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2022-01-21 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 141 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1593
141 of 141 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.16%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
33.3%
in alpha space · 36.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.52%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (141 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.51860.549612+5.98%0.482-7.06%0.1737✗1.222.4M2022-01-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04170.043765+4.95%0.0567+35.97%0.2243✓1.0024.3M2022-01-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.86780.905203+4.31%0.9906+14.15%0.0222✓1.961.1M2022-01-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00920.009545+3.75%0.00547-40.54%0.6404✗2.4123.2M2022-01-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0416410.043029+3.33%0.038917-6.54%0.1449✗1.289.3M2022-01-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03630.037453+3.18%0.0353-2.75%0.1097✗1.461.1M2022-01-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.313.4127+3.10%2.93-11.48%0.2039✗1.4832.4M2022-01-28
MOVRMoonriverBase9597.9092+3.06%77.0062-18.94%0.2839✗1.26489k2022-01-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.4417.9622+2.99%16.16-7.34%0.1482✗1.2275.4M2022-01-28
SUSHISushiEthereum4.965.0931+2.68%4.16-16.13%0.2479✗1.3217.0M2022-01-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.09390.096206+2.46%0.0927-1.28%0.0837✗1.352.0M2022-01-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.970.99231+2.30%0.85-12.37%0.2112✗1.63569k2022-01-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.174.2592+2.14%4.57+9.59%0.0287✓1.213.2M2022-01-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.978.1396+2.13%7.1-10.92%0.1492✗0.363.1M2022-01-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053880.055018+2.11%0.05152-4.38%0.1176✗1.502.1M2022-01-28
RADRadworksEthereum5.685.7978+2.07%5.11-10.04%0.1609✗1.001.0M2022-01-28
XVSVenusEthereum9.9410.1449+2.06%8.42-15.29%0.2267✗1.173.0M2022-01-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.67470.687951+1.96%0.5887-12.75%0.2085✗1.521.4M2022-01-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum22.0374+1.87%1.82-9.00%0.1596✗1.353.1M2022-01-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.8818.2137+1.87%17.9+0.11%0.0802✗1.814.1M2022-01-28
XVGVergenative0.010020.010206+1.86%0.00986-1.60%0.0808✗1.341.8M2022-01-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.1924.6305+1.82%20.31-16.04%0.2379✗1.3034.9M2022-01-28
GITCOINGITCOIN7.8267.9587+1.70%7.091-9.39%0.1265✗0.3238k2022-01-28
AAVEAaveEthereum171.09173.7381+1.55%149.11-12.85%0.1954✗1.2317.6M2022-01-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7640.77537+1.49%0.736-3.66%0.0899✗1.092.0M2022-01-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche66.0767.0441+1.47%67.06+1.50%0.0444✗1.2987.3M2022-01-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3520.357028+1.43%0.328-6.82%0.1331✗1.391.8M2022-01-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.9822.2879+1.40%19.63-10.69%0.1676✗1.1714.5M2022-01-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.452.4839+1.38%1.97-19.59%0.2809✗1.427.4M2022-01-28
COMPCompoundEthereum139.37141.1923+1.31%124.2-10.88%0.1703✗1.2188k2022-01-28
UNIUniswapEthereum12.6312.7935+1.29%10.67-15.52%0.2268✗1.3112.7M2022-01-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.6719.9178+1.26%18.34-6.76%0.1302✗1.3858.5M2022-01-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.917340.928498+1.22%1.0442+13.83%0.0759✓1.202.4M2022-01-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.8625.1574+1.20%25.85+3.98%0.0322✗1.712.7M2022-01-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06190.062636+1.19%0.0629+1.62%0.0458✗1.44684k2022-01-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.496.5654+1.16%5.91-8.94%0.1358✗0.881.0M2022-01-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.03031.0417+1.11%0.9591-6.91%0.1241✗1.2032.1M2022-01-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash315.04318.4544+1.08%296.79-5.79%0.1065✗1.047.0M2022-01-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.43660.441288+1.07%0.4141-5.15%0.1089✗1.3110.8M2022-01-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9840.994319+1.05%0.899-8.64%0.1486✗1.382.3M2022-01-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0220820.022312+1.04%0.020623-6.61%0.1168✗1.103.7M2022-01-28
