2022-01-24 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0486

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+11.92%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

57.3%

in alpha space · 79.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+4.90%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4591	0.497738	+8.42%	0.4369	-4.84%	0.2011	✗	1.48	2.3M	2022-01-31
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	75.75	80.064	+5.70%	75.0775	-0.89%	0.1237	✗	1.24	465k	2022-01-31
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0376	0.039499	+5.05%	0.0975	+159.31%	0.8107	✓	1.94	23.4M	2022-01-31
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0337	0.0354	+5.04%	0.0352	+4.45%	0.0758	✗	1.47	962k	2022-01-31
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.8	0.840165	+5.02%	0.82	+2.50%	0.1017	✗	1.62	569k	2022-01-31
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.21	1.2679	+4.78%	1.2778	+5.60%	0.0400	✓	1.00	3.9M	2022-01-31
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.554	0.580335	+4.75%	0.6166	+11.30%	0.0123	✓	1.52	1.4M	2022-01-31
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8598	0.900171	+4.70%	0.9985	+16.13%	0.0037	✓	2.09	1.1M	2022-01-31
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.27	5.4922	+4.22%	6.25	+18.60%	0.0857	✓	0.91	968k	2022-01-31
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00795	0.008285	+4.21%	0.00728	-8.43%	0.2440	✗	2.40	21.3M	2022-01-31
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	152.41	158.4552	+3.97%	157.59	+3.40%	0.0690	✗	1.33	15.3M	2022-01-31
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.703	0.730853	+3.96%	0.731	+3.98%	0.0533	✗	1.12	2.0M	2022-01-31
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.82	2.9306	+3.92%	3.27	+15.96%	0.0433	✓	1.38	30.7M	2022-01-31
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.47	17.0879	+3.75%	20.15	+22.34%	0.0781	✓	1.81	3.9M	2022-01-31
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.477	0.494794	+3.73%	0.491	+2.94%	0.0825	✗	1.56	8.0M	2022-01-31
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.02	2.0928	+3.60%	2.16	+6.93%	0.0386	✗	1.47	6.0M	2022-01-31
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.76	1.8224	+3.54%	1.95	+10.80%	0.0018	✓	1.38	3.1M	2022-01-31
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05626	0.058191	+3.43%	0.04985	-11.39%	0.2026	✗	1.00	12.6M	2022-01-31
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.93	8.1963	+3.36%	7.94	+0.13%	0.0931	✗	1.28	3.1M	2022-01-31
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.71	6.9332	+3.33%	7.35	+9.54%	0.0411	✓	0.36	2.5M	2022-01-31
SOL	Solana	Solana	91.96	94.8602	+3.15%	99.52	+8.22%	0.0095	✓	1.20	147.7M	2022-01-31
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.81	13.2132	+3.15%	14.36	+12.10%	0.0327	✓	1.06	947k	2022-01-31
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.312	0.321595	+3.08%	0.318	+1.92%	0.0807	✗	1.45	1.7M	2022-01-31
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.61	16.0899	+3.07%	17.16	+9.93%	0.0052	✓	1.24	79.0M	2022-01-31
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036957	0.038073	+3.02%	0.039278	+6.28%	0.0327	✗	1.34	10.8M	2022-01-31
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	124.78	128.4891	+2.97%	121.39	-2.72%	0.1190	✗	1.30	80k	2022-01-31
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.43	18.9736	+2.95%	21.3	+15.57%	0.0576	✓	1.21	14.5M	2022-01-31
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9125	0.938701	+2.87%	0.9504	+4.15%	0.0440	✗	1.18	37.0M	2022-01-31
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01192	0.012262	+2.87%	0.01331	+11.66%	0.0405	✓	0.87	20k	2022-01-31
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.37	3.4662	+2.85%	3.48	+3.26%	0.0550	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-01-31
XVG	Verge	native	0.00934	0.009605	+2.83%	0.01022	+9.42%	0.0023	✓	1.34	1.8M	2022-01-31
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.712	6.9022	+2.83%	7.318	+9.03%	0.0437	✓	0.31	37k	2022-01-31
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.023	1.0519	+2.83%	1.1648	+13.87%	0.0528	✓	1.03	416k	2022-01-31
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8485	0.872043	+2.77%	0.9619	+13.36%	0.0251	✓	1.53	3.8M	2022-01-31
XMR	Monero	Monero	147.04	151.0876	+2.75%	147.48	+0.30%	0.0732	✗	1.03	2.5M	2022-01-31
