2022-01-19 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.1168

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-2.80%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

89.9%

in alpha space · 96.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-11.60%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0575	0.057995	+0.86%	0.0439	-23.65%	0.1552	✗	1.00	24.3M	2022-01-26
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.7592	0.76477	+0.73%	0.4593	-39.50%	0.3808	✗	1.05	2.5M	2022-01-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01172	0.01175	+0.26%	0.0078	-33.45%	0.1092	✗	2.44	23.2M	2022-01-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.1835	1.1831	-0.04%	1.0722	-9.40%	0.1373	✗	1.91	1.3M	2022-01-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	369.1	368.5762	-0.14%	289.23	-21.64%	0.1170	✓	1.02	6.6M	2022-01-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	12.52	12.4895	-0.24%	7.92	-36.74%	0.3145	✓	1.14	2.7M	2022-01-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07218	0.071931	-0.35%	0.0491	-31.98%	0.2058	✓	1.43	2.3M	2022-01-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1191	0.118643	-0.38%	0.0991	-16.79%	0.0207	✓	1.29	2.1M	2022-01-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.9	4.8761	-0.49%	4.63	-5.51%	0.0957	✗	1.20	3.2M	2022-01-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.222	1.2156	-0.53%	0.856	-29.95%	0.1819	✓	1.37	2.4M	2022-01-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	24.06	23.9295	-0.54%	18.05	-24.98%	0.1149	✓	1.36	58.5M	2022-01-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.12	15.0378	-0.54%	10.58	-30.03%	0.1893	✓	1.32	12.4M	2022-01-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	136.2	135.4461	-0.55%	107	-21.44%	0.0690	✓	1.35	31.1M	2022-01-26
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	22.14	22.0164	-0.56%	17.02	-23.13%	0.0270	✓	1.87	3.9M	2022-01-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.051115	0.050828	-0.56%	0.041779	-18.26%	0.0477	✓	1.20	8.4M	2022-01-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.05	6.0142	-0.59%	4.26	-29.59%	0.1851	✓	1.30	17.7M	2022-01-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.956	3.9325	-0.60%	3.038	-23.21%	0.1600	✓	0.80	1.1M	2022-01-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.01267	0.012582	-0.70%	0.00978	-22.81%	0.0982	✓	1.25	1.9M	2022-01-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	210.15	208.6851	-0.70%	146.64	-30.22%	0.2041	✓	1.21	17.6M	2022-01-26
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.17	1.1618	-0.70%	0.8	-31.62%	0.1670	✓	1.67	556k	2022-01-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,085.27	3,062.89	-0.73%	2,465.00	-20.10%	0.0846	✓	1.08	485.8M	2022-01-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	172.8	171.5426	-0.73%	125.05	-27.63%	0.1717	✓	1.17	95k	2022-01-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.01	6.9587	-0.73%	5.05	-27.96%	0.2114	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-01-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.36	6.3133	-0.73%	4.91	-22.80%	0.1701	✓	0.66	524k	2022-01-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	27.59	27.3739	-0.78%	19.28	-30.12%	0.2161	✓	1.09	14.5M	2022-01-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	120.5322	119.5657	-0.80%	78.4855	-34.88%	0.2817	✓	1.13	489k	2022-01-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.96	0.952213	-0.81%	0.746	-22.29%	0.1234	✓	0.98	2.1M	2022-01-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.9271	0.919558	-0.81%	0.5576	-39.86%	0.3275	✓	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	135.33	134.2097	-0.83%	92.18	-31.89%	0.2352	✓	1.14	147.7M	2022-01-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1712	0.169769	-0.84%	0.115	-32.83%	0.2769	✓	0.91	380k	2022-01-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	82.64	81.9412	-0.85%	65.89	-20.27%	0.0709	✓	1.19	92.3M	2022-01-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	243.71	241.5912	-0.87%	165.32	-32.17%	0.2323	✓	1.19	1.3M	2022-01-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	71.82	71.1889	-0.88%	49.62	-30.91%	0.2277	✓	1.08	6.4M	