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2022-01-23 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0831
143 of 143 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.85%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.1%
in alpha space · 46.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.46%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.50180.527682+5.16%0.4444-11.44%0.2294✗1.322.3M2022-01-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03750.039335+4.89%0.0774+106.40%0.5924✓1.9323.4M2022-01-30
MOVRMoonriverBase84.969188.2816+3.90%75.0918-11.62%0.2178✗1.28465k2022-01-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.008410.008731+3.82%0.0074-12.01%0.2716✗2.4322.6M2022-01-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.023.1283+3.58%3.18+5.30%0.0443✗1.3932.4M2022-01-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03350.034677+3.51%0.0352+5.07%0.0491✗1.471.0M2022-01-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.85910.889242+3.51%1.0017+16.60%0.0290✓2.06984k2022-01-30
XVSVenusEthereum8.178.4504+3.43%7.79-4.65%0.1374✗1.283.0M2022-01-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.2822.008+3.42%19.28-9.40%0.1892✗1.3034.3M2022-01-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0399770.041331+3.39%0.038887-2.73%0.1195✗1.3410.8M2022-01-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.6717.2089+3.23%17.77+6.60%0.0214✓1.2375.4M2022-01-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.850.876461+3.11%0.81-4.71%0.1484✗1.59569k2022-01-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.5960.613636+2.96%0.5944-0.27%0.0991✗1.541.4M2022-01-30
SUSHISushiEthereum4.664.7896+2.78%4.09-12.23%0.2169✗1.3514.5M2022-01-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.337.5219+2.62%7.28-0.68%0.0504✗0.412.6M2022-01-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.821.8674+2.60%1.9+4.40%0.0422✗1.363.1M2022-01-30
RADRadworksEthereum5.215.3377+2.45%5.09-2.30%0.0924✗1.031.1M2022-01-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.944.0326+2.35%5.25+33.25%0.2104✓1.223.1M2022-01-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.242.2916+2.30%2.13-4.91%0.1387✗1.506.1M2022-01-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.5119.9546+2.28%19.84+1.69%0.0585✗1.2114.2M2022-01-30
UNIUniswapEthereum11.4311.6466+1.89%10.8-5.51%0.1335✗1.3312.5M2022-01-30
AAVEAaveEthereum158.72161.6376+1.84%149.01-6.12%0.1377✗1.2916.2M2022-01-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.96.0029+1.74%5.92+0.34%0.0543✗0.93995k2022-01-30
GITCOINGITCOIN7.2437.3686+1.73%7.233-0.14%0.0339✗0.3537k2022-01-30
XVGVergenative0.009690.009853+1.69%0.00997+2.89%0.0469✗1.341.8M2022-01-30
DODODODOEthereum0.5070.515282+1.63%0.496-2.17%0.1058✗1.558.0M2022-01-30
COMPCompoundEthereum128.28130.2979+1.57%117.46-8.43%0.1586✗1.2688k2022-01-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8810.894711+1.56%0.897+1.82%0.0579✗1.392.3M2022-01-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.1717.4367+1.55%19.1+11.24%0.0113✓1.833.9M2022-01-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3310.335994+1.51%0.313-5.44%0.1326✗1.411.8M2022-01-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.055080.055898+1.48%0.0595+8.02%0.0039✓1.521.9M2022-01-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.4519.731+1.44%20.05+3.08%0.0519✗1.56944k2022-01-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05760.058419+1.42%0.0619+7.47%0.0063✓1.47683k2022-01-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7310.741357+1.42%0.732+0.14%0.0612✗1.112.0M2022-01-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.8219.0752+1.36%18.19-3.35%0.1076✗1.3858.5M2022-01-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0514.2312+1.29%14.23+1.28%0.0475✗1.09886k2022-01-30
BANDBandEthereum3.593.6357+1.27%3.45-3.90%0.1046✗1.202.3M2022-01-30
HIVEHivenative0.8390.849262+1.22%0.9375+11.74%0.0327✓1.523.7M2022-01-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1383.1761+1.21%3.138+0.00%0.0504✗0.881.1M2022-01-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41510.420075+1.20%0.3997-3.71%0.1048✗1.2610.8M2022-01-30
SOLSolanaSolana99.82100.9857+1.17%93.31-6.52%0.1321✗1.22142.2M2022-01-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche64.8565.5516+1.08%67.98+4.83%0.0209✗1.3187.3M2022-01-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.81560.824277+1.06%0.8142-0.17%0.0608✗1.1122.7M2022-01-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.22450.226808+1.03%0.2571+14.52%0.0765✓1.12419k2022-01-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash302.74305.8484+1.03%290.04-4.20%0.0997✗1.077.0M2022-01-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.065140.065797+1.01%0.07979+22.49%0.1560✓0.8460k2022-01-30
