	107k	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.594	3.5489	-1.25%	4.1355	+15.07%	0.1530	✗	-0.01	375k	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.6906	2.6561	-1.28%	3.0352	+12.81%	0.1311	✗	1.02	1.9M	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16532	0.163028	-1.39%	0.19118	+15.64%	0.1558	✗	1.57	16k	2022-02-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.8665	2.8252	-1.44%	3.3042	+15.27%	0.1547	✗	0.86	4,332	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.333	1.3135	-1.46%	1.279	-4.05%	0.0295	✓	1.27	3.6M	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3	2.9523	-1.59%	3.03	+1.00%	0.0225	✗	1.56	2.2M	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.78	3.7122	-1.79%	3.4	-10.05%	0.0884	✓	0.23	493k	2022-02-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5301	0.52014	-1.88%	0.5361	+1.13%	0.0276	✗	1.16	2.1M	2022-02-02
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.48	2.4208	-2.39%	2.12	-14.52%	0.1349	✓	1.00	4.3M	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7265	1.6801	-2.69%	1.8613	+7.81%	0.1006	✗	0.80	2.4M	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.