2022-01-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01895	0.018778	-0.91%	0.014587	-23.02%	0.1013	✓	1.23	2.7M	2022-01-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.161705	0.160208	-0.93%	0.143059	-11.53%	0.0220	✗	1.10	6.4M	2022-01-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0774	0.076681	-0.93%	0.0645	-16.67%	0.0006	✓	1.40	949k	2022-01-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	8.35	8.2723	-0.93%	6.13	-26.59%	0.3010	✓	-0.01	1.3M	2022-01-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.026624	0.026375	-0.93%	0.020906	-21.48%	0.1056	✓	1.03	4.4M	2022-01-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,674.27	41,279.32	-0.95%	36,840.63	-11.60%	0.0095	✗	1.00	636.6M	2022-01-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0486	0.048139	-0.95%	0.034	-30.04%	0.1792	✓	1.37	1.3M	2022-01-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5244	0.519295	-0.97%	0.4047	-22.83%	0.0879	✓	1.31	11.3M	2022-01-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.709	1.6923	-0.98%	1.401	-18.02%	0.0460	✓	1.16	1.9M	2022-01-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.47	2.4456	-0.99%	1.73	-29.96%	0.1830	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-01-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	135.59	134.2417	-0.99%	97.63	-28.00%	0.2029	✓	0.94	6.7M	2022-01-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.67	7.5937	-1.00%	5.62	-26.73%	0.2228	✓	0.63	660k	2022-01-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.627	3.5909	-1.00%	2.887	-20.40%	0.1308	✓	0.71	523k	2022-01-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2982	0.295229	-1.00%	0.235	-21.19%	0.0696	✓	1.29	2.0M	2022-01-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.8849	3.8461	-1.00%	2.9426	-24.26%	0.0977	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-01-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1786	0.176805	-1.01%	0.1625	-9.01%	0.0003	✓	0.68	573k	2022-01-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.069192	0.068484	-1.02%	0.056164	-18.83%	0.0816	✓	0.95	489k	2022-01-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002726	0.000026976	-1.04%	0.00002111	-22.56%	0.0782	✓	1.35	1.7M	2022-01-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1693	1.1571	-1.05%	1.0283	-12.06%	0.0130	✗	1.06	2.4M	2022-01-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10044	0.099388	-1.05%	0.08331	-17.05%	0.0355	✓	1.14	31k	2022-01-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	19.03	18.8292	-1.06%	13	-31.69%	0.2398	✓	1.06	841k	2022-01-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009227	0.000091292	-1.06%	0.00007183	-22.15%	0.1144	✓	1.02	6.5M	2022-01-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.294	1.2802	-1.07%	1.333	+3.01%	0.2096	✗	1.37	3.8M	2022-01-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6838	0.676456	-1.07%	0.5015	-26.66%	0.1415	✓	1.28	3.3M	2022-01-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	4.19	4.1445	-1.09%	2.87	-31.50%	0.1934	✓	1.41	32.4M	2022-01-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	125.87	124.4866	-1.10%	89.84	-28.62%	0.1665	✓	1.30	9.5M	2022-01-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.951	19.7297	-1.11%	16.167	-18.97%	0.0008	✓	1.61	10.6M	2022-01-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.09	2.0668	-1.11%	1.63	-22.01%	0.1050	✓	1.07	2.7M	2022-01-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.151	0.149304	-1.12%	0.1184	-21.59%	0.0762	✓	1.26	4.2M	2022-01-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0492	1.0374	-1.13%	0.8025	-23.51%	0.1347	✓	0.99	23.2M	2022-01-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.4486	5.3871	-1.13%	4.2234	-22.49%	0.0921	✓	1.23	446k	2022-01-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0555	3.0208	-1.14%	2.3802	-22.10%	0.0987	✓	1.13	665k	2022-01-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	26.53	26.2275	-1.14%	19.86	-25.14%	0.1026	✓	1.42	34.3M	2022-01-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2463	0.243484	-1.14%	0.1727	-29.88%	0.1783	✓	1.34	4.0M	2022-01-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.623	2.5927	-1.15%	2.086	-20.47%	0.1057	✓	0.91	25k	