2022-01-22 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0181

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+9.01%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

38.5%

in alpha space · 81.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+8.91%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.82	4.628	-3.98%	3.69	-23.44%	0.2597	✓	0.39	471k	2022-01-29
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5658	0.555335	-1.85%	0.5693	+0.62%	0.0792	✓	1.22	1.8M	2022-01-29
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5039	1.4781	-1.72%	1.7284	+14.93%	0.0863	✗	0.82	1.6M	2022-01-29
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.15	2.1192	-1.43%	2.31	+7.44%	0.0009	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-01-29
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.07202	0.071015	-1.40%	0.05525	-23.29%	0.3364	✓	1.00	12.6M	2022-01-29
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6015	3.5619	-1.10%	3.4878	-3.16%	0.0222	✓	0.01	371k	2022-01-29
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7227	2.701	-0.80%	2.9824	+9.54%	0.0110	✗	1.03	2.2M	2022-01-29
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.424	6.3732	-0.79%	6.128	-4.61%	0.1316	✓	1.08	301k	2022-01-29
XEM	NEM	native	0.0944	0.094069	-0.35%	0.1047	+10.91%	0.0160	✗	1.07	41k	2022-01-29
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.62	12.5885	-0.25%	13.15	+4.20%	0.0162	✓	0.70	813k	2022-01-29
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9642	2.9569	-0.25%	3.0631	+3.34%	0.0394	✓	0.87	2,942	2022-01-29
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.4442	1.4407	-0.24%	1.2936	-10.43%	0.1931	✓	1.00	4.1M	2022-01-29
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.65	1.6469	-0.19%	1.6081	-2.54%	0.1193	✓	1.12	95k	2022-01-29
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.68	8.6747	-0.06%	9.17	+5.65%	0.0085	✓	0.75	800k	2022-01-29
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.392	7.3952	+0.04%	6.173	-16.49%	0.2660	✗	1.00	1.6M	2022-01-29
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.161	1.162	+0.09%	1.364	+17.48%	0.0514	✓	1.27	4.0M	2022-01-29
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.24	89.328	+0.10%	92.7	+3.88%	0.0442	✗	0.95	1.8M	2022-01-29
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.05675	0.056821	+0.12%	0.060341	+6.33%	0.0222	✗	0.96	486k	2022-01-29
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.567	2.5736	+0.26%	2.667	+3.90%	0.0957	✗	1.54	1.1M	2022-01-29
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0713	1.0741	+0.26%	1.0603	-1.03%	0.1095	✗	1.13	104.1M	2022-01-29
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	21.51	21.5876	+0.36%	26.24	+21.99%	0.1315	✓	0.75	353k	2022-01-29
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15638	0.156973	+0.38%	0.18677	+19.43%	0.0430	✓	1.53	7,011	2022-01-29
GT	Gate	Ethereum	5.6708	5.6931	+0.39%	6.7736	+19.45%	0.0943	✓	0.93	4.5M	2022-01-29
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	62.89	63.1436	+0.40%	50.93	-19.02%	0.3688	✗	1.80	7.8M	2022-01-29
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5076	0.509665	+0.41%	0.5251	+3.45%	0.0826	✗	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-29
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0594	0.059687	+0.48%	0.0653	+9.93%	0.0062	✗	1.13	21k	2022-01-29
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.66	5.6892	+0.52%	6.08	+7.42%	0.0056	✗	0.84	616k	2022-01-29
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.23	24.3629	+0.55%	25.34	+4.58%	0.0542	✗	1.10	3.3M	2022-01-29
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.665	3.6864	+0.58%	4.042	+10.29%	0.0258	✓	0.78	445k	2022-01-29
KCS	KuCoin	native	15.129	15.2265	+0.64%	17.542	+15.95%	0.0040	✓	1.61	10.7M	2022-01-29
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01275	0.012834	+0.66%	0.01347	+5.65%	0.0268	✗	0.88	21k	2022-01-29
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.33	2.346	+0.69%	2.42	+3.86%	0.0565	✗	1.03	819k	2022-01-29
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2645	0.266327	+0.69%	0.31	+17.20%	0.0143	✓	1.61	4.6M	2022-01-29
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5565	5.5967	+0.72%	5.9616	+7.29%	0.0600	✗	1.44	263k	2022-01-29