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	102.9	105.6905	+2.71%	97.15	-5.59%	0.1344	✗	1.05	7.3M	2022-01-31
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.07	5.2039	+2.64%	5.8	+14.40%	0.0593	✓	1.03	1.1M	2022-01-31
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3932	0.403503	+2.62%	0.409	+4.02%	0.0483	✗	1.29	11.3M	2022-01-31
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0465	3.1261	+2.61%	3.1164	+2.29%	0.0565	✗	1.12	3.9M	2022-01-31
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.11	34.9954	+2.60%	41	+20.20%	0.0829	✓	1.58	626k	2022-01-31
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.73	21.266	+2.59%	19.82	-4.39%	0.1328	✗	1.30	34.9M	2022-01-31
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02733	0.028032	+2.57%	0.02978	+8.96%	0.0143	✓	0.97	8.7M	2022-01-31
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.504	1.5423	+2.55%	1.888	+25.53%	0.1401	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-01-31
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.02	19.4991	+2.52%	20.51	+7.83%	0.0243	✓	1.56	940k	2022-01-31
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	94.49	96.87	+2.52%	94.57	+0.08%	0.0888	✗	1.35	8.4M	2022-01-31
DASH	Dash	Dash	90.49	92.7545	+2.50%	94.18	+4.08%	0.0426	✗	1.21	2.9M	2022-01-31
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.86	4.9816	+2.50%	5.25	+8.02%	0.0177	✓	0.73	480k	2022-01-31
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.82	0.840483	+2.50%	0.915	+11.59%	0.0173	✓	1.41	2.4M	2022-01-31
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.8826	0.904302	+2.46%	1.0903	+23.53%	0.1257	✓	1.28	2.4M	2022-01-31
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0557	0.057066	+2.45%	0.0619	+11.13%	0.0102	✓	1.49	638k	2022-01-31
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.7	10.962	+2.45%	11.78	+10.09%	0.0080	✓	1.34	12.7M	2022-01-31
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.58	1.6185	+2.44%	1.68	+6.33%	0.0139	✓	1.07	2.5M	2022-01-31
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.31	2.3659	+2.42%	2.69	+16.45%	0.0542	✓	1.55	2.2M	2022-01-31
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	174.93	179.0627	+2.36%	159.75	-8.68%	0.1716	✗	1.20	1.4M	2022-01-31
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1756	0.179709	+2.34%	0.1889	+7.57%	0.0182	✓	1.42	4.3M	2022-01-31
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.08	2.1286	+2.34%	2.8223	+35.69%	0.2264	✓	1.16	3.7M	2022-01-31
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01025	0.010485	+2.30%	0.00993	-3.12%	0.1132	✗	1.23	2.3M	2022-01-31
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.18	6.3194	+2.26%	6.54	+5.83%	0.0231	✓	0.23	1.2M	2022-01-31
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014337	0.014659	+2.24%	0.014268	-0.48%	0.0853	✗	1.22	2.7M	2022-01-31
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.94	6.0706	+2.20%	5.95	+0.17%	0.0709	✗	1.06	3.3M	2022-01-31
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.4	4.4945	+2.15%	4.23	-3.86%	0.1271	✗	1.39	13.3M	2022-01-31
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05018	0.051226	+2.08%	0.04586	-8.61%	0.1759	✗	1.36	11.1M	2022-01-31
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.03	18.4054	+2.08%	19.39	+7.54%	0.0147	✓	1.40	60.5M	2022-01-31
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.5	5.611	+2.02%	6.26	+13.82%	0.0726	✓	0.77	640k	2022-01-31
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1023	0.104344	+2.00%	0.1215	+18.77%	0.0807	✓	1.49	2.0M	2022-01-31
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.74957	0.764514	+1.99%	0.85261	+13.75%	0.0232	✓	1.79	792k	2022-01-31
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00936	0.009543	+1.96%	0.00994	+6.20%	0.0116	✓	1.09	641k	2022-01-31
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05059	0.051555	+1.91%	0.058	+14.65%	0.0418	✓	1.59	1.9M	2022-01-31
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1111	0.113197	+1.89%	0.1136	+2.25%	0.0613	✗	1.36	4.2M	2022-01-31
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7906	0.805427	+1.88%	0.8338	+5.46%	0.0195	✗	1.13	22.4M	2022-01-31
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.163	1.1847	+1.86%	1.359	+16.85%	0.0752	✓	1.30	3.8M	2022-01-31