2022-01-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0853	0.084314	-1.16%	0.06885	-19.28%	0.1121	✓	0.73	55k	2022-01-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.91	2.8757	-1.18%	2.32	-20.27%	0.0924	✓	0.99	855k	2022-01-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.7346	2.7022	-1.18%	2.1607	-20.98%	0.0959	✓	1.04	4.5M	2022-01-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.684968	0.676776	-1.20%	0.530813	-22.51%	0.1008	✓	1.15	2.3M	2022-01-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.272	7.1841	-1.21%	6.051	-16.79%	0.0857	✓	0.70	170k	2022-01-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03718	0.036725	-1.22%	0.02988	-19.63%	0.0936	✓	0.91	8.4M	2022-01-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,724.00	41,206.81	-1.24%	36,316.90	-12.96%	0.0045	✓	0.99	16k	2022-01-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.462	1.4438	-1.24%	1.068	-26.95%	0.1918	✓	0.89	423k	2022-01-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	21.56	21.2878	-1.26%	15.24	-29.31%	0.1860	✓	1.20	72.8M	2022-01-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.274	10.1408	-1.30%	6.982	-32.04%	0.3611	✓	0.10	40k	2022-01-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4	3.9477	-1.31%	3.0743	-23.14%	0.0948	✓	1.26	4.0M	2022-01-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.4032	7.3051	-1.32%	5.5942	-24.44%	0.0888	✓	1.44	263k	2022-01-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	26.13	25.782	-1.33%	18.91	-27.63%	0.1185	✓	1.55	1.0M	2022-01-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.1126	0.111097	-1.33%	0.0977	-13.23%	0.0018	✓	1.06	41k	2022-01-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		109.45	107.9801	-1.34%	90.62	-17.20%	0.0579	✓	0.95	1.8M	2022-01-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.27	30.8499	-1.34%	24.34	-22.16%	0.1044	✓	1.08	3.2M	2022-01-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.57	7.4673	-1.36%	5.68	-24.97%	0.1790	✓	0.77	638k	2022-01-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.469	0.462618	-1.36%	0.322	-31.34%	0.2006	✓	1.31	1.8M	2022-01-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.81	26.4439	-1.37%	20.41	-23.87%	0.1715	✓	0.71	353k	2022-01-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.6546	3.6045	-1.37%	3.594	-1.66%	0.0107	✓	-0.06	371k	2022-01-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01585	0.015627	-1.41%	0.01218	-23.15%	0.1572	✓	0.75	22k	2022-01-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.701	0.691122	-1.41%	0.501	-28.53%	0.1378	✓	1.49	8.0M	2022-01-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04692	0.046257	-1.41%	0.03832	-18.33%	0.0530	✓	1.10	23k	2022-01-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01394	0.01374	-1.43%	0.01035	-25.75%	0.1217	✓	1.31	2.1M	2022-01-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	49.93	49.2076	-1.45%	36.62	-26.66%	0.1112	✓	1.49	636k	2022-01-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	32.43	31.9582	-1.45%	24.1	-25.69%	0.0767	✓	1.67	2.7M	2022-01-26
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1386	1.1219	-1.47%	0.8673	-23.83%	0.0841	✓	1.41	3.7M	2022-01-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	126.8	124.935	-1.47%	93.16	-26.53%	0.1462	✓	1.19	2.8M	2022-01-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.349	0.343827	-1.48%	0.247	-29.23%	0.2339	✓	0.79	51k	2022-01-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.1	6.9931	-1.51%	6.3615	-10.40%	0.0111	✓	0.86	4.3M	2022-01-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.2659	1.2468	-1.51%	0.9233	-27.06%	0.1545	✓	1.18	30.5M	2022-01-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.93	0.915889	-1.52%	0.67	-27.96%	0.0762	✓	1.92	1.4M	2022-01-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	201.62	198.5362	-1.53%	148.42	-26.39%	0.1692	✓	0.99	2.9M	2022-01-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.22	10.0634	-1.53%	8.86	-13.31%	0.0350	✓	0.75	808k	2022-01-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	8.43	8.2998	-1.54%	5.64	-33.10%	0.2967	✓	0.73	995k	2022-01-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.793	4.7182	-1.56%	3.788	-20.97%	0.1366	✓	0.67	