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2022-01-25 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0535
143 of 143 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.32%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.0%
in alpha space · 57.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44330.464236+4.72%0.4327-2.39%0.1425✗1.572.2M2022-02-01
MOVRMoonriverBase77.907180.7315+3.63%76.2874-2.08%0.1137✗1.24465k2022-02-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.942.0023+3.21%2.03+4.64%0.0532✗1.465.7M2022-02-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.0620.6362+2.87%20.15+0.45%0.0821✗1.2734.9M2022-02-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.4915.9323+2.86%17+9.75%0.0093✓1.2179.0M2022-02-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.040.041011+2.53%0.0861+115.25%0.6504✓1.9922.4M2022-02-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0388830.039858+2.51%0.03834-1.40%0.0989✗1.3110.8M2022-02-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.008330.008533+2.44%0.00684-17.89%0.3317✗2.4121.3M2022-02-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.57340.586539+2.29%0.7231+26.11%0.1392✓1.531.4M2022-02-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.810.828333+2.26%1.17+44.44%0.2729✓1.58556k2022-02-01
XVSVenusEthereum8.138.3136+2.26%8.13+0.00%0.0810✗1.283.0M2022-02-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.013.0766+2.21%3.46+14.95%0.0535✓1.3927.8M2022-02-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.897.0424+2.21%8.06+16.98%0.1199✓0.332.4M2022-02-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03370.034427+2.16%0.0358+6.23%0.0282✗1.47931k2022-02-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.1618.5274+2.02%20.92+15.20%0.0669✓1.1914.0M2022-02-01
RADRadworksEthereum4.94.9975+1.99%5.6+14.29%0.0683✓0.991.1M2022-02-01
SUSHISushiEthereum4.544.6266+1.91%4.35-4.19%0.1247✗1.3713.2M2022-02-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.761.7928+1.86%1.98+12.50%0.0370✓1.363.1M2022-02-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048820.049725+1.85%0.05811+19.03%0.0852✓1.541.9M2022-02-01
UNIUniswapEthereum10.5910.7729+1.73%11.11+4.91%0.0298✗1.3212.5M2022-02-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.545.6157+1.37%6.27+13.18%0.0663✓0.96960k2022-02-01
AAVEAaveEthereum152.06154.1291+1.36%164.05+7.89%0.0011✓1.3315.1M2022-02-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0523230.052905+1.11%0.042617-18.55%0.2621✗1.00332k2022-02-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.0713.2154+1.11%14.66+12.17%0.0570✓1.02886k2022-02-01
DASHDashDash89.5990.5852+1.11%97.23+8.53%0.0166✓1.183.0M2022-02-01
GITCOINGITCOIN6.8836.9571+1.08%8.052+16.98%0.1333✓0.2838k2022-02-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8520.860493+1.00%0.932+9.39%0.0166✓1.382.4M2022-02-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7090.715748+0.95%0.756+6.63%0.0040✓1.112.0M2022-02-01
KSMKusamaHydration173.57175.1816+0.93%170.69-1.66%0.0803✗1.181.3M2022-02-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.3218.4829+0.89%19.58+6.88%0.0056✓1.3858.5M2022-02-01
DODODODOEthereum0.5020.506276+0.85%0.488-2.79%0.1077✗1.547.3M2022-02-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05660.057068+0.83%0.062+9.54%0.0165✓1.45605k2022-02-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3220.324646+0.82%0.328+1.86%0.0550✗1.421.6M2022-02-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0733.098+0.82%3.337+8.59%0.0350✓0.861.0M2022-02-01
XVGVergenative0.009720.009799+0.81%0.01018+4.73%0.0232✗1.341.7M2022-02-01
COMPCompoundEthereum127.15128.1758+0.81%128.16+0.79%0.0589✗1.2880k2022-02-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.5916.7231+0.80%19.38+16.82%0.0643✓1.813.9M2022-02-01
ZECZcashZcash90.4691.1714+0.79%98.97+9.41%0.0210✓1.337.8M2022-02-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash291.7293.9835+0.78%287.95-1.29%0.0690✗1.058.5M2022-02-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum50.7951.1871+0.78%53.47+5.28%0.0118✗1.217.1M2022-02-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.01361.0215+0.78%1.1512+13.57%0.0740✓0.99402k2022-02-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.21410.215752+0.77%0.2826+31.99%0.2191✓1.11419k2022-02-01
XMRMoneroMonero144.83145.9239+0.76%146.32+1.03%0.0434✗1.012.4M2022-02-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.17180.173089+0.75%0.1885+9.72%0.0213✓1.394.1M2022-02-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.9919.1322+0.75%20.94+10.27%0.0193✓1.55891k2022-02-01
SOLSolanaSolana94.7695.4606+0.74%110.1+16.19%0.0879✓1.19152.8M2022-02-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0208210.020965+0.69%0.020954+0.64%0.0523✗1.133.6M2022-02-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.063020.06345+0.68%0.07836+24.34%0.1736✓0.8260k2022-02-01