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.19237	0.193792	+0.74%	0.203491	+5.78%	0.0427	✗	1.07	24.9M	2022-01-29
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1498	0.150912	+0.74%	0.1739	+16.09%	0.0816	✓	0.70	536k	2022-01-29
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.7106	0.716598	+0.84%	0.9037	+27.17%	0.1152	✓	1.37	108k	2022-01-29
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	35,066.43	35,385.62	+0.91%	38,191.10	+8.91%	0.0091	✗	1.00	648.0M	2022-01-29
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	33.44	33.7471	+0.92%	41.73	+24.79%	0.1100	✓	1.20	29.0M	2022-01-29
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.366	1.3788	+0.94%	1.493	+9.30%	0.0224	✗	1.19	1.8M	2022-01-29
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,411.90	2,437.57	+1.06%	2,603.74	+7.95%	0.0299	✗	1.12	502.4M	2022-01-29
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014961	0.015124	+1.09%	0.014518	-2.96%	0.1446	✗	1.22	2.7M	2022-01-29
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133158	0.134662	+1.13%	0.143169	+7.52%	0.0309	✗	1.08	6.7M	2022-01-29
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4385	0.443464	+1.13%	0.4637	+5.75%	0.0765	✗	1.42	2.6M	2022-01-29
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.41	109.7229	+1.21%	110.84	+2.24%	0.1036	✗	1.33	30.5M	2022-01-29
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.71467	0.723585	+1.25%	0.84787	+18.64%	0.0094	✓	1.75	848k	2022-01-29
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.62	1.6405	+1.26%	1.72	+6.17%	0.0448	✗	1.08	2.6M	2022-01-29
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	34,807.70	35,248.73	+1.27%	38,181.60	+9.69%	0.0059	✓	1.01	26k	2022-01-29
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0068	3.0451	+1.28%	3.1573	+5.01%	0.0690	✗	1.23	3.8M	2022-01-29
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2394	4.2948	+1.31%	4.851	+14.43%	0.0191	✓	1.20	443k	2022-01-29
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2331	0.236157	+1.31%	0.2425	+4.03%	0.0816	✗	1.27	1.9M	2022-01-29
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.07873	0.079774	+1.33%	0.08979	+14.05%	0.0171	✓	1.19	41k	2022-01-29
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1394	0.141251	+1.33%	0.1205	-13.56%	0.2397	✗	0.95	362k	2022-01-29
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.46	2.4954	+1.44%	2.83	+15.04%	0.0124	✓	1.62	2.2M	2022-01-29
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.8	5.8837	+1.44%	6.001	+3.47%	0.0475	✗	0.79	163k	2022-01-29
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.63	5.7141	+1.49%	5.93	+5.33%	0.0277	✗	0.76	645k	2022-01-29
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02985	0.030297	+1.50%	0.03035	+1.68%	0.0821	✗	0.98	8.3M	2022-01-29
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002053	0.000020841	+1.51%	0.00002166	+5.50%	0.0819	✗	1.41	1.7M	2022-01-29
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.8	4.8732	+1.53%	5.16	+7.50%	0.0041	✓	0.72	491k	2022-01-29
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0732	0.074346	+1.57%	0.0817	+11.61%	0.0103	✓	1.23	299k	2022-01-29
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	190.08	193.2086	+1.65%	171.16	-9.95%	0.2242	✗	1.21	1.3M	2022-01-29
XEC	eCash	native	0.00006839	0.000069527	+1.66%	0.00007692	+12.47%	0.0093	✓	1.08	6.5M	2022-01-29
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.0434	2.0778	+1.68%	2.372	+16.08%	0.0336	✓	1.16	4.3M	2022-01-29
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0094	0.009559	+1.70%	0.01015	+7.98%	0.0330	✗	1.09	641k	2022-01-29
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.518861	0.527682	+1.70%	0.565434	+8.98%	0.0343	✗	1.21	2.3M	2022-01-29
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.244	0.248152	+1.70%	0.251	+2.87%	0.0680	✗	0.93	67k	2022-01-29
XMR	Monero	Monero	152.34	154.9507	+1.71%	153.67	+0.87%	0.0946	✗	1.01	2.6M	2022-01-29
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05051	0.051388	+1.74%	0.05052	+0.02%	0.1322	✗	1.35	12.0M	2022-01-29
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	1.979	2.0139	+1.76%	2.245	+13.44%	0.0158	✓	1.09	24k	2022-01-29
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.11	6.2177	+1.76%	6.08	-0.49%	0.1124	✗	1.05	3.9M	2022-01-29