457k	2022-01-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.245567	0.241724	-1.56%	0.196933	-19.80%	0.0771	✓	1.04	23.9M	2022-01-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1012	0.099594	-1.59%	0.0799	-21.05%	0.0814	✓	1.13	240k	2022-01-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.95676	0.941419	-1.60%	0.80993	-15.35%	0.0700	✗	1.79	866k	2022-01-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.56	3.5021	-1.63%	3	-15.73%	0.0246	✗	1.45	2.2M	2022-01-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.26	8.1248	-1.64%	5.87	-28.93%	0.2068	✓	0.96	4.1M	2022-01-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1421	3.0892	-1.68%	2.6906	-14.37%	0.0071	✓	1.18	2.1M	2022-01-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0127	0.012486	-1.68%	0.00956	-24.72%	0.1436	✓	1.00	641k	2022-01-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.85	14.5982	-1.70%	12.63	-14.95%	0.0611	✓	0.68	862k	2022-01-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0509	2.0159	-1.71%	1.6506	-19.52%	0.0627	✓	1.11	89k	2022-01-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.219	2.1804	-1.74%	1.552	-30.06%	0.2006	✓	1.13	1.9M	2022-01-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3366	1.3132	-1.75%	1.0784	-19.32%	0.0583	✓	1.13	99.0M	2022-01-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.1	3.0453	-1.76%	2.3	-25.81%	0.1269	✓	1.25	2.7M	2022-01-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5784	0.568067	-1.79%	0.4503	-22.15%	0.0612	✓	1.39	2.7M	2022-01-26
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07162	0.070333	-1.80%	0.0472	-34.10%	0.2493	✓	1.21	12.4M	2022-01-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.91	4.8205	-1.82%	3.44	-29.94%	0.2006	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-01-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0761	0.074696	-1.85%	0.0618	-18.79%	0.0543	✓	1.10	21k	2022-01-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.366	0.359084	-1.89%	0.2561	-30.03%	0.1530	✓	1.50	4.1M	2022-01-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.009	6.8763	-1.89%	5.876	-16.16%	0.0023	✓	1.29	271k	2022-01-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2983	0.292509	-1.94%	0.2242	-24.84%	0.1384	✓	1.03	397k	2022-01-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.33	3.2637	-1.99%	1.91	-42.64%	0.3770	✓	1.29	8.5M	2022-01-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.282	3.2165	-2.00%	2.541	-22.58%	0.0232	✓	1.72	1.2M	2022-01-26
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	81.27	79.617	-2.03%	58.8	-27.65%	0.0734	✓	1.86	7.7M	2022-01-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.39	3.3186	-2.11%	2.31	-31.86%	0.2283	✓	1.09	808k	2022-01-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.21	9.9888	-2.17%	7.03	-31.15%	0.3311	✓	0.16	2.8M	2022-01-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,142.29	31,431.07	-2.21%	24,190.20	-24.74%	0.1777	✓	0.68	21.5M	2022-01-26
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.07511	0.07342	-2.25%	0.052469	-30.14%	0.2127	✓	1.00	719k	2022-01-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	37.07	36.2173	-2.30%	32.35	-12.73%	0.0067	✓	0.97	98.5M	2022-01-26
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0457	1.0209	-2.37%	0.8612	-17.64%	0.0387	✓	1.07	108k	2022-01-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.67	45.5259	-2.45%	36.48	-21.83%	0.0850	✓	1.11	24.3M	2022-01-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.537	1.4973	-2.58%	1.7265	+12.33%	0.2461	✗	0.84	1.2M	2022-01-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5701	0.554688	-2.70%	0.5301	-7.02%	0.1264	✗	1.39	1.5M	2022-01-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19913	0.192815	-3.17%	0.16532	-16.98%	0.0394	✗	1.57	6,519	2022-01-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.35	4.2014	-3.42%	3.78	-13.10%	0.0149	✓	0.98	471k	2022-01-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.9939	3.8355	-3.97%	2.8665	-28.23%	0.1988	✓	0.75	2,257	2022-01-26
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8466	0.810375	-4.28%	0.6029	-28.79%	0.0764	✓	1.78	46.2M	2022-01-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.