BANDBandEthereum3.53.5217+0.62%3.49-0.29%0.0647✗1.212.4M2022-02-01
XTZTezosTezos2.92062.9372+0.57%3.7479+28.33%0.1808✓1.372.8M2022-02-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.284.3037+0.55%5.37+25.47%0.1635✓1.263.1M2022-02-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.92230.927208+0.53%0.967+4.85%0.0109✗1.1537.9M2022-02-01
UMAUMAEthereum5.925.9509+0.52%5.98+1.01%0.0436✗1.062.9M2022-02-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.126.1498+0.49%6.66+8.82%0.0699✓0.211.2M2022-02-01
QNTQuantEthereum103.44103.9332+0.48%104.95+1.46%0.0374✗1.037.5M2022-02-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12730.127893+0.47%0.1425+11.94%0.0645✓0.95337k2022-02-01
MINAMina Protocolnative2.322.3307+0.46%2.65+14.22%0.0741✓1.18667k2022-02-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.6923.7988+0.46%26.67+12.58%0.0382✓1.652.7M2022-02-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41450.416346+0.45%0.4393+5.98%0.0046✗1.2710.9M2022-02-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5321.5384+0.42%1.837+19.91%0.1167✓1.321.8M2022-02-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.81030.81331+0.37%0.8391+3.55%0.0195✗1.1021.8M2022-02-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.10060.100969+0.37%0.1189+18.19%0.0950✓1.492.0M2022-02-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11330.113662+0.32%0.1161+2.47%0.0399✗1.334.1M2022-02-01
HIVEHivenative0.83910.841586+0.30%0.9549+13.80%0.0573✓1.503.5M2022-02-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.0392.045+0.29%2.247+10.20%0.0437✓1.1023k2022-02-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9072.915+0.27%3.125+7.50%0.0334✓0.79514k2022-02-01
LRCLoopringEthereum1.03371.0365+0.27%0.9652-6.63%0.1672✗2.091.1M2022-02-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin107.9108.1727+0.25%115.11+6.68%0.0007✓1.3433.8M2022-02-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,507.8324,567.66+0.24%25,472.18+3.93%0.0059✗0.9220.9M2022-02-01
ZENHorizenBase34.9735.0505+0.23%39.21+12.12%0.0408✓1.55626k2022-02-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.595.6025+0.22%6.24+11.63%0.0727✓0.77589k2022-02-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.914.9203+0.21%5.37+9.37%0.0548✓0.71470k2022-02-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22830.228758+0.20%0.2456+7.58%0.0140✓1.241.9M2022-02-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021060.000021101+0.19%0.00002176+3.32%0.0343✗1.421.8M2022-02-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.049710.049793+0.17%0.0446-10.28%0.1711✗1.3310.3M2022-02-01
IMXImmutableEthereum2.352.3539+0.16%2.88+22.55%0.1304✓1.552.2M2022-02-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5201920.520809+0.12%0.582133+11.91%0.0548✓1.233.2M2022-02-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.028930.028964+0.12%0.03008+3.98%0.0058✗0.959.2M2022-02-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0144190.014435+0.11%0.015173+5.23%0.0051✗1.202.7M2022-02-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2430.243234+0.10%0.255+4.94%0.0037✓0.9570k2022-02-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.55410.554568+0.08%0.5296-4.42%0.1313✗1.8652.0M2022-02-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010450.010458+0.07%0.00957-8.42%0.1455✗1.242.3M2022-02-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.21374.2159+0.05%4.8991+16.27%0.0948✓1.21431k2022-02-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037030.037041+0.03%0.04034+8.94%0.0335✓1.1328k2022-02-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,572.8036,573.06+0.00%38,691.90+5.79%0.0101✓1.0153k2022-02-01
MANADecentralandEthereum2.10372.1037-0.00%2.6803+27.41%0.1897✗1.143.1M2022-02-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.591.5895-0.03%1.7+6.92%0.0125✗1.192.5M2022-02-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche68.0868.0407-0.06%73.37+7.77%0.0154✗1.3187.3M2022-02-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.05123.0486-0.08%3.1868+4.44%0.0053✓1.083.8M2022-02-01
XECeCashnative0.000072130.000072053-0.11%0.00007722+7.06%0.0185✗1.106.1M2022-02-01
SCSiacoinnative0.009460.009444-0.17%0.01011+6.87%0.0192✗1.07641k2022-02-01
ETHEthereumEthereum2,460.682,455.52-0.21%2,789.66+13.37%0.0758✗1.13560.6M2022-02-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.680.678427-0.23%0.7+2.94%0.0555✓1.891.2M2022-02-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.080970.080772-0.24%0.08902+9.94%0.0425✗1.1945k2022-02-01
QTUMQtumQtum5.55135.534-0.31%6.1797+11.32%0.0438✗1.45238k2022-02-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.332.3226-0.32%2.53+8.58%0.0386✗1.02800k2022-02-01