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.34	2.3819	+1.79%	2.31	-1.28%	0.1319	✗	1.19	737k	2022-01-29
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03631	0.036968	+1.81%	0.04089	+12.61%	0.0042	✓	1.13	25k	2022-01-29
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.651746	+1.84%	0.66	+3.12%	0.1512	✗	1.92	1.3M	2022-01-29
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5482	0.55854	+1.89%	0.6022	+9.85%	0.0816	✗	1.84	48.9M	2022-01-29
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	94.59	96.3878	+1.90%	96.39	+1.90%	0.1141	✗	1.34	8.4M	2022-01-29
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.1	2.1401	+1.91%	2.34	+11.43%	0.0334	✗	1.44	2.6M	2022-01-29
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1135	0.115695	+1.93%	0.121	+6.61%	0.0698	✗	1.34	4.3M	2022-01-29
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.804	2.8599	+2.00%	3.009	+7.31%	0.0167	✓	0.79	523k	2022-01-29
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.84	24.3231	+2.03%	27.09	+13.63%	0.0381	✗	1.71	2.7M	2022-01-29
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	291.88	297.8025	+2.03%	299.03	+2.45%	0.0858	✗	1.05	7.0M	2022-01-29
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9521	3.0147	+2.12%	3.0915	+4.72%	0.0914	✗	1.37	3.1M	2022-01-29
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4163	0.425131	+2.12%	0.4104	-1.42%	0.1468	✗	1.31	10.8M	2022-01-29
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.059	3.1241	+2.13%	3.258	+6.51%	0.0323	✗	0.87	1.1M	2022-01-29
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0461	2.09	+2.15%	2.3362	+14.17%	0.0043	✓	1.25	714k	2022-01-29
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06237	0.063731	+2.18%	0.0727	+16.56%	0.0605	✓	0.83	60k	2022-01-29
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.27	29.909	+2.18%	29.1	-0.58%	0.1145	✗	1.02	109.3M	2022-01-29
DASH	Dash	Dash	97.07	99.2887	+2.29%	96.55	-0.54%	0.1324	✗	1.22	2.8M	2022-01-29
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1764	0.180433	+2.29%	0.1844	+4.54%	0.0985	✗	1.41	4.3M	2022-01-29
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.054184	0.055447	+2.33%	0.04515	-16.67%	0.2908	✗	1.00	575k	2022-01-29
ZEN	Horizen	Base	35.28	36.1067	+2.34%	41.64	+18.03%	0.0091	✓	1.56	613k	2022-01-29
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.506	1.5415	+2.36%	1.758	+16.73%	0.0229	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-01-29
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9512	0.974126	+2.41%	0.9693	+1.90%	0.1082	✗	1.21	34.7M	2022-01-29
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.06	6.2065	+2.42%	6.65	+9.74%	0.0508	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-01-29
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2179	0.223177	+2.42%	0.2671	+22.58%	0.0838	✓	1.12	440k	2022-01-29
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0381	1.0633	+2.43%	1.154	+11.17%	0.0054	✓	1.02	402k	2022-01-29
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.78	0.799231	+2.47%	0.8302	+6.44%	0.0562	✗	1.10	22.7M	2022-01-29
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00998	0.010227	+2.48%	0.0104	+4.21%	0.0916	✗	1.27	2.3M	2022-01-29
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.26	18.7214	+2.53%	18.75	+2.68%	0.1166	✗	1.38	58.5M	2022-01-29
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020108	0.020634	+2.62%	0.022029	+9.55%	0.0301	✗	1.12	3.7M	2022-01-29
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.711	0.730159	+2.69%	0.731	+2.81%	0.0928	✗	1.10	2.0M	2022-01-29
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.87	0.893688	+2.72%	0.924	+6.21%	0.0865	✗	1.40	2.3M	2022-01-29
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.49	3.5856	+2.74%	3.51	+0.57%	0.1235	✗	1.20	2.4M	2022-01-29
SOL	Solana	Solana	94.78	97.3871	+2.75%	96.25	+1.55%	0.1148	✗	1.21	142.2M	2022-01-29
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	50.17	51.5869	+2.82%	49.58	-1.18%	0.1427	✗	1.21	6.3M	2022-01-29
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.76	19.2998	+2.88%	20.73	+10.50%	0.0611	✗	1.55	944k	2022-01-29
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.496	0.510496	+2.92%	0.508	+2.42%	0.1386	✗	1.57	8.0M	2022-01-29
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0543	0.055915	+2.97%	0.0636	+17.13%	0.0034	✓	1.47	684k	2022-01-29