QNTQuantEthereum114.44115.6121+1.02%97.25-15.02%0.2070✗0.986.9M2022-01-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.7869+1.00%6.49-3.42%0.0511✗0.181.2M2022-01-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.8570.865383+0.98%0.8173-4.63%0.0948✗1.0922.7M2022-01-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12060.121734+0.94%0.1183-1.91%0.0751✗1.344.3M2022-01-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2321.4172+0.88%20.08-5.42%0.1175✗1.53944k2022-01-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,741.6425,960.19+0.85%23,506.67-8.68%0.1280✗0.8320.9M2022-01-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9576.0074+0.85%6.131+2.92%0.0070✓0.79163k2022-01-28
HIVEHivenative0.9060.913627+0.84%0.931+2.76%0.0316✗1.463.9M2022-01-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum58.3958.8497+0.79%47.09-19.35%0.2635✗1.176.3M2022-01-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.03030.030537+0.78%0.03024-0.20%0.0441✗0.998.3M2022-01-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.5515.6712+0.78%14.23-8.49%0.1338✗1.08841k2022-01-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.292.3075+0.76%2.25-1.75%0.0744✗1.422.7M2022-01-28
DODODODOEthereum0.5610.56528+0.76%0.491-12.48%0.1944✗1.558.0M2022-01-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0614240.061883+0.75%0.046901-23.64%0.3118✗1.00644k2022-01-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3923.4172+0.74%3.294-2.89%0.0661✗0.851.1M2022-01-28
ZENHorizenBase38.9439.2207+0.72%38.97+0.08%0.0601✗1.55620k2022-01-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011110.011187+0.69%0.01046-5.85%0.1105✗1.252.2M2022-01-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.23960.241227+0.68%0.2523+5.30%0.0067✓1.10440k2022-01-28
NANOnanopayBase2.32652.342+0.67%2.3494+0.99%0.0393✗1.23699k2022-01-28
DASHDashDash105.73106.4189+0.65%95.64-9.54%0.1487✗1.212.8M2022-01-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.1980.199251+0.63%0.1798-9.19%0.1508✗1.394.3M2022-01-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.558460.561884+0.61%0.544057-2.58%0.0739✗1.202.3M2022-01-28
STORJStorjEthereum1.18481.192+0.61%1.1266-4.91%0.0906✗0.99402k2022-01-28
SOLSolanaSolana112.32112.9913+0.60%91.35-18.67%0.2529✗1.16142.2M2022-01-28
ZECZcashZcash102.35102.9595+0.60%91.3-10.80%0.1661✗1.338.4M2022-01-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071970.072389+0.58%0.07192-0.07%0.0340✗0.7956k2022-01-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.51115.1088+0.52%109.49-4.38%0.0961✗1.3330.5M2022-01-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14740.148141+0.50%0.1177-20.15%0.2626✗0.94362k2022-01-28
CBKCobakEthereum2.1972.2072+0.47%2.181-0.73%0.0489✗1.0724k2022-01-28
MANADecentralandEthereum2.22192.2319+0.45%2.2835+2.77%0.0165✗1.144.3M2022-01-28
UMAUMAEthereum6.66.6294+0.44%6.01-8.94%0.1342✗1.043.9M2022-01-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022260.000022358+0.44%0.00002134-4.13%0.0950✗1.401.7M2022-01-28
BANDBandEthereum3.963.9769+0.43%3.46-12.63%0.1797✗1.172.4M2022-01-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1683.1809+0.41%3.011-4.96%0.0812✗0.76526k2022-01-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.055520.05574+0.40%0.04731-14.79%0.2101✗1.3312.0M2022-01-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.083240.083565+0.39%0.08808+5.81%0.0117✓1.1838k2022-01-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2710.272037+0.38%0.247-8.86%0.1280✗0.9160k2022-01-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039770.03992+0.38%0.04014+0.93%0.0331✗1.1125k2022-01-28
XTZTezosTezos3.34173.3531+0.34%3.0264-9.44%0.1490✗1.343.1M2022-01-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25230.253153+0.34%0.2434-3.53%0.0828✗1.261.9M2022-01-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,607.8036,706.60+0.27%37,761.00+3.15%0.0064✗1.0018k2022-01-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.4488+0.27%1.438-0.48%0.0488✗1.191.8M2022-01-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.316.3256+0.25%5.81-7.92%0.1104✗0.73652k2022-01-28
ETHEthereumEthereum2,569.012,574.57+0.22%2,546.84-0.86%0.0495✗1.12502.4M2022-01-28
IMXImmutableEthereum2.712.7158+0.21%2.82+4.06%0.0177✗1.602.2M2022-01-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,456.9436,514.53+0.16%37,741.90+3.52%0.0016✓1.00648.0M2022-01-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7381.7407+0.16%1.639-5.70%0.1030✗1.241.9M2022-01-28
KSMKusamaHydration213.87214.1522+0.13%169-20.98%0.2777✗1.181.3M2022-01-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1420570.142216+0.11%0.141603-0.32%0.0414✗1.076.7M2022-01-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0161710.016185+0.09%0.014181-12.31%0.1739✗1.202.7M2022-01-28