NANOnanopayBase2.34372.3363-0.32%2.1518-8.19%0.1408✓1.27791k2022-02-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.372.362-0.34%2.1-11.39%0.1892✓1.562.6M2022-02-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.43820.43669-0.34%0.4737+8.10%0.0185✗1.372.6M2022-02-01
TRXTRONTron0.0558720.055654-0.39%0.059831+7.09%0.0286✗0.95501k2022-02-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative24.0723.9723-0.41%26.8+11.34%0.0614✗1.093.8M2022-02-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.25930.25824-0.41%0.3087+19.05%0.1051✗1.604.3M2022-02-01
XYMSymbolnative0.15970.158994-0.44%0.1825+14.28%0.1069✗0.68573k2022-02-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.65.5738-0.47%6.28+12.14%0.0810✗0.83591k2022-02-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.4520.3515-0.48%25.47+24.55%0.1903✗0.74377k2022-02-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.5130.510498-0.49%0.565+10.14%0.0407✗1.322.9M2022-02-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.2966.2652-0.49%5.958-5.37%0.0885✓0.83163k2022-02-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,980.0036,796.81-0.50%38,716.88+4.70%0.0050✗1.00717.4M2022-02-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.4177-0.51%1.525+7.02%0.0181✗1.191.8M2022-02-01
KCSKuCoinnative16.0115.9243-0.54%18.496+15.53%0.0785✗1.5510.9M2022-02-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05920.058873-0.55%0.0658+11.15%0.0598✗1.1221k2022-02-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1429250.142134-0.55%0.142489-0.30%0.0489✓1.127.1M2022-02-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.999430.993424-0.60%1.1475+14.82%0.0853✗1.282.4M2022-02-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8013.7767-0.64%4.228+11.23%0.0769✗0.78408k2022-02-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.052050.051711-0.65%0.04829-7.22%0.1144✓1.0011.9M2022-02-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012090.01201-0.66%0.01283+6.12%0.0258✗0.8820k2022-02-01
ADACardanoCardano1.0431.0361-0.66%1.0965+5.13%0.0047✓1.13110.9M2022-02-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07970.079152-0.69%0.0822+3.14%0.0190✓1.24342k2022-02-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.638.5681-0.72%9.72+12.63%0.0920✗0.74768k2022-02-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6152.5957-0.74%2.683+2.60%0.0369✓1.531.1M2022-02-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1967940.195322-0.75%0.202028+2.66%0.0143✓1.0525.9M2022-02-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.4812.3807-0.80%14.46+15.87%0.1240✗0.68806k2022-02-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.794770.788386-0.80%0.84367+6.15%0.0140✓1.78698k2022-02-01
LUNATerraTerra 262.7862.2752-0.80%52.21-16.84%0.2568✓1.758.2M2022-02-01
GTGateEthereum6.25496.2024-0.84%6.9364+10.90%0.0677✗0.964.3M2022-02-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV90.3489.5529-0.87%91.69+1.49%0.0204✓0.961.7M2022-02-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.40791.3956-0.87%1.2044-14.45%0.1932✓1.003.8M2022-02-01
FTTFTXEthereum36.4636.1153-0.95%45.2+23.97%0.1697✗1.1932.3M2022-02-01
XEMNEMnative0.09570.094794-0.95%0.104+8.67%0.0438✗1.0641k2022-02-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.70091.6831-1.05%1.6048-5.65%0.0984✓1.1094k2022-02-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.9045.8395-1.09%5.979+1.27%0.0218✓0.99320k2022-02-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2451.2306-1.16%1.316+5.70%0.0094✓1.263.6M2022-02-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.5253.4842-1.16%4.2589+20.82%0.2007✗0.00375k2022-02-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.85230.842162-1.19%0.8834+3.65%0.0214✓1.51107k2022-02-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.68582.653-1.22%3.0959+15.27%0.1075✗1.022.0M2022-02-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase7.7697.6711-1.26%5.365-30.94%0.4035✓1.001.6M2022-02-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.169660.167209-1.44%0.20659+21.77%0.1398✗1.5613k2022-02-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.86092.818-1.50%3.2091+12.17%0.0902✗0.873,8202022-02-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos35.9235.3411-1.61%28.86-19.65%0.2554✓1.15120.6M2022-02-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5230.513692-1.78%0.5575+6.60%0.0285✗1.162.1M2022-02-01
API3Api3Ethereum3.793.7177-1.91%3.57-5.80%0.0510✓0.23486k2022-02-01
PROPropyEthereum2.42.3415-2.44%2.23-7.08%0.0947✓1.004.9M2022-02-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.65761.6118-2.77%1.8742+13.07%0.1134✗0.822.3M2022-02-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.