ZENHorizenBase35.7736.1305+1.01%40.22+12.44%0.0382✓1.58613k2022-01-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010320.010424+1.01%0.00971-5.91%0.1261✗1.262.2M2022-01-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0578460.058419+0.99%0.03743-35.29%0.4888✗1.00507k2022-01-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11390.115022+0.99%0.1153+1.23%0.0559✗1.334.2M2022-01-30
STORJStorjEthereum1.09451.1047+0.93%1.158+5.80%0.0021✓1.03402k2022-01-30
DASHDashDash99.58100.4979+0.92%92.77-6.84%0.1335✗1.222.8M2022-01-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.029050.02931+0.90%0.02962+1.96%0.0319✗0.978.4M2022-01-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum54.8155.3006+0.90%53.4-2.57%0.0880✗1.216.3M2022-01-30
QNTQuantEthereum109.75110.7097+0.87%94.77-13.65%0.2006✗1.037.0M2022-01-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.98950.997771+0.84%0.9447-4.53%0.1059✗1.1734.7M2022-01-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,099.2025,308.15+0.83%23,834.59-5.04%0.0991✗0.9020.9M2022-01-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.3724.5719+0.83%26.29+7.88%0.0054✓1.672.7M2022-01-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.902240.909713+0.83%1.0776+19.43%0.1134✓1.282.4M2022-01-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.18550.187028+0.82%0.1816-2.10%0.0908✗1.414.3M2022-01-30
XTZTezosTezos3.07533.0998+0.80%3.2781+6.59%0.0042✓1.382.8M2022-01-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9452.9683+0.79%3.067+4.14%0.0023✓0.80523k2022-01-30
KSMKusamaHydration191.51192.9292+0.74%163.11-14.83%0.2207✗1.211.3M2022-01-30
ZECZcashZcash97.5898.3023+0.74%93.02-4.67%0.1146✗1.367.8M2022-01-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.526.5679+0.73%6.37-2.30%0.0412✗0.241.2M2022-01-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6111.6217+0.66%1.788+10.99%0.0422✓1.271.9M2022-01-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.664329+0.66%0.64-3.03%0.1199✗1.891.2M2022-01-30
XMRMoneroMonero156.73157.7466+0.65%148.16-5.47%0.1076✗1.032.6M2022-01-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.051840.052141+0.58%0.04709-9.16%0.1569✗1.2611.6M2022-01-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0226620.022787+0.55%0.021008-7.30%0.1322✗1.173.7M2022-01-30
CBKCobakEthereum2.0952.1065+0.55%2.243+7.06%0.0146✓1.1024k2022-01-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.025.0471+0.54%5.28+5.18%0.0133✓0.73483k2022-01-30
NANOnanopayBase2.2272.2385+0.52%2.2301+0.14%0.0592✗1.27739k2022-01-30
MINAMina Protocolnative2.442.4526+0.52%2.27-6.97%0.1291✗1.18667k2022-01-30
MANADecentralandEthereum2.11452.1253+0.51%2.5078+18.60%0.1151✓1.163.7M2022-01-30
UMAUMAEthereum6.386.412+0.50%5.92-7.21%0.1261✗1.063.6M2022-01-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.03790.038086+0.49%0.04035+6.46%0.0079✓1.1426k2022-01-30
IMXImmutableEthereum2.492.5016+0.47%2.57+3.21%0.0422✗1.582.2M2022-01-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.925.9442+0.41%6.16+4.05%0.0018✓0.78645k2022-01-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin112.35112.8088+0.41%108.59-3.35%0.0965✗1.3431.3M2022-01-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,274.4036,418.40+0.40%37,655.60+3.81%0.0105✗1.0142k2022-01-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.544630.546776+0.39%0.553313+1.59%0.0417✗1.232.7M2022-01-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.10690.107316+0.39%0.1219+14.03%0.0617✓1.502.0M2022-01-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24140.242256+0.35%0.2398-0.66%0.0654✗1.271.9M2022-01-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0150190.015067+0.32%0.014098-6.13%0.1190✗1.202.7M2022-01-30
SCSiacoinnative0.009830.009858+0.28%0.00984+0.10%0.0494✗1.09630k2022-01-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1296.1422+0.22%6.101-0.46%0.0423✗0.81163k2022-01-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14363.1497+0.19%3.0959-1.52%0.0669✗1.143.9M2022-01-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.43464.4431+0.19%4.8343+9.01%0.0311✓1.22431k2022-01-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14770.147984+0.19%0.1251-15.30%0.2102✗0.97346k2022-01-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012580.012603+0.19%0.01326+5.41%0.0130✓0.8621k2022-01-30
XECeCashnative0.000074770.000074873+0.14%0.00007524+0.63%0.0437✗1.116.3M2022-01-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00002250.000022511+0.05%0.00002109-6.27%0.1283✗1.451.7M2022-01-30