SCSiacoinnative0.010440.010449+0.08%0.0101-3.26%0.0709✗1.07641k2022-01-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.730.73053+0.07%0.64-12.33%0.1974✗1.881.3M2022-01-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.645.6425+0.04%5.14-8.87%0.1166✗0.67494k2022-01-28
XMRMoneroMonero172.82172.8171-0.00%149.15-13.70%0.1812✓0.982.7M2022-01-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.71864.7184-0.00%4.5826-2.88%0.0702✓1.18443k2022-01-28
XECeCashnative0.000079680.000079667-0.02%0.00007277-8.67%0.1264✓1.046.5M2022-01-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08340.083309-0.11%0.0812-2.64%0.0670✓1.20269k2022-01-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.462.457-0.12%2.4-2.44%0.0588✓1.02869k2022-01-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.48110.480382-0.15%0.4527-5.90%0.1080✓1.402.6M2022-01-28
XYMSymbolnative0.16390.163565-0.20%0.177+7.99%0.0553✗0.68536k2022-01-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.9525.8964-0.21%25.23-2.77%0.0637✓1.093.3M2022-01-28
XLMStellarStellar0.2028620.202437-0.21%0.198646-2.08%0.0559✓1.0724.9M2022-01-28
QTUMQtumQtum6.12256.1091-0.22%5.7966-5.32%0.1020✓1.43263k2022-01-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.841.8356-0.24%1.65-10.33%0.1430✓1.052.7M2022-01-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.810110.807815-0.28%0.86446+6.71%0.0081✗1.72848k2022-01-28
KCSKuCoinnative16.80816.7534-0.33%16.846+0.23%0.0496✓1.5910.7M2022-01-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5553.543-0.34%3.1165-12.33%0.1696✓1.193.9M2022-01-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos34.6434.523-0.34%29.5-14.84%0.1909✓0.97104.1M2022-01-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013940.013888-0.37%0.01255-9.97%0.1312✓0.8621k2022-01-28
LUNATerraTerra 264.9464.6842-0.39%50.6-22.08%0.3088✓1.837.7M2022-01-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2091.2041-0.41%1.436+18.78%0.1319✗1.284.0M2022-01-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56190.55957-0.41%0.5223-7.05%0.1139✓1.303.2M2022-01-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.29210.290795-0.45%0.3094+5.92%0.0067✗1.604.6M2022-01-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06340.063117-0.45%0.0647+2.05%0.0140✓1.1221k2022-01-28
TRXTRONTron0.0611090.060829-0.46%0.057631-5.69%0.0869✓0.95486k2022-01-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.66721.6592-0.48%1.6203-2.81%0.0629✓1.1395k2022-01-28
ADACardanoCardano1.12111.1156-0.49%1.0486-6.47%0.1012✓1.13104.1M2022-01-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.124.0975-0.55%3.923-4.78%0.0694✓0.75445k2022-01-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum23.3123.1826-0.55%27.6+18.40%0.1492✗0.73342k2022-01-28
GTGateEthereum6.2436.2062-0.59%6.5861+5.50%0.0280✗0.914.3M2022-01-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV95.6895.1161-0.59%90.37-5.55%0.0838✓0.941.8M2022-01-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7952.7766-0.66%2.647-5.30%0.1008✓1.531.1M2022-01-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.63650.63192-0.72%0.6272-1.46%0.0699✓1.8046.2M2022-01-28
MINAMina Protocolnative2.92.879-0.73%2.29-21.03%0.2678✓1.12737k2022-01-28
XEMNEMnative0.0970.096295-0.73%0.0999+2.99%0.0004✓1.0741k2022-01-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.167040.165819-0.73%0.1835+9.85%0.0484✗1.536,8492022-01-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.566.51-0.76%6.04-7.93%0.1028✓0.80616k2022-01-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.49.318-0.87%9.05-3.72%0.0545✓0.73800k2022-01-28
FTTFTXEthereum38.5238.1792-0.88%40.01+3.87%0.0065✓1.1625.7M2022-01-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4213.2932-0.94%12.86-4.17%0.0570✓0.69813k2022-01-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.89130.881408-1.11%0.8915+0.02%0.0312✓1.23108k2022-01-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.53453.4934-1.16%3.4691-1.85%0.0077✓0.02371k2022-01-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.22773.1834-1.37%3.0715-4.84%0.0655✓0.862,2572022-01-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.56611.5424-1.51%1.2839-18.02%0.2181✓1.004.2M2022-01-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53510.526488-1.61%0.5555+3.81%0.0098✓1.271.7M2022-01-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase8.6478.5009-1.69%6.452-25.38%0.3104✓1.001.7M2022-01-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.113.0572-1.70%2.7962-10.09%0.1237✓0.992.2M2022-01-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.43211.4071-1.75%1.7954+25.37%0.2142✗0.851.4M2022-01-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.3518.0808-3.24%5.923-29.07%0.3455✓1.01301k2022-01-28
API3Api3Ethereum4.654.4667-3.94%3.75-19.35%0.1898✓0.43471k2022-01-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.