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,897.64	23,578.74	+2.97%	24,297.65	+6.11%	0.0433	✗	0.86	21.5M	2022-01-29
HIVE	Hive	native	0.7987	0.822684	+3.00%	0.952	+19.19%	0.0192	✓	1.48	3.8M	2022-01-29
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	59.8	61.6165	+3.04%	71.95	+20.32%	0.0433	✓	1.31	87.3M	2022-01-29
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.319	0.328704	+3.04%	0.333	+4.39%	0.1073	✗	1.41	1.8M	2022-01-29
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.19	13.5964	+3.08%	14.12	+7.05%	0.0577	✗	1.12	841k	2022-01-29
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	120.3	124.0491	+3.12%	123.06	+2.29%	0.1146	✗	1.25	88k	2022-01-29
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.16	11.5107	+3.14%	11.16	+0.00%	0.1447	✗	1.33	12.7M	2022-01-29
XVG	Verge	native	0.00935	0.009647	+3.17%	0.01002	+7.17%	0.0764	✗	1.34	1.8M	2022-01-29
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	98.78	101.9924	+3.25%	97.51	-1.29%	0.1320	✗	1.02	7.0M	2022-01-29
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.944	7.1728	+3.29%	7.324	+5.47%	0.0095	✓	0.36	38k	2022-01-29
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.80696	0.83365	+3.31%	1.0479	+29.86%	0.1237	✓	1.23	2.4M	2022-01-29
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.11	16.6783	+3.53%	20.07	+24.58%	0.0292	✓	1.83	4.1M	2022-01-29
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.61	5.8097	+3.56%	6.1	+8.73%	0.0300	✓	0.92	1.0M	2022-01-29
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.9	0.932716	+3.64%	0.85	-5.56%	0.2320	✗	1.63	569k	2022-01-29
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.01	19.7128	+3.70%	20.29	+6.73%	0.0740	✗	1.20	14.5M	2022-01-29
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	147.18	152.6937	+3.75%	154.04	+4.66%	0.0992	✗	1.26	17.6M	2022-01-29
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.06	5.2541	+3.84%	5.34	+5.53%	0.0712	✗	1.02	1.1M	2022-01-29
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04896	0.05084	+3.84%	0.06396	+30.64%	0.1007	✓	1.51	1.9M	2022-01-29
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.78	3.9282	+3.92%	5.4	+42.86%	0.2138	✓	1.22	3.2M	2022-01-29
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5834	0.607808	+4.18%	0.5968	+2.30%	0.1508	✗	1.55	1.4M	2022-01-29
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.77	1.8449	+4.23%	1.92	+8.47%	0.0774	✗	1.37	3.1M	2022-01-29
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.08	2.1692	+4.29%	2.36	+13.46%	0.0408	✓	1.47	6.6M	2022-01-29
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.42	4.614	+4.39%	4.19	-5.20%	0.2105	✗	1.34	16.1M	2022-01-29
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.96	7.2712	+4.47%	7.35	+5.60%	0.0238	✓	0.41	2.8M	2022-01-29
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0326	0.034199	+4.90%	0.0362	+11.04%	0.0691	✗	1.48	1.1M	2022-01-29
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.86	16.6463	+4.96%	16.24	+2.40%	0.1306	✗	1.24	75.4M	2022-01-29
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.54	21.5851	+5.09%	20.18	-1.75%	0.1816	✗	1.34	34.9M	2022-01-29
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0799	0.084	+5.13%	0.11	+37.67%	0.1517	✓	1.38	2.0M	2022-01-29
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.89	3.0396	+5.18%	2.99	+3.46%	0.1457	✗	1.51	32.4M	2022-01-29
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	83.9941	88.3966	+5.24%	79.3124	-5.57%	0.2181	✗	1.29	486k	2022-01-29
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00793	0.008373	+5.59%	0.00723	-8.83%	0.3564	✗	2.46	23.2M	2022-01-29
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.59	8.016	+5.61%	8.22	+8.30%	0.0810	✗	1.24	3.0M	2022-01-29
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0376	0.039777	+5.79%	0.0907	+141.22%	0.6523	✓	2.02	24.3M	2022-01-29
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036765	0.038949	+5.94%	0.039999	+8.80%	0.0852	✗	1.31	10.3M	2022-01-29
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7316	0.78067	+6.71%	0.9684	+32.37%	0.0447	✓	2.00	1.1M	2022-01-29
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4454	0.478918	+7.53%	0.4988	+11.99%	0.0669	✓	1.26	2.4M	2022-01-29

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.