ETHEthereumEthereum2,541.192,542.27+0.04%2,602.89+2.43%0.0258✗1.13535.4M2022-01-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.71.7007+0.04%1.66-2.35%0.0711✗1.072.6M2022-01-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,282.4736,289.99+0.02%37,901.35+4.46%0.0002✓1.00648.0M2022-01-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07830.0783+0.00%0.0797+1.79%0.0364✗1.24308k2022-01-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4211.4206-0.03%1.486+4.57%0.0075✓1.201.8M2022-01-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1417020.141648-0.04%0.139318-1.68%0.0658✓1.136.7M2022-01-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.761010.760696-0.04%0.83304+9.47%0.0137✗1.77792k2022-01-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.084780.08474-0.05%0.08818+4.01%0.0130✓1.2143k2022-01-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.45460.454335-0.06%0.4519-0.59%0.0659✓1.392.6M2022-01-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.412.4061-0.16%2.48+2.90%0.0145✓1.03798k2022-01-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.26970.269265-0.16%0.3236+19.99%0.1140✗1.604.6M2022-01-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2780.277477-0.19%0.251-9.71%0.1427✓0.9770k2022-01-30
QTUMQtumQtum5.8155.8017-0.23%5.9884+2.98%0.0320✓1.46251k2022-01-30
KCSKuCoinnative15.8815.8425-0.24%17.407+9.62%0.0253✗1.5810.7M2022-01-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.6090.60751-0.24%0.5593-8.16%0.1650✓1.8950.8M2022-01-30
XYMSymbolnative0.16170.161273-0.26%0.1781+10.14%0.0684✗0.71536k2022-01-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.1725.1034-0.26%24.92-0.99%0.0558✓1.113.3M2022-01-30
TRXTRONTron0.0574990.057345-0.27%0.058692+2.07%0.0189✓0.96478k2022-01-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.855.8327-0.30%6.14+4.96%0.0143✗0.85616k2022-01-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8443.8322-0.31%4.078+6.09%0.0277✗0.79436k2022-01-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.572.5619-0.32%2.14-16.73%0.2495✓1.592.7M2022-01-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.53010.528386-0.32%0.5123-3.36%0.0884✓1.323.0M2022-01-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06130.061085-0.35%0.066+7.67%0.0279✗1.1321k2022-01-30
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1541.1494-0.40%1.414+22.53%0.1528✗1.253.8M2022-01-30
XLMStellarStellar0.2010660.200242-0.41%0.195399-2.82%0.0714✓1.0725.3M2022-01-30
FTTFTXEthereum35.9935.8311-0.44%41.05+14.06%0.0834✗1.2031.8M2022-01-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.160770.16004-0.45%0.18014+12.05%0.0510✗1.547,0112022-01-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6492.6368-0.46%2.693+1.66%0.0458✓1.531.2M2022-01-30
GTGateEthereum6.11116.0792-0.52%6.7915+11.13%0.0696✗0.944.3M2022-01-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.322.1827-0.53%25.75+15.47%0.1161✗0.76353k2022-01-30
ADACardanoCardano1.12491.1177-0.64%1.0359-7.91%0.1262✓1.15108.9M2022-01-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV93.7993.1879-0.64%90.34-3.68%0.0736✓0.971.7M2022-01-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.968.9015-0.65%9.32+4.02%0.0130✗0.75784k2022-01-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos34.6534.4179-0.67%27.19-21.53%0.2830✓1.08111.1M2022-01-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.62891.6177-0.69%1.5641-3.98%0.0822✓1.1195k2022-01-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.32421.3142-0.76%1.3913+5.07%0.0134✗1.004.0M2022-01-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.9712.8711-0.76%14.02+8.10%0.0547✗0.71813k2022-01-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.0335.9838-0.82%5.789-4.04%0.0782✓1.03293k2022-01-30
XEMNEMnative0.09760.096801-0.82%0.1024+4.92%0.0092✗1.0841k2022-01-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.84340.835759-0.91%0.8483+0.58%0.0512✓1.51107k2022-01-30
LUNATerraTerra 269.7369.0903-0.92%46.21-33.73%0.4824✓1.847.9M2022-01-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.99422.9621-1.07%3.0214+0.91%0.0178✓0.863,1162022-01-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.55713.5167-1.14%3.587+0.84%0.0194✗0.01371k2022-01-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase8.0187.9268-1.14%5.737-28.45%0.3670✓1.001.6M2022-01-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.064980.064228-1.16%0.05311-18.27%0.2337✓1.0013.3M2022-01-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.79812.7644-1.20%3.0137+7.71%0.0413✗1.032.1M2022-01-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45931.4343-1.71%1.7386+19.14%0.1571✗0.811.9M2022-01-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55470.543739-1.98%0.5479-1.23%0.0440✓1.182.1M2022-01-30
API3Api3Ethereum4.374.2476-2.80%3.63-16.93%0.1694✓0.28471k2022-01-30
PROPropyEthereum3.233.1293-3.12%2.27-29.72%0.3647✓1.005.9M2022-01-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.