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5732	0.58386	+1.86%	0.5403	-5.74%	0.1675	✗	1.88	52.0M	2022-01-31
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.47	23.9031	+1.85%	27.02	+15.13%	0.0430	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-01-31
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.24	52.1395	+1.76%	52.38	+2.22%	0.0535	✗	1.21	6.5M	2022-01-31
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.681602	+1.73%	0.64	-4.48%	0.1534	✗	1.89	1.2M	2022-01-31
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.137427	0.13977	+1.70%	0.141646	+3.07%	0.0406	✗	1.13	7.0M	2022-01-31
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06212	0.063178	+1.70%	0.07979	+28.44%	0.1931	✓	0.84	67k	2022-01-31
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0578	0.058778	+1.69%	0.0658	+13.84%	0.0585	✓	1.14	21k	2022-01-31
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.59	5.6836	+1.68%	6.27	+12.16%	0.0574	✓	0.85	591k	2022-01-31
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	20.79	21.1371	+1.67%	25.21	+21.26%	0.1402	✓	0.75	360k	2022-01-31
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2121	0.215603	+1.65%	0.2718	+28.15%	0.1787	✓	1.11	469k	2022-01-31
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0759	0.077129	+1.62%	0.0812	+6.98%	0.0075	✓	1.23	317k	2022-01-31
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.254	0.258096	+1.61%	0.247	-2.76%	0.0904	✗	0.97	70k	2022-01-31
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1426	0.144854	+1.58%	0.1361	-4.56%	0.1085	✗	0.97	337k	2022-01-31
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.505092	0.513071	+1.58%	0.567335	+12.32%	0.0404	✓	1.26	3.1M	2022-01-31
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08158	0.082868	+1.58%	0.08784	+7.67%	0.0000	✓	1.22	45k	2022-01-31
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002123	0.000021564	+1.57%	0.00002142	+0.89%	0.0747	✗	1.42	1.8M	2022-01-31
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.34	2.3766	+1.57%	2.39	+2.14%	0.0522	✗	1.21	721k	2022-01-31
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,944.84	24,317.98	+1.56%	24,852.85	+3.79%	0.0230	✗	0.94	20.9M	2022-01-31
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5079	0.515664	+1.53%	0.5492	+8.13%	0.0003	✓	1.32	3.0M	2022-01-31
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	63.05	63.9899	+1.49%	69.92	+10.90%	0.0255	✓	1.32	87.3M	2022-01-31
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03766	0.038178	+1.37%	0.04045	+7.41%	0.0029	✓	1.15	28k	2022-01-31
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020919	0.021206	+1.37%	0.021024	+0.50%	0.0632	✗	1.14	3.6M	2022-01-31
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2227	0.225751	+1.37%	0.2423	+8.80%	0.0103	✓	1.26	1.9M	2022-01-31
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.055067	0.055819	+1.36%	0.059132	+7.38%	0.0110	✓	0.97	491k	2022-01-31
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1572	0.159307	+1.34%	0.1836	+16.79%	0.1090	✓	0.69	573k	2022-01-31
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.417	7.5159	+1.33%	5.389	-27.34%	0.3805	✗	1.00	1.6M	2022-01-31
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007195	0.000072898	+1.32%	0.00007633	+6.09%	0.0075	✓	1.12	6.3M	2022-01-31
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.53	12.6928	+1.30%	14.25	+13.73%	0.0819	✓	0.71	806k	2022-01-31
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.474	1.4931	+1.29%	1.547	+4.95%	0.0232	✗	1.23	1.9M	2022-01-31
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	292.51	296.2899	+1.29%	285.23	-2.49%	0.0894	✗	1.07	7.8M	2022-01-31
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9641	3.0023	+1.29%	3.4938	+17.87%	0.0844	✓	1.40	3.1M	2022-01-31
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.34	2.37	+1.28%	2.5	+6.84%	0.0040	✓	1.03	819k	2022-01-31
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2619	0.265256	+1.28%	0.3291	+25.66%	0.1376	✓	1.63	4.6M	2022-01-31
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.2825	2.3116	+1.27%	2.1315	-6.61%	0.1425	✗	1.28	791k	2022-01-31
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4258	0.431056	+1.23%	0.464	+8.97%	0.0070	✓	1.39	2.7M	2022-01-31
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2431	6.3199	+1.23%	6.867	+9.99%	0.0371	✓	0.96	4.5M	2022-01-31
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,441.74	2,471.75	+1.23%	2,689.72	+10.16%	0.0303	✓	1.13	557.7M	2022-01-31
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,693.32	37,140.58	+1.22%	38,491.93	+4.90%	0.0121	✓	1.00	682.8M	2022-01-31
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.081	3.1182	+1.21%	3.227	+4.74%	0.0075	✓	0.87	1.1M	2022-01-31
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.1138	4.162	+1.17%	5.0138	+21.88%	0.1278	✓	1.22	443k	2022-01-31
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6127	1.6315	+1.16%	1.5526	-3.73%	0.1031	✗	1.12	95k	2022-01-31
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.4487	5.5118	+1.16%	6.0678	+11.36%	0.0259	✓	1.47	251k	2022-01-31
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.198106	0.200135	+1.02%	0.199723	+0.82%	0.0535	✗	1.07	25.6M	2022-01-31
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.17	24.4162	+1.02%	25.67	+6.21%	0.0032	✓	1.11	3.4M	2022-01-31
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.007	2.0273	+1.01%	2.247	+11.96%	0.0490	✓	1.13	24k	2022-01-31
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.053067	0.053596	+1.00%	0.037542	-29.26%	0.4039	✗	1.00	419k	2022-01-31
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.22	4.2618	+0.99%	5.73	+35.78%	0.2348	✓	1.28	3.2M	2022-01-31
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.941	2.9674	+0.90%	3.042	+3.43%	0.0139	✗	0.81	514k	2022-01-31
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.128	6.1816	+0.87%	6.119	-0.15%	0.0509	✗	0.85	170k	2022-01-31
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.898	5.9379	+0.68%	5.904	+0.10%	0.0548	✗	1.03	320k	2022-01-31
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.711	3.7358	+0.67%	4.108	+10.70%	0.0571	✓	0.79	420k	2022-01-31
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.65	110.3411	+0.63%	109.55	-0.09%	0.0723	✗	1.36	33.8M	2022-01-31
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		91.78	92.3044	+0.57%	91.32	-0.50%	0.0579	✗	0.99	1.7M	2022-01-31
XEM	NEM	native	0.0977	0.098134	+0.44%	0.1022	+4.61%	0.0117	✗	1.09	43k	2022-01-31
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7044	2.7161	+0.43%	3.0665	+13.39%	0.0724	✓	1.02	2.1M	2022-01-31
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.64	8.6669	+0.31%	9.62	+11.34%	0.0687	✓	0.74	768k	2022-01-31
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,642.30	36,746.42	+0.28%	38,589.30	+5.31%	0.0008	✓	1.01	53k	2022-01-31
KCS	KuCoin	native	15.591	15.6337	+0.27%	18.065	+15.87%	0.0697	✓	1.56	10.9M	2022-01-31
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8142	0.816265	+0.25%	0.8388	+3.02%	0.0442	✗	1.49	107k	2022-01-31
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0664	1.0682	+0.17%	1.0524	-1.31%	0.0703	✗	1.16	109.4M	2022-01-31
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	35.59	35.6134	+0.07%	43.58	+22.45%	0.1443	✓	1.20	32.3M	2022-01-31
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.568	2.568	+0.00%	2.683	+4.48%	0.0289	✗	1.52	1.2M	2022-01-31
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.6	2.5991	-0.04%	2.15	-17.31%	0.2659	✓	1.59	2.8M	2022-01-31
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	65.92	65.8347	-0.13%	52.15	-20.89%	0.3185	✓	1.79	8.2M	2022-01-31
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5476	3.5376	-0.28%	3.7199	+4.86%	0.0492	✗	0.02	375k	2022-01-31
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16604	0.164376	-1.00%	0.19016	+14.53%	0.0703	✗	1.58	9,020	2022-01-31
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5315	0.526147	-1.01%	0.549	+3.29%	0.0133	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-01-31
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9084	2.8778	-1.05%	3.1775	+9.25%	0.0576	✗	0.87	3,355	2022-01-31
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.94	3.891	-1.24%	3.41	-13.45%	0.1434	✓	0.24	481k	2022-01-31
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.56	2.5249	-1.37%	2.31	-9.77%	0.1368	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-01-31
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5542	1.5322	-1.42%	1.887	+21.41%	0.1683	✗	0.84	2.2M	2022-01-31
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	36.03	35.5034	-1.46%	28.07	-22.09%	0.2920	✓	1.19	115.0M	2022-01-31

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.